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963
FPUS51 KBTV 220953 AMD
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
552 AM EDT SUN JUL 22 2001

NYZ028-031-VTZ001>004-222000-
ESSEX VT-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-ORLEANS-SW CLINTON-...
UPDATED
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANNEMORA...ISLAND POND...NEWPORT...
PLATTSBURGH...SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS
552 AM EDT SUN JUL 22 2001

.EARLY THIS MORNING...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A FEW SPRINKLES.
.TODAY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE
OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 90.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGH IN THE
MID 70S.
.THURSDAY...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW IN THE MID 50S. HIGH AROUND
70.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGH IN THE UPPER
70S.

$$

NYZ035-VTZ005>010-222000-
ADDISON-CALEDONIA-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-WASHINGTON-
...UPDATED
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...MONTPELIER...
RANDOLPH...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE
552 AM EDT SUN JUL 22 2001

.EARLY THIS MORNING...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A FEW SPRINKLES.
.TODAY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WIND
5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 90.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 70.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGH
IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
.THURSDAY...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW 50 TO 55. HIGH AROUND 70.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW AROUND 50. HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 50S. HIGH AROUND 80.

$$

VTZ011-012-222000-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-...UPDATED
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
552 AM EDT SUN JUL 22 2001

.TODAY...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WIND 5
TO 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10
MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE UPPER 60S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH AROUND 90.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE MID 60S. HIGH AROUND 80.
.THURSDAY...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGH IN THE
LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW AROUND 50. HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 50S. HIGH AROUND 80.

$$

NYZ026-027-222000-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-...UPDATED
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
552 AM EDT SUN JUL 22 2001

.EARLY THIS MORNING...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A FEW SPRINKLES.
.TODAY...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE
OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10
MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 90.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 70.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGH IN THE
UPPER 70S.
.THURSDAY...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGH AROUND
70.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 50S. HIGH IN THE UPPER 70S.

$$

NYZ029-030-034-222000-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-W ESSEX NY-...UPDATED
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LAKE PLACID...STAR LAKE...TUPPER LAKE
552 AM EDT SUN JUL 22 2001

.EARLY THIS MORNING...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A FEW SPRINKLES.
.TODAY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WIND
10 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 60 TO 65. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WIND.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S.

.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 65 TO 70.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH IN THE MID 80S.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW AROUND 60. HIGH IN THE MID
70S.
.THURSDAY...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW 50 TO 55. HIGH IN THE UPPER
60S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 45 TO 50. HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGH IN THE UPPER
70S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

   [smwthr.gif]

Texas Emergency Information:   [2]HERE   Emergency Managers go:   [3]HERE

     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 220957
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN JUL 22 2001

UPDATE: BONA FIDE RADAR ECHOES CROPPING UP LIKE WEEDS...FROM NEAR
SHERBROOKE BACK INTO THE ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY OF NEW YORK.  THIS
ACTIVITY RIGHT ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE UPPER SHORTWAVE.  WE
EXPECT IT TO BE SPOTTY AND ONLY LAST A FEW HOURS...BUT THICKER CLOUDS
MAY LAST THROUGH MID-MORNING.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.






FXUS61 KBTV 220635
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
235 AM EDT SUN JUL 22 2001

ATMOSPHERE IS CONTINUING ITS TREND OF GETTING PROGRESSIVELY HOTTER
EACH DAY AS HEIGHTS AND THICKNESSES RISE.  SIGNIFICANT CAPPING HAD
PUT AN END TO CONVECTION TONIGHT BEFORE IT REACHED THE ST. LAWRENCE
RIVER VALLEY.  MOST OF OUR AREA WILL REMAIN CAPPED AND DRY AGAIN
TODAY...ALTHOUGH THERE CONTINUES TO BE A CHANCE OF THUNDER ALONG THE
NORTHERN ZONES (NEARER THE UPPER JET) AS A WEAK UPPER SHORTWAVE
CROSSES THE REGION.  THEN A SHORTWAVE RIDGE NUDGES NORTHEASTWARD INTO
NEW ENGLAND TONIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH SOUTHWESTERLY LOW-LEVEL FLOW
ADVECTING WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR MASS INTO OUR AREA. BY MONDAY
AFTERNOON...500 HPA TEMPERATURES CLIMB TO AROUND -5C...WITH 850 HPA
THETA-E TEMPERATURES NEAR 340K...SPELLING A HUMID SIZZLER FOR
MONDAY.  AT THIS POINT IT APPEARS WE WILL REMAIN JUST BELOW RECORD
MAX TEMPERATURES...

