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January 1999, Week 4

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Subject:
From:
Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Fri, 22 Jan 1999 06:50:03 -0500
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999
FPUS51 KBTV 220819
ZFPVT

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
319 AM EST FRI JAN 22 1999

VTZ001-002-005-009-222000-
GRAND ISLE-FRANKLIN-CHITTENDEN-ADDISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST ALBANS...BURLINGTON...SOUTH BURLINGTON...
WINOOSKI...VERGENNES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
319 AM EST FRI JAN 22 1999

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SLEET OR SNOW LATE. HIGH IN THE
LOWER AND MIDDLE 30S. NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...BREEZY WITH PERIODS OF RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN. LOW IN THE
LOWER 30S. SOUTHEAST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80
PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND MILDER WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID AND UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-222000-
ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...BARRE...MONTPELIER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
319 AM EST FRI JAN 22 1999

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SLEET OF LIGHT SNOW LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE LOW AND MID 30S. NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. SOUTHEAST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
LOW IN THE UPPER 20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND A LITTLE MILDER WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS. POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE EARLY. HIGH IN THE
LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.

$$

VTZ013-014-222000-
BENNINGTON-WINDHAM-
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
319 AM EST FRI JAN 22 1999

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH IN
UPPER 30S. LIGHT EAST WIND. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...RAIN AND FREEZING RAIN LIKELY. LOW NEAR 30. LIGHT EAST
WIND. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND A LITTLE MILDER WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT
RAIN SHOWERS. HIGH 40 TO 45. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.

$$

VTZ011-012-222000-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...RUTLAND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
319 AM EST FRI JAN 22 1999

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE UPPER
30S. LIGHT EAST WIND THIS MORNING INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH THIS
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...RAIN LIKELY THIS EVENING. RAIN TAPERING TO SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. POCKETS OF FREEZING RAIN POSSIBLE. LOW 30 TO 35. EAST WIND
5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND MILDER WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SHOWERS.
HIGH IN THE 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.

$$





                          National Weather Service

     _________________________________________________________________

FXUS61 KBTV 220631
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
130 AM EST FRI JAN 22 1999

PCPN TIMING HAS BACKED OFF SINCE LAST NGTS RUN.  ETA/NGM/AVN ALL
SHWG SOME OVRRNG PCPN LTR TDY/TNT...WITH ETA HVG THE GRTST CVRG.  A
COMPOSITE OF THE THREE MDLS SHWS THE BEST CHC OF OVRRNG THIS AFTN
ACRS NRN NY THEN XTNDG INTO NRN VT THIS EVE.  OVRNGT AND DURING THE
DAY SAT THERE MAY BE SOME SCT PCPN ARND WITH THE WRM FNT N OF FA BUT
IT LOOKS LIKE ANY HVY PCPN WL HOLD OFF UNTIL SAT NGT/SUN.  WITH VRY
MILD TEMPS AND PSBL HVY RAIN LTR THIS WEEKEND WL PRBLY NEED AN FFA
ON SAT.  SUN LOOKS LIKE A BUSY DAY IN THE OFFICE.

PTYPE MAY START AS SNW BUT SHUD QUICKLY CHG TO PL AS ETA SNDGS INDCT
WRM LYR BTWN 2-4K FT THIS AFTN INTO THIS EVE.  PL WL CHG TO FZRA
JUST BFR SHUTTING DOWN ARND MIDNGT.  OVRNGT THERE MAY BE SOME SCT
FZRA ARND BUT THIS MAY CHG TO RA BY MRNG.  IN THE WRM SCTR SAT WITH
SCT SHWRS.

HIGH BUILDING N OF FA TDY WL HELP KEEP THE LLVL CLD AIR IN PLACE SO
TEMPS PRBLY WONT GET MUCH IF ANY ABV FRZG.  TEMPS TNT WL HOLD STEADY
THEN RISE TWD MRNG...THEN THEY WL KEEP RISING INTO SUN.  AVN GOING
WITH LWR 50S SAT AND HOLDING THEM THRU SUN.  WUD CUT BACK A BIT ON
FWC TDY.  FWC TEMPS TMRW LOOK A BIT ON THE LOW SIDE.

MCGILL



NNNN

     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 220104
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
745 PM EST THU JAN 21 1999

SAT PIXS/SFC OBS SHW LWR CLDS ASSOC WITH WEAK S/W AND STNRY FNT MVG
E AND EXITING FA. ELSEWHERE...SCT-BKN MID/HI DECK ACRS ONTARIO AND
SECTIONS OF NRN NY FA WITH BUILDING SFC HIGH ACRS NRN ONTARIO/QUEBEC
DRAWING COLDER AIR AT LLVLS INTO ST LWRNC VLY.

SKIES WL BE VRBL TNGT WITH MIN TMPS STGLY DEPENDENT ON AMT OF
SKC/SCT MID-HI CLDS. AT 00Z...TMPS ARE ALREADY BLO FWC CURVE AND
FEEL WE NEED TO LWR MINS.

ST LWRNC VLY LOOKS GOOD BUT ELSEWHERE TMPS CUD BE LWRD...
ADRNDKS...ARD 20
NC-NE VT...ARD 20
CHMPL VLY...20-25

SLW




NNNN

     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 211930
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
225 PM EST THU JAN 21 1999

COORD WITH ALY.

MODELS IN GENERAL AGREEMENT RE OVERALL WX SCENARIO WHICH WL BE
UNFOLDING THRU THIS FCST PD...BUT AS USUAL THEY DIFFER ON SOME
SPECIFICS.  THEY ARE IN AGREEMENT THAT PCPN AMTS NEXT 48 HRS WL BE
LITE...AND MAINLY FRZG OR FROZEN.  THEY DIFFER HOWEVER ON WHEN BEST
CHC FOR THIS PCPN IS.  MORE SGFNT PROBLEMS EXPECTED LATER IN WEEKEND
DUE SGFNT WARMUP ALG WITH THREAT OF RAIN RESULTING IN GREATLY INCRSD
FLOOD POTENTIAL.

