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394
FPUS51 KBTV 220728
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
330 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2000

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-221500-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
330 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2000

...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TODAY...
.TODAY...PERIODS OF RAIN...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON.
HIGH IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL RAIN. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WIND 10 TO
15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS.  HIGH 45 TO 50.  CHANCE OF RAIN 80
PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW 35 TO 40.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  HIGH IN THE 40S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE MID 30S.
HIGH 45 TO 50.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 35 TO 40.  HIGH IN THE MID 50S.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-221500-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
330 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2000

...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TODAY...
.TODAY...PERIODS OF RAIN...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES THIS AFTERNOON.
RAIN MAY BE MIXED WITH SNOW AND SLEET EARLY. HIGH 40 TO 45. EAST WIND
10 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL RAIN. LOW AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO
15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S.
CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW 35 TO 40.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  HIGH IN THE 40S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE MID 30S.
HIGH IN THE 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE MID 30S.  HIGH IN THE LOWER
50S.

$$

VTZ011-012-221500-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
330 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2000

...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TODAY...
.TODAY...PERIODS OF RAIN...POSSIBLY HEAVY AT TIMES. HIGH IN THE
MID 40S. EAST WIND BECOMING NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 20 MPH.
.TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL RAIN. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHEAST WIND
10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS. HIGH AROUND 50. CHANCE OF RAIN 80
PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW 35 TO 40.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  HIGH IN THE 40S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE MID 30S.
HIGH 45 TO 50.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 35 TO 40.  HIGH 55 TO 60.

$$

NYZ026-027-221500-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
330 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2000

...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TODAY...
.TODAY...PERIODS OF RAIN...STEADIEST IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE
LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PERIODS OF RAIN. LOW AROUND 40. NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 15
MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 90 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGH 45 TO 50. CHANCE OF RAIN 70
PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 35 TO 40.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  HIGH IN THE 40S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE MID 30S.
HIGH 45 TO 50.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 35 TO 40.  HIGH IN THE MID 50S.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-221500-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
330 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2000

...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH TODAY...
.TODAY...PERIODS OF RAIN...STEADIEST IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE
LOWER 40S. WIND BECOMING NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...OCCASIONAL RAIN. LOW NEAR 40. NORTHEAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID 40S. CHANCE OF
RAIN NEAR 80 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE MID
30S.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE 40S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 30S. HIGH
IN THE 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 30 TO 35.  HIGH 50 TO 55.

$$

SLW




   [INLINE]
   _Links - (1) NEW:   [1]FREE SOFTWARE        (2) NEW: Live Radar and
   Graphics [2]http://weather.gov _
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 220604
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
200 AM EDT SAT APR 22 2000

...FLOOD WATCHES WILL CONTINUE WITH THIS PACKAGE...

RAINFALL OF AN HALF TO ONE INCH WITH LOCALLY MORE HAS OCCURRED
ACROSS THE FA WITHIN PAST 24+ HOURS. MDLD QPF DELIVERS ANOTHER
0.75-1.50 ACRS FA AND IF THIS MATERIALIZES...SOME FLOODING STL
LIKELY.

THE LONG DURATION OF EVENT AND FREQUENT BREAKS OF NON-ACTIVITY
ARE BENEFITTING FA (ALSO...NOT DEALING WITH ANY SNOWMELT PRBLMS)
WITH SOME OPPORTUNITY OF ABSORPTION...ALTHOUGH NOT MUCH.

COMP RDR HAS BEEN "LIT-UP LIKE A XMAS TREE" ACRS NJ/SE NY/SNE
THIS EVE AND OVRNGT. A LRG...XTENSIVE AREA OF CONVECTION DVLPD
OFF ERN SEABOARD ARD 01Z AND HAS "TRAINED" ACRS SNE (ESP ERN)
WITH SOME IMPRESSIVE HRLY/3 HRLY RAINFALL TOTALS.