SELECTED RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES FOR MONDAY JULY 23:

 BURLINGTON           93/1952
 PLATTSBURGH          95/1952
 MONTPELIER           92/1952
 NEWPORT              93/1952
 MORRISVILLE          89/1966
 ST JOHNSBURY         97/1918
 RUTLAND              93/1952
 MASSENA              92/1952
 CANTON               92/1933
 LAKE PLACID          91/1955


MEDIUM-RANGE...LAST FOUR AVN RUNS HAVE CONTINUED TO RETARD THE
SOUTHWARD PROGRESSION OF THE COLD FRONT AT LEAST UNTIL TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...MORE LIKELY AS LATE AS TUESDAY NIGHT.  TUESDAY SHOULD
NOT BE AS HOT AS MONDAY...BUT MAX TEMPERATURES STILL IN THE 85-90F
RANGE.  PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH PASSAGE TUESDAY AFTERNOON SHOULD FOCUS
LOW-LEVEL DYNAMICS FOR CONVECTION...PERHAPS WITH SOME ORGANIZATION TO
IT.  WILL KEEP THESE PRECIP CHANCES LINGERING INTO TUESDAY NIGHT.  00
UTC AVN NOT SHOWING ANY PRECIP ON WEDNESDAY DURING THE SIGNIFICANT
COLD ADVECTION. HOWEVER...WILL NOT TAMPER WITH DAY 5...AND HAVE KEPT
A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST WEDNESDAY AND WILL LET THE DAY
SHIFT LOOK AT ALL THE LATEST MODEL DATA.  NO CHANGES TO DAYS 6-7.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.






FXUS61 KBTV 220026
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
825 PM EDT SAT JUL 21 2001

PRVS FCST LOOKS IN GOOD SHAPE WITH SOME MINOR COSMETIC CHANGES
DUE TO TIMING WORDING IN FCST.

CRNT: FIRST BATCH OF -SHRA/-TSRA ACTVTY ASSOC WITH WEAKENING S/W
RIDING OVR RDG WAS DISSIPATING RATHER RPDLY AS LOSS OF DAYTIME
HEATING AS WELL AS MVG INTO RELATIVELY DRIER AIR (TDD M50S-L60S).

MEANWHILE...A VORT LOBE TRVLG JUST BEHIND S/W HAS FIRED MORE -TSRA
ACTVTY IN ONTARIO...N OF LAKE SUPERIOR MVG SE IN MEAN WNW ULVL FLOW.
M-ETA HAS THIS DEPICTED NICELY AND HAS FEATURE STAYING N OF CNDN BDR
ALG WITH ITS -SHRA/-TSRA ACTVTY BUT CUD BE FOCUS OF -SHRA/-TSRA
ACTVTY IN NRN FA SUNDAY.

HWVR...M-ETA STL HOLDS INITIAL S/W TOGETHER ENUF (FM BACKSIDE VORT
LOBE?) TO BRG -SHRA THREAT TO CNDN BDR CTYS THROUGH ERLY MRNG.

ALTHOUGH A RATHER MENISCUE THREAT...WL KEEP CHC -SHRA IN ST LWRNC
VLY ONLY BUT ELIMINATE -TSRA.

OTHERWISE...PRVS FCST LOOKS GOOD.

