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SKIVT-L  March 2021, Week 3

SKIVT-L March 2021, Week 3

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 17 Mar 2021 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (249 lines)

Expires:202103172000;;106671
FPUS51 KBTV 171044
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
641 AM EDT Wed Mar 17 2021


VTZ018-172000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
641 AM EDT Wed Mar 17 2021

.TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. Light and variable winds. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy until midnight, then cloudy with a
chance of rain or snow showers after midnight. Little or no snow
accumulation. Lows in the mid 30s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph
with gusts up to 35 mph. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. 
.THURSDAY...A chance of snow showers in the morning. Cloudy with
a chance of rain showers. Little or no snow accumulation. Highs
in the lower 40s. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts up to
30 mph, becoming northwest in the afternoon. Chance of
precipitation 40 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Lows 7 to 15 above. North winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 20s. North winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows around 10 above. 
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs around 40. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the lower 20s. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 40s. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 20s. 
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 50s. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. 

$$


Expires:202103171100;;106379
ASUS41 KBTV 171031
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED MAR 17 2021

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-171100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     24  12  60 CALM      30.16R                  
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     15   9  76 CALM      30.17R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLEAR     11   8  88 CALM      30.16R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     12   6  77 MISG      30.16R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      12   6  76 CALM      30.15R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      22  13  69 CALM      30.17S                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     23  12  62 SE7       30.16R WCI  15          
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     20  12  71 CALM      30.17R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      29   3  33 S3        30.16R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      15   5  66 CALM      30.14R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    26  16  65 CALM      30.15R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A      1 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A      7 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A      7 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS

$$


Expires:No;;096458
FXUS61 KBTV 170700
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
300 AM EDT Wed Mar 17 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will bring mainly sunny skies and seasonably mild
temperatures to the area today. A cold front will pass through 
the area on Thursday as low pressure passes south of the region 
into Thursday evening. Only light precipitation is expected with
these features, mainly across the higher terrain and portions 
of southern Vermont. The weather trends cooler on Friday behind 
the front before strong high pressure brings dry and much milder
weather to the region for next weekend and into the week 
beyond.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 300 AM EDT Wednesday...Quiet weather remains on tap for 
today as the forecast area remains on the northwestern side of 
offshore high pressure. Mean 925 hPa thermal profiles support 
highs in the 40s to around 50 under light winds. It should be an
outstanding day so get outside and enjoy! Most of the day will 
be sunny, though clouds will arrive quickly west to east by 
early evening in advance of a frontal system appoaching from the
north. Scattered rain/higher elevation snow showers will arrive
later in the evening and into the overnight hours in 
association with this feature, mainly across central and 
northern counties as lows hold relatively mild in the 30s.

The front then pushes south through the area during the 6 to 11 am 
time frame Thursday morning with winds turning northerly. It will 
remain generally cloudy however, as low pressure tracks east from 
the Ohio Valley by the afternoon hours. Models have come into better 
agreement but still show some minor variability with QPF and 
overall timing with this feature, arguing for a sharp cutoff in 
precipitation across southern counties as dry northerly flow in 
the lower to mid level advects south during the day. Given these
trends will taper scattered showery precipitation off across 
northern counties fairly quickly through the day, and confine 
higher PoPs mainly across Rutland and Windsor counties 
accordingly. Mainly a light rain event is expected for these 
areas by afternoon, though as post- frontal northerly push of 
drier air arrives a changeover to wet snow is likely at higher 
elevations toward early evening. High temperatures will be 
tricky given mild temperatures at the onset of the day, the 
morning arrival of the front and generally overcast skies. For 
now I've offered a conservative blend of guidance showing values
ranging through the 40s, coolest far north where frontal 
passage will occur earlier in the day.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 300 AM EDT Wednesday...Model guidance continues to waffle
regarding placement of the tight precipitation gradient across 
south-central Vermont Thursday night into Friday. One thing is 
certain- there will indeed be a tight gradient as cold, dry air 
pushes in from the north, while at the same time, a low pressure
system tracks eastward through Mid- Atlantic states. Greatest 
chances for precipitation will be realized across southern 
Vermont Thursday night into early Friday morning. Precipitation 
will begin as rain Thursday night before transitioning to snow 
during the overnight hours as colder air advects in from the 
north. Overall, liquid precipitation totals will be up to 0.3 
inches across southern Vermont with little to no precipitation 
accumulation further north. Total snow accumulation is expected 
to be less than an inch, though up to 2 inches atop summits of 
the southern Green Mountains.