SKIES CLDY ACRS FA ATTM...AND AS SHRTWV AND ASSOCD SFC TROF MOV THRU
RGN THRU EARLY TON...THERE MAY BE A FEW FLRYS.  HI PRES CNTRD OVR
JAMES BAY WL BLD AS IT SLIDES EWRD ACRS QUE TON/FRI...ALLOWING
COLDER AIR IN LLVLS TO SEEP SOUTH INTO FA.  MEANWHILE...AFT PASSAGE
OF ULVL SHRTWV TON...H5 RDG WL BLD OVR NORTHEAST...TENDING TO
SUPPRESS MUCH OF PCPN TO SOUTH THRU AT LEAST MIDDAY FRI.  A PERIOD
OF OVERRUNNING PCPN LIKELY LATE FRI/FRI NITE (MXD PL/ZR GRDLY
CHANGING TO -RA)...ALTHO AREA OF GREATEST LIFT WL BE WEST OF FA.
PCPN AMTS ACRS VT AND NRN NY RATHER LITE THRU FRI NITE...ARND .25
INCHES.  SEE NO REASON FOR HEADLINE WITH THIS PACKAGE.

DURING SAT...LOW TRACKS UP INTO CNTRL GRTLKS.  FLOW ACRS FA GRDLY
BCMS SOUTHERLY AT ALL LVLS...WHICH WL RESULT IN A WINDY...MILD...AND
MAINLY DRY DAY.  A PERIOD OF MDT/HVY RAIN EXPECTED LATER SAT
NITE/SUN AM IN ADVANCE OF CDFNT.  FLOOD POTENTIAL WL BE INCRG SAT
DUE SNOW/ICE MELT...AND WL BE GREATEST LATER SAT NITE/SUN WITH RAIN
AND CONTD SNOWMELT.

RJS



NNNN

     _________________________________________________________________


   This data is from the [1]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


999
ASUS51 KALB 221003
SWRVT

VERMONT STATE HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
500 AM EST FRI JAN 22 1999

CITY           SKY/WX   TEMP DEWPT RH  WIND    PRES    REMARKS

VTZ001>014-221100-

.... VERMONT ....

BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    24   19   81  N7      30.37S  WCI 15
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    29   24   81  CALM    30.35R
RUTLAND         N/A      30   27   88  N3      30.31R
ST JOHNSBURY    N/A      27   23   85  CALM    30.33R
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    27   23   85  CALM    30.35R
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    34   32   92  N3      30.28R

.......... KEY ..........
    WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX
    VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES
    HX  - HEAT INDEX
    FAIR- INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET, WITH NO
          SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY

$$



                        _LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                     11:00PM, Thursday January 21, 1999
                    STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Michael Abair_
       _** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**_


   _
   Thursday Night: If you have any plans for travel early on, it looks
   pretty good. Cloudy skies will prevail, but there is a slight chance
   of scattered freezing drizzle overnight. Low temperatures will be
   around 20 degrees throughout the Northeast Kingdom and winds will be
   northeast around 5 MPH.

   Friday : It might be all right driving to work or school, but be
   careful on the way home. The morning should generally be cloudy, but
   light freezing rain will be developing in the afternoon. High
   temperatures will be between 30 and 35, so any freezing rain may be
   mixed with rain. Winds will be northeast at 10 MPH.

   Friday Night: If you have to go out, be extremely careful! Light
   freezing rain mixed with sleet will continue. However, the highest
   elevations, such as Burke Mtn. or north of Sheffield may see freezing
   precipitation mixed with rain. Low temperatures will be around 30
   degrees and winds will shift southeast 5-10 MPH.

   Saturday : The morning should begin with continued light freezing rain
   in the morning. However, there should be a changeover to all rain
   later in the day as temperatures rise throughout the day to around 35
   degrees. Warmer air will be moving into the region as winds turn south
   at 15-25 MPH.

                             Extended Forecast

   Sunday : Rain, heavy at times. If you are lucky, you might be able to
   hear a rumble of thunder in January. Highs will be 45 to 50 and lows
   around 40.

   Monday : Skies turning partly sunny, but colder. High around 30 with a
   low of 25.

   Tuesday: Partly Cloudy. High around 20 with a low of 10 degrees.

                            Forecast Discussion


   We really just can't seem to get out of this pattern of storms. Just
   as last weekend featured an ice storm throughout the Northeast
   Kingdom, except for higher elevations, we are looking at the same
   possibility again this weekend. Temperatures are not as cold as they
   were last week, but all rain needs is a temperature of 32 to begin
   freezing on surfaces. The low pressure associated with the trecherous
   weather is expected to move northeast from Texas as make its way over
   western New York by the weekend. Temperatures are expected to be
   hovering around the freezing mark which is why there is a possibility
   that the freezing rain may mix with rain at times. However, the valley
   locations such as Lyndonville and St. Johnsbury should keep a good eye
   on the weather because those are the areas most prone to freezing
   precipitation throughout Friday and Saturday. By Sunday, the warm
   front is expected to pass north of the area causing temperatures to
   rise into the mid to upper 40's before the cold front associated with
   the same system passes by Sunday night causing temperatures to drop
   backi into the 30's Monday and 20's by Tuesday. Overall, even though
   the icing that can occur may not be as heavy last week, there is still
   a threat for it this weekend and if you plan on any traveling, check
   road conditions first.

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