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224
FPUS51 KBTV 270846
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
346 AM EST MON NOV 27 2000

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-271600-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
346 AM EST MON NOV 27 2000

.TODAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. AREAS OF FOG. HIGH AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST
WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER
30S. WEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGH 35 TO
40. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 30.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH IN THE
30S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH AROUND 30.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH AROUND 30.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH IN THE 30S.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-271600-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
346 AM EST MON NOV 27 2000

.TODAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. AREAS OF FOG. HIGH IN THE UPPER 30S.
SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER
30S. WEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 30S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW 25 TO 30.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGH IN THE MID 30S.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH IN THE
30S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH AROUND 30.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH AROUND 30.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH IN THE 30S.

$$

VTZ011-012-271600-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
346 AM EST MON NOV 27 2000

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG.
HIGH 35 TO 40. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. LOW 30 TO 35. WEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGH 35 TO 40.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW 25 TO 30.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH IN THE
30S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH AROUND 30.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH AROUND 30.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH IN THE 30S.

$$

NYZ026-027-271600-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
346 AM EST MON NOV 27 2000

.TODAY...RAIN SHOWERS. AREAS OF FOG. HIGH AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST
WIND 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER
30S. WEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGH IN THE
UPPER 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW 25 TO 30.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGH IN THE MID 30S.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH IN THE
30S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH AROUND 30.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH AROUND 30.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH IN THE 30S.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-271600-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
346 AM EST MON NOV 27 2000

.TODAY...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. AREAS OF FOG. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER
30S. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOW AROUND
30. WEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGH IN THE
MID 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW IN THE MID 20S.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH IN THE
30S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH AROUND 30.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH AROUND 30.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH IN THE 30S.

$$




   [INLINE]
   _Links - (1) NEW:   [1]EMWIN Information        (2) Graphics
   [2]http://weather.gov _
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 270832
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
330 AM EST MON NOV 27 2000

MOISTURE TRAPPED UNDER SLOWLY-MOVING UPPER LOW THIS MORNING...WITH
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS ACROSS
NORTHERN SECTIONS.  GENERALLY LIGHT RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED...
COMPARED TO SUNDAY'S TOTALS. TEMPERATURES TO HOLD IN THE MID TO UPPER
30S TODAY.

TONIGHT THE UPPER CYCLONE CENTER BEGINS TO ROTATE AWAY...LEAVING
A MESSY SHORTWAVE RIDGE OVER THE AREA.  PLENTY OF MOISTURE AROUND...
AND WILL KEEP AT LEAST A CHANCE GOING ALL BUT SOUTH CENTRAL
VERMONT.  CLOUD COVER SHOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING ALL
LOCATIONS.

TUESDAY BRINGS SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES WITH THE NEXT SHORTWAVE
HEADING THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES.  AVN IS STRONGEST...AND BRINGS AT
LEAST THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS DURING THE DAY.
HAVE DECIDED TO INTRODUCE LOW POPS FOR TUESDAY...BUT PRECIP AMOUNTS
AGAIN LOOK QUITE SMALL.  MAX TEMPERATURES SHOULD ONLY BE A DEGREE OR
TWO COOLER THAN TODAY...BUT WEST WINDS WILL MAKE IT FEEL A BIT MORE
WINTERLIKE ONCE AGAIN.

DAYS 3 TO 7...MODELS STILL TRYING TO RESOLVE THE LARGE COASTAL
CYCLONE POTENTIAL FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.  AVN STILL THE FARTHEST
SOUTH AND EAST WITH THE 500MB CYCLONE...DEVELOPING MAJOR COASTAL
CYCLOGENESIS.  CURRENT FORECAST HAS CHANCE OF SNOW MENTIONED...SEE NO
REASON TO CHANGE EXISTING WORDING.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.





FXUS61 KBTV 270157
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
857 PM EST SUN NOV 26 2000

