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703
FPUS51 KBTV 210838
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
340 AM EST FRI JAN 21 2000

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-211600-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
340 AM EST FRI JAN 21 2000

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY TODAY FOR WIND CHILLS OF 25 TO 35 BELOW...
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY IN THE MORNING. A
LIGHT DUSTING EXPECTED. BECOMING EXTREMELY COLD. EARLY HIGH AROUND 5
ABOVE BUT FALLING TO BELOW ZERO BY EVENING. BRISK NORTH WIND OF 15 TO
25 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY AND DANGEROUSLY COLD. LOW 5 TO 15 BELOW.
NORTHWEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH CREATING WIND CHILLS OF 35 TO 50 BELOW
ZERO.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY BUT CONTINUED VERY COLD. HIGH IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ABOVE ZERO.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 5 TO 15 BELOW ZERO.
.SUNDAY...BECOMING CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW LATE. HIGH IN THE TEENS.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 10. HIGH IN THE
TEENS.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE ZERO. HIGH
AROUND 20.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-211600-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
340 AM EST FRI JAN 21 2000

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY TODAY FOR WIND CHILLS OF 25 TO 35 BELOW...
.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...SOME LIGHT ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. BECOMING BRISK AND EXTREMELY COLD. EARLY HIGH
5 TO 10 ABOVE FALLING TO ZERO BY EVENING. NORTHWEST WIND INCREASING
TO 15 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND DANGEROUSLY COLD WITH SCATTERED
FLURRIES. LOW 10 TO 15 BELOW ZERO. NORTHWEST WIND 15 TO 25 MPH
CREATING WIND CHILLS OF 35 TO 50 BELOW ZERO.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND VERY COLD. HIGH AROUND ZERO.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 10 TO 20 BELOW ZERO.
.SUNDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS. CHANCE OF SNOW LATE. HIGH 10 TO 15.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW ZERO TO 10. HIGH 10 TO 15.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 5 ABOVE TO 5 BELOW. HIGH IN THE TEENS.

$$

VTZ011-012-211600-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
340 AM EST FRI JAN 21 2000

...WIND CHILL ADVISORY TODAY FOR WIND CHILLS OF 20 TO 35 BELOW...
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND BECOMING EXTREMELY COLD WITH A 40 PERCENT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. BRISK. EARLY HIGH 10 TO 15 BUT FALLING INTO
THE SINGLE NUMBERS LATE. NORTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY AND EXTREMELY COLD. LOW 5 TO 15 BELOW.
NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH CREATING WIND CHILLS OF 25 TO 40 BELOW.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND VERY COLD. HIGH ZERO TO 10 ABOVE.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 5 TO 10 BELOW ZERO.
.SUNDAY...BECOMING CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY LATE. HIGH IN THE TEENS.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 10. HIGH 15 TO 20.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW ZERO TO 10. HIGH IN THE LOWER 20S.

$$

NYZ026-027-211600-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
340 AM EST FRI JAN 21 2000

...WIND CHILL WARNING TODAY FOR WIND CHILLS OF 30 TO 45 BELOW...
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY AND DANGEROUSLY COLD WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS OR FLURRIES. HIGH AROUND ZERO. NORTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO
15 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR AND DANGEROUSLY COLD. LOW 10 TO 20 BELOW
ZERO. NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH DIMINISHING TO AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY AND VERY COLD. HIGH ZERO TO 5 ABOVE.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 10 TO 15 BELOW ZERO.
.SUNDAY...BECOMING CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY LATE. HIGH 10 TO 15.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW AROUND ZERO. HIGH 10 TO 15.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW ZERO TO 5 BELOW. HIGH IN THE TEENS.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-211600-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
340 AM EST FRI JAN 21 2000

...WIND CHILL WARNING TODAY FOR WIND CHILLS OF 30 TO 50 BELOW ZERO...
.TODAY...CLOUDY AND DANGEROUSLY COLD WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY WITH
LESS THAN AN INCH ACCUMULATION. HIGH ZERO TO 5 BELOW. NORTHWEST WIND
INCREASING TO 15 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY AND BITTERLY COLD. LOW 15 TO 25 BELOW.
NORTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH DIMINISHING TO 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY BUT VERY COLD. HIGH AROUND ZERO.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 15 TO 25 BELOW ZERO.
.SUNDAY...BECOMING CLOUDY WITH SNOW LIKELY LATE. HIGH 5 TO 10 ABOVE.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW ZERO TO 10 BELOW. HIGH 10 TO
15.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW ZERO TO 10 BELOW. HIGH AROUND 10 ABOVE.

$$

SLW






   [INLINE]
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     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 210810 AMD
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
310 AM EST FRI JAN 21 2000

WX STORY: COLD...COLDER...COLDEST WITH DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS
DEVELOPING AGAIN TDY AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY SATURDAY.

