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SKIVT-L  February 1999, Week 2

SKIVT-L February 1999, Week 2

Subject:

Daily Morning Vermont Weather

From:

Wesley's Ski Hut <[log in to unmask]>

Reply-To:

Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>

Date:

Wed, 10 Feb 1999 06:50:12 -0500

Content-Type:

text/plain

Parts/Attachments:

Parts/Attachments

text/plain (305 lines)

999
FPUS51 KBTV 100855
ZFPVT

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
355 AM EST WED FEB 10 1999

VTZ001-005-009-102000-
GRAND ISLE-CHITTENDEN-ADDISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...SOUTH BURLINGTON...WINOOSKI...
VERGENNES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
355 AM EST WED FEB 10 1999

.TODAY...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES
THIS MORNING. SOME SUNNY BREAKS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH 35 TO 40.
NORTHWEST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE TEENS. LIGHT WIND.
.THURSDAY...SOME MORNING SUNSHINE FOLLOWED BY INCREASING CLOUDINESS.
BECOMING BREEZY. HIGH AROUND 40.

$$

VTZ002>004-006>008-010-102000-
FRANKLIN-ORLEANS-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-CALEDONIA-WASHINGTON-ORANGE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ST ALBANS...NEWPORT...BARRE...MONTPELIER
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
355 AM EST WED FEB 10 1999

.TODAY...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF MORNING SNOW SHOWERS.
SOME SUNNY BREAKS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH 30 TO 35. NORTHWEST WIND 15
TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR AND CALM. LOW ZERO TO 10 ABOVE.
.THURSDAY...MORNING SUNSHINE THEN INCREASING AFTERNOON CLOUDINESS.
HIGH IN THE MID 30S.

$$

VTZ011>014-102000-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-BENNINGTON-WINDHAM-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...RUTLAND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
355 AM EST WED FEB 10 1999

.TODAY...WINDY. MOSTLY CLOUDS WITH A CHANCE OF MORNING RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS.  INCREASING SUNSHINE DURING THE AFTERNOON. HIGH 35 TO 40.
NORTHWEST WIND 15 TO 30 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR AND CALM. LOW 10 TO 15.
.THURSDAY...MORNING SUNSHINE THEN INCREASING AFTERNOON CLOUDINESS.
HIGH AROUND 40.

$$

RB/QUINLAN




                          National Weather Service

     _________________________________________________________________

FXUS61 KBTV 100815
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
315 AM EST WED FEB 10 1999

SKIES MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...AS UPR
SHRTWV MOVES SE.  THE BIGGEST PROBLEM THIS MORNING IS MAX TEMPS FOR
TODAY.  THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES FOR THE DAY (AFTER 12Z) WILL BE
THIS MORNING...WITH TEMPS SLOWLY FALLING BACK DURING THE DAY.  WOULD
SUGGEST GOING WITH A MAX OF UPPER 30S IN THE VLY AND MID 30S IN THE
MOUNTAINS FOR TODAY...BUT WITH TEMPS SLOWLY FALLING THRU THE DAY TO
THE LOWER 30S BY LATE IN THE DAY.  WOULD ALSO SUGGEST KEEPING A
MENTION OF A CHC OF SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES EARLY THIS MORNING IN
CHAMPLAIN VLY AND SRN VT ZONES THIS MORNING...AND A CHC OF SNOW
SHOWERS OVER THE ADIRONDACKS...GREEN MTS...AND ST LAWRENCE VLY EARLY
THIS MORNING. SKIES SHOULD BCM PARTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON...XCP
MOSTLY SUNNY THIS AFTN ACROSS CHAMPLAIN VLY AND SRN VT ZONES.

FOR TONIGHT...SKIES SHOULD BE MOSTLY CLEAR...BUT WITH HIGH CLDS ON
THE INCREASE LATE TONIGHT.  TEMPS SHOULD FALL TO THE TEENS ACROSS
THE CHAMPLAIN VLY...5 TO 15 IN ST LAWRENCE VLY...AND ZERO TO 10
ABOVE ACROSS REMAINDER OF ZONES...XCP MAY WANT TO GO WITH RANGE OF 5
BELOW TO 10 ABOVE OVR NE KINGDOM OF VT.

