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246
FPUS51 KBTV 150235 AAA
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
935 PM EST WED NOV 14 2001

NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-150900-
ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH...
SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...TICONDEROGA
935 PM EST WED NOV 14 2001

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURES STEADY OR SLOWLY RISING TO
NEAR 50. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND WARMER. HIGH 55 TO 60. SOUTHWEST WIND 10
TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. LOW IN THE
UPPER 40S. WEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND COOLER. HIGH IN THE UPPER 40S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOW NEAR 30.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH NEAR 50.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS
LIKELY...CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. BREEZY. LOW IN THE 40S
AND HIGH 55 TO 60.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH 25 TO 35.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW
15 TO 25 AND HIGH 25 TO 30.

$$

VTZ003-004-006>008-010-150900-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...
RANDOLPH...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE
935 PM EST WED NOV 14 2001

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHY FOG. LOW IN THE MID 30S. CALM
WIND.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. LOW IN THE
MID 40S. WEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURES STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING INTO
THE LOWER 40S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 20S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH NEAR 50.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS
LIKELY...CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. BREEZY. LOW IN THE 40S
AND HIGH 55 TO 60.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH 25 TO 35.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW
15 TO 25 AND HIGH 25 TO 30.

$$

VTZ011-012-150900-
RUTLAND-WINDSOR-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD
935 PM EST WED NOV 14 2001

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHY FOG. LOW IN THE UPPER 30S. LIGHT
SOUTH WIND.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10
MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. LOW 40 TO
45. WEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH NEAR 50.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOW 25 TO 30.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH NEAR 50.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS
LIKELY...CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. BREEZY. LOW IN THE 40S
AND HIGH 55 TO 60.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH 25 TO 35.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW
15 TO 25 AND HIGH 25 TO 30.

$$

NYZ026-027-150900-
N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA
935 PM EST WED NOV 14 2001

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. TEMPERATURES STEADY OR SLOWLY RISING INTO
THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. HIGH AROUND 60.
SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. LOW IN THE
UPPER 40S. WEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...COOLER. PARTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURES STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING
INTO THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOW 25 TO 30.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH NEAR 50.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS
LIKELY...CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. BREEZY. LOW IN THE 40S
AND HIGH 55 TO 60.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH 25 TO 35.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW
15 TO 25 AND HIGH 25 TO 30.

$$

NYZ029>031-034-150900-
S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...STAR LAKE...
TUPPER LAKE
935 PM EST WED NOV 14 2001

.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH PATCHY FOG. TEMPERATURES STEADY OR
SLOWLY RISING THROUGH THE 40S. LIGHT WIND.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS LATE. LOW IN THE
MID 40S. WEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...COOLER. PARTLY SUNNY. TEMPERATURES STEADY OR SLOWLY FALLING
INTO THE LOWER 40S.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOW 20 TO 25.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH NEAR 50.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 40 TO 45.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE 50S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS
LIKELY...CHANGING TO SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. BREEZY. LOW IN THE 40S
AND HIGH 55 TO 60.
.TUESDAY...SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. LOW IN THE 20S AND HIGH 25 TO 35.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW
15 TO 25 AND HIGH 25 TO 30.

$$





   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

   [smwthr.gif]

Texas Emergency Information:   [2]HERE   Emergency Managers go:   [3]HERE

     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 150808
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
308 AM EST THU NOV 15 2001

PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER TO START TODAY...BUT SHOULD BE SOME PEEKS OF
SUN THIS AFTERNOON AS THE JET NUDGES SLIGHTLY NORTHWARD.  THIS WILL
BE IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH...WHICH WILL BRING
INCREASING SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS THIS AFTERNOON.  TEMPERATURES
WILL WARM IN RESPONSE TO RISING THICKNESSES...ALL AREAS SHOULD MAX
OUT IN THE 50S TODAY.  JUST A CHANCE OF PRE-FRONTAL SHOWERS IN THE
ST. LAWRENCE VALLEY...THEN RAIN LIKELY IN ALL BUT SOUTHERN VERMONT
TONIGHT.  TEMPERATURES REMAIN MILD UNTIL LATE TONIGHT...WHEN WIND
SHIFT WILL BEGIN TO BRING COLD ADVECTION THROUGH THE AREA FROM WEST
TO EAST.  MAX TEMPERATURES WILL BE REACHED EARLY IN THE DAY ON
FRIDAY...WITH TEMPERATURES DROPPING FROM AROUND 50F THROUGH THE 40S
DURING THE AFTERNOON.  ONLY A FEW SPRINKLES LEFT BEHIND FRIDAY
MORNING...THEN AFTERNOON CLEARING AS A STRONG ANTICYCLONE HEADS FOR
NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND.  LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES WILL
MAKE FOR A CHILLY FRIDAY NIGHT...WITH MIN TEMPERATURES GENERALLY IN
THE 10-20F RANGE.  SATURDAY WILL GENERALLY BE MOSTLY SUNNY...WITH A
FEW CLOUDS LATER IN THE DAY AS A WARM FRONT CROSSES CENTRAL QUEBEC
PROVINCE.  MAX TEMPERATURES SATURDAY WILL BE LUCKY TO MAKE 40F IN
MOST LOCATIONS.

