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263
FPUS51 KBTV 040747
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
346 AM EDT SUN JUN 4 2000

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-041500-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
346 AM EDT SUN JUN 4 2000

.TODAY...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS.  HIGH IN
THE MID TO UPPER 60S.  SOUTH WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  CHANCE OF RAIN 40
PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF EVENING
SHOWERS...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY LATE.  LOW IN THE LOWER TO
MID 40S.  NORTH WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A HIGH ONCE AGAIN IN THE MID TO UPPER
60S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 45 TO 50.
.TUESDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS.  HIGH 65 TO 70.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE AFTERNOON SHOWER. LOW 45 TO 50.
HIGH AROUND 70.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 45 TO 50. HIGH 65 TO 70.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-041500-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
346 AM EDT SUN JUN 4 2000

.TODAY...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS.  HIGH IN
THE MID 60S.  SOUTH WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF EVENING
SHOWERS...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY LATE.  LOW IN THE LOWER 40S.
NORTH WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A HIGH ONCE AGAIN IN THE MID 60S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 40S.
.TUESDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS.  HIGH AROUND 65.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE AFTERNOON SHOWER. LOW 40 TO 45.
HIGH AROUND 65.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 45. HIGH 65 TO 70.

$$

VTZ011-012-041500-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
346 AM EDT SUN JUN 4 2000

.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY EARLY...THEN INCREASING CLOUDS WITH A 30
PERCENT CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS.  HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER
60S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF EVENING
SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE MID 40S.  NORTH WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 60S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS.  HIGH AROUND 70.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWER. LOW AROUND
45. HIGH 65 TO 70.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 45 TO 50. HIGH AROUND 70.

$$

NYZ026-027-041500-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
346 AM EDT SUN JUN 4 2000

.TODAY...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS.  HIGH IN
THE MID 60S.  SOUTHWEST WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  CHANCE OF RAIN 40
PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF EVENING
SHOWERS...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY LATE.  LOW 40 TO 45.
NORTHEAST WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 40S.
.TUESDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS.  HIGH 65 TO 70.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE AFTERNOON SHOWER. LOW 40
TO 45. HIGH IN THE 60S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45. HIGH 65 TO 70.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-041500-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
346 AM EDT SUN JUN 4 2000

.TODAY...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS.  HIGH
60 TO 65.  SOUTHWEST WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH.  CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF EVENING
SHOWERS...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY LATE.  LOW 40 TO 45.  NORTH
WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH 60 TO 65.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 40S.
.TUESDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS.  HIGH 65 TO 70.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE AFTERNOON SHOWER. LOW 40 TO 45.
HIGH IN THE 60S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45. HIGH AROUND 65.

$$

EVENSON




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FXUS61 KBTV 040732
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
332 AM EDT SUN JUN 4 2000

NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS...CURRENTLY OVER EXTREME SOUTHERN QUEBEC...IS
MOVING TOWARD THE EAST AND IT APPEARS IT WILL STAY JUST NORTH OF
THE FORECAST AREA.  THE IDEA FROM THIS TIME LAST NIGHT WAS THIS
PRECIPITATION...ASSOCIATED WITH A SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WOULD BE
MOVING OVER THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS MORNING AND ENDING BY
MIDDAY.  NOW IT APPEARS THE MAIN FEATURE TO ENHANCE ANY
PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL OVER THE REGION WILL BE A MORE WELL DEFINED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY BETWEEN LAKE SUPERIOR AND JAMES BAY.
WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS FEATURE RATHER WELL WHICH IS HELPING
TO MAINTAIN A RATHER FAST WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT OVER THE NORTHEAST.
CONVECTIVE DEBRIS FROM A DECAYING MCS OVER THE UPPER MIDWEST IS
GETTING PICKED UP WITHIN THIS FLOW...SO CLOUDS SHOULD BE
INCREASING THROUGHOUT THE DAY ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA.  AS THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER ONTARIO MOVES SOUTHEAST...DYNAMIC SUPPORT
WILL BE INCREASING.  THIS IS BEST REFLECTED IN THE 500-300 MB
ISENTROPIC POTENTIAL VORTICITY FIELD...WHERE THE GRADIENT OF
INCREASING IPV WILL BE MOVING INTO NORTHERN NEW YORK THIS AFTERNOON
AND INTO NORTHERN VERMONT THIS EVENING.  THIS SHOULD ENHANCE THE
POTENTIAL FOR SHOWERS AND WILL WORD IT AS SCATTERED AFTERNOON
SHOWERS OVER MUCH OF THE AREA.  THE DYNAMIC SUPPORT WILL BE WEAKER
THE FURTHER SOUTH...SO WILL WORD RUTLAND AND WINDSOR COUNTIES AS A
CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS.  NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THICKNESS FIELDS
TODAY FROM YESTERDAY...SO WITH SOME INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER...
AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES COOLER
THAN YESTERDAY.  THIS SHOULD PUT MOST AREAS IN THE 60S.