ON THU...SKIES SHOULD START OUT PARTLY SUNNY THRU HIGH CLDS...BUT
SHOULD THICKEN AND LOWER AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.  NGM MOS MAX TEMPS
LOOK TOO COLD...AND WOULD SUGGEST LEANING TOWARDS WARMER AVN FAN
TEMPS FOR HIGHS ON THU.  MODELS SHOW WAA ALOFT TAKING PLACE ACROSS
FCST AREA ON THU...AND WITH SFC WNDS ALSO TURNING INTO THE
SOUTH...THIS WOULD ALSO SUPPORT WARMER AVN FAN TEMPS.
INTERESTINGLY...NGM HAS MAX TEMP OF 35 FOR TODAY AT BTV UNDER COLD
AIR ADVECTION...YET IT ALSO HAS A MAX OF 35 FOR THU UNDER WARM AIR
ADVECTION.

WOULD ALSO SUGGEST MAYBE ADDING A THU NIGHT PERIOD TO EXTENDED
FCST...AS MOS POPS SUGGEST A CHC OF SOME RAIN SHOWERS LATE THU NIGHT
(POSSIBLY FREEZING RAIN OVR NE KINGDOM OF VT)...AND ALSO SHOWS TEMPS
RISING OVERNIGHT.

WGH


NNNN

     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 100216
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
915 PM EST TUE FEB 9 1999

PRECIPITATION BREAKING OUT ACROSS FORECAST AREA AT TIME. STREAMLINE
ANALYSIS INDICATES GOOD CONVERGENCE AHEAD OF BOUNDARY AND BEST
ACROSS VERMONT. TROUGH STILL APPEARS TO BE BACK ACROSS ONTARIO AND
CENTRAL NEW YORK...BUT SHOULD MOVE THROUGH AND CLEAR OVERNIGHT/BY
MORNING. WARM FRONT STRADDLES CANADIAN BORDER.

SHORT WAVE TO FOLLOW VERY LATE TONIGHT.

SHARP INVERSION AND LINGERING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE MAY KEEP FORECAST
AREA IN CLOUDS FOR A GOOD BIT OF DAY ON WEDNESDAY. EXCEPTION WOULD
BE ST LAWRENCE AND SOUTH VERMONT WHERE SUN TO BREAK OUT DURING THE
MORNING.

NOT MUCH TEMPERATURE CHANGE OVERNIGHT. STILL WARM ENOUGH FOR RAIN
SHOWERS IN VALLEYS...BUT AS COLDER AIR SEEPS IN...SHOULD CHANGE TO
SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. HIGHER TERRAIN SHOULD JUST HAVE SNOW. THERE
MAY BE AN INCH OR SO ACCUMULATION SCATTERED ABOUT HIGHER
TERRAIN...BUT WILL NOT MENTION WITH POPS OF 50 PERCENT OR LESS.

RAISED MOS VALUES SLIGHTLY FOR OVERNIGHT LOWS.

DIGIORGI



NNNN

     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 091759
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
100 PM EST TUE FEB 9 1999

LIGHT PRECIP STARTING TO BREAK OUT EAST OF LAKE ONTARIO...ALL
RAIN EXCEPT FOR ICE PELLETS AT MASSENA (28F).  EXPECT THIS TO
CONTINUE ALONG NORTHERN ZONES THROUGH MIDNIGHT...WITH VERY LITTLE
ACCUMULATION EXPECTED.  CHANCE POPS TONIGHT LOOK GOOD ACROSS ST.
LAWRENCE VALLEY...ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHERN VERMONT ZONES.  SLIGHT
CHANCE AT BEST IN SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL VERMONT.  12 UTC ETA/NGM
HOLD ONTO CLOUDS THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS...THEN BEGIN CLEARING
TREND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.  EXPECT MIN TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN
WARM TONIGHT...FROM MID 20S TO LOWER 30S ACROSS THE REGION.  SOME
COLD ADVECTION AT THE SURFACE WEDNESDAY FOR A LITTLE COOLER MAX
TEMPERATURES THAN TODAY'S...30S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA.  SURFACE
HIGH THEN BUILDS OVER NORTHEASTERN U.S. WHICH SHOULD ALLOW
RADIATIONAL COOLING AND TEMPERATURES IN NORTHEASTERN VERMONT AND
NORTHERN NEW YORK TO DROP TO ZERO TO 15 ABOVE...WITH TEENS IN THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND SOUTHERN VERMONT.  WITH RISING HEIGHTS AND
THICKNESSES ON THURSDAY IN ADVANCE OF DEVELOPING CENTRAL U.S.
SYSTEM...HARD TO SEE TEMPERATURES NOT REACHING 40 DEGREES IN
CHAMPLAIN AND ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY ZONES AND UPPER 30S IN MOUNTAIN
ZONES.  IN SPITE OF COLD MORNING THURSDAY...SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL
GRADIENT LOOKS STRONG ENOUGH TO BREAK MORNING INVERSIONS AND WARM
THE AIRMASS GREATER THAN NGM MOS GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES.