IT IS THIS CONVECTION THAT IS LKLY BENEFITTING OUR FA AS MOISTURE
TRANSPORT LKLY GETTING EATEN BY ON-GOING CONVECTION (SAW THAT CLRLY
WITH ONE SNOWSTORM IN OUR FA ERLR THIS YR). WITNESS THE DEEPER
LAYERED MOIST ON WV LOOP OFFSHORE AND ACRS SNE COMPARED TO NY
STATE. HWVR...THERE IS SOME RETURN TO DEEPER LYRD MOISTURE BEING
THROWN BACK NW INTO S-CENT NY WHICH CUD BE FIRST SIGN OF A RETURN
TO MOISTURE TRANSPORT RETURNING INTO SYNOPTIC SYSTEM.

SFC LOW HAS BASICALLY REFORMED ALG MID-ATLANTIC CST AND SYSTEM SHLD
TAKE ON MORE OF NOR'EASTER PTRN BY MIDDAY FOR THE REMAINDER OF
EVENT.

THEREFORE...LOOKING FOR MORE WIDESPREAD -RA TO DVLP ONCE AGAIN
(IF WTR VAPOR TRENDS CONT) WITH AN OVERRUNNING PTRN LATE MRNG THRU
EVE WITH A DEFORMATION ZONE -RA/-SHRA CONTG THRU SUN. GRTST QPF
SHLD OCCUR BTWN 18Z/22 AND 06Z/23.

ATTM...NOT ALL THAT CONVINCED THAT THE MOISTURE WL RETURN IN TIME TO
GENERATE THE QPF THAT THE MDLS ARE PREDICTING...AS CONVECTION CONTS
TO FIRE-UP. HWVR...SINCE PLENTY OF TIME BFR BEST SYNOPTIC PTRN LEAVES
FA...WL KEEP FFA GOING. IN FACT...DELAYED TIMING AND SOME FLD
GUIDANCE SUGGESTS ANY FLDG MAY ACTUALLY BE LATE TDY/TNGT. DAYSHFT
WL NEED TO MONITOR ABT PSBLY XNTDG FFA INTO TNGT.

THKFULLY PCPN GNRLY LGT NOW ALLOWING FOR SOME ABSORPTION AND LAGGING
RESPONSE TIMES BTWN HVY PCPN EPISODES BUT ENOUGH FOR STL SOME
CONCERNS. YET...BETTER 1.5-2" OVR 48 HRS THAN 24 HRS OR EVEN 12 HRS.

SUN/SUN NGT/MON WL ACT LIKE TYPICAL WRAPARD/CLSD LOW EVENTS...CLDY
WITH -SHRA AND COVERAGE SLWLY DECREASING EACH PERIOD.

OK...THAT/S THE MAIN PRBLM. HWVR...AT 06Z THERE IS A PTYPE PRBLM
AS -SN IN ELEVATIONS ABV 800FT IN NC/NE VT. ALL DATA SUGGESTS MILDER
AIR WORKING IT/S WAY THAT IT WL BE AN ALL RAIN EVENT BY MID-MRNG.

DESPITE ALOT OF CONCERNS THIS PKG...PRVS FCST CONTS TO HAVE HNDL
OF SITUATION AND WL NOT MAKE MANY CHANGES.

WORKS AVBL ARD 230 AM.

.BTV...FLOOD WATCH TODAY VTZ001>012...NYZ026>031-034-035.

SLW





FXUS61 KBTV 220136
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
936 PM EDT FRI APR 21 2000

FORECAST AREA IN A LITTLE BIT OF A LULL IN THE PRECIPITATION.
HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION CURRENTLY OVER LONG ISLAND AND NEW
ENGLAND. THIS AREA WILL BE MOVING NORTH OVERNIGHT.  LOW PRESSURE
WILL MOVE FROM THE MID ATLANTIC TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND FINALLY UP
THE MAIN COAST BY SUNDAY KEEPING THE AREA WET.