WITH WEAKENING DYNAMIC SUPPORT THIS EVENING...ANY CHANCE OF SHOWERS
WILL BE IN THE EVENING HOURS AND THEN SOME CLEARING SHOULD DEVELOP...
ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN TIER OF ZONES.

MONDAY IS THE INTERESTING DAY.  NEXT UPSTREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO
TAKE A MORE SOUTHEASTERLY TRACK...FROM ILLINOIS TO THE OHIO VALLEY
AND THEN INTO THE MID ATLANTIC REGION BY TUESDAY MORNING.  DYNAMIC
SUPPORT OVER THE FORECAST AREA IS MINIMAL AS A RESULT.  THE
SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL HELP TO DEVELOP A SURFACE LOW LATE IN THE DAY
ON MONDAY SOMEWHERE IN THE VICINITY OF VIRGINIA.  AN INVERTED
SURFACE TROUGH WILL EVENTUALLY EXTEND NORTH FROM THE LOW AND REACH
INTO EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL NEW YORK.  SO BEST LOW LEVEL CONVERGENCE
WILL ALSO REMAIN WELL TO OUR SOUTH.  HAVE NOT BEEN ABLE TO RESOLVE
WHY THE MODELS HAVE PLACED SO MUCH PRECIPITATION SO FAR NORTH AND
EAST OF THESE FEATURES.  LOWER LEVEL EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW
DEVELOPS...BUT DOES NOT APPEAR TO BE CONDUCIVE TO A BIG SURGE OF
ATLANTIC MOISTURE THAT WOULD CREATE A DEEPLY SATURATED
ENVIRONMENT. THEN IT WOULD NEED UPSLOPE FLOW TO BE A FORCING
MECHANISM TO HELP GENERATE PRECIPITATION.  FEEL THERE ARE SOME
METEOROLOGICAL INCONSISTENCIES IN THE MODELS WITH THIS UPCOMING
EVENT AND GIVEN LITTLE SUPPORT FOR DEEP MOISTURE AND VERTICAL
MOTION...WILL GO WITH A DRY FORECAST.  COORDINATION WITH GYX HELPED
MAKE THIS DECISION EASIER AS THEIR METEOROLOGICAL INPUT INTO THIS
EVENT WAS MORE SOUND THAN THE MODELS INTERPRETATION.  THANKS AGAIN
FOR THEIR INPUT.

NO CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED AT THIS TIME.

WORK ZONES IN ALBADMBTV

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.





FXUS61 KBTV 040054
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
845 PM EDT SAT JUN 3 2000

ANNOYING LITTLE FRONTAL BOUNDARY...WHICH HAD PRODUCED WIND GUSTS TO
AROUND 35 MPH AS IT PASSED THROUGH OTTAWA/MONTREAL...MANAGED TO
PRETTY MUCH FALL APART AS IT CROSSED INTO THE STATES.  A FEW
SPRINKLES REGISTERED AT KMSS AND THAT WAS ABOUT ALL.  NICE AREA OF
JET CIRRUS WAS PICKED UP ON THE 10.7 IR IMAGERY RACING ACROSS
SOUTHERN ONTARIO...BUT IT HAD LITTLE EFFECT IN KEEPING THE SHOWERS
INTACT.  LATEST RUC RUNS TAKE AN INCOMING SURFACE ANTICYCLONE
EASTWARD INTO NEW YORK OVERNIGHT...WHICH MIGHT PUSH THE FRONTAL AXIS
BACK TO THE NORTH A BIT.  WILL KEEP PARTLY CLOUDY WORDING
OVERNIGHT...WITH SOME SPRINKLES POSSIBLE IN ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY
BEFORE MIDNIGHT.  MIN TEMPERATURE TRENDS LOOK ON TRACK...HAVE CUT THE
ADIRONDACKS A FEW DEGREES BUT NO OTHER CHANGES.  NO CHANGES TO LATER
PERIODS.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.