3 TO 5 DAY...MRF CONTINUES TO SLOW THE EASTWARD PROGRESS OF THE
SIGNIFICANT WEEKEND STORM IN SUCCESSIVE MODEL RUNS.  MRF TRENDING
TOWARD SLOWER ECMWF/UKMET SOLUTION.  UKMET APPEARS TO BE TOO WEAK
WITH THIS SYSTEM AS IT AMPLIFIES ALONG 90W...ECMWF SEEMS MORE
REASONABLE WITH A DEEPER CYCLONE AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT.   ALL
SCENARIOS SUGGEST A LARGE PLUME OF GULF OF MEXICO MOISTURE
STREAMING TOWARD NEW ENGLAND BY FRIDAY.  FOLLOWING THE ECMWF
TREND...WARM FRONT PASSES ACROSS REGION THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY WITH PRIMARY SURFACE LOW TRACKING TO WEST OF FORECAST
AREA...IMPLYING RAIN.  SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT ALONG CAROLINA COAST
ON SATURDAY WITH COLDER AIR MOVING INTO FORECAST AREA LATER
SATURDAY.  COASTAL SURFACE LOW MOVES TO DELMARVA SUNDAY WITH COLD
AIR IN PLACE OVER FORECAST AREA.  MY CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST
DIMINISHES BY SUNDAY BUT WOULD SUGGEST WORDING FOR EXTENDED
FORECAST SOMETHING LIKE THIS:

.FRIDAY...RAIN LIKELY.  LOW 30 TO 35.  HIGH 40 TO 45.
.SATURDAY...RAIN LIKELY...CHANGING TO SNOW LATE IN THE DAY.  LOW
AROUND 30.  HIGH IN THE MID 30S.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW.  LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH 30 TO 35.

ST. JEAN



NNNN

     _________________________________________________________________


   This data is from the [1]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


999
ASUS51 KALB 101103
SWRVT

VERMONT STATE HOURLY WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST WED FEB 10 1999

CITY           SKY/WX   TEMP DEWPT RH  WIND    PRES    REMARKS

VTZ001>014-101200-

.... VERMONT ....

BURLINGTON     FLURRIES  37   31   79  W12     29.84R
MONTPELIER     LGT SNOW  33   30   89  NW9     29.81R  WCI 21
RUTLAND         N/A      37   25   61  W16G21  29.82R
ST JOHNSBURY    N/A      34   30   85  VRB5    29.75R  WCI 31
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    38   25   59  W9G21   29.83R
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW  34   30   85  W13G20  29.80R  WCI 17
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    36   25   64  W8      29.88R

.......... KEY ..........
    WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX
    VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES
    HX  - HEAT INDEX
    FAIR- INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET, WITH NO
          SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY

$$



                        _LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                      11:00PM, Tuesday February 9,1999
                    STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Adam Stampfl_
       _** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**_


   _
   Overnight: Skies will be mostly cloudy with a chance of a stray snow
   flurry during the overnight period. Temperatures will bottom out in
   the low 20's. Winds will be light.

   Wednesday: The afternoon looks like a good time to spend outdoors with
   mostly sunny skies, but the morning will feature clouds. Temperatures
   will recover to the upper 30's with light winds from the west.

   Wednesday Night: As mostly clear skies dominate the region, we will be
   experiencing a cold night. Temperatures will drop to around 10
   degrees.

   Thursday: A turn around from yesterday with a decrease in sunshine and
   an increase in clouds during the afternoon. Highs will jump into the
   lower 40's, but higher elevations such as danville will see
   temperatures in the upper 30's.