INTERESTING BURST OF BRIEF HEAVY SNOW COVERED THE GROUND EARLIER
THIS EVENING. ACARS DATA AND MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW FAIRLY LOW
FREEZING LEVELS AND ISOTHERMAL PROFILE TO NEARLY 700 MB. PROFILES
WILL WARM SLOWLY OVERNIGHT, SO ANY WET SNOW WILL CHANGE OVER TO
RAIN ALL LOCATIONS BY TOMORROW MORNING. EXPECT ANY ADDITIONAL
ACCUMULATION TO BE LIGHT AND SLOPPY AND GENERALLY ABOVE 1100 FT MSL.
AFTERNOON RUC RUNS DID A NICE JOB WITH BOTH THE FREEZING LEVEL
FORECAST AND EXPLICIT PRECIP TYPE.

AS LOW MOVES TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND TOMORROW WINDS WILL BACK
AROUND TO NORTH SO TEMPERATURES WILL GO NO WHERE FAST. COLDER AIR
ALOFT WILL FILTER IN BEHIND THE SYSTEM ON SUNDAY AND MAY BRING BRING
A BIT OF SNOW BACK TO HIGHER ELEVATIONS LATER ON.

24-H PRECIPITATION TOTALS SO FAR:
1.37 AT KMSS
1.09 AT CANTON
0.99 AT UNDERHILL
0.84 AT K1V4
0.69 AT KSLK
0.68 AT KVSF
0.61 AT KBTV
0.48 AT KPLB

ANOTHER 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES OF RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH TOMORROW.
RIVERS ARE RISING AND ONE OR TWO FORECAST POINTS STILL HAVE
STAGE FORECASTS REACHING NEAR BANKFULL OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO
SO WILL FLOOD WATCH INTACT.

WORK ZONES IN ALBADMBTV.

.BTV...FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT AND SATURDAY VTZ001>012...NYZ026>031-034-
       035.

SISSON





FXUS61 KBTV 211959
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 PM EDT FRI APR 21 2000

RAIN...RAIN...RAIN...EXCEPT SNOW OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF
NORTHEAST VERMONT.  SAT LOOP SHOWING TSTMS FROM EASTERN VIRGINIA
TO NEW YORK CITY AREA MOVG NORTHWARD ATTM...SO PLENTY OF JUICE
HEADING FOR THE NORTH COUNTRY.  MODELS SHOW UPPER LOW OVER ERN OHIO
MOVG SEWD TOWARD THE MID ALTC CST.  ETA AND NGM SHOW THIS UPR LOW
OPENING UP AND BECOMING NEGATIVELY TILTED BY SUN...WHILE AVN KEEPS A
CLOSED UPR LOW THRU THE PERIOD.  MODELS SHOW GOOD AREA OF UPR
DIFFLUENCE ACROSS THE FCST AREA THRU THE PERIOD...SO PLENTY OF RAIN
ON THE WAY THRU SUNDAY...SO FLOOD WATCH WILL REMAIN UP ACROSS THE
FCST AREA THRU SATURDAY.  MODELS ALSO SHOW COLD POOL OF AIR AT 850
MB OVER NE VT TONIGHT AND EARLY SAT...SO WILL MENTION SOME SNOW
ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NE VERMONT
TONIGHT.

MOS TEMPS LOOK A LITTLE TOO WARM THRU THE PERIOD GIVEN CLOUD
COVER AND RAIN...SO WILL GO BLO MOS TEMPS THRU THE PERIOD.
HAVE FOLLOWED MOS POPS THRU THE PERIOD THOUGH.

ON EXTENDED...HAVE ADDED A SUNDAY NIGHT PERIOD AS COLDER AIR MOVE
IN ALOFT LATE SUNDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS WILL LIKELY MIX WITH OR
CHANGE TO SNOW SHOWERS.  MRF SHOWING VERY LOW THICKNESS VALUES OVER
AREA MON AND TUES...SO HAVE GONE BLO GUIDANCE FOR MAX TEMPS MON AND
TUE.

