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SKIVT-L  March 2021, Week 4

SKIVT-L March 2021, Week 4

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Sat, 27 Mar 2021 06:50:03 -0400

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (229 lines)

Expires:202103272000;;615576
FPUS51 KBTV 271029
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
626 AM EDT Sat Mar 27 2021


VTZ018-272000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
626 AM EDT Sat Mar 27 2021

.TODAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s. North winds 15 to
20 mph with gusts up to 35 mph, becoming northwest around 10 mph
this afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain after midnight.
Lows in the upper 30s. South winds around 10 mph, becoming
southeast 15 to 20 mph after midnight. Chance of rain 20 percent.
.SUNDAY...Rain likely or a chance of snow in the morning, then
rain in the afternoon. Very windy with highs in the mid 40s.
South winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 50 mph. Chance of
precipitation 90 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Rain or a chance of snow showers. Little or no
snow accumulation. Very windy with lows in the upper 20s.
Southwest winds 25 to 35 mph with gusts up to 45 mph. Chance of
precipitation 90 percent. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of snow showers.
Little or no snow accumulation. Very windy with highs in the
upper 30s. Northwest winds 30 to 40 mph with gusts up to 55 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Clear, breezy with lows in the mid 20s. 
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy and breezy. Lows in the upper 30s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Breezy with highs in the mid 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain
showers. Lows in the upper 20s. 
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow or rain showers.
Breezy with highs in the lower 30s. Chance of precipitation
50 percent. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of snow
showers. Windy with lows 15 to 20. 
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny and windy. Highs in the upper 20s. 

$$


Expires:202103271100;;615616
ASUS41 KBTV 271031
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT MAR 27 2021

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-271100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    39  29  67 NW9       30.06R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    34  32  92 NW13      30.04R WCI  25          
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    36  33  89 N5        30.04R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     37  32  82 MISG      30.00R                  
LYNDONVILLE*     N/A    N/A N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    34  32  94 CALM      30.05R                  
RUTLAND*       MOCLDY    38  31  76 N8        30.04R                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    41  28  60 W8        30.02R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    36  33  87 W3        30.06R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    34  32  93 NW9       30.02R WCI  26          
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    41  32  70 W9        30.05R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     32 N/A N/A W9          N/A  WCI  24          
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     34 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     32 N/A N/A SW5         N/A  WCI  27          
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     27 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     39  32  75 NW12        N/A  WCI  32          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     37  32  81 N6          N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;611023
FXUS61 KBTV 270840
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
440 AM EDT Sat Mar 27 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry weather is expected for today, but another round of rain and
breezy winds are expected for Sunday as another frontal system 
moves through the region. Drier weather follows on Monday with 
near to above normal temperatures. The next weather system will
approach the region Wednesday night into Thursday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 435 AM EDT Saturday...Surface high pressure will take the reins
today with an upper ridge overhead. Based on forecast soundings, a
strong inversion around 5000 feet above ground level should keep
moisture trapped across our region amidst fairly weak flow. With
that, most of our forecast area will struggle to warm much with
clouds and light northwest winds, except our southern valleys which
will see mountain wave clouds erode first. Towards late afternoon,
moisture should filter out with wider breaks in clouds allowing
temperatures to quickly warm under our late March solar angle
towards forecast highs in the upper 40s to near 50.

For tonight, increasing clouds from the west and a transition to
southerly winds will keep overnight lows on the warm side, generally
above freezing. The exception will be the Northeast Kingdom, where
radiational cooling could quickly take temperatures into the mid to
upper 20s before south winds and clouds reach the region. South
winds and clouds will be a harbinger for the slug of moisture headed
our way. Some light rain showers will lift north across upstate New
York early in the morning, with a broader swath of precipitation
shifting in late morning into the afternoon as surface low
approaches the region under a favorable jet configuration. Fast flow
will cause some terrain shadowing across the broader valleys, but
dynamics are largely favorable enough that all should see
precipitation at some point. Fast flow could also make for breezy
winds, mainly across the Champlain Valley from channeled flow, and
immediate downslope regions of the northern Greens and Adirondacks.
With a stark inversion well below ridgetops and rainfall, it will be
difficult to mix winds to the surface. Additionally, there's
question as to whether the wind direction is favorable for gap
winds. Will continue to watch closely.

Overall, precipitation amounts of 0.25 to 0.75 inches is expected,
favoring southern sections of the Adirondacks and south-central
Vermont where terrain shadowing will be less pronounced. At this
stage, most rivers appear to remain below bankfull, but we will have
to keep an eye on hydrology again. Better instability remains south
of Vermont, which should prevent convection from coming too far
north, but we could see radar returns consistent with parallel
stratiform off any convection to our south (due to the fast
southerly flow aloft and favorable upper divergent pattern amidst
strengthening upper flow). The upper shortwave trough moves in
overnight.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 435 AM EDT Saturday...Low will continue to depart to our
northeast Sunday night into Monday, and this will bring a return to
quieter weather. Precipitation will wind down from west to east,
lingering the longest for the northwest facing slopes of the Dacks
and Greens. Rain will change to snow showers before coming to an end
by early Monday morning. Winds will also remain strong and gusty
through the overnight hours. Temperatures Sunday night will remain
mild with clouds and precipitation ending, lows will range through
the 20s to lower 30s. Temperatures on Monday will be just slightly
cooler than normal with cold air advection behind departing frontal
system, temperatures will range from the mid 30s to lower 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 435 AM EDT Saturday...Monday night and Tuesday will remain dry
as ridge of surface high pressure traverses the area. Winds will
pick up out of the south on Tuesday ahead of next approaching
system. The next chance for precipitation in the north country will
be Wednesday into Wednesday night with another front crossing our
area. Behind that we will have yet another high pressure ridge.
Temperatures will trend below normal towards the end of the week as
a very cold air mass moves into the region behind departing system.
Large ridge of surface high pressure dominates the weather at the
end of the week with Thursday night and Friday looking potentially
very cold with strong northwesterly flow as well.

&&

.AVIATION /09Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 06Z Sunday...Mostly VFR to MVFR as ceilings are
currently around 1500-3500ft agl. Localized snow showers taking
placing, impacting just KSLK, producing IFR visibilities, which
should end around 08Z. After 10Z, anticipate ceilings to
gradually lift. TAF terminals should be VFR by 15Z. Northwest
winds currently around 10 knots with gusts up to 20 knots will
gradually diminish to near 5 knots. Then after 21Z, winds will
become variable. Then becoming light to terrain driven after
00Z. Arrival of the next round of precipitation should take 
place after 06Z Sunday.

Outlook...

Sunday: Mainly VFR, with areas MVFR possible. Definite RA.
Sunday Night: Mainly MVFR, with areas VFR possible. Likely RA,
Chance SHRA, Chance SHSN.
Monday: VFR. Windy with gusts to 30 kt. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Haynes
NEAR TERM...Haynes
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Haynes

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July 2009, Week 5
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June 2009, Week 5
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June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
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May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
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April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
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March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
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June 2008, Week 5
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April 2008, Week 5
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March 2008, Week 1
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February 2008, Week 1
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January 2008, Week 3
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January 2008, Week 1
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October 2007, Week 5
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October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
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September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
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