                             Extended Forecast

   Friday: A good day to stay indoors or be in school. We will have rain
   throughout the day with warmer than normal temperatures. Highs will
   jump into the upper 40's and lows in the 30's.

   Saturday: A day to stay tuned to the weather forecast. Rain will be
   the feature in the morning hours, but a change to snow is not out of
   the question. Highs dropping to the low 30's during the afternoon.

   Sunday: Snow will continue during the morning hours with leftover snow
   showers in the afternoon. Highs will be in the low 30's and lows
   around 20.

                            Forecast Discussion


   Take advantage of the next couple of days because we have a busy
   weekend in the weather picture. After the overnight period, skies will
   clear by Wednesday afternoon as a high pressure center moves into our
   area. This will allow for radiational cooling to occur over Wednesday
   night and drop temperatures into the lower teens. As the next weather
   maker comes into the region, it will push the fair weather center out
   and allow for the unsettled weather to move in. This will occur on
   Friday as a low pressure center passes to our west giving us a rainy
   day. On Saturday a new low will move up the coast and give us a period
   of snow later on Saturday and into Sunday. We will watch this
   carefully and you will want to stay tuned to future forecasts as the
   weekend approaches.

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August 2010, Week 1
July 2010, Week 5
July 2010, Week 4
July 2010, Week 3
July 2010, Week 2
July 2010, Week 1
June 2010, Week 5
June 2010, Week 4
June 2010, Week 3
June 2010, Week 2
June 2010, Week 1
May 2010, Week 5
May 2010, Week 4
May 2010, Week 3
May 2010, Week 2
May 2010, Week 1
April 2010, Week 5
April 2010, Week 4
April 2010, Week 3
April 2010, Week 2
April 2010, Week 1
March 2010, Week 5
March 2010, Week 4
March 2010, Week 3
March 2010, Week 2
March 2010, Week 1
February 2010, Week 4
February 2010, Week 3
February 2010, Week 2
February 2010, Week 1
January 2010, Week 5
January 2010, Week 4
January 2010, Week 3
January 2010, Week 2
January 2010, Week 1
December 2009, Week 5
December 2009, Week 4
December 2009, Week 3
December 2009, Week 2
December 2009, Week 1
November 2009, Week 5
November 2009, Week 4
November 2009, Week 3
November 2009, Week 2
November 2009, Week 1
October 2009, Week 5
October 2009, Week 4
October 2009, Week 3
October 2009, Week 2
October 2009, Week 1
September 2009, Week 5
September 2009, Week 4
September 2009, Week 3
September 2009, Week 2
September 2009, Week 1
August 2009, Week 5
August 2009, Week 4
August 2009, Week 3
August 2009, Week 2
August 2009, Week 1
July 2009, Week 5
July 2009, Week 4
July 2009, Week 3
July 2009, Week 2
July 2009, Week 1
June 2009, Week 5
June 2009, Week 4
June 2009, Week 3
June 2009, Week 2
June 2009, Week 1
May 2009, Week 5
May 2009, Week 4
May 2009, Week 3
May 2009, Week 2
May 2009, Week 1
April 2009, Week 5
April 2009, Week 4
April 2009, Week 3
April 2009, Week 2
April 2009, Week 1
March 2009, Week 5
March 2009, Week 4
March 2009, Week 3
March 2009, Week 2
March 2009, Week 1
February 2009, Week 4
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February 2009, Week 2
February 2009, Week 1
January 2009, Week 5
January 2009, Week 4
January 2009, Week 3
January 2009, Week 2
January 2009, Week 1
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December 2008, Week 3
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October 2008, Week 3
October 2008, Week 2
October 2008, Week 1
September 2008, Week 5
September 2008, Week 4
September 2008, Week 3
September 2008, Week 2
September 2008, Week 1
August 2008, Week 5
August 2008, Week 4
August 2008, Week 3
August 2008, Week 2
August 2008, Week 1
July 2008, Week 5
July 2008, Week 4
July 2008, Week 3
July 2008, Week 2
July 2008, Week 1
June 2008, Week 5
June 2008, Week 4
June 2008, Week 3
June 2008, Week 2
June 2008, Week 1
May 2008, Week 5
May 2008, Week 4
May 2008, Week 3
May 2008, Week 2
May 2008, Week 1
April 2008, Week 5
April 2008, Week 4
April 2008, Week 3
April 2008, Week 2
April 2008, Week 1
March 2008, Week 5
March 2008, Week 4
March 2008, Week 3
March 2008, Week 2
March 2008, Week 1
February 2008, Week 5
February 2008, Week 4
February 2008, Week 3
February 2008, Week 2
February 2008, Week 1
January 2008, Week 5
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January 2008, Week 3
January 2008, Week 2
January 2008, Week 1
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December 2007, Week 3
December 2007, Week 2
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November 2007, Week 5
November 2007, Week 4
November 2007, Week 3