WORK ZONES IN ALBADMBTV.

.BTV...FLOOD WATCH TONIGHT AND SATURDAY VTZ001>012...NYZ026>031-034-
       035.

WGH



     This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   2. http://weather.gov/iwin/graphics.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


069
ASUS51 KBTV 110805
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 AM EDT TUE APR 11 2000

VTZ001>014-110900-

.....VERMONT.....


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    32  22  66 S6        30.31R
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     29  19  66 CALM      30.30R
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    34  24  67 W7        30.29R
ST. JOHNSBURY  N/A       25  22  88 CALM      30.27R
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    30  23  74 CALM      30.31R
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     27  24  89 S6        30.33R WCI  22
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    31  22  69 SW6       30.33R

......KEY......
FAIR - FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12000 FEET, WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
       OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        _LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                       11:00PM, Friday April 22, 2000
                  STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Dina R. Freedman_
       _** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**_


                       _FLOOD WATCH FOR ALL OF VERMONT


   Tonight: Tonight just might be one for the record books for the
   snowiest April ever! Periods of rain and snow will continue throughout
   the night with snow accumulations in the higher elevations like the
   LSC campus of about 1 to 2 inches on the grassy areas. Fog will also
   be a problem tonight as this cooler air moves over the warmer land.
   Winds will be light and out of the southeast with temperatures tonight
   hovering around freezing.

   Saturday: The sun is not going to be out this weekend at all! Rain
   will continue all day with mixed precipitation in the morning expected
   for higher terrain. Saturday might be a good day to check out the Home
   show down at the Fenton Chester Arena. High temperatures will be in
   the lower 40's with light winds out of the southeast.

   Saturday night: Rain will continue throughout the night so if you like
   puddle stomping this might be up your alley. Low temperatures will be
   in upper 30's.

   Sunday: The easter bunny might need and umbrella and you might need
   some goloshes to hunt for eggs! Rain will continue throughout the day
   with the approach of yet another system to our north. High
   temperatures will be in the lower 50's and lows will be in the lower
   40's. Winds will be shifting to easterly and be around 5 mph.

                             Extended Forecast

   Monday: As we head back to work from the holidays a strong northerly
   wind will be greeting us making it feel blustery outside. Light rain
   showers will continue thoughout the day. High temperatures will be in
   the upper 40's with lows in the low 30's.

   Tuesday: The color gray will continue to be over our heads with
   another day of light rain. Winds will still be gusty with high
   temperatures in the lower 50's with lows in the low 30's.

   Wednesday: Partly cloudy skies will return for the area, enjoy it
   while you can! High temperatures will be in the lower 50's with lows
   in the low 30's.

                            Forecast Discussion


   Well I hope these April showers bring lots of May flowers, really now,
   it's spring, enough with the winter like conditions! Snow will
   continue to be a problem in the higher elevations tonight with light
   accumulations. However, down in the valley of the very damp
   Lyndonville, rain will also continue through tonight and for the next
   3 days, at least. Please be careful driving around and even walking,
   river and stream heights are going to be on the rise for the next few
   days. Please also be cautious of the soccer field, the overflow of the
   Passumpsic river is making the field look more like a lake and is no
   place for children to play. Fog will also be a driving problem tonight
   and into tomorrow morning. A strong low pressure system is moving very
   slowly to our south over the mid atlantic states and we will be
   recieving the Easter and Passover gift of rain showers througout the
   next few days. Rain will be very heavy at times and total
   accumulations will easily be close to 2 inches. As the low heads out
   to sea it will leave us with yet another basket full of blustery and
   cold northerly wind instead of candy! Wednesday looks to be the next
   half way decent day to head down to Carmen's and get some ice cream,
   believe me, I can't wait!

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