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Expires:200209022000;;882325
FPUS51 KBTV 020722
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
330 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2002


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-022000-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
330 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2002

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH IN
THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT SOUTH
WIND.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH NEAR 80. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE MID 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOW IN
THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.
.FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
70S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 50 AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 020631
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
230 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2002

...SPECTACULAR LATE SUMMER WEATHER WILL CONTINUE...

CRNT: CLDS HAVE RETROGRADED SE FM THIS AFTN AND SUGGESTING PSBL
TREND FOR DAY.

FCST DILEMMA: PESKY SFC LOW ALG NJ SHORE WL STAY FAR S OF FA BUT
SFC RDG THAT HAS BEEN DOMINATING IS SHWG EVER SO SLGT BRKDOWN THIS
AFTN. THEREFORE...SOME -RA PSBL IN SRN FA AND WL GO OPTIMISTIC
ELSEWERE PER YDY AFTN FCST PKG.

A SFC CD FNT TO MV THRU TUES NGT/ERLY WED WITH SOME PRE-FNTL TROF
CONVECTION ENTERING NY STATE LATE TUES. MDLS DIFFER ON AMT OF QPF
WITH SOME EVEN INDICATING "ZILCH". PERSISTENCE WL LEAN TOWARD A
FEW CENTS WORTH TUES NGT.

AVN/ETA DIFFER ON MAGNITUDE OF S/W TROF MVG ACRS FA WED AFTN/NGT.
TIMING DRG DIURNAL MAX...DECENT CAA AND MDL DEPICTION OF SOME DEEP
LYRD MOISTURE APPRCHG CNDN BDR WL BE ENUF TO INTRO SPRINKLES WED
AFTN/EVE.

GOOD NEWS: SFC LOW SHLD DEPART TUES WITH WSW FLOW WARMING TMPS INTO
L80S ACRS MUCH OF FA TUES BFR CD FNT TUES NGT/ERLY WED.

SFC HIGH APPROACHES FA THU AND SETTLES ACRS FA INTO THE WKND...
WHILE ULVL RDG SLOWLY BUILDS INTO FA. THEREFORE...PLENTY OF SS
AND AOA SEASONABLE TMPS.

SOME CHGS TO CLD CVR TDY AS WELL AS CLDS/SPRINKLES WED/WED NGT...
OTHERWISE ZONES PRETTY MUCH INTACT.

WORKS AVBL. FINAL RELEASE SHORTLY.

HYDRO: DRY SPELL CONTS ACRS FA WITH VRY LTL RELIEF FOR THE ENTIRE
WEEK. BASICALLY...TOO LATE FOR AGRICULTURE BUT CONCERN IS STARTING
TO FOCUS ON WATER SUPPLIES HEADED INTO WINTER.

.BTV...NONE.

SLW






FXUS61 KBTV 020145
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
945 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2002

PREVIOUS FORECAST PACKAGE IN GOOD SHAPE...JUST A FEW WORDING CHANGES
WERE MADE TO ADDRESS SKY COVER AND TEMPERATURES IN NORTHERN NEW
YORK AND SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT.  ALSO ADDED CHANCE POP FOR SOUTH
CENTRAL VERMONT BASED ON SMALL DEW-POINT DEPRESSIONS NOW OBSERVED
THERE AND PROXIMITY OF LIGHT RAIN ALONG THE VERMONT/MASSACHUSETTS
BORDER.  NO CHANGES TO LATER PERIODS.

ST. JEAN

.BTV...NONE.






FXUS61 KBTV 012006
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
406 PM EDT SUN SEP 1 2002

CLOUDS CONTINUING TO STREAM NORTHWARD FROM SYSTEM OFF THE MID
ATLANTIC COAST.  WILL GO WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES OVERNIGHT...WITH
PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES IN THE ST LAWRENCE VLY.

THE BIGGEST PROBLEM WITH THIS FCST PACKAGE IS HOW FAR NORTH WILL
RAIN FROM MID ATLANTIC SYSTEM MOVE INTO OUR FCST AREA. AVN AND ETA
MODELS BOTH WANT TO BRING SOME RAIN INTO SOUTHERN VT LATE TONIGHT
AND MONDAY. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SOME SPRINKLES POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT IN SOUTHERN VT ZONES. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SHOW LOW LEVELS STILL
FAIRLY DRY TONIGHT...SO HAVE BACKED AWAY FROM PREVIOUS FCST OF RAIN
TONIGHT IN SOUTHERN VT ZONES...AND WENT WITH CHANCE OF SPRINKLES
INSTEAD.

ON LABOR DAY...ETA AND AVN MODELS SHOW MOST OF THE RAIN WILL BE
CONFINED TO EASTERN NEW ENGLAND.  WILL LEAVE A CHANCE OF RAIN ACROSS
SOUTHERN VT ZONES...AND GO WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY OVER MOST OF THE
REMAINDER OF THE FCST AREA.

ON TUESDAY...ETA AND AVN MODELS NOW SHOWING SHOWERS/TSTMS AHEAD
OF A COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE ADIRONDACKS/ST LAWRENCE VLY TUESDAY
AFTERNOON...AND THEN ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF THE FCST AREA TUESDAY
NIGHT.  MODELS NOW AGREE THAT THE COLD FRONT WILL BE SOUTH OF THE
FCST AREA BY 12Z WED...SO HAVE REMOVED THE MENTION OF PRECIP FORM WED
FCST...AND HAVE GONE WITH PARTLY SUNNY SKIES.

EXTENDED...STRONG HIGH PRES AREA TO BUILD SE FROM CANADA WITH FAIR
AND DRY WEATHER FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

.BTV...NONE.

WGH





   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

    Our Local Student forecasts have been completed for the School year.
              They will resume again in September. Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
 NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
 330 AM EDT MON SEP 2 2002

 .TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES THIS AFTERNOON. HIGH IN
 THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
 .TONIGHT...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S. LIGHT SOUTH
 WIND.
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH NEAR 80. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
 .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
 THUNDERSTORMS. LOW IN THE MID 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
 .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES IN THE AFTERNOON.
 HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.
 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOW IN
 THE UPPER 40S.
 .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.
 .FRIDAY...CLEAR. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
 .SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
 70S.
 .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 50 AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.

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