334 FPUS51 KBTV 100832 ZFPBTV ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 332 AM EST THU JAN 10 2002 NYZ028-035-VTZ001-002-005-009-102100- ADDISON-CHITTENDEN-E ESSEX NY-FRANKLIN VT-GRAND ISLE-NE CLINTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURLINGTON...MIDDLEBURY...PLATTSBURGH... SOUTH HERO...ST. ALBANS...TICONDEROGA 332 AM EST THU JAN 10 2002 .TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. WEST WIND AT 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...A CHANCE OF DRIZZLE OR FLURRIES EARLY...OTHERWISE REMAINING CLOUDY. LOW AROUND 30. WEST WIND AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID 30S. WEST WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 20 TO 25. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT. .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. .SATURDAY NIGHT...BECOMING CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TOWARD MORNING. LOW 15 TO 20. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 15 TO 20 AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE TEENS AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS AND HIGH 25 TO 30. $$ VTZ003-004-006>008-010-102100- CALEDONIA-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT... RANDOLPH...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE 332 AM EST THU JAN 10 2002 .TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. WEST WIND AT 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...A CHANCE OF DRIZZLE OR FLURRIES EARLY...OTHERWISE REMAINING CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. WEST WIND AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID 30S. WEST WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT. .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 20S. .SATURDAY NIGHT...BECOMING CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TOWARD MORNING. LOW 10 TO 15. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS AND HIGH IN THE MID 20S. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 10 TO 15 AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 10 TO 15 AND HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. $$ VTZ011-012-102100- RUTLAND-WINDSOR- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...RUTLAND...SPRINGFIELD 332 AM EST THU JAN 10 2002 .TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGH 35 TO 40. SOUTHWEST WIND AT 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...A CHANCE OF DRIZZLE OR FLURRIES EARLY...OTHERWISE REMAINING CLOUDY. LOW 25 TO 30. WEST WIND AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. WEST WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 20 TO 25. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT. .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 25 TO 30. .SATURDAY NIGHT...BECOMING CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TOWARD MORNING. LOW 15 TO 20. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY. HIGH 25 TO 30. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 10 TO 15 AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS AND HIGH 25 TO 30. $$ NYZ026-027-102100- N FRANKLIN NY-N ST LAWRENCE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MALONE...MASSENA 332 AM EST THU JAN 10 2002 .TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. HIGH AROUND 40. SOUTHWEST WIND AT 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...A CHANCE OF DRIZZLE EARLY...OTHERWISE REMAINING CLOUDY. LOW 25 TO 30. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT. .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. .SATURDAY NIGHT...BECOMING CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TOWARD MORNING. LOW IN THE TEENS. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE TEENS AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 10 TO 15 AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 20S. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 10 TO 15 AND HIGH 25 TO 30. $$ NYZ029>031-034-102100- S FRANKLIN NY-S ST LAWRENCE-SW CLINTON-W ESSEX NY- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...DANNEMORA...LAKE PLACID...STAR LAKE... TUPPER LAKE 332 AM EST THU JAN 10 2002 .TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WIND AT 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...A CHANCE OF DRIZZLE OR FLURRIES EARLY...OTHERWISE REMAINING CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 5 MPH. .FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGH 30 TO 35. SOUTHWEST WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH...SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. .FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOW IN THE MID TO UPPER TEENS. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT. .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. .SATURDAY NIGHT...BECOMING CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TOWARD MORNING. LOW 10 TO 15. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH LIGHT SNOW LIKELY. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 10 TO 15 AND HIGH IN THE MID 20S. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOW 5 TO 10 ABOVE AND HIGH IN THE MID 20S. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 5 TO 10 ABOVE AND HIGH IN THE MID 20S. $$ REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html [smwthr.gif] [2]Click here to goto main live weather page _________________________________________________________________ FXUS61 KBTV 100646 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 146 AM EST THU JAN 10 2002 SNOW EVENT FROM YESTERDAY AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING GENERALLY PRODUCED SNOWFALL AMOUNTS IN THE 1 TO 3 INCH RANGE. IT APPEARS THE SNOW GROWTH FACTOR ENHANCED THE AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL. ALTHOUGH FORECAST TIMING OF THE GREATER BURST OF SNOW WAS OFF A LITTLE...BUFKIT PROFILES DID AT LEAST SHOW THE SIGNAL THAT SNOWFALL WOULD BE ENHANCED OVER A COUPLE HOUR TIME PERIOD. WARM FRONT THAT ALSO HELPED FOCUS THE PRECIPITATION HAS MOVED EAST OF THE FORECAST AREA AND WESTERLY FLOW HAS HELPED TO WARM THE LOW LEVEL AIR MASS EARLY THIS MORNING. MOST PLACES ALREADY IN THE 30S...SO GOING FORECAST OF HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 35 TO 40 DEGREE RANGE LOOK REALLY GOOD FOR TODAY. WITH THE WARMER TEMPERATURES...PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. WILL MENTION SCATTERED RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS TODAY ALL AREAS. WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST ONTARIO/EXTREME SOUTHWEST ONTARIO EARLY THIS MORNING AND THIS FEATURE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING TO ENHANCE THE PRECIPITATION THREAT. NOT TOO CONCERNED ABOUT SUBSTANTIAL UPSLOPE PRECIPITATION TODAY AS LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL PRETTY MUCH BE ISOTHERMAL TODAY. LACK OF COLD AIR ADVECTION...STEEPER LAPSE RATES...AND WEAKENING WIND FIELDS AS THE DAY WEARS ON DOES NOT BODE WELL FOR ACCUMULATING UPSLOPE PRECIPITATION. THUS WILL KEEP PROBABILITIES IN THE SCATTERED CATEGORY. PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER TO PERSIST TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WITH LITTLE IN THE WAY OF ANY FEATURE THAT CAN SCOUR OUT THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE. SO OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL NOT BE COLD TONIGHT AND HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL ONCE AGAIN BE IN THE 30S. ANOTHER SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO APPROACH THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND NIGHT FOR THE NEXT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. SHOULD BE ENOUGH COLD AIR ADVECTION AT THAT POINT THAT PRECIPITATION WOULD BE IN THE FORM OF SNOW. WILL CONTINUE THE THREAT FOR SNOW SHOWERS IN THE GOING FORECAST FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND ON THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. SOME DRIER AIR MOVES IN FOR SATURDAY AS FLOW ALOFT IS MORE NORTHWEST...SO DRY WEATHER AND PARTLY SUNNY SKIES LOOKS GOOD IN THE GOING FORECAST. SHOULD HAVE ENOUGH COLD AIR ADVECTION THAT LOW LEVEL THICKNESS VALUES SHOULD BE LOWERING FROM THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS. THIS WILL PUT HIGH TEMPERATURES BACK INTO THE 20S. A MORE WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH TO APPROACH THE FORECAST AREA LATE SATURDAY AND ESPECIALLY ON SUNDAY. WILL MENTION A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW FOR LATE SATURDAY NIGHT ALL AREAS AND CONTINUE THE IDEA IN THE GOING FORECAST ON SUNDAY FOR LIGHT SNOW LIKELY. WILL HOWEVER RUN THE THREAT OF LIKELY SNOWS FOR THE ENTIRE SUNDAY TIME PERIOD. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE EXTENDED...SEE NO REASON TO CHANGE FROM THE DRY FORECAST FOR MONDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS ON TUESDAY. WORK ZONES IN ALBWRKCWF BY 300 AM. EVENSON .BTV....NONE. FXUS61 KBTV 100216 CCA AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...CORRECTED ISSUANCE TIME NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 900 PM EST WED JAN 9 2002 UPDATED FORECAST TO EMPHASIZE PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO LIQUID OVERNIGHT WITH RISING TEMPERATURES...THEN TAPERING OFF. THIS ALSO FORCED SOME AMENDMENTS TO THE THURSDAY PERIOD FORECAST PRECIPITATION TYPES. WE RECEIVED ONE REPORT OF THUNDER FROM A RUTLAND COUNTY SPOTTER AROUND 0145 UTC...FROM SOME CONVECTIVE CELLS WHICH HAVE SINCE WEAKENED AND MOVED EAST. ST. JEAN .BTV....NONE. FXUS61 KBTV 100201 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 1000 PM EST WED JAN 9 2002 UPDATED FORECAST TO EMPHASIZE PRECIPITATION CHANGING TO LIQUID OVERNIGHT WITH RISING TEMPERATURES...THEN TAPERING OFF. THIS ALSO FORCED SOME AMENDMENTS TO THE THURSDAY PERIOD FORECAST PRECIPITATION TYPES. WE RECEIVED ONE REPORT OF THUNDER FROM A RUTLAND COUNTY SPOTTER AROUND 0145 UTC...FROM SOME CONVECTIVE CELLS WHICH HAVE SINCE WEAKENED AND MOVED EAST. ST. JEAN .BTV....NONE. FXUS61 KBTV 091857 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 157 PM EST WED JAN 9 2002 ...MORE OF THE SAME FOR THE NXT WEEK... OVERALL PATTERN OF WNW FLOW IN A