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420
FPUS51 KBTV 050819
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 AM EST FRI JAN 5 2001

VTZ001-002-005-009-NYZ028-035-052100-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ESSEX-FRANKLIN-GRAND ISLE-
NORTHEAST CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...TICONDEROGA
400 AM EST FRI JAN 5 2001

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING BY EARLY AFTERNOON. SNOW
ACCUMULATION BY EVENING AROUND AN INCH. HIGH IN THE MID 20S. WIND
BECOMING SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH.  CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...LIGHT SNOW. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION AROUND 2 INCHES. LOW
IN THE MID 20S. WIND BECOMING EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR
100 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGH AROUND 30. CHANCE OF SNOW 70
PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 20.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 20. HIGH IN THE UPPER
20S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOW IN THE MID TEENS. HIGH IN THE
MID 20S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS.  HIGH IN THE 30S.

$$

VTZ003-004-007-052100-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX-ORLEANS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
400 AM EST FRI JAN 5 2001

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING BY LATE AFTERNOON. AN INCH OR
LESS SNOW ACCUMULATION BY EVENING. HIGH IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT SOUTH
WIND. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...SNOW. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 3 INCHES. LOW IN
THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT EAST WIND. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...SNOW TAPERING TO SNOW SHOWERS. ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATION LIKELY. HIGH 25 TO 30. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE MID TEENS.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER 20S.  HIGH IN
THE UPPER 20S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOW IN THE MID TEENS. HIGH IN THE
MID 20S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS.  HIGH IN THE 30S.
$$
/VT6/VT8/VT10
VTZ006-008-010-052100-
LAMOILLE-ORANGE-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER...RANDOLPH...STOWE
400 AM EST FRI JAN 5 2001

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. AN
INCH OR LESS SNOW ACCUMULATION BY EVENING. HIGH IN THE MID 20S.
LIGHT SOUTH WIND. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...SNOW. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 3 INCHES. LOW IN
THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT EAST WIND. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS. SOME ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION
POSSIBLE. HIGH 25 TO 30. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE MID TEENS.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER 20S.  HIGH IN
THE UPPER 20S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOW IN THE MID TEENS. HIGH IN THE
MID 20S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS.  HIGH IN THE 30S.

$$
/VT11/VT12
VTZ011-012-052100-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
400 AM EST FRI JAN 5 2001

.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW
ACCUMULATION BY EVENING AROUND AN INCH. HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WIND. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...LIGHT SNOW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION AROUND 2 INCHES.
LOW IN THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT EAST WIND. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100
PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN CLOUDY WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH AROUND 30. CHANCE OF
SNOW 60 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE UPPER TEENS.
.SUNDAY...VARIABLE CLOUDINESS. HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER 20S.  HIGH IN
THE UPPER 20S.
.TUESDAY...VARIABLE CLOUDINESS. LOW IN THE MID TEENS. HIGH IN THE
UPPER 20S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS.  HIGH IN THE 30S.

$$

NYZ026-027-052100-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
400 AM EST FRI JAN 5 2001

.TODAY...SNOW DEVELOPING THIS MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATION BY EVENING
1 TO 2 INCHES. HIGH IN THE MID 20S. EAST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE
OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...LIGHT SNOW. TOTAL ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 3 INCHES. LOW IN
THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT EAST WIND. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN REMAINING
CLOUDY. HIGH AROUND 30. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE MID TEENS.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS LATE. HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE UPPER TEENS.  HIGH IN
THE UPPER 20S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 10 ABOVE.  HIGH IN THE MID 20S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS.  HIGH IN THE 30S.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-052100-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHWEST CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...STAR LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE
400 AM EST FRI JAN 5 2001

.TODAY...SNOW DEVELOPING LATE IN THE MORNING. SNOW ACCUMULATION BY
EVENING 1 TO 2 INCHES. HIGH IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHEAST WIND 10 TO 15
MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...SNOW. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 2 INCHES. LOW IN THE
LOWER 20S. LIGHT EAST WIND. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN REMAINING CLOUDY
WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. HIGH IN THE MID 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 70
PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.  LOW IN THE MID TEENS.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S.
.MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE UPPER TEENS.  HIGH IN
THE UPPER 20S.
.TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOW NEAR 10 ABOVE.  HIGH IN THE MID 20S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH 25 TO 30.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS.  HIGH IN THE 30S.

$$






   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

   [smwthr.gif]
   Links - (1) NEW:   [2]EMWIN Software and Hardware        (2) LIVE
   Graphics [3]http://weather.gov
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 050638
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
137 AM EST FRI JAN 5 2001

...MORE SNOW FOR THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY INTO THE WEEKEND...

OF COURSE...THE MAIN QUESTION IS "HOW MUCH?"