TREND IN RADAR IMAGERY/SURFACE DATA SUPPORTS GOING FORECAST IDEA OF
DECREASING AREAL COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION ALONG WITH A DECREASING
THREAT FOR ANY FREEZING RAIN.  BULK OF WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION HAS
NOW MOVED NORTH AND EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA AS SHORTWAVE
TROUGH/VORT MAX LIFTS NORTH OF THE AREA.  AREAL COVERAGE IS
CURRENTLY ISOLATED AT BEST.  PLENTY OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE EXISTS AND
THIS WILL BE LINGERING AROUND OVERNIGHT AS NO REAL CHANGE IN AIR MASS
IS EXPECTED.  SURFACE ANALYSIS AT 01Z SHOWS MAIN LOW NOW IN THE
VICINITY OF KMVY WITH SECONDARY LOW OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
LAKE HURON.  WEAKENING PRESSURE GRADIENT IN BETWEEN THESE TWO
SYSTEMS SUPPORTS THE IDEA OF NO AIR MASS CHANGE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS.  CURRENT TEMPERATURES...GENERALLY IN THE MID TO
UPPER 30S...WILL PERSIST ALL NIGHT AND THIS WILL LIMIT ANY
POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN.  GOING FORECAST HAD MENTION OF ANY
FREEZING RAIN POTENTIAL LINGERING INTO THE EVENING HOURS...THEN
DIMINISHING ALONG WITH THE AREAL COVERAGE OF PRECIPITATION.  THIS
PLAYING OUT NICELY AND WILL JUST GO WITH SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN
SHOWERS DURING THE OVERNIGHT.  BEST POTENTIAL TO SEE ANY SCATTERED
SHOWERS WILL BE ON THE NEW YORK SIDE...CLOSER TO THE UPPER LOW THAT
WILL BE MOVING OUT OF THE OHIO VALLEY.  NO OTHER CHANGES TO THE
REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST AS EVERYTHING IS IN GOOD SHAPE.

AS A SIDE NOTE...PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS FROM THIS EVENT RANGED FROM
A THIRD OF AN INCH TO AROUND AN INCH.  THE HIGHER QPF AMOUNTS WERE
OVER NORTHERN NEW YORK.  BASED ON HIGHWAY DEPARTMENT/STATE
POLICE/SPOTTER/AMATEUR RADIO REPORTS...FREEZING RAIN REPORTED
ACROSS MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA WITH THE EXCEPTION OF PARTS OF THE
NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS AND ALONG PARTS OF THE EAST SIDE OF LAKE
CHAMPLAIN.  CARS WERE REPORTED OFF THE ROAD ALONG I-89 AS A RESULT
OF THE ICY CONDITIONS.

WORK ZONES IN ALBWRKCWF BY 900 PM

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.





FXUS61 KBTV 262029
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
328 PM EST SUN NOV 26 2000

COASTAL STORM SYS TO MOVE UP THE NE COASTLINE RIGHT THRU MON...THEN
TRACK ACRS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES ON MON NITE/TUE. 12Z AVN STILL
LOOKS LIKE IT/S TRACKING THIS LOW TOO FAR INLAND. ANOTHER SFC/UPR
STORM SYS (TO THE WEST) TO MOVE ACRS THE ERN GREAT LKS REGION
TONITE...THEN ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER ON MON. YET ANOTHER...
WEAKER...STORM SYS TO SWEEP DOWN ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION ON MON
NITE/TUE. SHORTWAVE RIDGE TO BUILD ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION ON
MON/MON NITE...THEN ACRS THE FA ON TUE.

MESONET OBS INDICATE THAT ALL REGIONS OF THE FA HAVE MEASURED TODAY.
LOW-LVL COLD AIR HAS ALMOST TOTALLY MADE ITS WAY OUT OF THE NRN ST
LAW VLY (WHERE SFC TEMPS AROUND 32 DEG F PREVENTED A SIGNIFICANT ICE
STORM FROM OCCURRING). STILL SOME COLD AIR HANGIN' IN THERE ALONG THE
ERN SPINE OF THE GREEN MTNS AND IN THE CT RIVER VLY ATTM. ALSO...
REPORTS SHOW THAT THE NE KINGDOM IS STILL RECEIVING A WINTRY MIX OF
PCPN ATTM. CURRENTLY HAVE A MENTION OF PATCHY FZRA IN THESE NECKS OF
THE WOODS INTO THE EVENING HRS AND WILL SEE HOW THINGS PAN OUT THRU 4
PM BEFORE FINAL ZFP ISSUANCE. WILL LET WINTER WX ADVISORY DIE WITH
THIS PACKAGE THOUGH.

FA TO BE UNDER H85 WAA EARLY TONITE...THEN CAA LATER TONITE AND ON
MON/MON NITE. NEUTRAL ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE ON TUE. PLENTY OF LOW-
LVL MOISTURE TO BE IN PLACE ACRS THE FA TONITE RIGHT THRU MON NITE.
SOME AMT OF LOW-LVL MOISTURE TO LINGER INTO TUE AS WELL. GOOD LOW-LVL
MOISTURE ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA EARLY TONITE. MID-LVL
DRY PUNCH APPEARS TO BE DEPICTED IN 12Z MODELS A LIL TOO FAR TO THE
EAST WHEN COMPARED TO H2O VAP IMAGERY. BEST DEEPER MOISTURE STILL
HANGIN' BACK WITH UPR LOW CENTER ATTM. FEEL THIS DRY PUNCH WILL
AFFECT THE FA TONITE AND THAT ANY PCPN THAT OCCURS THEN WILL BE LT
AND BECOMING MORE SCT IN NATURE WITH TIME. BEST DEEPER MOISTURE
(AFTER TODAY AND INTO THIS EVENING) TO BE ACRS THE FA ON MON/EARLY
MON NITE. MID-LVLS LOOK TO BE DRY FOR TUE. PW VALUES FROM LATER
TONITE THRU MON LOOK TO BE 0.5"-0.75".

