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COMMUNET Home

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COMMUNET  April 1997, Week 3

COMMUNET April 1997, Week 3

Subject:

re: Batra's answers to questions

From:

[log in to unmask] (Curtiss Priest)

Date:

Wed, 16 Apr 1997 11:20:51 PST

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (157 lines)

In response to a recent posting a number of people
asked specific questions about Batra's proposed plan
to improve the economy.

Some of you may wonder why I "digress" into this topic so
much when my main passion is telecommunications, communities,
and networks.  The answer is simply this: I genuinely fear
that we are about to make a catastrophic error with our economy,
and that error will hamper our efforts to achieve the many
wonderful things that are technologically and communally possible!

P.S. if your PBS station does not carry the new WGBH (Boston PBS)
program with Robert Reich called the "Tall and Short of It" -- 
contact your local PBS station to have them do so.  This is a rare
forum where Prof. Reich (out from being "locked in the Cabinet") is
addressing the real issues of today.  Prof. Reich has been joined
by the most astute former Sen. Alan K.Simpson and the last airing
included a discussion of the gutting of public welfare with comments
by the former head of the HHS welfare program.

The people asking questions included:
	
1.                   --------------
                     BARRY D. BOWEN
                     --------------
Email: [log in to unmask]                The Bowen Group Inc.
Fax:   360-380-1791                   6168 Evergreen Way
Voice: 360-380-1790                   Ferndale, WA 98248-9686
  Analyst, writer, consultant -- marketing communications.


2.  Jock Gill
http://www.nas.com/~xeno  -- published articles and other notes
http://www.nas.com/civic-access -- public service web project
Penfield Gill, Inc.
Boston,  MA
[log in to unmask]
http://www.penfield-gill.com/gill
Mr. Gill was a former adviser to the White House

3.  Jennifer C. Martin
Department of Economics
Enterprise Hall 338/Mail Stop 3G4
George Mason University
Fairfax, VA tel. (703) 993-1138
fax  (703) 993-1133
"Maueschen ;-)" <[log in to unmask]>

===========================================================================

Here are Dr. Batra's replies:

Question #1:  What are futures transactions in the foreign exchange
market?
        
Answer:   The futures market for foreign exchange works in the same way
as 
the stock market.  People buy foreign currencies at low prices called 
exchange rates in the hope of selling them at  high prices in future.  
Since the exchange rates fluctuate widely, the futures market is the most

speculative in the world.  Only 1% of the trillions of dollars of foreign

currencies traded every year represents legitimate economic activity such

as profit repatriation from abroad, foreign trade and investment, etc.  
For this reason, the proposed 0.25% tax on foreign exchange futures is a 
tax only on speculation or gambling.
______________________________________________________
Question #2:   What will prevent U.S. corporations from moving their
futures trading offshore to avoid the tax?  

Answer. This technique would be cost prohibitive. The cost of such a move
will far exceed the tiny tax rate.  The moving costs include (i) the
commission paid to 
convert a foreign currency into dollars, (ii) opening or expanding
offices 
in foreign countries where land and office space are very expensive, and 
(iii) high payroll taxes in Europe and Japan where other futures markets 
are based.
_______________________________________________________
Question #3:  Which government agency would be responsible for collecting
this tax?

Answer. The IRS, of course.  All futures market transactions are recorded
by the 
firms involved.  Banks and brokerages conducting these trades would
deduct 
0.25% of a futures contract as the tax, and pass it on to the IRS.  The 
tax would be easy to collect and manage.
________________________________________________________
Question #4:  How will the Batra plan stimulate the growth of U.S. based,
high 
paying  job?

Answer:  The plan calls for raising $250 billion from the futures tax and

returning it all to the public by cutting the individual  payroll and
self
employment 
tax in half, while meeting the needs of Medicaid and Medicare.  The tax
on 
the rich speculators will not trim their consumption, but the huge tax
cut 
to the general public will sharply raise the demand for goods.  With 
increased demand, businesses will automatically expand their investment and

open new factories, thus increasing the demand for employees.  When
demand 
rises for anything, its price goes up.  Therefore, when labor demand 
increases, wages will rise.  
_______________________________________________________
Question #5:  How can growth rise when the Fed under Alan Greenspan
raises
interest rates to curb that growth?

Answer:  The Fed did the same thing even in the 1950s and the 1960s
without
choking growth.  When the poor and the middle-class are spared from heavy
taxation, as they were from 1950 to 1970, then consumer demand grows fast
with growing population and technology.  As a result, business
investment,
productivity and growth all expand strongly.  Interest rates then rise, as
do wages, without hurting growth.  So long as investment remains robust,
as
it does in a high consumption economy, inflation stays under control. 
Thus
in the 1950s and the 1060s, and for more than 100 years, growth was twice
and inflation was half of the levels realized in the 1990s.
______________________________________________________
Question #6:  What about the role of savings?

Answer:  With payroll taxes cut for 98% of the people, the after-tax
income
will rise for the vast majority of Americans.  They will then be able to
save more.  Savings of the speculators will fall, but those savings don't
go into business investment, whereas savings from the general public go
mostly into capital formation that raises wages, productivity and growth.

It may be noted, however, that in a mature economy like that of the
United
States high consumption is more 
important than high savings.  Japan, for instance, has high savings but 
low consumption, and has suffered a recession ever since 1990.




	   W. Curtiss Priest, Director, CITS
      Center for Information, Technology & Society
         466 Pleasant St., Melrose, MA  02176
       Voice: 617-662-4044  [log in to unmask]
 Fax: 617-662-6882 WWW: http://www.eff.org/pub/Groups/CITS



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