BROAD CYCLONIC PATTERN WL DELIVER S/W...CD FNT AND TROFS ACRS FA NEARLY EVERY OTHER DAY ACRS FA. TWO EVENTS WL STAND OUT...BUT THESE ARE MEEK BY NORMAL WINTER STANDARDS. FIRST...S/W AND SFC TROF MVG ACRS FA LATE THIS AFTN/EVE WITH SOMW GUD WAA AHD OF TROF WL DELIVER WIDESPREAD -SN WITH T-2 INCH SNOW ACCUM ACRS MUCH OF FA. SECOND EVENT...DROPPING S/W ACRS GRT LAKES INTO OH VR VLY AND THEN OFF MID-ATLANTIC STATES WL BE ACCOMPANIED BY "CLIPPER" SYSTEM THAT SHLD BRG ABT WIDESPREAD -SN ACRS ENTIRE FA STARTING IN NRN NY LATE SAT NGT AND ACRS ALL FA DRG SUN WITH SOME ACCUM. OTHERWISE...JET ACRS FA WITH SVRL VORT LOBES WL KEEP MSTLY CLDY SKIES AND PSBL FLURRIES THU AND TMPS ANTHR 5 DEGS MILDER THAN TDY. UPR TROF AND S/W WITH CD FNT MVS ACRS FA FRI AFTN FOR -SHSN AND SLGTLY COLDER AIR FRI AFTN/NGT. BRF S/W RIDGING IN ADVANCE OF SUNDAY/S SYSTEM COMES ACRS FA SAT FOR SOME SS. THEN...AFTER SUNDAY/S CLIPPER SYSTEM MORE WEAK RIDGING MON WITH SOME MODERATING TMPS IN ADVANCE OF ANTHR WEAK TROF/FNT ON TUES AND A RETURN TO WEAK RIDGING WED. WORKS AVBL. .BTV....NONE. SLW This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information Network) References 1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html 2. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/graphicsversion/bigmain.html 3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html 288 ASUS51 KBTV 101105 SWRVT VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EST THU JAN 10 2002 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. VTZ001>014-101200- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON LGT RAIN 34 33 96 CALM 29.48R FOG MONTPELIER CLOUDY 36 33 89 SW6 29.48R MORRISVILLE LGT RAIN 36 33 89 S9 29.46R ST. JOHNSBURY N/A 32 31 96 CALM 29.44S RUTLAND CLOUDY 41 34 75 W7 29.50S SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 42 34 73 W9 29.50R BENNINGTON CLOUDY 40 33 76 SW5 29.56R $$ ______KEY______ VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX HX - HEAT INDEX LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page 5:00 PM, Sunday December 16, 2001 STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Matthew Lagor ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont** ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport** This will be the last Student Forecast of the semester. Forecasts will resume by mid January. Tonight: Temperatures will remain on the cool side tonight, with low temperatures dropping in to the lower teens. Skies will increase in cloudiness as the night progresses and wind will be calm. Monday: Snow likely by late afternoon as a system makes its's way in from the south. We may see 1-2 inches of snowfall accumulation by sunset. Temperatures will be in the upper 20's with calm winds. Monday Night: A warm front associated with the low pressure system, will keep temperatures just above freezing. As a result we may see a change over from snow to sleet or freezing rain. Tuesday: By early afternoon we will yet again see another change in precipitation type as colder air moves in changing the freezing rain back over to snow. Snowfall accumulations will be on the order of 1-2 inches. High temperatures will be just below freezing and overnight lows will drop into the lower 20's. Extended Forecast Wednesday: Skies will remain most cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Temperatures will be in the mid 30's. Thursday: Chance of snow yet again with expected high temperatures will be in the lower 30's. Thursday night will be a bit on the chilly side as temperatures will drop in to the upper teens. Friday: Skies will finally begin to clear up as a high pressure builds in from the south. Temperatures will remain on the cool side with highs again in the lower 30's and lows in the upper teens. Forecast Discussion The recent weather pattern that provided snowfall across the area looks as if it will repeat itself this week. Currently there are two low pressure systems, one to our northwest and one near the eastern portions of Texas. The Low in Canada will be pulling some cold Canadian air into the area, giving way to overnight lows for most of the week in the upper teens. The system to the south will slowly glide up the eartern seaboard and makes its' way into our area by tomorrow night. Similar to the storm that occured this weekend, this system will be pulling in extensive amounts of moisture streaming from the Gulf of Mexico. All models show that once this system reaches our area it will be reluctant to leave. So we can expect wintery conditions throughout most of the week until finally a high rushes in on Friday and kicks the low offshore. Expect a Winter Weather Advisory to be in effect by late tomorrow night, as a mix of snow and freezing rain could cause some dangerous conditions on the roadways. So for all students and other travelers going home to see their families during the holiday season be cautious of the road conditions and drive carefully. References 1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/ - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html