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611
FPUS51 KBTV 250715
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
315 AM EDT THU MAY 25 2000

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-251500-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
315 AM EDT THU MAY 25 2000

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE MID 60S. WIND BECOMING WEST 15 TO 20 MPH
BY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 50. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH 65 TO 70.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 70.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 45 TO 50. HIGH IN THE 60S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 45 TO 50.
HIGH IN THE 60S.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-251500-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
315 AM EDT THU MAY 25 2000

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S. WIND BECOMING WEST 10 TO 20 MPH
BY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS...OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW
45 TO 50. WEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID 60S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH 65 TO 70.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 40S. HIGH IN THE 60S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE
40S. HIGH IN THE 60S.

$$

VTZ011-012-251500-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
315 AM EDT THU MAY 25 2000

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. WIND BECOMING WEST 10 TO
20 MPH BY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 50. WEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 70.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 45 TO 50. HIGH 65 TO 70.
.MEMORIAL DAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 45 TO 50.
HIGH IN THE 60S.

$$

NYZ026-027-251500-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
315 AM EDT THU MAY 25 2000

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE MID 60S. WIND BECOMING WEST 15 TO 20 MPH
BY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW 50 TO 55. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH 65 TO 70.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 70.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 45 TO 50. HIGH IN THE 60S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW 45 TO 50.
HIGH IN THE 60S.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-251500-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
315 AM EDT THU MAY 25 2000

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S. WIND BECOMING WEST 15 TO 20 MPH
BY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW 45 TO 50. WEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID 60S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH 65 TO 70.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 40S. HIGH IN THE 60S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE
40S. HIGH IN THE 60S.

$$




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     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 250647
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
245 AM EDT THU MAY 25 2000

PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND DYNAMICS FOR CONTINUED SCATTERED SHOWERS
TODAY AS MASSIVE UPPER CYCLONE WOBBLES INTO WESTERN QUEBEC THIS
AFTERNOON.  CAPE VALUES FROM THE ETA NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE...BUT
SIGNIFICANT UPPER DYNAMICS AS TWO WELL-DEFINED SHORTWAVES DIVE ACROSS
THE AREA.  WILL KEEP GOING FORECAST OF A CHANCE OF THUNDER ALL
ZONES.  CLOUD COVER AND WEST WINDS SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES A FEW
DEGREES LOWER THAN WEDNESDAY'S MAX TEMPERATURES.  TONIGHT...MORE
CLOUDS IN THE CYCLONIC FLOW BUT FORCING FOR SHOWERS DIMINISHES SOON
AFTER 00 UTC.  WINDS SUBSIDE A LITTLE BIT AS WELL...BUT
TEMPERATURES SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 45-55F RANGE.

NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY...WITH STILL A LOT OF MOISTURE
LOCKED OVER OUR REGION.  CANNOT COMMIT TO A PARTLY SUNNY FORECAST
UNTIL FRIDAY AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY NORTHERN ZONES.  BUFKIT DATA
ACTUALLY SUGGESTS KEEPING MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ALL DAY FRIDAY...FOR
NOW WILL JUST WORD ZONES WITH AN IMPROVING SKY CONDITION TREND.  MAX
TEMPERATURES A COUPLE DEGREES WARMER FRIDAY WITH RISING THICKNESSES
AND DIMINISHING WESTERLY SURFACE WINDS.

3 TO 5 DAY...SURFACE ANTICYCLONE TO OUR WEST WEAKENS AND THEN ONLY
BARELY MAKES IT INTO THE AREA ON SATURDAY.  STILL...ACCORDING TO THE
AVN RUN...NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT MAY BE DRY ENOUGH BY THAT TIME FOR A
FAIR AMOUNT OF SUNSHINE. WILL KEEP MOSTLY SUNNY FORECAST FOR
SATURDAY WITH A CONTINUED SLIGHT WARMUP.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.





FXUS61 KBTV 250218
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1018 PM EDT WED MAY 24 2000

88D MOSAIC SHOWS LARGE AREA OF SHRA MOVING EAST ACRS CENTRAL NY STATE
ATTM. TSRA POPPED UP EARLIER TO THE NORTH OF THE KCXX RDA SITE AND
ARE MOVING ACRS NORTHERN VT ATTM. SOME OF THESE MAY HAVE BRIEFLY
STRONG WINDS AND HAIL ASSOCIATED WITH THEM. BUFCAN SHOWS ANOTHER
BATCH OF RA MOVING EAST ACRS ONT ATTM. SHRA/TSRA TO BASICALLY CONT ON
AND OFF ACRS FA INTO THE OVRNITE HRS.