FXUS61 KBTV 031825
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
225 PM EDT SAT JUN 3 2000

CYC FLO ALFT FCST TO CONT ACRS FA THRU SUN NGT. ON THE SFC...HI PRES
OVR NRN MI IS FCST TO BCM DIFFUSE AS IT MOVS INTO NY SUNDAY. SKIES
WL BE CLR THRU THIS EVE...WITH INCRS IN CLDS LATE. WK CHANELLED VORT
MOVS INTO NRN AREAS LATE AT NGT WITH CLDS. ANOTHER VORT IMPACTS NRN
AREAS SUN AFTN AND NGT WITH CHC SHWRS.

WL CALL IT MSTLY CLR ERLY TNGT...THEN EXPECT CLDS TO INCRS LATE
TNGT WITH WK FNT TO OUR NW. SATL INDCS THAT CLDS ASOCD WITH SRN
CANADIAN FNT HAVE BEEN THINNING WITH TIME. WITH COLD AIR ALFT EXPECT
CHC SHWRS SUNDAY SPCLY AFTN AND EVE HRS. MODELS INDC LO LVL BNDRY TO
FOCUS CLDS NRN AREAS WITH POP 30 PCT NRN VT/NRN NY. PARTIAL CLRG
OR PTLY CLDY WILL RESULT NRN PTN OF FA SUNDAY NGT WITH SOMEWHAT
DRIER AIR MOVG IN ASOCD WITH CANADIAN HI. ACRS SRN AREAS WILL GO
WITH PTLY CLDY.

TEMPS...WITH MSTLY CLR SKIES AND LGT WNDS TNGT THE MOS TEMPS LK
REASONABLE WITH TNGTS LOWS GNRLY 40-45/ARND 45. T1 MIN TEMP
METHODOLOGY INDCS RANGE OF 39-45. HIGH TEMPS SUNDAY IN THE MID OR UPR
60S...WITH 40S SUNDAY NIGHT.

MONDAY SHUD FIND US BTWN SYS SO PTLY CLDY SHUD SUFFICE ACRS THE N
WITH THICKENING CLDS LATE. WL LEAVE OUT CHC SHWR. HOWEVER ACRS
RUTLAND/WINDSOR COUNTIES OF VT AND ADIRONDACKS WL GO WITH BCMG
CLDY CHC AFTN SHWR. HI TEMPS WL BE IN THE MID/UPR 60S.

WORKZONES AVBL BY 230 PM.

.BTV...NONE.

SFH



     This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   2. http://weather.gov/iwin/graphics.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


069
ASUS51 KBTV 110805
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 AM EDT TUE APR 11 2000

VTZ001>014-110900-

.....VERMONT.....


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    32  22  66 S6        30.31R
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     29  19  66 CALM      30.30R
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    34  24  67 W7        30.29R
ST. JOHNSBURY  N/A       25  22  88 CALM      30.27R
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    30  23  74 CALM      30.31R
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     27  24  89 S6        30.33R WCI  22
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    31  22  69 SW6       30.33R

......KEY......
FAIR - FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12000 FEET, WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER
       OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



     Our student forecasts have been completed for the year. They will
                         resume again in September.

      The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service.

     _________________________________________________________________

CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
346 AM EDT SUN JUN 4 2000

.TODAY...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS.  HIGH IN
THE MID 60S.  SOUTH WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF EVENING
SHOWERS...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY LATE.  LOW IN THE LOWER 40S.
NORTH WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A HIGH ONCE AGAIN IN THE MID 60S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 40S.
.TUESDAY...SCATTERED SHOWERS.  HIGH AROUND 65.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE AFTERNOON SHOWER. LOW 40 TO 45.
HIGH AROUND 65.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 45. HIGH 65 TO 70.

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