MEDIUM RANGE...AFTER A QUIESCENT AND SLIGHTLY WARMER DAY ON SUNDAY...
A MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE IS IN THE OFFING FOR MONDAY/TUESDAY.
YESTERDAY'S MRF/AVN ENSEMBLE MEMBERS WERE ALL OVER THE PLACE...BUT
TONIGHT'S SEF/GEM ENSEMBLE SPREAD IS MUCH MORE CONSISTENT WITH A
SLIGHTLY MORE BROAD 500 HPA TROUGH THAN THE LAST TWO OPERATIONAL
AVN/MRF RUNS.  BOTTOM LINE IS THAT WE'VE STAYED WITH THE LIKELY
WORDING FOR PRECIP FOR MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT AS THE RAIN CHANGES
TO SNOW.  BUT AFTER THAT THE DETAILS DIVERGE SO HAVE BACKED THE DAY 6
(TUESDAY) POPS DOWN TO CHANCE...WE DON'T HAVE A LOT OF CONFIDENCE IN
THE DAY 6/7 FORECAST.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.






FXUS61 KBTV 150230
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
930 PM EST WED NOV 14 2001

PLENTY OF CLDS STL ACRS FA SO WL GO WITH MOCLDY ALL ZNS. NEED TO
MAKE SOME UPWARD TEMP ADJUSTMENTS BASED ON CURRENT READINGS IN NRN
NY AND CHMPLN VLY.  NO OTHER CHGS.

.BTV...NONE.

MCGILL








FXUS61 KBTV 142114
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
414 PM EST WED NOV 14 2001

CLOUDS WERE TOUGH TO BREAK TODAY...AND THEY EVEN LINGER TO OUR
NORTHWEST BEHIND THE S/WV THAT HAS PAST.  SUSPECT THIS IS RELATED
TO INVERSION ABOVE 5K FEET AND MSTR TRAPPED BENEATH.  THEREFORE
HAVE BEEN CAUTIOUSLY SLOW WITH CLEARING TONIGHT AND KEPT PARTLY
CLOUDY THROUGH THURSDAY.  A WEAK COLD FRONT EXPECTED EARLY
FRIDAY BUT ONLY BACK TO SEASONABLE TEMPS FRI NGT.  WARMING
BEGINS SAT AFTN AND EXTENDS TO MONDAY EVNG WHEN AN ABRUPT CHANGE
TO COLDER THAN NORMAL WEATHER EXPECTED.  ALL MEDIUM RANGE MDLS AGREE
ON HIGH AMPLITUDE RDG BLDG ON WEST CST AND ARCTIC AIR BEING DUMPED
INTO DPNG LONG WV TROF ON THE EAST CST.

TNGT...GRADIENT SW WIND WILL KEEP THINGS MILD EXCEPT CALM AND
MUCH COOLER CONDITIONS WITH PATCHY FOG EAST OF THE GREEN MTNS.

THURSDAY...H5 COOL POCKET FCST TO REMAIN OVR VT SO WARM UP
AGAIN DELAYED...ESPECIALLY EAST OF THE GREEN MTNS.  BUT STILL
INTO THE 50S...MAYBE LOWER 60S ST LAWRENCE VLY.

FRIDAY...ONLY CHC POPS WITH WEAK COLD FRONT AROUND DAWN.  BECOMING
PARTLY SUNNY DURING THE DAY.  LITTLE COOLER.  GOOD RADIATIONAL NGT
WITH SUBFRZG TEMPS FRIDAY NGT.

SAT...CLEAR AND WARMING BY AFTN TO NEAR 50.  SW GRADIENT BEGINS SAT
NGT TO HOLD UP TEMPS A BIT.

SUN...WARMING SW GRADIENT WITH MORE CLOUDS AND SLOWER WARMING
EAST OF THE GREENS.

MON...THE BIG TRANSITION DAY.  NARROW LINE OF SHOWERS BY EVNG WITH
STRONG COLD FRONT.  SHARPLY COLDER WITH SNW SHWRS DVLPG LATE AT
NGT.

TUES INTO WED...WELL BELOW NORMAL TEMPS AND CHC TO LKLY SNOW
SHOWERS.


.BTV...NONE.
BELL





   This data is from the [4]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://emwin.hcad.org/
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/emwin/winven.htm
   4. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

996
ASUS51 KBTV 151105
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600  AM EST THU NOV 15 2001

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-151200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    42  39  89 N3        30.08R
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    35  35 100 S3        30.11S
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    37  35  92 CALM      30.09R
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     35  34  96 CALM      30.08F
RUTLAND        MOCLDY    43  39  87 SE3       30.10S
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       30  30 100 CALM      30.13S VSB 1/4
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    44  42  93 CALM      30.12R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                     5:00PM Wednesday November 14, 2001
                   STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Linsey Cousino
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy with a few scattered showers remaining
   into the night. Low for the night will be in the upper 30s, and winds
   will be near calm.

   Thursday: We will see mix of sun and clouds throughout the day, with
   highs in the lower 50s. Winds for the day will be light and variable.

   Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy with possible rain showers during the
   night. The low for the night will be in the lower 40s, and winds will
   be calm.

   Friday: Mostly cloudy with scattered showers ending late in the
   afternoon. High for the day will be in the mid 50s. Skies will become
   partly cloudy into the night, with lows in the upper teens.

                             Extended Forecast

   Saturday: Partly cloudy, with highs in the mid 40s and lows around 30.

   Sunday: Partly cloudy, with highs in the upper 40s and lows in the
   upper 30s

   Monday: Partly cloudy, with highs around 50 and the lows in the upper
   30s.

                            Forecast Discussion

   An approaching cold front will reach our area on Thursday night. The
   cold front wont start cooling temperatures down in the area though
   until late Friday. Friday nights low being in the teens will be the
   coldest temperature we see this week. Some rain showers may accompany
   the cold front, but nothing strong due to the lack of moisture
   associated with the cold front. For the weekend temperatures will be
   cooler than the last few days with highs only reaching the 40s. Sunday
   we agian see a chance for some precipitation as a system passes by to
   the south of us. Local Ski Resorts Status Burke Mountian: Projected
   opening day 12/15. Jay Peak: Projected opening day 11/23. Loon
   Mountain: Projected opening day 11/16.

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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