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501
FPUS51 KBTV 220846
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
345 AM EST WED NOV 22 2000

VTZ002-005-006-008-009-221600-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-FRANKLIN VT-LAMOILLE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...MONTPELIER...
ST. ALBANS
345 AM EST WED NOV 22 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ESPECIALLY IN THE
HILLS...BECOMING MORE NUMEROUS TOWARD EVENING. HIGH AROUND 30. WEST
WIND 10 TO 15 MPH DIMINISHING BY EVENING. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND PERHAPS AN ISOLATED
SNOW SQUALL. A DUSTING TO PERHAPS LOCALIZED 2 INCHES OF SNOW
ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE. LOW IN THE TEENS. WIND BECOMING NORTHWEST 10
TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES.
HIGH 25 TO 30.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS.
.FRIDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY AT NIGHT.
HIGH AROUND 30.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW 20 TO 25. HIGH 30 TO 35.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW 15 TO 20. HIGH AROUND 40.
.MONDAY...INCREASING CLOUDS. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH IN THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH 35 TO 40.

$$

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-221600-
E ESSEX NY-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PLATTSBURGH
345 AM EST WED NOV 22 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH AROUND 30. WEST
WIND 10 TO 15 MPH DIMINISHING BY EVENING. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE TEENS. WIND
BECOMING NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES.
HIGH 25 TO 30.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS.
.FRIDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY AT NIGHT.
HIGH AROUND 30.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW 20 TO 25. HIGH 30 TO 35.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW 15 TO 20. HIGH AROUND 40.
.MONDAY...INCREASING CLOUDS. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH IN THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH 35 TO 40.

$$

VTZ003-004-007-010-221600-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-ORANGE-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
345 AM EST WED NOV 22 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE UPPER
20S. WEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 10 TO 15.
NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WITH CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGH
IN THE MID 20S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 10 TO 15.
.FRIDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY AT NIGHT.
HIGH AROUND 30.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH 30 TO 35.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH IN THE 30S.
.MONDAY...INCREASING CLOUDS. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH 40 TO 45.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH 35 TO 40.

$$

VTZ011-012-221600-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
345 AM EST WED NOV 22 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S.
WEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOW
IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGH 25 TO 30.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS.
.FRIDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY AT NIGHT.
HIGH AROUND 30.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW 20 TO 25. HIGH 30 TO 35.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW 15 TO 20. HIGH AROUND 40.
.MONDAY...INCREASING CLOUDS. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH IN THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH 35 TO 40.

$$

NYZ027-221600-
N FRANKLIN NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MALONE
345 AM EST WED NOV 22 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S.
WEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LOW IN THE
TEENS. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...VARIABLE CLOUDINESS. HIGH AROUND 30.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS.
.FRIDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY BY EVENING.
HIGH AROUND 30.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW 20 TO 25. HIGH 30 TO 35.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW 15 TO 20. HIGH AROUND 40.
.MONDAY...INCREASING CLOUDS. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH IN THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH 35 TO 40.

$$

NYZ026-221600-
N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MASSENA
345 AM EST WED NOV 22 2000

.TODAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND
SOUTH OF CANTON. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE IN
LOCALIZED AREAS. HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE
OF SNOW 70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LITTLE
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. LOW IN THE TEENS. NORTHWEST WIND 5
TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGH IN
THE MID 20S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS.
.FRIDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY BY EVENING.
HIGH AROUND 30.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW 20 TO 25. HIGH 30 TO 35.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW 15 TO 20. HIGH AROUND 40.
.MONDAY...INCREASING CLOUDS. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH IN THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH 35 TO 40.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-221600-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
345 AM EST WED NOV 22 2000

.TODAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION 1 TO 3 INCHES
POSSIBLE. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. WEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE
OF SNOW 70 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY UNTIL MIDNIGHT. LITTLE
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. LOW 10 TO 15. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO
10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGH IN
THE MID 20S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 10.
.FRIDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY BY EVENING.
HIGH IN THE MID 20S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH AROUND 30.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH IN THE 30S.
.MONDAY...INCREASING CLOUDS. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH AROUND 40.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH IN THE 30S.

$$

SLW




   [INLINE]
   _Links - (1) NEW:   [1]EMWIN Information        (2) Graphics
   [2]http://weather.gov _
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 220709
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
209 AM EST WED NOV 22 2000

BIG PIX: COLD...LW TROF WL CONT TO DOMINATE FA THRU ERLY FRI
WITH A MODERATING AND "DRYING" TREND THEREAFTER. IN THE MEANTIME...
ANTHR REINFORCING SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR OVRNGT AS PIECE OF POLAR VORTEX
SLIDES ACRS FA FOR A COLD TURKEY DAY.

THIS FCST PKG IS AN IMPORTANT FCST FOR HOLIDAY TRAVELERS BUT A
"NUISANCE" FORECAST FOR US AS THERE/S REALLY NOTHING SUBSTANTIAL
TO "HANG YOUR HAT ON".