AT FIRST GLANCE...IT APPEARS COASTAL REDVLPMNT WL TAKE PLACE TOO
LATE AND TOO FAR OFFSHORE TO IMPACT MUCH OF THE FA. ALBEIT THIS
MAY BE TRUE...CLOSER EXAMINATION PUTS A WATCHFUL EYE FOR NE VT.

CRNT/SHORT TERM: WTR VAPOR SHWS STG S/W DROPPING ACRS IOWA WITH
HEALTHY WAA PTRN DVLPG LF QUAD OF TRACK AND NICE "S" SHAPE ON
WTR VPR IMAGERY. IR IMAGERY AND BUFCAN SHWS WAA SNOWS BREAKING OUT
ACRS ONTARIO/ERN LAKES AND THIS WL CONT E INTO FA DRG TDY. GRTST
WAA/FGEN FIELDS ARE LOCATED N INTO ONTARIO/QUEBEC BUT IN ITS ABSENSE
STG PVA AND DFLNT ULVL FLOW WL SUPPORT -SN INTO FA LATE AFTN/TNGT.

THIS FIRST S/W DIVES AND ROTATES OFF NJ/SNE SHORE WITH A SCNDRY LOW
FORMING BTWN 06-12Z/SAT BUT ANTHR STGR S/W DIVES FURTHER SE
"STEALING" ENERGY FM ABV MNTD SCNDRY AND REPOSITIONING WELL SE OF
CAPE COD.

THAT SHLD BE IT RIGHT?!...WRONG!

ETA BASED...
THE PRIMARY UNDER THE DVLPG H5 LOW DISSIPATES ACRS NRN NY AND DRIFTS
INTO QUEBEC SETTING UP AN ELONGATED TROF FM OFFSHORE SYSTEM BACK INTO
NRN NEW ENGLAND/QUEBEC. MDL DATA SUGGESTS THAT A PLUME OF MOISTURE
WL BE TAPPED AND MAINLY AFFECT DOWNEAST ME BUT OBVIOUSLY THAT WUD
EVENTUALLY FEED INTO DEFORMATION ZONE. THE ULVL LOW SLWLY DRIFTS ACRS
FA AND BECOMES NEG TILT ACRS ERN FA ATOP OF SFC TROF AND A DECENT
DEFORMATION STRUCTURE APPEARS TO SET UP ACRS NRN NH/NE VT WITH H8
FGEN AT ITS HEALTHIEST BTWN 06Z/SAT -06Z/SUN. WE JUST FINISHED A VRY
STG DEFORMATION BAND/WRAPARD STRUCTURE IN NRN CHMPL VLY ON NEW YEARS
EVE THAT HELPED BRG 12-20 INCH SNOWS ACRS THIS AREA. MDL QPF AMTS
DON/T SUPPORT ANY ADV/WATCHES BUT SNOW RATIO OF 40:1 WERE WITNESSED
IN DEFORMATION ACTVTY ON NEW YEARS EVE...BUT XPCT LESS GIVEN FCST
TMPS. ALSO...FEEL IF ANY DEVIATION IN STORM TRACK IT WUD BE CLOSER TO
FA NOT FURTHER AND THEN THAT INCREASES LKLIHOOD. SNOW WUD BEGIN LATE
1ST PD CONT INTO 2ND PD (TNGT) WITH MAIN CONCERN BEING 3RD PD (SAT).

ELSEWHERE...QPF AMTS OF 0.2 WITH TMPS IN U20S SUPPORTS A 10/15:1
RATIO AT BEST WITH SOME DEFORMATION SNOWS PSBL "FLUFFING" UP SNOW
AMTS. THIS CUD PUT SOME LOCALES SUCH AS FRANKLIN/LAMOILLE/WASHINGTON
CTYS IN VT TO ADV AMTS BUT NOT TIL SAT (3RD PD).

AVN JUST ARRIVED (0620 UTC) AND HAS THE DEFORMATION ZONE AND
ELONGATED TROF AXIS SLGTLY E...YET INCREASES QPF TO 0.5 FOR XTRME
NE VT. DESPITE FURTHER E TRACK...THINK PTNL IS THERE.

HWVR...AFT COORD WITH KGYX AND DIFFICULT TO TAKE ETA OVR AVN AFT
RECENT HISTORY...WL HOLD OFF ON ANY WATCH AT THIS TIME BUT WL ISSUE
SPSBTV FOR UPCOMING EVENT. AGAIN...THIS NEEDS TO BE WATCHED CLOSELY
FOR NE VT AND WL SEPERATE THEM IN ZONE PKG.

THIS SYSTEM EXITS (STAGE RIGHT) WITH ANTHR MUCH WEAKER S/W AND SFC
REFLECTION ACRS FA FOR MON/TUES AS MUCH STGR ENERGY CARVES ACRS
MID-ATLANTIC STATES WITH ANTHR COASTAL DVLPMNT.  THIS SYSTEM IS
MUCH MORE PROGRESSIVE AND DOESN/T POSE A THREAT FOR FA...JUST CHC
OF -SHSN.