Overnight low temperatures Thursday into Friday will drop into the
single digits to low teens under strong cold air advection aided by
brisk northerly winds. Such will be the case on Friday as well with
highs only in the mid 20s to low 30s. Wind chills Friday morning
will be in single digits below zero.

&&
Quiet weather remains on tap for today as the forecast area remains 
on the northwestern side of offshore high pressure. Mean 925 hPa 
thermal profiles support highs in the 40s to around 50 under light 
winds. It should be an outstanding day so get outside and enjoy! 
Most of the day will be sunny, though clouds will arrive quickly 
west to east by early evening in advance of a frontal system 
appoaching from the north. Scattered rain/higher elevation snow 
showers will arrive later in the evening and into the overnight 
hours in association with this feature, mainly across central and 
northern counties as lows hold relatively mild in the 30s.

The front then pushes south through the area during the 6 to 11 am 
time frame Thursday morning with winds turning northerly. It will 
remain generally cloudy however, as low pressure tracks east from 
the Ohio Valley by the afternoon hours. Models have come into better 
agreement with QPF and overall timing with this feature, arguing for 
a sharp cutoff in precipitation across southern counties as dry 
northerly flow in the lower to mid level advects south during the 
day. Given these trends will taper scattered showery precipitation 
off across northern counties fairly quickly through the day, and 
confine higher PoPs mainly across Rutland and Windsor counties 
accordingly. Mainly a light rain event is expected for these areas 
by afternoon, though as post-frontal northerly push of drier air 
arrives a changeover to wet snow is likely at higher elevations 
toward early evening. High temperatures will be tricky given mild 
temperatures at the onset of the day, the morning arrival of the 
front and generally overcast skies. For now I've offered a 
conservative blend of guidance showing values ranging through the 
40s, coolest far north where frontal passage will occur earlier in 
the day.
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 300 AM EDT Wednesday...Northerly winds will begin to 
abate Friday evening as high pressure builds into the region. 
Skies will clear as well, allowing overnight temperatures Friday
night into Saturday to again drop into the single digits to low
teens despite moderating temperatures aloft. A warm and dry 
trend will begin thereafter with highs Saturday reaching into 
the mid 40s under full sun. High pressure will remain firmly in 
place until mid-week next week resulting in several dry, sunny 
days. Temperatures will continue to warm through the week with 
highs mainly in the 50s and reaching near 60F by Monday and 
Tuesday as we get into a warm-air- advection regime. The next 
chance of precipitation does not appear to be until sometime 
next Wednesday or Thursday; thus, the unusually dry pattern 
continues for the month of March.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 06Z Thursday...VFR/mainly SKC under high pressure through
20Z under light south/southwesterly winds at 6 kts or less. 
After 20Z BKN/OVC VFR cigs in the 035-080 AGL range arrive west
to east over time as winds remain very light southerly, and 
lower to MVFR late (after 03Z) at KMSS/KSLK where some spotty 
light shra/shrasn will be possible.

Outlook...

Thursday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Slight chance RA.
Thursday Night: VFR. Slight chance SN.
Friday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...JMG
NEAR TERM...JMG
SHORT TERM...Hammond
LONG TERM...Hammond
AVIATION...JMG

