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461
FPUS51 KBTV 101915
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
315 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2001

VTZ001-002-005-009-NYZ028-035-110800-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-EASTERN ESSEX-FRANKLIN-GRAND ISLE-
NORTHEAST CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...TICONDEROGA
315 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2001

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW FROM THE MID 40S TO THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WIND.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS LATE. HIGH IN THE MID 80S. LIGHT WIND BECOMING SOUTH AND
INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 55 TO 60.
CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER WITH A
HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW NEAR
40.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 55 TO 60.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 35 TO 40 AND
HIGH 60 TO 65.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45 AND HIGH 60 TO 65.
.WEDNESDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 40 TO 45. HIGH 60 TO 65.
.THURSDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 40S. HIGH IN THE 60S.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-110800-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...
RANDOLPH...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE
315 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2001

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW FROM THE UPPER 30S TO THE MID 40S. LIGHT
AND VARIABLE WIND.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN INCREASING CLOUDS LATE. HIGH IN THE
LOWER TO MID 80S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE
MID 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER WITH A
HIGH 65 TO 70. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 35 TO
40.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 55 TO 60.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 30S AND
HIGH 60 TO 65.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 35 TO 40 AND HIGH 60 TO 65.
.WEDNESDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 40 TO 45. HIGH 60 TO 65.
.THURSDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 40S. HIGH IN THE 60S.

$$

VTZ011-012-110800-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
315 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2001

.TONIGHT...CLEAR. LOW 40 TO 45. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY...THEN INCREASING CLOUDS LATE. HIGH IN THE
MID 80S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 55 TO 60.
CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. COOLER WITH A
HIGH NEAR 70. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW NEAR
40.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 55 TO 65.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 35 TO 40 AND
HIGH 60 TO 65.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45 AND HIGH 60 TO 65.
.WEDNESDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 40 TO 45. HIGH 60 TO 65.
.THURSDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 40S. HIGH IN THE 60S.

$$

NYZ026-027-110800-
NORTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-NORTHERN FRANKLIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
315 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2001

.TONIGHT...CLEAR UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 45
TO 50. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW NEAR 50.
CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...THEN BECOMING
PARTLY SUNNY IN THE AFTERNOON. MUCH COOLER WITH A HIGH IN THE LOWER
60S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW NEAR
40.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 55 TO 60.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 35 TO 40 AND
HIGH 60 TO 65.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45 AND HIGH 60 TO 65.
.WEDNESDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 40 TO 45. HIGH 60 TO 65.
.THURSDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 40S. HIGH IN THE 60S.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-110800-
SOUTHERN FRANKLIN-SOUTHERN ST. LAWRENCE-SOUTHWEST CLINTON-
WESTERN ESSEX-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...STAR LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE
315 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2001

.TONIGHT...CLEAR UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW
FROM THE UPPER 30S TO THE MID 40S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH NEAR 80. SOUTHWEST WIND
INCREASING TO 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW NEAR 50.
CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. MUCH COOLER WITH
A HIGH IN THE UPPER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 35 TO
40.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 30S AND
HIGH NEAR 60.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 35 TO 40 AND HIGH NEAR 60.
.WEDNESDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 40 TO 45. HIGH 60 TO 65.
.THURSDAY...CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE 40S. HIGH IN THE 60S.

$$





   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

   [smwthr.gif]

Texas Emergency Information:   [2]HERE   Emergency Managers go:   [3]HERE

     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 110638
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
238 AM EDT FRI MAY 11 2001

EASTWARD MOVEMENT OF PRECIP SHIELD CONTINUES TO BE SLOWER THAN
MODELS HAVE BEEN INDICATING THE LAST 36 HOURS OR SO.  THIS SHOULD
RESULT IN MORE SUNSHINE TODAY AND THE ONLY CHANCE OF PRECIP IN THE
ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY LATE THIS AFTERNOON.  FORECAST MAX TEMPERATURES
WILL BE IN THE 80S ALL LOCATIONS.  NO SIGNIFICANT INSTABILITY TO FIRE
THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY THIS AFTERNOON OR
EVENING...ESPECIALLY WITH THE LACK OF A BONA FIDE WARM FRONT TO FOCUS
ANY ELEVATED CONVECTION.  SURFACE TROUGH/WIND SHIFT BOUNDARY TO CROSS
THE REGION TONIGHT...WITH SHOWERS SURGING NORTHEASTWARD ALONG AND
BEHIND THE BOUNDARY.  HAVE GONE ONLY WITH CHANCE POPS TONIGHT...AS
MODEL PRECIP DEPICTION IS FRACTURED AND THE DYNAMICS ARE WEAK IN ALL
00 UTC MODELS.  CLOUDS WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES IN THE 50S OVERNIGHT.

