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November 1999, Week 4

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Subject:
Re: Winter? or "Definitely Losing It"
From:
Ed Malczyk <[log in to unmask]>
Reply To:
Vermont Skiing Discussion and Snow Reports <[log in to unmask]>
Date:
Sun, 28 Nov 1999 14:14:49 -0500
Content-Type:
text/plain
Parts/Attachments:
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> Oh man i sure as hell hope hes right.  I heard that global warrming has
been
> happening for thousands of years, anyone else hear about this, i think i
saw

We've been warming for about 15,000 years. It started way before anyone was
driving SUVs. We're really just in a warm spell in a 1.5+ million year old
Ice Age. It hasn't been warming long enough to say it's over.

There was a cool talk on this at Woods Hole recently by someone who's been
looking at oxygen isotope data in ice and sea cores. Pretty cool talk but I
wont butcher what the guy was saying by trying to parrot it back.  Basically
what I was able to pull out of it is that we have good records of global
temps going back pretty far but are at a severe loss to explain what causes
the various short and long term cycles.

I think the short term (5,000-10,000 year scale) has to do with snow
cover/cloud cover/albido issues and long term has something to do with
continental geometry but that's just a poorly educated hunch.  I am positive
that the really short term (5-10 year) fluctuations are solely due to bad
attitudes in the southern New England and Mid-Atlantic states.

Jerm

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