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079
FPUS51 KBTV 300831
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
331 AM EST THU NOV 30 2000

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-301600-
E ESSEX NY-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...PLATTSBURGH
331 AM EST THU NOV 30 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...TAPERING TO FLURRIES
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE
OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW. LOW IN THE
LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH AROUND
30. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOW 15 TO 20.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID 20S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EACH DAY. LOWS
IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

$$

VTZ002-005-009-301600-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-FRANKLIN VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...ST. ALBANS
331 AM EST THU NOV 30 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...TAPERING TO FLURRIES
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE
OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LIGHT SNOW OR FLURRIES LIKELY IN THE
VALLEY...WITH SNOW LIKELY NEAR THE GREEN MOUNTAIN FOOTHILLS.
ACCUMULATION FROM A DUSTING NEAR THE LAKESHORE TO 2 INCHES AT
HIGHER ELEVATIONS. LOW IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10
MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. OCCASIONAL FLURRIES IN THE VALLEY...SNOW
SHOWERS LIKELY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS. HIGH AROUND 30. CHANCE OF SNOW
60 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOW 15 TO 20.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID 20S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EACH DAY. LOWS
IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-301600-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
331 AM EST THU NOV 30 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...TAPERING TO FLURRIES
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...SNOW LIKELY...ESPECIALLY AT HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
ACCUMULATION FROM A DUSTING TO 2 INCHES. LOW AROUND 20.
NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGH AROUND 30. CHANCE OF SNOW
60 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOW IN THE TEENS.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE LOWER 20S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EACH DAY. LOWS
15 TO 25. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

$$

VTZ010>012-301600-
ORANGE-RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
331 AM EST THU NOV 30 2000

.TODAY...LIGHT SNOW...MIXED WITH RAIN AT LOWER ELEVATIONS THIS
MORNING. SNOW TAPERING TO FLURRIES THIS AFTERNOON. ACCUMULATION
AROUND AN INCH. HIGH IN THE MID 30S. NORTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE
OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH OCCASIONAL FLURRIES. LOW AROUND 20.
NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGH AROUND 30.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOW 15 TO 20.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EACH DAY. LOWS
15 TO 25. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

$$

NYZ026-027-301600-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
331 AM EST THU NOV 30 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW THIS MORNING. HIGH IN THE LOWER
30S. NORTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE
LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGH AROUND 30.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOW 15 TO 20.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID 20S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EACH DAY. LOWS
IN THE 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-301600-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...LAKE PLACID
331 AM EST THU NOV 30 2000

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS...TAPERING TO FLURRIES
THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE
OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH. LOW
AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW
60 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOW 10 TO 15.
.SATURDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE LOWER 20S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS EACH DAY. LOWS
IN THE TEENS. HIGHS IN THE 20S.

$$




   [INLINE]
   _Links - (1) NEW:   [1]EMWIN Information        (2) Graphics
   [2]http://weather.gov _
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 300823
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
320 AM EST THU NOV 30 2000

IN ADDITION TO LIGHT SNOW TRYING TO ADVANCE NORTHEASTWARD INTO
SOUTHERN VERMONT TONIGHT...WE'VE ALSO SEEN SOME RENEGADE LIGHT SNOW
SHOWERS ACROSS THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA.  NONE OF THESE ARE
SHOWING UP ON RADAR.  HAVE INCLUDED CHANCE POPS FOR ALL EXCEPT
SOUTHERN VERMONT ZONES TODAY...WITH ONLY ABOUT AN INCH ACCUMULATION
IN RUTLAND/WINDSOR/ORANGE COUNTIES (THIS IS A BETTER FIT WITH WFO
ALBANY THINKING).

THIS STORM EXITS TONIGHT BUT COLD ADVECTION NORTHWEST FLOW SETS UP
WITH ABUNDANT LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE.  LOOKS LIKE A WEAK UPSLOPE SNOW
EVENT WILL OCCUR...WITH 20-30KT WINDS AT 925-850MB.  HAVE GONE WITH
LIKELY POPS IN THE DACKS...FOOTHILLS OF GREEN MOUNTAINS...AND IN
NORTHEASTERN VERMONT...WITH UP TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE IN HEAVIER
SHOWERS TONIGHT.  CHANCE OF FLURRIES ELSEWHERE.  NGM MOS MIN
TEMPERATURES LOOK TOO COOL CONSIDERING CLOUD COVER...HAVE KEPT RANGES
IN THE 20-25F RANGE.