CRNT/SHORT TERM: SCT -SHSN ACTVTY CONTS ACRS NRN NY/NRN VT WITH
MAIN FOCUS ALG WRN SPINE OF GRN MTNS IN WNW FLOW. BUFCAN SHWS MANY
RETURNS IN SE ONTARIO/QUEBEC ROTATING INTO NRN NY AND IS LKLY IN
RESPONSE TO SFC TROF AXIS STL BACK INTO THAT AREA AS WELL AS SOME
MINOR S/W STL PIVOTING ACRS FA ERLY THIS MRNG.

THEREAFTER...AWAITING AFOREMENTIONED POLAR VORTEX TO SLIDE S ACRS
NRN AND ERN GRT LAKES TDY/ERLY EVENING WITH WEAK WAVE ALG ARCTIC FNT
CROSSING FA TNGT.

ONE CONCERN IS THE PSBLTY OF A BRIEF RETURN OF LES BANDS INTO PTN OF
FA AFFECTED MON NGT/ERLY TUES AS WNDS BACK AHD OF DROPPING VORTEX.
CRNTLY...SVRL BANDED STRUCTURES ACRS LAKE ONTARIO WITH THE "TRULY"
LAKE BAND LKLY RUNNING IN THE KSYR VCNTY BUT BROAD AREA OF
CONCENTRATED SHSN/+SHSN ACTVTY IN SRN JEFFERSON/LEWIS CTYS (S OF
KART). BUFKIT SHWS EVENTUAL SHIFTING OF KSYR BAND INTO FA BY
ERLY/MID AFTN THEN QUICKLY DISSIPATES AFT A COUPLE OF HRS DUE TO
STG SHEARING WITH VORTEX PSG. HWVR...THIS OTHER BROAD FEATURE IS VRY
CLOSE TO FA NOW AND WITH ANY BACKING CUD REACH SAME AREAS BY NOON.

YDY/S DAYSHIFT HAS ALRDY MADE SOME ACCNT FOR THE PSBLTY OF A MINOR
LES EVENT ACRS FA THIS AFTN AND WL ACCEPT THIS FOR NOW...BUT IF LTR
THINKING CHANGES...THEN WL UPDATE THIS WITH ANY ADV (IF NECESSARY).

OTHERWISE...POLAR VORTEX SLIDING ACRS WRN FA WL LKLY BRG ABT SOME -SN
ACRS NRN NY THIS AFTN/TNGT...BCMG SCT (-SHSN VARIETY) ACRS VT TNGT.

ONE CONCERN FOR IMMEDIATE VICINITY OVRNGT...ARCTIC BNDRY WL PROVIDE
SOME LIFT ACRS FA...ESP CHMPL VLY OVR LAKE CHAMPLAIN (44F) WHERE
BUFKIT CAPES OVR LAKE ARE FCST TO BE ARD 800 J/KG. ATTM...THE ARCTIC
BNDRY PSG ARD 00Z MAY PROVIDE ONE CONCENTRATION OF -SHSN ACTVTY ACRS
ENTIRE VLY BUT NOT UNTIL AFT 04Z AS DECENT CAA AND NNW-NW WNDS BTWN
320-340 (WITH LTL SHEAR TO 6K) MV ACRS BROAD LAKE WHERE SOME
LOCALIZED -SHSN/SQUALL NOT OUT OF THE REALM OF PSBLTYS. THIS WUD
PLACE IT MAINLY ALG/S OF KBTV ON VT SIDE OF LAKE. THIS WL BE FOR
DAYSHIFT TO DIGEST AND PSBLY PROVIDE MORE DETAIL. HWVR...GIVEN RECENT
RDR TRENDS AND SHSN ACTVTY IN CHMPL VLY (WITH A WEST WIND)...
DEFINITELY WORTH WATCHING.

THANKSGIVING: SOME -SHSN ACTVTY PSBLY LINGERING ACRS VT IN MRNG (ESP
ALG WRN SLOPES OF GRN MTNS S OF KBTV)...OTHERWISE MSTLY CLDY/COLD
WITH CHC FLURRIES AS COOL CYCLONIC FLOW AND WEAK VORT MAXES TRVL OVR
FA.

XTND: FRI STARTS OFF RATHER NICE WITH SOME SS BUT NXT S/W DROPPING
INTO TROF ACCOMPANIED BY WAA FIELD WL BRG ABT INCREASE CLDS AND SOME
-SN ACRS NRN NY BY LATE AFTN AND ACRS REST OF FA FRI NGT.

THAT WL BE THE LAST WX MAKER OF THIS COLD TROF AS RDG BEGINS TO
BUILD INTO FA ON SAT WITH MODERATING TMPS AND CLRG SKIES.

BUILDING RDG WL ALLOW FOR SOME THREAT OF DECAYING SYSTEMS IN SRN
STREAM TO MAKE PROGRESS INTO NE CORRIDOR ON SUNDAY...BUT NOW JUST
SOME INCRS CLDS.