FCST DILEMMA...HOW TO HANDLE THIS?!  WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA
WILL BE MET TDY BUT FALL SHORT OF WIND CHILL WARNING UNTIL TNGT FOR
MUCH OF FA WITH THE XCPTN OF ADRNDKS/ST LWRNC WHERE WND CHL WRNG WL
BE ISSUED. SO...WND CHL ADV TDY WITH WORDING IN NPWBTV OF DANGEROUSLY
COLD WND CHL TNGT AND PSBL WARNING ISSUED LTR TDY. ALSO...WL
HIGHLIGHT WND CHL READINGS IN TNGT PORTIONS OF FCST.

BOMBED OUT LOW PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE AND SOUTHEAST OF BENCHMARK
40N/70W...SO NOT MUCH MORE THAN VEHICLE TO DELIVER BRISK WINDS AND
ANOTHER ARCTIC BLAST FM CANADA. POLAR VORTEX DROPS ACRS FA THIS
AFTN INTO GULF OF ME TNGT...SO IT/S ONLY GOING TO GET COLDER AS THE
DAY PROGRESSES.

IN FACT...IR PIX CLRLY SHWS ARCTIC BLOB HOVERING ACRS CENTRAL
ONTARIO/QUEBEC POISED TO INFILTRATE NORTH COUNTRY LATER TDY/TNGT.

LONGER TERM: EXITING VORTEX AND STG S/W DIGGING INTO NRN JET ACRS
NRN PLAINS SUNDAY WL MEAN BACKING FLOW AND SOMEWHAT MODERATION IN
TEMPS. AVN SHWS TWO SFC SYSTEMS (NRN AND SRN STREAM) MVG ACRS CNTRY
SUNDAY WITH NRN STREAM LOW INTO GRT LAKES AND SRN STREAM OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST BY 00Z MON. NO TRUE "PHASING" BUT WITH DIGGING
TROF STL BACK ACRS GRT LAKES...WUD LOOK FOR COASTAL LOW TO BE PULLED
CLOSER TO COAST FOR BETTER CHC OF MSRBL SNOW LATER SUNDAY/SUN NGT
WITH CHC -SHSN MON.

GEM SHWS SOME RIDGING MVG IN FOR TUES AND HAVE MADE CHGS TO XNTD
BASED ON THIS.

FINAL WORKS AVBL.

.BTV...WND CHL WRNG TDY NYZ026-027-029>031-034
       WND CHL ADV TDY  NYZ028-035-VTZ001>012

SLW








FXUS61 KBTV 210640
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...1ST DRAFT...
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
140 AM EST FRI JAN 21 2000

WX STORY: COLD...COLDER...COLDEST WITH DANGEROUS WIND CHILLS
DEVELOPING AGAIN TDY AND CONTINUING INTO EARLY SATURDAY.

FCST DILEMMA...HOW TO HANDLE THIS?!  WIND CHILL ADVISORY CRITERIA
WILL BE MET TDY BUT FALL SHORT OF WIND CHILL WARNING UNTIL TNGT FOR
MUCH OF FA. SO...WND CHL ADV TDY WITH WORDING IN NPWBTV OF
DANGEROUSLY COLD WND CHL TNGT AND PSBL WARNING ISSUED LTR TDY.
ALSO...WL HIGHLIGHT WND CHL READINGS IN TNGT PORTIONS OF FCST.
ATTM...THE EXCEPTION MAY BE NRN NY WHERE TMPS BY 12Z CUD BE SUB-ZERO
WITH NO PLACE TO GO AND WRNG CAN SURVIVE.

BOMBED OUT LOW PRESSURE WELL OFFSHORE AND SOUTHEAST OF BENCHMARK
40N/70W...SO NOT MUCH MORE THAN VEHICLE TO DELIVER BRISK WINDS AND
ANOTHER ARCTIC BLAST FM CANADA. POLAR VORTEX DROPS ACRS FA THIS
AFTN INTO GULF OF ME TNGT...SO IT/S ONLY GOING TO GET COLDER AS THE
DAY PROGRESSES.

IN FACT...IR PIX CLRLY SHWS ARCTIC BLOB HOVERING ACRS CENTRAL
ONTARIO/QUEBEC POISED TO INFILTRATE NORTH COUNTRY LATER TDY/TNGT.