ON SATURDAY THE COLD FRONT AMPLIFIES ACROSS VERMONT AND NEW
HAMPSHIRE AND SHOULD BE ABLE TO GENERATE SHOWERS ACROSS MUCH OF
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND...ESPECIALLY WITH MUCH COOLER AIR POURING IN
AT THE 700-500 HPA LEVELS.  ETA AND AVN INDICATING ENOUGH
INSTABILITY (300-600 J/KG CAPES AND 0 TO -2 LIFTED INDICES) IN
EASTERN AND SOUTHERN VERMONT FOR MENTION OF AFTERNOON THUNDER
ACCOMPANYING PASSAGE OF STRENGTHENING COLD FRONT.  PRECIP CHANCES
NOT VERY IMPRESSIVE IN THE DACKS AND ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY WITH ALL
THE DYNAMICS TO THE EAST OF THESE AREAS...WILL STICK WITH ONLY CHANCE
POPS THERE.  HAVE BUMPED UP FORECAST MAX TEMPERATURES TO THE MID TO
UPPER 60S AREA-WIDE FOR SATURDAY...AS MUCH OF THE AREA NOT LIKELY TO
SEE SIGNIFICANT SURFACE COLD ADVECTION UNTIL THE AFTERNOON.

DAYS 3 TO 5...MODELS RAPIDLY EJECT PRECIP SHIELD INTO MAINE SATURDAY
NIGHT...SO HAVE LEFT A CHANCE OF EVENING SHOWERS IN WESTERN ZONES
ONLY.  COLD ADVECTION BEGINS IN EARNEST SATURDAY NIGHT WITH
BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING.  MUCH COOLER AND CONTINUED BREEZY
ON SUNDAY AS OUR REGION REMAINS EAST OF THE SURFACE RIDGE.  A SECOND
SHORTWAVE ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER TROUGH WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE
OF SHOWERS MONDAY...THEN DRY TUESDAY.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE
MADE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST BEYOND SUNDAY.

FIRE WEATHER...THREAT OF BREEZY (15-25 MPH) NORTHWEST WINDS SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY COULD LEAD TO VOLATILE FIRE CONDITIONS IF PRECIP
AMOUNTS TURN OUT TO BE LIGHT FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY.  STAY TUNED.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.






FXUS61 KBTV 110151
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
950 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2001

CURRENT FCST IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE. TEMPS CURRENTLY IN UPPER 50S TO
MID 60S WITH DWPTS IN 40S. NO CHGS NEEDED.

.BTV...NONE.

MCGILL








FXUS61 KBTV 101910
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
310 PM EDT THU MAY 10 2001

ONE MORE SUMMER LIKE DAY IN STORE FOR FRI THEN TREND TO MUCH COOLER
AND UNSETTLED CONDS THRU THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.

CLR SKIES ACRS FA BUT MORE CU DVPD IN ADRNDCKS THAN XPCTD.  DIURNAL
CU WL DSPT THIS EVNG BUT AREA OF MID/HI CLDS ADVANCING EWD FM LKS
RGN WL LKLY MOV INTO W ZNS LTR TNGT.  ANOTHER NGT OF DCNT RAD COOLG
CONDS SO WL UNDERCUT GUIDNC WITH MINS MAINLY IN 40S BUT SOME 30S IN
NORMALLY COLDER MTN VLYS.

SFC AND UPR RDG IN CNTRL TO START FRI THEN RDGG MVS EWD AS CDFNT
APCHS W FA LT FRI.  FA (ESP E ZNS) SHD SEE FAIR AMT OF SUN BFR THKR
CLDS MOV IN DURG AFTN AS BAND OF MSTR/UVV AHD OF FNT SWINGS ACRS W
HLF FA FRI AFTN.  SOME DIFFERENCES AMONG MDLS REGARDING EXTENT OF
PCPN WITH NGM WETTEST AND AVN DRIEST.  FA IS UNDER RFQ OF UPR JET
AND UVV/MSTR CNVGC AXIS ARE SPLIT WITH MAXES N AND S OF RGN AND MIN
ACRS RGN WHICH WUD TEND TO SUPPORT DRIER SOLN.  DECIDED TO SPLIT
FWC/MAV POPS AND WENT CHC FM CHMPLN VLY WWD AND KEPT E/S VT DRY. ETA
SHWG MRGNL INSTABY W ZNS WITH LI/S 0 TO -1 AND CAPES 300 J/KG SO
KEPT TSTMS IN FOR W ZNS.  STGST H5 WNDS (50 KTS) W OF FA THRU 00Z
SAT.