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February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
February 2009, Week 3
February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
January 2009, Week 5
January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
December 2008, Week 5
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December 2008, Week 3
December 2008, Week 2
December 2008, Week 1
November 2008, Week 5
November 2008, Week 4
November 2008, Week 3
November 2008, Week 2
November 2008, Week 1
October 2008, Week 5
October 2008, Week 4
October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
January 2008, Week 4
January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
December 2007, Week 5
December 2007, Week 4
December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
December 2007, Week 1
November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
December 2006, Week 5
December 2006, Week 4
December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
November 2006, Week 5
November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
June 2006, Week 5
June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
April 2006, Week 5
April 2006, Week 4
April 2006, Week 3
April 2006, Week 2
April 2006, Week 1
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March 2006, Week 4
March 2006, Week 3
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March 2006, Week 1
February 2006, Week 4
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February 2006, Week 2
February 2006, Week 1
January 2006, Week 5
January 2006, Week 4
January 2006, Week 3
January 2006, Week 2
January 2006, Week 1
December 2005, Week 5
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December 2005, Week 3
December 2005, Week 2
December 2005, Week 1
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November 2005, Week 4
November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
October 2005, Week 5
October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
September 2005, Week 5
September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
August 2005, Week 5
August 2005, Week 4
August 2005, Week 3
August 2005, Week 2
August 2005, Week 1
July 2005, Week 5
July 2005, Week 4
July 2005, Week 3
July 2005, Week 2
July 2005, Week 1
June 2005, Week 5
June 2005, Week 4
June 2005, Week 3
June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
May 2005, Week 5
May 2005, Week 4
May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
April 2005, Week 5
April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
February 2005, Week 4
February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
January 2005, Week 5
January 2005, Week 4
January 2005, Week 3
January 2005, Week 2
January 2005, Week 1
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November 2004, Week 4
November 2004, Week 3
November 2004, Week 2
November 2004, Week 1
October 2004, Week 5
October 2004, Week 4
October 2004, Week 3
October 2004, Week 2
October 2004, Week 1
September 2004, Week 5
September 2004, Week 4
September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
August 2004, Week 2
August 2004, Week 1
July 2004, Week 5
July 2004, Week 4
July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
June 2004, Week 5
June 2004, Week 4
June 2004, Week 3
June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
May 2004, Week 5
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May 2004, Week 3
May 2004, Week 2
May 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
April 2004, Week 2
April 2004, Week 1
March 2004, Week 5
March 2004, Week 4
March 2004, Week 3
March 2004, Week 2
March 2004, Week 1
February 2004, Week 5
February 2004, Week 4
February 2004, Week 3
February 2004, Week 2
February 2004, Week 1
January 2004, Week 5
January 2004, Week 4
January 2004, Week 3
January 2004, Week 2
January 2004, Week 1
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December 2003, Week 3
December 2003, Week 2
December 2003, Week 1
November 2003, Week 5
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November 2003, Week 3
November 2003, Week 2
November 2003, Week 1
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October 2003, Week 3
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May 2003, Week 1
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April 2003, Week 2
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March 2003, Week 3
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February 2003, Week 3
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January 2003, Week 3
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December 2002, Week 4
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December 2002, Week 2
December 2002, Week 1
November 2002, Week 5
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November 2002, Week 3
November 2002, Week 2
November 2002, Week 1
October 2002, Week 5
October 2002, Week 4
October 2002, Week 3
October 2002, Week 2
October 2002, Week 1
September 2002, Week 5
September 2002, Week 4
September 2002, Week 3
September 2002, Week 2
September 2002, Week 1
August 2002, Week 5
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August 2002, Week 3
August 2002, Week 2
August 2002, Week 1
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July 2002, Week 3
July 2002, Week 2
July 2002, Week 1
June 2002, Week 5
June 2002, Week 4
June 2002, Week 3
June 2002, Week 2
June 2002, Week 1
May 2002, Week 5
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May 2002, Week 2
May 2002, Week 1
April 2002, Week 5
April 2002, Week 4
April 2002, Week 3
April 2002, Week 2
April 2002, Week 1
March 2002, Week 5
March 2002, Week 4
March 2002, Week 3
March 2002, Week 2
March 2002, Week 1
February 2002, Week 4
February 2002, Week 3
February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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December 2001, Week 4
December 2001, Week 3
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December 2001, Week 1
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July 2001, Week 2
July 2001, Week 1
June 2001, Week 5
June 2001, Week 4
June 2001, Week 3
June 2001, Week 2
June 2001, Week 1
May 2001, Week 5
May 2001, Week 4
May 2001, Week 3
May 2001, Week 2
May 2001, Week 1
April 2001, Week 5
April 2001, Week 4
April 2001, Week 3
April 2001, Week 2
April 2001, Week 1
March 2001, Week 5
March 2001, Week 4
March 2001, Week 3
March 2001, Week 2
March 2001, Week 1
February 2001, Week 4
February 2001, Week 3
February 2001, Week 2
February 2001, Week 1
January 2001, Week 5
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May 2000, Week 3
May 2000, Week 2
May 2000, Week 1
April 2000, Week 5
April 2000, Week 4
April 2000, Week 3
April 2000, Week 2
April 2000, Week 1
March 2000, Week 5
March 2000, Week 4
March 2000, Week 3
March 2000, Week 2
March 2000, Week 1
February 2000, Week 5
February 2000, Week 4
February 2000, Week 3
February 2000, Week 2
February 2000, Week 1
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December 1999, Week 5
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December 1998, Week 5
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