H85 TEMPS GO NEGATIVE BY AROUND 18Z MON. 1000-850 MB THICKNESSES
START TO SUPPORT SN BY AROUND 12Z TUE ACRS THE NRN TIER ZONES. 850-
700 MB THICKNESSES START TO SUPPORT SN (IN THE HIR TRRN) BY AROUND
18Z MON AS WELL. 925 MB WET-BULB TEMPS GO NEGATIVE ACRS THE NRN TIER
ZONES ON MON NITE. ELEVATION SN POSSIBLE LATER ON MON...BUT MORE
DEFINITE ON MON NITE AS BOUNDARY LYR TEMPS BECOME COLD ENUFF FOR SN
THEN.

WILL CONT CATEGORICAL POPS INTO TONITE WITH PCPN TAPERING OFF WITH
TIME. SCT POPS SOUTH/LIKELY POPS NORTH LOOK LIKE THE WAY TO GO FOR
MON. SCT/CHC POPS FOR MON NITE. KEPT FORECAST FOR TUE DRY. BASICALLY
WENT MORE TOWARDS MAV POPS AS NGM POPS LOOKED A LIL TOO HI. NGM/MAV
TEMPS LOOK A LIL WARM IN A FEW LOCALES FOR MON WITH EXPECTED CLD
COVER/PCPN CHANCES.

IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD...CLIPPER SYS LOOKS TO BE PASSING BY THE
REGION TO THE SOUTH ON WED (CHC OF SN). WRAP-AROUND SHSN LOOK LIKE A
GOOD BET ON THU/FRI. ANOTHER CLIPPER SYS LOOK TO BE AFFECTING THE
REGION ON FRI/SAT. HI PRESS RIDGE TO BUILD ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION
ON SUN...SO WENT WITH DRY WX FOR THEN. TEMPS SHOULD BE PLENTY COLD
ENUFF FOR SN RIGHT THRU THE PERIOD.

WORK ZONES OUT UNDER ALBWRKCWF. FINAL ZFP AFTER A QUICK LOOK AT THE
LATEST OBS...LAMP DATA...AND RADAR TRENDS.

.BTV...NONE.

MURRAY



     This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   2. http://weather.gov/iwin/graphics.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


481
ASUS51 KBTV 271105
SWRVT
ALBSWRVT ALL

VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON NOV 27 2000

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-271200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     LGT RAIN  37  37 100 CALM      29.54S FOG
MONTPELIER     FOG       33  33 100 CALM      29.55F VSB 1/4
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    33  33 100 CALM      29.54S FOG
ST. JOHNSBURY  N/A      N/A N/A N/A CALM      29.52F
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    39  37  93 CALM      29.54S
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       34  34 100 CALM      29.55F VSB 3/4
BENNINGTON     LGT RAIN N/A N/A N/A CALM      29.57S VSB 1
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



     Our Local Student forecasts will return on November 27, following
                            Thanksgiving break.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service

     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
 1100 AM EST SUN NOV 26 2000

 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY TODAY...
 .REST OF TODAY...SLEET OR FREEZING RAIN...GRADUALLY CHANGING TO RAIN.
 SOME ICE ACCUMULATION BEFORE THE CHANGEOVER. HIGH IN THE 30S. LIGHT
 WIND.
 .TONIGHT...PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN. LOW IN THE MID 30S. LIGHT WIND.
 CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT.
 .MONDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN SHOWERS. HIGH AROUND 40. CHANCE OF RAIN
 90 PERCENT.

 .EXTENDED FORECAST...
 .MONDAY NIGHT...RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY...THEN REMAINING CLOUDY.
 LOW AROUND 30.
 .TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS.  HIGH AROUND 40.
 .WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW.  LOW 25 TO 30.  HIGH IN THE 30S.
 .THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE TEENS.  HIGH
 25 TO 30.
 .FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE TEENS.  HIGH 25
 TO 30.
 .SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW.  LOW IN THE TEENS.  HIGH 25 TO 30.

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