LONGER TERM: EXITING VORTEX AND STG S/W DIGGING INTO NRN JET ACRS
NRN PLAINS SUNDAY WL MEAN BACKING FLOW AND SOMEWHAT MODERATION IN
TEMPS. AVN SHWS TWO SFC SYSTEMS (NRN AND SRN STREAM) MVG ACRS CNTRY
SUNDAY WITH NRN STREAM LOW INTO GRT LAKES AND SRN STREAM OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC COAST BY 00Z MON. NO TRUE "PHASING" BUT WITH DIGGING
TROF STL BACK ACRS GRT LAKES...WUD LOOK FOR COASTAL LOW TO BE PULLED
CLOSER TO COAST FOR BETTER CHC OF MSRBL SNOW MONDAY.

PRELIM WORKZONES ARD 2-215 AM.
FINAL WORKS AND AFD ARD 3 AM.

.BTV...WND CHL WRNG TDY NYZ026-027-029>031-034
       WND CHL ADV TDY  NYZ028-035-VTZ001>012

SLW








FXUS61 KBTV 210204
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
904 PM EST THU JAN 20 2000

INTENSE STORM TO CONTINUE TO BOMB AS IT MOVES TO THE SE OF SOUTHERN
NEW ENG TONITE. THIS STORM TO CONTINUE TO MOVE UP INTO THE CANADIAN
MARITIMES BY LATER ON FRI...AS A RIDGE OF HI PRESS BUILDS INTO THE
GREAT LAKES REGION. PRESS GRADIENT TO INCREASE IN BETWEEN THESE
TWO SYS (AND ACRS THE FA) THRU 00Z SAT. H5 TROF TO MOVE INTO THE FA
FROM THE WEST TONITE AND REMAIN ACRS THE FA THRU FRI. INTERESTING
TIDBIT...TROPOPAUSE FOLD TO MOVE SE ACRS ONT TONITE AND THEN ACRS NY
STATE (TOWARDS THE BIG APPLE) ON FRI.

18Z 40KM RUC (NO 21Z RUC AVAIL AT ALL HERE AND NO 00Z RUC YET IN N-
AWIPS) SHOWS SFC WINDS BECOMING NW ACRS THE FA BY 06Z. TEMPS TO GET
DOWN INTO THE POSITIVE SINGLE NUMBERS ALMOST EVERYWHERE BY 06Z AS
WELL. H85 MOISTURE DECREASING AS UPR TROF APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.
-SHSN TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE LATE EVENING HOURS.

ACCUMULATIONS SO FAR APPEAR TO BE MOSTLY A DUSTING TO 1-2" IN SPOTS.
ANOTHER BIG 2 TENTHS OF INCH HERE AT BTV...AGAIN...WOW.

FA TO BE UNDER H85 CAA THRU 00Z SAT (STRONGEST TO TAKE PLACE 12Z FRI
TO 00Z SAT). H85 MOISTURE TO LINGER ACRS THE FA (ESPECIALLY IN VT)
THRU 00Z SAT AS WELL. N-NW FLOW TO DEVELOP ACRS THE FA BY 06Z
TONITE AND CONTINUE RIGHT THRU THE DAY ON FRI. ANY LES TO STAY WELL
TO THE SOUTH OF THE FA THRU FRI.

HAVE GONE WITH LIKELY POPS IN THE CHAMP VLY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
NIGHT...SCT POPS IN SRN VT AND THE ST LAW VLY...WITH CATEGORICAL
POPS IN THE MTN ZONES. BACK EDGE OF STEADY SN ON IR SAT PIX SHOULD
MOVE THROUGH THE ST LAW VLY AND THE ADIRONDACKS BY AROUND 08Z. 88D
IMAGERY NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE TONITE. -SHSN TO TAPER OFF TOWARDS
MORNING IN THE REMAINDER OF THE FA. FRI/S FORECAST OF SHSN
(ESPECIALLY IN THE MTN ZONES) STILL LOOKS GOOD FROM HERE. HAVE JUST
ADDED MENTION OF FLURRIES TO TONITE/S AND TOMORROW/S ZONES. TWEAKED
LOW TEMP FORECAST FOR TONITE BASED ON CURRENT TRENDS AND 20Z LAMP
DATA. ANY OTHER CHANGES TO ZFP VERY MINOR.

MID-SHIFT WILL HAVE TO LOOK INTO WIND CHILL BANNERS FOR FRI WITH
INCREASING SFC WINDS AND NIPPY TEMPS. WIND CHILL MAY TOUCH -30 DEG
F OVER ON THE NY SIDE BY MORNING.