THEREAFTER...STILL BELIEVE MONDAY IS A DAY IN WAITING FOR CONJUNCTION
OF SRN AND NRN STREAM SYSTEMS ACRS FA TUES AND/OR WED.

MY LAST MIDSHIFT THIS STRETCH SO...HAPPY THANKSGIVING.

WORKS AVBL BTWN 230-245 AM.

.BTV...NONE.

SLW





FXUS61 KBTV 220211
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
910 PM EST TUE NOV 21 2000

NW FLOW CONT SNW SHWRS ALNG WRN SLOPES OF GRN MTNS AND ACRS SPINE OF
THE GRNS.  WL CONT WITH LKLY POPS THESE ZNS.  ELSEWHERE WL LOWER
POPS TO SCT AS RDR NOT SHWG A LOT. 18Z ETA SHWG PCPN TAPRING OFF
OVRNGT SO WL CALL FOR SHSN TO TAPER TO FLRYS.

MADE A FEW CHGS TO TEMPS BASED ON CRRNT RDGS.

.BTV...NONE.

MCGILL





FXUS61 KBTV 212036
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
335 PM EST TUE NOV 21 2000

IR CLOUD TOPS COOLING OVER THE AREA THE LAST FEW HOURS...WITH SNOW
BREAKING OUT ACROSS AREAS MAINLY WEST OF THE GREEN MOUNTAIN SPINE.
RUC/ETA 300-500MB POTENTIAL VORTICITY MAX APPEARS RESPONSIBLE FOR
THIS...AND IS FORECAST TO SLIDE SOUTHEAST OF THE REGION AFTER 06 UTC.
NEXT UPSTREAM SYSTEM TO PUSH DYNAMICS MAINLY THROUGH THE WESTERN
SECTIONS OF THE AREA WEDNESDAY...FOCUSING MAINLY ON THE ADIRONDACKS
FOR MEASURABLE SNOWFALL.  ALSO OF CONCERN IS SIGNIFICANT LAKE EFFECT
SNOW SPREADING INTO THE ADIRONDACKS...WITH LOW-LEVEL FLOW BACKING TO
SOUTHWEST AFTER 12 UTC WEDNESDAY THROUGH AROUND MIDDAY WHEN THE
TROUGH AXIS/ARCTIC BOUNDARY PASSES THROUGH.  FOR NOW WILL GO WITH
1 TO 3 INCHES IN THE DACKS...FUTURE SHIFTS MAY ADJUST AS NECESSARY.
ELSEWHERE WORDING IS FOR SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS WITH LITTLE
ACCUMULATION.  FLOW SHIFTS TO NORTHWEST BEHIND THIS FEATURE...WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LINGERING OVERNIGHT. FOR THANKSGIVING DAY...A
WEAK IMPULSE GRAZES THE AREA. RIGHT NOW IT DOESN'T LOOK POWERFUL
ENOUGH TO PRODUCT MORE THAN FLURRIES. TEMPERATURES QUITE COOL WITH
MOST AREAS NOT MAKING IT TO 30F.

DAYS 3 TO 7...CONCENTRATED IPV MAX SLAMS THROUGH THE AREA FRIDAY...
HAVE OPTED FOR SNOW LIKELY WORDING.  AFTER THAT THE HEIGHTS RISE
AND DRY AIR WORKS BACK INTO THE REGION.  TEMPERATURES BACK ABOVE
NORMAL THIS WEEKEND.  MRF HINTING AT ANOTHER COOLDOWN AND CHANCE OF
PRECIP EARLY NEXT WEEK.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.



     This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   2. http://weather.gov/iwin/graphics.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


064
ASUS51 KBTV 221005
SWRVT
ALBSWRVT ALL

VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
500 AM EST WED NOV 22 2000

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-221100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     LGT SNOW  27  24  89 VRB5      29.82R FOG     WCI  27
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    24  18  77 W9        29.78R WCI  10
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    26  18  71 CALM      29.78R
ST. JOHNSBURY  N/A       27  21  78 CALM      29.74R
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    25  16  68 NW8       29.80R WCI  13
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    26  14  60 W7        29.80R WCI  18
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    25  17  72 W10       29.84R WCI   9
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



     Our Local Student forecasts will return on November 27, following
                            Thanksgiving break.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service

     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-ORANGE-ORLEANS-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
 345 AM EST WED NOV 22 2000

 .TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE UPPER
 20S. WEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
 .TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 10 TO 15.
 NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.
 .THANKSGIVING DAY...VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WITH CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGH
 IN THE MID 20S.

 .EXTENDED FORECAST...
 .THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 10 TO 15.
 .FRIDAY...INCREASING CLOUDINESS WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY AT NIGHT.
 HIGH AROUND 30.
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH 30 TO 35.
 .SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH IN THE 30S.
 .MONDAY...INCREASING CLOUDS. LOW IN THE 20S. HIGH 40 TO 45.
 .TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. LOW 25 TO 30. HIGH 35 TO 40.

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