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118
FPUS51 KBTV 100807
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
407 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2000

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-101500-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
407 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDS MIXING WITH SOME SUNSHINE.  CHANCE OF A SHOWER
OR THUNDERSTORM THROUGH MID AFTERNOON.  HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE
OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 55 TO 60. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 70S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 50 TO 55.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW 50 TO 55.  HIGH 75 TO 80.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW 50 TO 55.  HIGH 75 TO 80.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-101500-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
407 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2000

.EARLY THIS MORNING...SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM THROUGH 6
AM...PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
.TODAY...CLOUDS MIXING WITH SOME SUNSHINE.  CHANCE OF A SHOWER
OR THUNDERSTORM.  HIGH 70 TO 75.  LIGHT SOUTHWEST WIND BECOMING
NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH 70 TO 75.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 45 TO 50.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH 70 TO 75.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW 45 TO 50.  HIGH IN THE 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW 45 TO 50.  HIGH 75 TO 80.

$$

VTZ011-012-101500-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
407 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2000

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM.  HIGH IN
THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST.
CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST
WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW AROUND 50.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH 75 TO 80.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW 50 TO 55.  HIGH NEAR 80.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW 50 TO 55.  HIGH NEAR 80.

$$

NYZ026-027-101500-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
407 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDS MIXING WITH SOME SUNSHINE.  CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR
THUNDERSTORM AROUND MIDDAY.  HIGH IN THE MID 70S. LIGHT WEST WIND
BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE MID 50S. LIGHT NORTHWEST WIND.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE MID 70S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 50 TO 55.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE 70S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW 50 TO 55.  HIGH 75 TO 80.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW 50 TO 55.  HIGH NEAR 80.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-101500-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
407 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDS MIXING WITH SOME SUNSHINE.  CHANCE OF A SHOWER
OR THUNDERSTORM THROUGH MID AFTERNOON. HIGH 70 TO 75. LIGHT WEST WIND
BECOMING NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW AROUND 50. LIGHT NORTHWEST WIND.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH 70 TO 75.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW IN THE 40S.  HIGH IN THE 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW IN THE 40S.  HIGH IN THE 70S.

$$

BELL




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FXUS61 KBTV 100806
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
405 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2000

CURRENT BATCH OF NOCTURNAL WARM FRONTAL CNVTN ALSO ALIGNED WELL
WITH LEADING EDGE OF VORT MAX SHOWN ON RUC FORECASTS....AND SHOULD
PUSH THROUGH NORTHEASTERN VERMONT BY 6 AM WHERE AN EARLY MORNING
PERIOD WAS ADDED TO THE ZONES.

TROUBLE IS...THE SFC TROF IS LAGGING BEHIND...STILL NORTHWEST OF
OTTAWA AND NOT SCHEDULED TO PASS UNTIL EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON.  NOT
MUCH DRYING UNTIL THAT TIME AND GOOD ENUF INSTABILITY FOR AT LEAST
A SCTD SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM.  FRZG LVL LOW ENUF AND WINDS STRONG
ENUF ALOFT SO THAT A FEW STRONGER STORMS WILL HAVE SMALL HAIL
AND GUSTY WINDS...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE VERY LIMITED SO NOT
MENTIONED IN ZONES. WITH WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AHEAD OF THE
TROF...CNVGC WILL BE MINIMIZED SO DON'T EXPECT WIDESPREAD OR
HEAVY PRECIP EVENT. HIGHEST POPS NERN ZONES.

COOLING AND CLEARING WILL BE GRADUAL THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT.
H8 TEMPS WILL BE LTL WARMER THAN OUR LAST COLD OUTBREAK...BUT
H5 TEMPS NEARLY AS COLD.  COULD MEAN DAYTIME INSTABILITY
SPRINKLES TUES AND EVEN WED...BUT NOT MENTIONED AT THIS TIME.

LOOKS LIKE A CONTINUATION OF THE COOLER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS
THROUGH MOST OF THE FIVE DAY PERIOD...AGAIN.  COLDEST NIGHT WILL
LIKELY BE TUESDAY WHEN ADIRONDACK AND NERN VT TEMPS MAY LOCALLY
FALL TO THE UPPER 30S AGAIN.


BTV...NONE.

