Print

Print


447
FPUS51 KBTV 280825
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
324 AM EST TUE NOV 28 2000

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-281600-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
ST. ALBANS
324 AM EST TUE NOV 28 2000

.TODAY...A FEW MORNING SPRINKLES...OTHERWISE CLOUDY. HIGH AROUND 40.
SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...CHANGING TO ALL SNOW
OVERNIGHT AND TAPERING OFF. AN INCH OR LESS ACCUMULATION. LOW IN THE
LOWER 30S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60
PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...A FEW MORNING FLURRIES...OTHERWISE CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE
MID TO UPPER 30S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 30.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-281600-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
324 AM EST TUE NOV 28 2000

.TODAY...A FEW MORNING SPRINKLES...OTHERWISE CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE MID
TO UPPER 30S. LIGHT WIND.
.TONIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...CHANGING TO ALL SNOW
OVERNIGHT AND TAPERING OFF. AN INCH OR LESS ACCUMULATION. LOW AROUND
30. LIGHT WIND. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...A FEW MORNING FLURRIES...OTHERWISE CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE
MID 30S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW 25 TO 30.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S.

$$

VTZ010>012-281600-
ORANGE-RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
324 AM EST TUE NOV 28 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 40S. LIGHT WIND.
.TONIGHT...RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...CHANGING TO ALL SNOW
OVERNIGHT AND TAPERING OFF. AN INCH OR LESS ACCUMULATION. LOW IN THE
LOWER 30S. LIGHT WIND. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...A FEW MORNING FLURRIES...OTHERWISE CLOUDY. HIGH 35 TO
40.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 30.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGH IN THE MID 30S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S.

$$

NYZ026-027-281600-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
324 AM EST TUE NOV 28 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH 35 TO
40. WIND BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40
PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...EVENING RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...CHANGING TO ALL SNOW
BY MIDNIGHT THEN ENDING AROUND DAYBREAK. AN INCH OR LESS
ACCUMULATION. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHEAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...A FEW MORNING FLURRIES...OTHERWISE CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE
MID TO UPPER 30S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 30.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-281600-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
324 AM EST TUE NOV 28 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID
30S. LIGHT WIND. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...TAPERING OFF OVERNIGHT. UP TO 2
INCHES ACCUMULATION. LOW AROUND 30. EAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...A FEW MORNING FLURRIES...OTHERWISE CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE
LOWER TO MID 30S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW IN THE MID 20S.
.THURSDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGH AROUND 30.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN
THE 20S.

$$




   [INLINE]
   _Links - (1) NEW:   [1]EMWIN Information        (2) Graphics
   [2]http://weather.gov _
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 280706
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
205 AM EST TUE NOV 28 2000

ANOTHER CLOUDY DAY IN STORE FOR THE REGION WITH VERY WEAK 500 MB
RIDGING MOVING THROUGH.  NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIP WILL BE THIS AFTERNOON
IN NORTHERN NEW YORK...THEN ACROSS ALL AREAS TONIGHT AS A MOISTURE-
STARVED SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES.  SNOW LEVELS
DROPPING FROM AROUND 1000-2000 FEET THIS MORNING TO THE VALLEY FLOORS
BY MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.  QPF PRETTY FEEBLE WITH THIS SHORTWAVE...SO HAVE
ONLY INDICATED A TRACE TO 2 INCHES SNOW ACCUMULATION BY WEDNESDAY
MORNING.  BY WEDNESDAY THE 00 UTC MODELS ARE AMPLIFYING A SIGNIFICANT
SHORTWAVE ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL APPALACHIAN RANGE...THEN
SUBSEQUENT BOMB-O-GENESIS OCCURS OFF THE NEW JERSEY COAST THURSDAY
MORNING.  OUR REGION REMAINS PROTECTED BY AN AMPLIFYING DOWNSTREAM
RIDGE ON WEDNESDAY...ALTHOUGH THICKNESSES CONTINUE TO FALL.  NO REAL
SHOT OF PRECIP FROM THIS SYSTEM UNTIL WEDNESDAY NIGHT AT THE
EARLIEST.