IT SHD BE QUITE WRM FRI WITH AXIS OF 12-15 H8 TMPS POKING UP INTO
RGN.  THIS WUD SUPPRT TMPS WELL INTO 80S...ESP IN VT WHERE MOST SUN
AND WRMST H8 TMPS.  LEANED TWD WRMR MAV NMBRS.

FROPA XPCTD THRU ST LAW VLY BY 03Z BUT IT WL LKLY TAKE TIL 12Z SAT
TO REACH LWR CT VLY AS FNT SLOWS DOWN WITH PARALLEL FLOW ALF AND
WAVE DVPG IN FNT.  CHC SHWRS ALL ZNS FRI NGT WITH MILD NGT...ESP E
ZNS. MINS DROPPING TO 50 W ZNS BUT LKLY RMNG IN UPR 50S E ZNS.

CDFNT SLOWLY MVS S OF FA SAT BUT FA RMNS IN MSTR AXIS AND DCNT S/WV
SWINGG THRU BHND FNT SO CHC SHWRS ALL ZNS.  SOME DRYING NOTED IN ST
LAW VLY DURG AFTN SO INTRODUCED SOME AFTN SUN THERE.  STG W TO E
TEMP GRDNT ACRS FA SAT WITH COOLEST TMPS W.  MAY NOT GET OUT OF
THE 50S ADRNDCKS WITH TMPS PSBLY NR 70 CT VLY.

XTNDD...AVN/MRF INDCT DEEP UPR TROF DOMINATING NE SO COOLER THAN
NORMAL AND CANT RULE OUT INSTABY SHWRS WITH DAYTIME HTG.  LOW
CONFIDENCE LTR PART OF XTNDD SO FOLWD NCEP GUIDNC.

FIRE WX...HI DANGER WL CONT INTO FRI WITH CONDS APCHG RED FLAG...ESP
CHMPLN VLY AND W ZNS AS WNDS INCR TO 20+.  CONDS SHD IMPROVE FOR
THE WEEKEND WITH HIR RH XPCTD AND PSBLY SOME SHWRS.

.BTV...NONE.

KJC





   This data is from the [4]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://emwin.hcad.org/
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   4. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

511
ASUS51 KBTV 110505
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
100 AM EDT FRI MAY 11 2001

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-110600-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     53  49  86 SE3       29.97S
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     50  41  71 S3        30.02S
MORRISVILLE    CLEAR     44  41  89 CALM      29.99S
ST. JOHNSBURY  N/A       49  42  77 CALM      29.96S
RUTLAND        CLEAR     54  45  71 SE7       29.99S
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     51  49  92 CALM      29.98S
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     50  42  74 CALM      30.00S
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                        3:30PM Thursday May 10, 2001
                     STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Daryl Caver
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Thursday Night: We will continue to see mostly sunny skies for the
   afternoon. For the night time we will still continue to see clear
   skies, and this will allow us to cool down into the upper 30's to
   lower 40's for our night time lows.

   Friday: Another beautiful, warm, sunny day with highs 82-87. Another
   pleasant day to be outside.

   Friday Night: Clouds will begin to move in from the west. A chance for
   some rain late at night into early Saturday. Lows near 45.

   Saturday: 50% chance for rain showers throughout the day and into
   early Sunday. Highs much cooler, as they will top out between 62 and
   67. Lows on the mild side at 50-55.

                             Extended Forecast

   Mother's Day: Unfortunately it looks to be rainy to start the day and
   will continue to remain moslty cloudy throughout the entire day. Highs
   even cooler than Saturday's as they will check in at 53-58. Lows near
   40.

   Monday: Still continued cloudiness and rain showers. Highs near 60.
   Lows near 35.

   Tuesday: Still more clouds and showers possible. Highs near 60. Lows
   35-40.

                            Forecast Discussion

   Tomorrow looks to be the last good day for a couple of days. Late on
   Friday a cold front will push into the region and as it does so, we
   will see clouds, cooler temperatures and rain push into the region.
   Unfortunately this will put a damper on any outdoor activities planned
   for Mother's Day. Fire danger is still high so any rain we pickup this
   weekend is much needed and appreciated however it looks like it will
   come at the expense of outdoor activities for Mother's Day. Make sure
   you get outside tomorrow and enjoy those sunny skies and 80 degree
   temperatures because the weekend will turn decidely cooler. Once again
   if your going to be outside please don't be burning any brush or
   anything else as it won't take much to get the vegetation to burn. In
   closing I would like to thank everyone who either checked out the
   forecast on either the website or by calling the weatherphone. I hope
   we were accurate and provided you with the weather information you
   needed. This will be the last forecast of the school year as we will
   all be going home for the summer. Do check back in September, when the
   students of MET304 will be hammering out their forecasts. Once again
   on behalf of all the MET304 students for this year, we hope you have a
   safe summer and look forward to providing weather forecasts again in
   September.

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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