THEREAFTER...RIDGING AT ALL LVLS SHLD KEEP THE FA "SNOW-FREE" FOR
WED/THU.

WORKS AVBL ARD 3 AM.

.BTV...NONE.

SLW






FXUS61 KBTV 050241
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
941 PM EST THU JAN 4 2001

WL WIDEN RNG OF TEMPS IN MOST ZNS AS CLD CVR VRBL ATTM. CLDS ADVNCG
QUICKLY EWD FM GRT LKS AND SHUD OVRSPRD FA BY 06Z OR SO.  THIS WL
CAUSE TEMPS TO EVEN OUT.

STL SOME FLRYS/SHSN OUT THERE SO WL CONT MNTN OF THEM.

.BTV...NONE.

MCGILL






FXUS61 KBTV 042121
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
421 PM EST THU JAN 4 2001

A FEW RESIDUAL SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PORTION OF FCST AREA
ATTM...SO WILL INCLUDE A CHC OF SNOW SHOWERS EARLY TONIGHT.
FRIDAY...SNOW SHOULD START BY MID TO LATE MORNING ACROSS THE ST
LAWRENCE VLY AND THE ADIRONDACKS AND ACROSS VT DURG THE AFTERNOON.
EXPECTING 1 TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE FCST AREA BY FRI
EVENING.  MODELS TAKE LOW SEWD FROM THE GRTLKS ON FRI...AND THEN
DEVELOP A SECONDARY LOW OFF THE CST FRI NIGHT.  SOME DIFFERENCES IN
MODELS HERE WITH AVN DEVELOPING SECONDARY LOW FURTHER OUT AT SEA
AND THEN MOVG IT INTO THE GULF OF MAINE...WHERE ETA AND NGM
DEVELOP A SECONDARY LOW OFF THE NJ CST AND MOVE IT NEWD ACROSS
SOUTHERN NEW ENG FRI NIGHT.  MODELS ALL KEEP HEAVIER PRECIP EAST
OF FCST AREA THRU MAINE FRI NIGHT AND SAT.  WILL NOT HOIST ANY
WATCHES ATTM...BUT FEEL ADVISORIES MAY BE NEEDED FRI NIGHT...AND
SINCE MOST SNOWFALL WILL BE IN THE THIRD PERIOD WILL HOLD OFF ON ANY
HEADLINES ATTM.

EXTENDED...LOOK LIKE A CHC OF SNOW SHOWERS SUN THRU TUE...AND THEN
FAIR WX WED AND THU...AS LONGER RANGE MODELS SHOWING A CHANGE IN
THE PATTERN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.

.BTV...NONE.

WGH





   This data is from the [4]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   3. http://weather.gov/iwin/graphics.html
   4. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

743
ASUS51 KBTV 051105
SWRVT
ALBSWRVT ALL

VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST FRI JAN 5 2001

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-051200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    14   9  80 CALM      29.75F
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY     6   4  91 S3        29.76F
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY     8   3  80 CALM      29.77S
ST. JOHNSBURY  N/A        1  -2  87 CALM      29.77F
RUTLAND        MOCLDY    14   9  79 SE9       29.74S WCI  -2
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY     6   3  87 CALM      29.80R
BENNINGTON     MOCLDY    13  11  92 CALM      29.75F
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



    Our Local Student forecasts will return in January, following winter
                                   break.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA-ESSEX-ORLEANS-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND...NEWPORT...ST. JOHNSBURY
 400 AM EST FRI JAN 5 2001

 .TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SNOW DEVELOPING BY LATE AFTERNOON. AN INCH OR
 LESS SNOW ACCUMULATION BY EVENING. HIGH IN THE MID 20S. LIGHT SOUTH
 WIND. CHANCE OF SNOW 80 PERCENT.
 .TONIGHT...SNOW. ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 3 INCHES. LOW IN
 THE LOWER 20S. LIGHT EAST WIND. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT.
 .SATURDAY...SNOW TAPERING TO SNOW SHOWERS. ADDITIONAL SNOW
 ACCUMULATION LIKELY. HIGH 25 TO 30. CHANCE OF SNOW 90 PERCENT.

 .EXTENDED FORECAST...
 .SATURDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE MID TEENS.
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S.
 .MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER 20S.  HIGH IN
 THE UPPER 20S.
 .TUESDAY...A CHANCE OF FLURRIES. LOW IN THE MID TEENS. HIGH IN THE
 MID 20S.
 .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS. HIGH 25 TO 30.
 .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY.  LOW IN THE TEENS.  HIGH IN THE 30S.

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