WORKS AVBL SHORTLY.

.BTV...NONE.

SLW






FXUS61 KBTV 211857
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
255 PM EDT SAT JUL 21 2001

INCREASINGLY HOT AND HUMID THROUGH MONDAY. LATEST GUIDANCE NOW
SUGGESTS CDFNT WL NOT ARRIVE TIL WED.

SHORT TERM WX PROBLEM CONCERNS IMPACT OF WK SHRTWV NOW OVR CNTRL
GRTLKS ON NORTH COUNTRY WX TONITE/SUNDAY. HAVE NOT DEVIATED MUCH
FROM PREVIOUS FCST IN THIS REGARD. AVN STILL APPEARS TO BE A BIT
TOO AGGRESSIVE WITH PCPN AND AREAL CVRG. CONSIDERING LACK
OF INSTABILITY AND MSTR ACRS FA ALG WITH LACK OF ANY ORGANIZED AREA
OF CONVECTION...HAVE LEANED MORE TWRDS ETA SOLUTION...WHICH KEEPS
LIMITED AMT OF PCPN MOSTLY NORTH OF FA. HAVE INCLUDED CHC POPS FOR
ZONES ALG CANADIAN BORDER TON/SUN...BUT NOTHING FOR REST OF FA.

ALTHO AIRMASS CONTINUES TO WARM ACRS RGN ON SUNDAY...XPC MAX TEMPS
TO BE SIMILAR TO TDY DUE TO MORE IN WAY OF CLD CVR.

ON MONDAY...MAX TEMPS WL BE NEAR 90 ALG WITH DWPTS MID 60S. EXPECTING
A DRY DAY DUE LACK OF INSTABILITY AND ANY NOTICEABLE SHRTWVS/TROFS.

TEMPS TUES MAY BE JUST AS WARM AS MONDAY. DESPITE FACT FROPA NOT
EXPECTED TIL WED...WL KEEP IN MENTION OF SHRA/TSRA DUE INDICATIONS OF
PREFRONTAL TROF.

COOLING OFF WED BEHIND CDFNT. CONT'D CHC SHRA. WL ALSO KEEP IN
MENTION OF TSRA FOR MUCH OF RGN DUE SLOWING OF FRONT WITH EACH
MODEL RUN.

EXTENDED: DRY AND UNSEASONABLY COOL FOR THURS/FRI...THEN
MODERATING TEMPS NEXT WEEKEND.

.BTV...NONE.

RJS





   This data is from the [4]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://emwin.hcad.org/
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   4. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

765
ASUS51 KBTV 221105
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
700 AM EDT SUN JUL 22 2001

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-221200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY   71  56  58 S14G20    29.92S
MONTPELIER     PTSUNNY   62  57  83 CALM      30.00S
MORRISVILLE    PTSUNNY   61  58  90 CALM      29.96S
ST. JOHNSBURY  N/A       61  57  87 CALM      29.95S
RUTLAND        MOSUNNY   61  54  77 SE9       30.00R
SPRINGFIELD    MOSUNNY   57  54  89 CALM      30.01S
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     58  56  93 CALM      30.02R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



    Our Local Student forecasts have been completed for the School year.
              They will resume again in September. Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 ADDISON-CALEDONIA-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-WASHINGTON-
 ...UPDATED
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...MONTPELIER...
 RANDOLPH...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE
 552 AM EDT SUN JUL 22 2001

 .EARLY THIS MORNING...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A FEW SPRINKLES.
 .TODAY...BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S. SOUTH
 WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
 .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WIND
 5 TO 10 MPH.
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH AROUND 90.

 .EXTENDED FORECAST...
 .MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 70.
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
 THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH IN THE UPPER 80S.
 .WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. HIGH
 IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S.
 .THURSDAY...BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY. LOW 50 TO 55. HIGH AROUND 70.
 .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW AROUND 50. HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
 .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 50S. HIGH AROUND 80.

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