MORE OF THE SAME SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE ON FRIDAY
MORNING...THEN 00 UTC MODELS SUGGESTING SOME DRYING IN THE LOWER
LEVELS AND A TURNING OF THE WINDS TO MORE NORTHERLY BY LATE IN THE
DAY.  SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS POSSIBLE IN THE MOUNTAINS.  I'VE
CONSISTENTLY BEEN UNDER-FORECASTING THE MAX TEMPERATURES THE PAST FEW
DAYS...BUT WITH THE WINDS FINALLY TURNING TO NORTHERLY I'M HOPING WE
ACTUALLY SEE THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING AS ADVERTISED.  MAX
TEMPERATURES SHOULD ONLY MAKE AROUND 30F FRIDAY AFTERNOON.

DAYS 3 TO 7...NO BIG CHANGES FROM PREVIOUS SHIFTS' THINKING.  A
PRETTY DRY SHORTWAVE TO BRUSH THE REGION ON SATURDAY FOR PROBABLY NO
MORE THAN FLURRIES.  PERHAPS (FINALLY) A BREAK IN THE CLOUDS ON
SUNDAY AS A SURFACE ANTICYCLONE PUSHES ACROSS SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND.
ANOTHER SHORTWAVE INTRODUCES A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW ON MONDAY.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.





FXUS61 KBTV 300233
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
933 PM EST WED NOV 29 2000

WEAK FRONTAL BNDRY DRAPED ACRS NRN ZONES RESPONSIBLE FOR SCT LIGHT
SHWRS THIS EVENING. AS COLDER AIR IN LLVLS SEEPS IN ON DVLPG
NORTHERLY FLOW OVRNGT...XPC ANY LGT RAIN SHWRS TO CHNG TO SNOW SHWRS.

PCPN SHIELD ASSCD WITH LOW PRES OVR NRN PA HAS ADVANCED INTO SRN TIER
OF NYS THIS EVENING. MODELS HANDLING THIS SYS WELL TO THIS POINT.
STEADIER PCPN EXPECTED TO APRCH SRN ZONES LATER TONITE AS GOING FCST
INDICATES. AS SECONDARY LOW WHICH IS NOW DVLPG DELMARVA RGN BECOMES
THE PRIMARY LOW OVRNGT...NORTHWARD PROGRESS OF PCPN WL BE SLOWED AND
EVENTUALLY SHUNTED OFF TO EAST...WITH BULK OF IT REMAINING SOUTH OF
FA.

TEMP AND POP FCSTS FOR TONITE LOOK GOOD.

.BTV...NONE.

RJS





FXUS61 KBTV 292044
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
345 PM EST WED NOV 29 2000

COORD ALY AND GYX.

WATER VAPOR SHOWS STRONG PV MAX MOVING INTO THE OH VALLEY WITH NICE
DRYING MOVING INTO WRN PA WITH DEVELOPING COMMA AHEAD OF IT. EARLIER
CONVECTION(LTG STRIKES) IN OH GIVES EVIDENCE TO ITS STRENGTH. THIS
SYSTEM SHOULD SLIDE OFF TO OUR SOUTH TONIGHT. LATEST ETA SHOWS
MEASURABLE(A TENTH OR SO) PRECIP ACROSS SRN ZONES TONIGHT AND EARLY
TOMORROW. TOMORROW NIGHT A STRENGTHENING NORTHERLY FLOW FROM
INTENSIFYING OCEAN LOW STARTS OROGRAPHIC EFFECT PRECIP IN THE FORM
OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND POSSIBLY SOME SOUTH OF LAKE
CHAMPLAIN.