WORK ZONES GONE. FINAL ZFP AFTER QUICK LOOK AT 02Z OBS.

.BTV...NONE.

MURRAY








FXUS61 KBTV 202047
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
348 PM EST THU JAN 20 2000

PERSISTENT VERY LIGHT SNOW ACROSS THE FCST AREA ATTM WILL GRADUALLY
TAPER OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS LATE TONIGHT.  SNOW AMOUNTS SO FAR HAVE
BEEN AN INCH OR LESS.  EXPECT MORE OF THE SAME OVERNIGHT.  LOW PRES
AREA RAPIDLY DEEPENENING OFF THE MID ATLC CST ATTM WILL MOVE NEWD
INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES THRU THE PERIOD.  THIS LOW WILL TIGHTEN
THE PRES GRADIENT FROM FRI THRU SATURDAY WITH WINDS INCREASING AND
ANOTHER SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR ON FRI AND SAT.  LATER SHIFTS MAY NEED
TO CONSIDER A WIND CHILL ADVISORY FOR FRI OR FRI NIGHT.

HAVE GONE COLDER WITH THE TEMPS THAN AVN FAN OR NGM MOS GUIDANCE.

ON EXTENDED...HIGH PRES WILL BUILD SLOWLY EAST INTO THE FCST AREA
SAT AND SAT NIGHT...AND BE CENTERED OVER THE AREA BY 12Z SUN.  ON
SUNDAY...A CLIPPER SYSTEM DROPS SEWD FROM CANADA WHILE ANOTHER LOW
BEGINS TO MOVE NEWD FROM THE SE U.S. WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW LATE SUN
INTO MON.  PER LAST NIGHTS MRF...NEXT WEEK LOOKS QUITE
INTERESTING WITH THE POSSIBILITY FOR SEVERAL LOWS TO APPROACH
THE FCST AREA WITH CHANCES FOR SNOW.  STAY TUNED!


.BTV...NONE.

WGH






     This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   2. http://weather.gov/iwin/graphics.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


261
ASUS51 KALB 211105
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST FRI JAN 21 2000

VTZ001>014-211200-

.....VERMONT.....


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     LGT SNOW   5  -1  76 N18G25    29.67R WCI -30
MONTPELIER     LGT SNOW   4  -1  80 NW14      29.56R WCI -24
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW   4  -3  73 N16       29.60R WCI -28
ST. JOHNSBURY  N/A        9   2  73 VRB3      29.53R
RUTLAND        CLOUDY     7   0  72 NW9G21    29.56R WCI -11
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    11   2  67 NW9G18    29.53R WCI  -6
BENNINGTON     LGT SNOW  10   4  76 NW7       29.56R WCI  -1

......KEY......
FAIR - FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12000 FEET, WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
       OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
$$




                        _LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                     11:00 PM Thursday January 20,2000
                    STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Kevin Thomas_
       _** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**_


   _
   Overnight: Very light snow will continue into the morning hours of
   Friday. Accumulations of an inch to less than two inches. Low
   temperatures will drop down to around zero. Winds will be light.

   Friday: Skies will continue to be cloudy throughout the day. As once
   again we will have on and off snow showers. Accumulations will be less
   than an inch. High temperatures will top out around 10 above zero.
   Winds will be less than 10 mph.

   Friday Night: Mostly cloudy skies with lingering snow flurries.
   Turning colder overnight A very good night to grab an extra blanket as
   you head off to bed. Low temperatures will plumit to minus fifteen
   degrees below zero.

   Saturday: Grab that coat as you go outside Saturday morning as it
   still will be very cold. Clouds will begin to diminish towards the end
   of the day. Temperatures will range from five above to ten above zero.

                             Extended Forecast

   Sunday: Slight chance of a snow shower as skies will be mostly cloudy.
   Moderating temperatures with a high near 20. Low temps will be near
   zero.

   Monday: Cloudy skies with a chance of snow. High temperatures near 20.
   Low temperatures will hover around five above.

   Tuesday: Possible lingering snow showers arouond the region. High
   temperatures around 20. Lows will range from zero to five above.

                            Forecast Discussion


   The storm system that is currently off the coast of Massachusetts is
   responsible for the light snow we are experiencing. As the low starts
   to pull a way we will still experience light snow showers until Friday
   night. By Saturday the skies will start to clear up for a little
   while. Then as we get into Sunday we will have a small clipper system
   approach the area. We will have to keep a watchful eye as their will
   be a low pressure system coming off the carolina coast that will
   possibly affect us for Monday and Tuesday.

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