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October 2022, Week 5

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Subject:
From:
Wesley Wright <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sat, 29 Oct 2022 06:50:04 -0400
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
text/plain (178 lines)
Expires:202210291400;;265638
FPUS51 KBTV 290658
ZFPBTV

Zone Forecast Product for Vermont
National Weather Service Burlington VT
255 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022


VTZ018-291400-
Eastern Addison-
Including the cities of Bristol and Ripton
255 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022

.TODAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 50s. Light and variable winds,
becoming southwest around 10 mph this afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...Clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Light and variable winds. 
.SUNDAY...Sunny in the morning, then becoming partly sunny. Highs
around 60. Light and variable winds. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. South winds
around 10 mph. 
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. Southwest winds
around 10 mph. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 40s. 
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs around 60. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the upper 50s. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. 
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s.
Lows in the mid 40s. 

$$


Expires:202210291100;;275490
ASUS41 KBTV 291030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 29 2022

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.


VTZ001>019-291100-
_____VERMONT_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     32  28  85 CALM      30.48R                  
MONTPELIER     PTCLDY    27  22  81 CALM      30.51S                  
MORRISVILLE    CLEAR     24  20  84 CALM      30.50R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     27  25  92 MISG      30.50S                  
LYNDONVILLE*     N/A     27  26  98 CALM      30.50S                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      29  29 100 CALM      30.47F                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     31  28  89 SE9       30.49S WCI  23          
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    27  25  92 CALM      30.51F                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      30  29  96 CALM      30.48R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      29  28  92 SW6       30.49R WCI  23          
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     28  22  78 CALM      30.48S                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     21 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     25 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     43 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   

_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____

  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS

$$


Expires:No;;268814
FXUS61 KBTV 290757
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
357 AM EDT Sat Oct 29 2022

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure continues across the North Country this weekend
with mild days, cool nights, and plenty of sunshine.
Temperatures this afternoon warm into the mid 50s to near 60
degrees, but cool back into the 20s and 30s tonight. Slightly
warmer temperatures occur on Sunday, before clouds and a few
light showers are possible Monday night into Tuesday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 337 AM EDT Saturday...1034mb sfc high pres is anchored
acrs the fa today with plenty of sunshine and light south winds
anticipated. A cool start to the day with crnt temps in the 20s
to lower 30s, but expect readings to warm quickly under sunny 
skies. Highs generally mid 50s to lower 60s by this aftn. Have 
mention some early morning patchy fog in the CT River Valley as 
obs at VSF has indicated vis btwn 1/2sm and 3sm this morning. 
Tonight temps continue to be the fcst challenge, as sharpening 
thermal inversion develops with resulting in upside down temp 
profiles. Expect warmest values acrs the midslopes and summits 
with coldest temps in the deeper/protected values. Lows mainly 
in the mid 20s to mid/upper 30s. Sunday, weak llvl waa develops 
as slightly stronger southerly gradient occurs. Progged 925mb 
temps warm btwn 10-12C, supporting highs well into the 60s most 
locations with mostly sunny skies.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
As of 356 AM EDT Saturday...Southwest return flow will bring above
normal temperatures to the North Country for Monday. At this time,
highs looks to be in the low 60s. We will also see a chance for rain
showers late Monday evening as shortwave energy passes through the
flow aloft. However, rain will be slow to start given the dry
airmass to overcome at the onset. Additionally, the lack of
convergence means that showers will be scattered in nature.
Therefore, have 25-35% PoPs for Monday night into Tuesday. Overnight
lows will be in the 40s.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 356 AM EDT Saturday...A slight chance for rain showers lingers
through Tuesday as a shortwave passes overhead. Otherwise, we will
continue to see above normal temperatures with highs in the low to
mid 60s. Dry weather is expected for Wednesday and Thursday as
upper-level ridging crests overhead. Highs will remain in the 60s
with overnight lows in the upper 30s to 40s. The next chance for any
meaningful precipitation looks to occur next weekend with a frontal
passage.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Through 00Z Sunday...Surface high pres wl result in VFR
conditions and winds less than 6 knots thru the next 24 hours. A
brief period of shallow ground fog is possible at MSS/BTV and
SLK toward sunrise this morning, but confidence and probability
is too low to mention in taf fcst attm. 

Outlook...

Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Monday Night: VFR. Scattered SHRA.
Tuesday: Mainly MVFR, with local VFR possible. Slight chance
SHRA.
Tuesday Night: Mainly MVFR, with local IFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Taber
NEAR TERM...Taber
SHORT TERM...Hammond
LONG TERM...Hammond
AVIATION...Taber

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