21Z RUC SHOWS TEMPS GETTING DOWN INTO THE 50S OVRNITE WITH SOUTHERLY
SFC WINDS PERSISTING. SIGNIFICANT CAPES STILL SHOWN...MAINLY ACRS
THE CENTRAL AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE FA...INTO THE OVRNITE HRS.
STILL A GOOD AMT OF LOW-LVL MOISTURE AROUND TO WORK WITH AS AN UPR
TROF MOVES EAST ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION AND INTO NORTHERN NY
OVRNITE. WINDEX VALUES STILL 25-30 KTS IN NY OVRNITE. SFC-H7 SHEAR
VALUES STILL NOT TOO IMPRESSIVE THOUGH (10-15 M/S).

HAVE MADE A FEW TWEAKS TO FIRST PERIOD TEMPS/WINDS FROM EARLIER
UPDATED ZFP BASED ON CURRENT OBS TRENDS. KEPT POPS AND ALL OTHER
WORDING BASICALLY THE SAME. ONLY A FEW VERY MINOR COSMETIC CHANGES
TO LATER PERIODS.

ZFP ALREADY ON THE STREET. GOTTA GO...

.BTV...NONE.

MURRAY





FXUS61 KBTV 250026
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
826 PM EDT WED MAY 24 2000

UPDATED ZFP EARLY TO REMOVE MENTION OF EARLY EVENING PERIOD. ALSO...
NOTED G30KT AT CWGH AND G39KT AT CYUL EARLIER WITH TSRA. HAVE ADDED
SOME HIR GUSTS POSSIBLE IN ANY TSRA THAT OCCUR TONITE IN THE NORTHERN
ADIRONDACKS...THE CHAMP VLY AND SRN VT. NE/NC LOOKS TO BE ON THE
STABLE SIDE RIGHT NOW...BUT WE/LL HAVE TO SEE.

TWO AREAS OF TSRA...ONE TO THE EAST OF LK ONT AND ONE EXTENDING SOUTH
FROM THE YUL AREA...MOVING EAST ATTM. BAGGED POPS FROM THE ST LAW AS
THEY HAVE ALREADY MEASURED AND WILL CONT LIKELY POPS FOR THE TONIGHT
PERIOD ACRS THE REST OF THE FA.

ZFP ALREADY ISSUED. REGULARLY SCHEDULED UPDATE TO ZFP BY 10 PM...
DETAILS LATER.

.BTV...NONE.

MURRAY





FXUS61 KBTV 241912
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
312 PM EDT WED MAY 24 2000

PRETTY QUIET ACRS FA BUT WATCHING CONVECTION FIRING N OF LK ONT.
AMS MODERATELY UNSTAB ACRS W ZNS WITH MSAS LI/S -4 TO -5.  SFC FNT
MVG THRU CHMPLN VLY AND AMS WL BEGIN TO DESTAB ACRS VT AS SUN/HTG
INCRS.  WL ADD AN ERLY EVNG PD TO COVER POTL CNVCTN INTO ENVG HRS.
MAIN THREAT AREA WL BE ACRS W ZNS WHERE INSTBY GREATEST WITH HAIL
PRIMARY THREAT.

STG S/WV ROUNDING BASE OF TROF WL MOV S OF FA 06-12Z TNGT.  MDLS
HINT AT PSBL WAVE DEVPG ON FNT ACRS SNE LT TNGT/ERLY THU AND SHW
INCRG UVV AND DEEPEINING MSTR ACRS RGN...ESP E ZNS SO WL BEEF UP
POPS AGN LT TNGT ACRS VT.

UPR LOW N OF RGN DURG THU WITH COLD POOL OVHD.  PLENTY OF LL MSTR
WITH STEEP H8-H5 LPS RATES TO GENERATE SCT SHWRS AND CANT RULE OUT
THUNDER WITH COLD POOL (-22 AT H5).

CLDS LINGER MCH OF RGN THU NGT WITH SOME CLRG S AND FAR W ZNS LT THU
NGT...THEN PTSUNNY FRI AS MSTR LIFTS NE.

TMPS...FWC LOOKS TOO WRM FOR THU/FRI BASED ON H8 TEMP FIELD SO WL
LEAN TWD COOLER FAN NMBRS.

.BTV...NONE.

KJC



     This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   2. http://weather.gov/iwin/graphics.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


069
ASUS51 KBTV 110805
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 AM EDT TUE APR 11 2000

VTZ001>014-110900-

.....VERMONT.....


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    32  22  66 S6        30.31R
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     29  19  66 CALM      30.30R
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    34  24  67 W7        30.29R
ST. JOHNSBURY  N/A       25  22  88 CALM      30.27R
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    30  23  74 CALM      30.31R
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     27  24  89 S6        30.33R WCI  22
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    31  22  69 SW6       30.33R

......KEY......
FAIR - FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12000 FEET, WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
       OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



     Our student forecasts have been completed for the year. They will
                         resume again in September.

      The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service.

     _________________________________________________________________

CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
315 AM EDT THU MAY 25 2000

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S. WIND BECOMING WEST 10 TO 20 MPH
BY AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS...OTHERWISE MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW
45 TO 50. WEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY IN THE
AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID 60S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH 65 TO 70.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 40S. HIGH IN THE 60S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE
40S. HIGH IN THE 60S.

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