ON THURSDAY...IN THE LOW LEVELS ETA SHOWS SOME DETAIL WITH AN
INITIAL SURGE OF COLD 1000-850 THICKNESSES DURING THU AM AS LOW
PULLS COLDER AIR DOWN FROM CANADA. ETA ACTUALLY SHOWS THIS
AIR SURGING DOWN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY FASTER(AS NORMALLY HAPPENS IN
THESE SITUATIONS. THIS WILL HELP LIFT LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ALREADY IN
PLACE AND SQUEEZE OUT SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. TEMPERATURES SHOULD
FALL SOME DURING THE AFTERNOON.

ANOTHER SURGE OF COLDER LOW LEVEL THICKNESSES INDICATED THURSDAY
NIGHT WHICH SHOULD AGAIN HELP TO DEVELOP MORE SNOW SHOWERS AS TEMPERATURES
FALL IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 20S.

COLD AND UNSTABLE NORTH TO NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES INTO EARLY SATURDAY
TO KEEP THE CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS GOING.

EXTENDED...UPPER TROF LIFTS OUT AND FLOW BECOMES MORE ZONAL AS HIGH PRESSURE
SETTLES OVER THE OH VALLEY AND MID ATLANTIC. LITTLE CONFIDENCE ON
TIMING OR STRENGTH OF SYSTEMS IN THIS KIND OF FLOW AND ENSEMBLES
SUPPORT THIS BY SHOWING OPERATIONAL MRF IS BY ITSELF IN MORE
STRONGLY AMPLIFIED SYSTEM TUE/WED. SO LEANING TOWARDS WEAKER/CLIMO
SOLUTION DAY 6 AND 7 WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES.

SISSON

.BTV...NONE.





     This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   2. http://weather.gov/iwin/graphics.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html


859
ASUS51 KBTV 301105
SWRVT
ALBSWRVT ALL

VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST THU NOV 30 2000

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-301200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FLURRIES  34  32  92 N8        29.87F
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    32  31  96 CALM      29.87S
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    32  32 100 CALM      29.87F FOG
ST. JOHNSBURY  N/A      N/A N/A N/A CALM      29.84F
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    32  30  93 N3        29.82S
SPRINGFIELD    LGT SNOW  32  32 100 CALM      29.84F FOG
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    33  33 100 CALM      29.79F FOG
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        _LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
                    11:00PM, Wednesday November 29, 2000
                      STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Tim Lopes_
       _** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**_


   _
   Tonight: Any rain showers will tend towards snow, but will remain
   light in intensity. Temperatures won't fall too much, into the upper
   20's. Winds will remain nearly calm through morning.

   Thursday: Light snow showers, although scattered in nature, will
   affect the region during the morning hours. Skies will remain cloudy
   with highs rising to the freezing mark. North winds 7-14 mph.

   Thursday Night: Scattered snow showers will redevelop during the
   evening, however little or no accumulation can be expected. Light
   north to northwest winds with lows 20-25.

   Friday: Gray skies remain with us with the chance for some flurries
   all day long. Highs in the upper 20's, with light northwest winds.

                             Extended Forecast

   Saturday: Cloudy with scattered showers. Accumulations, if any, will
   be light and confined to the north slopes. Overnight lows in the upper
   teens, climbing to 25 degrees by afternoon.

   Sunday: An overcast start, with partial clearing toward midday. Highs
   reaching the mid to upper 20's after starting the day off near 15
   degrees.

   Monday: The clouds return along with the chance of snow. Highs near 32
   degrees.

                            Forecast Discussion


   The talk over the past few days has been that of a possible major
   storm for New England by the end of the week. However, all signs are
   pointing to a storm...but one where snowfall will not be a big deal.
   Currently, low pressure is centered in the Ohio Valley, with a
   secondary low forming off the mid-Atlantic coast. The center off the
   coast will become the main weather player overnight tonight, as it
   slowly, but surely, pulls eastward out to sea. The potential was there
   for a decent snowfall, but this system is simply tracking too far to
   the south. This will spell scattered snow showers for the entire
   forecast area during the morning hours on Thursday. Don't expect much
   accumulation, if any, as these showers will be very light and not
   prolonged in nature. But, our weather will remain unsettled, as upper
   level disturbances will affect the region with possible snow showers
   on Saturday, and then again by the beginning of the new work week.

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