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May 2021, Week 2

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Fri, 14 May 2021 06:50:02 -0400
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Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
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Expires:202105142000;;094233
FPUS51 KBTV 141018
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
614 AM EDT Fri May 14 2021


VTZ018-142000-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
614 AM EDT Fri May 14 2021

.TODAY...Sunny this morning, then partly sunny with isolated
showers this afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s. Northwest winds
10 to 15 mph. Chance of rain 20 percent. 
.TONIGHT...Partly cloudy until midnight, then clearing. Lows in
the lower 40s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. 
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. Light and
variable winds, becoming west around 10 mph in the afternoon. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southwest
winds around 10 mph. 
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. Chance of rain
30 percent. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. 
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. Chance of rain 40 percent. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers.
Highs in the upper 60s. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s. 

$$


Expires:202105141100;;094747
ASUS41 KBTV 141031
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI MAY 14 2021

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-141100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    44  38  79 CALM      30.17R                  
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     39  33  79 CALM      30.20R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLEAR     35  34  96 CALM      30.18R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     37  34  89 MISG      30.16                   
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      40  35  80 CALM      30.18R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      39  35  84 CALM      30.18S                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     38  33  82 SE6       30.20R                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     35  33  92 CALM      30.19R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      49  43  80 CALM      30.16S                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      40  38  92 CALM      30.17R                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     35  33  92 CALM      30.21R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     32 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     34 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
LAKE EDEN*       N/A     37 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     46 N/A N/A W23         N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     52  43  71 SE7         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     50  45  81 S10         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     50  43  76 SE7         N/A                   

$$


Expires:No;;088354
FXUS61 KBTV 140802
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
402 AM EDT Fri May 14 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Seasonably warm days with sunshine and scattered afternoon 
showers will persist Friday through Monday, with the chance for 
a rumble of thunder on Sunday and Monday. Generally quiet and 
pleasant weather is expected for the middle of next week as a 
ridge of high pressure establishes itself over the region.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 330 AM EDT Friday...A gorgeous spring day is expected as 
upper ridge builds eastwards. 925 hPa temperatures will be a 
couple degrees celsius warmer, so expect afternoon highs to be 
about 3-4 degrees F warmer today. This puts afternoon highs in 
the upper 60s to mid 70s. Mostly sunny skies will give way to 
fair weather cumulus in the afternoon. A few showers will be 
possible in the afternoon. However, abundant dry air remains in 
place, which will limit coverage and may prevent much 
precipitation from making it to the surface.

Overnight, temperatures will quickly cool with effective 
radiational cooling from the light winds, partly cloudy skies, 
and dry PBL conditions. Thus, lows are expected to dip into the 
upper 30s to lower 40s across the cold hollows, and generally in
the 40s for the rest of the region. Saturday will be a near 
carbon copy of Friday, except an upper trough will be 
approaching from the west and winds will be more west to 
southwesterly than northwesterly. Trends have been for less and 
less convection with each cycle, likely due to the abundant dry 
air across the region. Thus, an overall pleasant start to the 
weekend is expected, but a spot shower will be possible in the 
afternoon, especially near high terrain.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 400 AM EDT Friday...Saturday night will feature quiet 
weather once again, and temperatures will drop into the 40s 
areawide. Sunday looks to be our best chance for showers as 
better chances for convection develops with an upper level 
shortwave crossing our area. Forecast soundings show the best 
boundary layer instability we've seen in days developing in the 
afternoon helping to support the development of scattered 
showers and some isolated rumbles of thunder. Temps once again 
will be in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
As of 400 AM EDT Friday...Trends for the extended are for a 
drier and warmer period to take shape. Looks like we could have 
a chance for some afternoon showers on both Monday and Tuesday 
afternoons especially in Vermont, but really not a good strong 
feature to hang your hat on. Drier weather will then be expected
from Wednesday onward as a large surface and upper level ridge 
will dominate the weather pattern. Temperatures will be in the 
upper 60s to lower 70s with lows dropping into the 40s each 
night. 

&&

.AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Through 06Z Saturday...VFR conditions are expected over the 
next 24 hours. Variable to terrain driven flow is expected 
tonight, then becoming northwesterly at 5 to 10 knots after 14Z.
A few gusts around 15 knots possible from 17Z to 22Z. Isolated 
showers will develop around 17Z to 22Z as well with cloud based 
around 8000ft agl. Do not anticipate impact to TAF terminals. 
Winds subside after 22Z, becoming variable and terrain driven 
once more with any showers dissipating quickly after sunset.


Outlook...

Saturday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Sunday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA.
Monday: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Monday Night: VFR. Chance SHRA.
Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Haynes
NEAR TERM...Haynes
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Haynes

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