DAYS 3 TO 7...FOLLOWING THE 00 UTC AVN RUN...THE COASTAL CYCLOGENESIS
ON THURSDAY LEAVES A DEFORMATION BAND OVER NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
THUS HAVE KEPT A CHANCE OF SNOW FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...BUT IF
MODEL FORECASTS ARE TOO FAR SOUTH WITH THE COASTAL LOW THEN OUR AREA
COULD SEE MORE SNOWFALL.  HOWEVER...AVN CONTINUES TO SHOW AN UPSTREAM
SHORTWAVE KICKING THE CYCLONE SWIFTLY INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY
FRIDAY MORNING SO THE PRECIP WE SEE COULD BE SHORT-LIVED.  DRY AIR
ADVECTING IN BEHIND THIS SYSTEM FOR THE WEEKEND AS A COLD AND STRONG
ANTICYCLONE HEADS FOR NEW ENGLAND.  NO CHANGES TO DAYS 5 TO 7.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.





FXUS61 KBTV 280137
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
836 PM EST MON NOV 27 2000

LATEST WTR VPR/IR IMAGERY SHWG PESKY UPR LOW STARTING TO
PULL AWAY FM FA WITH A "STRETCHING" OF THE COLDER CLD TOPS
AND LESS ACTVTY ON KCXX.

THIS TREND SHLD CONT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE NGT...PRVS FCST
HAD CHC OF -SHRA TIL MIDNIGHT. HWVR...SLGTLY CONCERNED ABT ANTHR
VORT LOBE MVG WITHIN SLGTLY ANTI-CYCLONIC ULVL FLOW ACRS ONTARIO/
WRN QUEBEC ATTM. BUFCAN SHWS SOME RETURNS AND IR IMAGERY SHWS SOME
COOLER TOPS. I/LL COMPROMISE AND PSBLY GO WITH SPRINKLES AS THE MORE
ORGANIZED ACTVY DEFINITELY DECREASING AND NXT MINOR VORT LOBE WL BE
HIT/MISS "TRACE" EVENT.

OTHERWISE...PRVS FCST LOOKS GOOD.

.BTV...NONE.

SLW





FXUS61 KBTV 272132
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
431 PM EST MON NOV 27 2000

MSTR WILL BE SLOW TO DIMINISH.  NOT MUCH COLD OR DRY ADVCTN OR
DOWNWARD MOTION BEFORE NEXT CLSD UPR LOW ARRIVES FROM THE GREAT LAKES
TUES NGT.

PCPN WILL BECOME LIGHTER AND MORE OROGRAPHIC TNGT WITH
SLOW CHG TO SNOW IN ADIRONDACKS AND GREEN MTNS ABOVE 1000 FEET.  NO
ACCUMULATION EXPECTD.

DRY DAY TUESDAY BUT PRBLY STILL MOSTLY CLOUDY.

WKNG UPR LOW WITH LTL LOW LVL ORGANIZATION OR ORGANIZED VERTICAL
MOTION SUGGESTS ONLY SCTD RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TUES NGT AND
EARLY WED IN NRN SECTIONS ONLY.