BELL





FXUS61 KBTV 100133
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
932 PM EDT SUN JUL 9 2000

QUITE A EVENING AROUND THE AREA.  HEAVY RAIN HAS ENDED WITH RADAR
ESTIMATES OF UP TO 3 INCHES IN SOUTHERN FRANKLIN COUNTY NEW YORK AND
A SPOTTER REPORT OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR AT STAR LAKE NY AND GENERALLY
1 TO 1.50 INCHES IN CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VERMONT. NOT MUCH IN THE WAY
OF THUNDER. AFTER THE HEAVY RAIN ENDED A MESO-HIGH AND LOW FORMED
ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER WHICH BROUGHT WIND GUST OF 40 MPH TO BTV
FROM THE SOUTH FOLLOWED BY A WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTH AS THE MESO HIGH
PUSHED SOUTH. THE AUTOMATED WEATHER STATION FROM THE UNIVERSITY OF
VERMONT OUT ON COLCHESTER REEF IN THE MIDDLE OF LAKE CHAMPLAIN HAD A
GUST TO 54 MPH. LAKE WIND ADVISORY ISSUED EARLIER HAS BEEN TAKEN
DOWN.

BOUNDARY HAS WEAKENED NOW AND STATIONARY FROM OGS-BTV-1V4. EXPECT
THIS BOUNDARY TO WEAKEN AS CIRCULATION AROUND SYNOPTIC SCALE LOW
OVER CYUY TAKES OVER.

BUFCAN CANADIAN RADAR SHOWS MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE
FORMED NORTH OF LAKE ONTARIO ALONG WITH A FAST MOVING GUSTY(G29 KT AT
CYSB) LINE OF STORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN.  RUC SHOWS PLENTY OF ELEVATED
INSTABILITY OVER NIGHT AND SEE NO REASON THAT AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS
AND SHOWERS WON'T AFFECT OUR AREA MOSTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT.  STRONG JET
ALSO PUNCHING SOUTHEAST FROM ONTARIO.

SEE LITTLE CHANGE IN TEMPERATURES OVER NIGHT FROM THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 60S.

BTV...NONE.

SISSON





FXUS61 KBTV 091847
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
247 PM EDT SUN JUL 9 2000

SHOWERS BECAME MORE WDSPRD OVR SRN ONT EARLY THIS PM...AND THIS AREA
ADVANCING SE ACRS FA ATTM. NO TSRA AS OF YET...BUT LIGHTNING
INDICATED IN NEXT BATCH OF PCPN MOVG SE OUT OF ONTARIO.

PCPN EXPANDING IN ADVANCE OF WRMFNT...WHICH ATTEMPTS TO MOVE THRU
RGN FIRST HALF OF TONITE. CONVECTION NORTH OF BORDER BEING AIDED BY
SHRTWV WHICH WL MOV ACRS RGN TONITE AS WELL...EVENTUALLY DRAGGING
A SERIES OF SFC TROFS/CDFNTS THRU FA.  ALL ADDS UP TO A DAMP EVENING
WITH SHWRS AND SCT TSRA. BULK OF PCPN WL OCCUR DURING FIRST HALF OF
TONITE...WITH MORE SCT ACTIVITY AFT MIDNITE.

DURING MONDAY...MODELS INDICATE GOOD DRYING MID LVLS. INITIAL FROPA
WL OCCUR PRIOR TO 12Z MOST AREAS...BUT SECONDARY TROF NOT EXPECTED
TO CLEAR RGN TIL EARLY-MID PM. ENOUGH INSTABILITY AND LLVL MSTR TIL
THIS TIME TO KEEP IN MENTION OF CHC SHRA/TSRA...ALTHO WL BE
DOWNPLAYING PCPN FROM EARLIER FCSTS.

DRYING CONTINUES MON NITE/TUES. WITH UPR LVL PARKED OVR ERN QUE...WE
CAN EXPECT TO SEE A FAIR AMT OF DIURNALLY DRIVEN SC/CU TUES AS WE WL
BE UNDER INFLUENCE OF COOL POOL ALF.

EXTENDED: MAINLY DRY AND RATHER PLEASANT WED THRU FRI. SHRTWV
ROTATING ARND AFOREMENTIONED UPR LOW MAY TRIGGER SCT SHRA EITHER TUE
NITE OR WED...BUT WL NOT INCLUDE ANY MENTION OF PCPN ATTM.

BTV...NONE.

RJS



     This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   2. http://weather.gov/iwin/graphics.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

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     Our student forecasts have been completed for the year. They will
                         resume again in September.

      The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service.

     _________________________________________________________________

CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
407 AM EDT MON JUL 10 2000

.EARLY THIS MORNING...SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM THROUGH 6
AM...PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
.TODAY...CLOUDS MIXING WITH SOME SUNSHINE.  CHANCE OF A SHOWER
OR THUNDERSTORM.  HIGH 70 TO 75.  LIGHT SOUTHWEST WIND BECOMING
NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH 70 TO 75.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW 45 TO 50.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  HIGH 70 TO 75.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW 45 TO 50.  HIGH IN THE 70S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY.  LOW 45 TO 50.  HIGH 75 TO 80.

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