November 2007, Week 2
November 2007, Week 1
October 2007, Week 5
October 2007, Week 4
October 2007, Week 3
October 2007, Week 2
October 2007, Week 1
September 2007, Week 5
September 2007, Week 4
September 2007, Week 3
September 2007, Week 2
September 2007, Week 1
August 2007, Week 5
August 2007, Week 4
August 2007, Week 3
August 2007, Week 2
August 2007, Week 1
July 2007, Week 5
July 2007, Week 4
July 2007, Week 3
July 2007, Week 2
July 2007, Week 1
June 2007, Week 5
June 2007, Week 4
June 2007, Week 3
June 2007, Week 2
June 2007, Week 1
May 2007, Week 5
May 2007, Week 4
May 2007, Week 3
May 2007, Week 2
May 2007, Week 1
April 2007, Week 5
April 2007, Week 4
April 2007, Week 3
April 2007, Week 2
April 2007, Week 1
March 2007, Week 5
March 2007, Week 4
March 2007, Week 3
March 2007, Week 2
March 2007, Week 1
February 2007, Week 4
February 2007, Week 3
February 2007, Week 2
February 2007, Week 1
January 2007, Week 5
January 2007, Week 4
January 2007, Week 3
January 2007, Week 2
January 2007, Week 1
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December 2006, Week 3
December 2006, Week 2
December 2006, Week 1
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November 2006, Week 4
November 2006, Week 3
November 2006, Week 2
November 2006, Week 1
October 2006, Week 5
October 2006, Week 4
October 2006, Week 3
October 2006, Week 2
October 2006, Week 1
September 2006, Week 5
September 2006, Week 4
September 2006, Week 3
September 2006, Week 2
September 2006, Week 1
August 2006, Week 5
August 2006, Week 4
August 2006, Week 3
August 2006, Week 2
August 2006, Week 1
July 2006, Week 5
July 2006, Week 4
July 2006, Week 3
July 2006, Week 2
July 2006, Week 1
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June 2006, Week 4
June 2006, Week 3
June 2006, Week 2
June 2006, Week 1
May 2006, Week 5
May 2006, Week 4
May 2006, Week 3
May 2006, Week 2
May 2006, Week 1
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February 2006, Week 2
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January 2006, Week 1
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December 2005, Week 2
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November 2005, Week 3
November 2005, Week 2
November 2005, Week 1
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October 2005, Week 4
October 2005, Week 3
October 2005, Week 2
October 2005, Week 1
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September 2005, Week 4
September 2005, Week 3
September 2005, Week 2
September 2005, Week 1
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August 2005, Week 4
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August 2005, Week 1
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July 2005, Week 1
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June 2005, Week 2
June 2005, Week 1
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May 2005, Week 3
May 2005, Week 2
May 2005, Week 1
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April 2005, Week 4
April 2005, Week 3
April 2005, Week 2
April 2005, Week 1
March 2005, Week 5
March 2005, Week 4
March 2005, Week 3
March 2005, Week 2
March 2005, Week 1
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February 2005, Week 3
February 2005, Week 2
February 2005, Week 1
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October 2004, Week 3
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October 2004, Week 1
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September 2004, Week 3
September 2004, Week 2
September 2004, Week 1
August 2004, Week 5
August 2004, Week 4
August 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 5
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July 2004, Week 3
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July 2004, Week 1
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June 2004, Week 2
June 2004, Week 1
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April 2004, Week 3
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April 2004, Week 1
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February 2004, Week 3
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February 2004, Week 1
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November 2003, Week 3
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November 2003, Week 1
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February 2002, Week 2
February 2002, Week 1
January 2002, Week 5
January 2002, Week 4
January 2002, Week 3
January 2002, Week 2
January 2002, Week 1
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December 2001, Week 4
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March 2001, Week 1
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