NEXT MAJOR S/WV IN THE OH VLY ON WED.  AVN POINTS TO THIS
S/WV BEING CAUGHT IN BASE OF DVLPG LONG WV TROF AND STGLY DPNG
ALONG SERN NEW ENGLAND WED NGT INTO THURSDAY.  THIS TRACK MIGHT KEEP
ALL THE SGNFT SNOW TO THE SOUTH OF OUR FORECAST AREAS.  TWO
SCENARIOS WOULD STILL PUT OUR AREA IN RISK OF SGFNT SNOW....A
SHARPER AND SLOWER LONG WAVE TROF....OR A NORTHEASTWARD EJECTION OF
THE OH VLY S/WV ON THE FRONT SIDE OF THE DVLPG LONG WV TROF.  THE
LATTER IS A PSBLTY AS EXTRAPOLATED FROM THE CURRENT ETA OR UKMET
RUNS.  SINCE THERE IS A WELL-DEFINED H7 LOW AND AN EVENTUAL
OCCLUDING PROCESS...EXPECT HEAVIEST SNOW MAY EVENTUALLY END
UP A HUNDRED MILES OR SO LEFT OF THE TRACK OF THE H7 LOW.

END OF WEEK INTO WEEKEND IS ACTUALLY MORE CERTAIN...JUST COLD
AND DRY SINCE STORM OFF MARITIMES WILL BE TOO PROGRESSIVE TO
WRAP ANY SGNFT MSTR BACK AROUND THE STORM.

BELL

.BTV...NONE.



     This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   2. http://weather.gov/iwin/graphics.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


979
ASUS51 KBTV 281105
SWRVT
ALBSWRVT ALL

VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST TUE NOV 28 2000

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-281200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     DRIZZLE   36  35  96 CALM      29.82R FOG
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    34  34 100 CALM      29.82R FOG
MORRISVILLE    LGT RAIN  34  34 100 CALM      29.81R FOG
ST. JOHNSBURY  N/A       33  33 100 CALM      29.79R
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    39  36  87 CALM      29.80R
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    39  36  89 NW3       29.80R
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    40  36  86 SW9       29.83R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        _LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                      5:00PM, Monday November 27, 2000
                    STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Jill Gilardi_
       _** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**_


   _
   Monday Evening: Some snow showers might linger throughout the evening,
   as a low pressure system positioned just off the coast of Maine, will
   throw back a little bit of moisture. With this expected moist air in
   place the temperatures will hold right around the low 30s creating
   some areas of fog. Winds will be light from the southwest at 5mph.

   Tuesday: Clouds will remain in control with snow showers possible
   throughout the day. The high temperatures will creep to the upper 30s.

   Tuesday night: Some light snow could work its way into the northeast
   as a trough swipes across the Great Lakes. Low temperatures will range
   from 25-30 degrees.

   Wednesday: The sun might actually decide to come out today. Clouds
   will vary throughout the day with high temperatures reaching near 40
   degrees. The low will stick into the upper 20s.

                             Extended Forecast

   Thursday: A questionable system will give us snow showers, but as this
   system moves off the coast of Long Island and Boston it could filter
   in more moisture, resulting in more snow for the northeast. It all
   depends on its track but otherwise expect some wintry conditions with
   highs reaching the low 30s and lows that will fall into the 20s by
   nightfall.

   Friday: Once again depending on the exact track of the system, the
   northeast could just be blustery with scattered intervals of snow
   showers or the actual intensity of snow could be greater. The high
   temperature will hover around freezing and the low temperature will
   fall to the lower 20s.

   Saturday: Another chance for snow is likely. The winds could also be
   gusty making a high temperature of 30 degrees feel close to 10-15
   degrees cooler. Overnight lows will fall again to the lower 20s.

                            Forecast Discussion


   Currently a recent storm system is exiting the northeast but is still
   producing some rain/snow showers. If you were one of those lucky
   people who got to drive through yesterdays weather well I am sure that
   you are relieved to be safe and in your homes. Roads were absolutely
   treacherous leaving many stranded and some in need of medical
   attention. It seems like we are out of the woods now but as the later
   part of the week comes around there is another possible chance for
   snow. A trough is going to pass across the Great Lakes spitting some
   snowshowers over the northeast. This system is expected to move off
   the coast of Massachusetts creating some inclement weather for the
   coastline. Now depending on the track will depend on how much
   precipitation we can expect. The least we will get out of this system
   is windy weather and periods of light snow.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html