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Expires:200303172100;;884981
FPUS51 KBTV 170837
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
335 AM EST MON MAR 17 2003


VTZ006>008-010-172100-
CALEDONIA VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTPELIER VT...RANDOLPH VT...
ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
335 AM EST MON MAR 17 2003

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. MILD WITH A HIGH
55 TO 60. LIGHT SOUTH WIND.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF DRIZZLE. LOW 30 TO 35. NORTH WIND
5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND COOLER. HIGH 40 TO 45. NORTH WIND 10 TO
15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 5 TO 15 ABOVE.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 30S.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER TEENS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN DURING THE NIGHT. HIGH IN
THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S
AND HIGH IN THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE MID
40S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 20S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
30S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 170939
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
430 AM EST MON MAR 17 2003

LATEST GUIDANCE CONSISTENT FROM EARLIER DATA...SO NOT MANY CHNGS TO
PREVIOUS FCST WITH THIS PACKAGE. ANOTHER UNSEASONABLY MILD DAY
ON TAP FOR THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY...BUT COOLER TEMPS RETURN FOR
TUE/WED.

CURRENTLY...WRMFNT JUST NORTH OF THE BORDER. WIDE RANGE IN TEMPS
ACRS RGN ATTM (UPPER 20S TO UPPER 40S) WITH THE COOLEST READINGS
MAINLY IN ERN VT WHERE WNDS CALM AND SKIES M/CLR. SOUTHERLY BREEZE
AND SOME CLDS HAVE KEPT TEMPS MUCH HIR IN PARTS OF CHMPLN VLY AND OVR
HIR TRRN OF NRN NY.

TDY: FNT MAY DEPRESS SOUTH INTO NRN ZONES BRFLY EARLY TDY BEFORE
LIFTING NORTH AGAIN THIS AM. FA WL THEN RMN IN WARM SECTOR INTO THE
PM HRS. SHRTWV NORTH OF GRTLKS WL DROP SEWRD AND L BRING BACKDOOR
CDFNT THRU FA MID PM THRU THIS EVENING. MSTR PROFILES INDICATE WE WL
SEE AT LEAST PARTIAL SUNSHINE AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THIS WL ALLOW TEMPS
TO CLIMB WELL INTO 50S...WITH LOWER 60S PSBL SRN ZONES. (HAVE GONE
CLOSER TO FWC GUIDANCE FOR TDYS TEMPS). NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN WAY OF
PCPN WITH THIS SYSTEM. MSTR IS ALG AND BEHIND THE FRONT...AND IT IS
RESTRICTERD TO THE LLVLS (GENERALLY BLO ABT 5 KFT) AS LLVL NORTHERLY
FLOW DVLPS TONITE. HAVE LEFT IN LOW POP SHRA FOR NRN ZONES THIS PM...
AND CHC DRZL ALL AREAS TONITE. SOME POCKETS OF FRZG DRZL PSBL LATE
TONITE IN NRN AREAS.

TUE THRU WED: STG HIGH PRES BLDS SEWRD FROM HUDSONS BAY. SOME
LINGERING LLVL MSTR EARLY TUES...THEN MSTLY SUNNY SKIES. SHALLOW COLD
AIR...SO EXPECT COLDEST TEMPS TO BE IN NRN VLYS. MAINLY CLR AND COLD
TUES NIGHT...FOLLOWED BY MORE SUN ON WED.

EXTENDED: HAVE NOT MADE ANY CHNGS TO LATER PERIODS. ULVL RDG
HOLDS THRU THURS. HOWEVER...ONSET OF LLVL WAA WED NITE MAY RESULT IN
A PERIOD OF LIGHT PCPN LATE WED NITE INTO THURS AM. WL LET LATER
SHIFTS ADDRESS THIS. BETTER CHC FOR PCPN WL COME THURS NITE/FRI AS
COMPLEX AREA OF LOW PRES APRCHS FROM SOUTH AND WEST.

HYDRO: DESPITE CONTD SNOWMELT TDY...THREAT OF SIGNIFICANT FLOODING IS
MINIMAL IN THE SHORT TERM DUE LACK OF RAINFALL. COOLER TEMPS TONITE
INTO WED WL SLOW THE MELTING AND RESULTANT RUNOFF. RISK OF ICE JAMS
ALWAYS A POSSIBILITY HOWEVER. FLOOD THREAT WL INCREASE LATER IN WEEK
AS CHANCE OF OF RAIN INCREASES.

.BTV...NONE.

RJS





FXUS61 KBTV 170244
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
943 PM EST SUN MAR 16 2003

GOING FORECAST IN REAL GOOD SHAPE AND AS A RESULT...THERE WILL BE NO
UPDATES AT THIS TIME.  SATELLITE TRENDS SHOW MID LEVEL CLOUDS WILL
BE MOVING INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT AND GOING FORECAST OF MOSTLY
CLEAR LOOKS GOOD.  MILDER TEMPERATURES OVERNIGHT SHOULD HELP TO
DEVELOP SOME FOG GIVEN THE MELTING SNOW THAT OCCURRED EARLIER TODAY
HELPING TO INCREASE THE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.  ONCE AGAIN...GOING
FORECAST ALREADY HAS MENTION OF FOG DEVELOPING LATER AND THIS LOOKS
REAL GOOD.  TEMPERATURE FORECASTS TONIGHT AND MONDAY LOOK GOOD AS
WELL...SO NO CHANGES TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.







FXUS61 KBTV 162012
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
310 PM EST SUN MAR 16 2003

ONE MORE UNSEASONABLY MILD DAY XPCTD BFR BKDOOR CDFNT BRINGS COOLER
AMS TUE/WED.

CRNT/SHORT TERM...FA IN WRM SECTOR TAFTN WITH XCP OF KMSS WHERE NE
WIND HOLDING TMPS NR 40.  ELSW...TMPS IN 50S WITH L60S KRUT.  WRM
AIR VRY CLS TO KMSS AND XPCT WRM AIR TO HERE WITHIN A FEW HRS.  SOME
LOW CLDS ACRS ST LAW VLY...OTRW SATL SUGGESTS MOCLR SKIES WITH INCRG
LL MSTR LT TNGT...LKLY RSLTG IN FOG.  WIDE RNG IN TMPS XPCTD TNGT
BTWN HIR AND LWR ELEV AS STG SFC BASED INVRN DVLPS AGN.  MINS IN 20S
AND 30S ACRS FA.

AS UPR RDG AMPLIFIES ACRS UPR MIDWST...S/WV DIVING SE IN NW FLOW WL
BRING BKDOOR CDFNT S ACRS RGN LTR MON/MON EVNG BUT NOT BFR ANOTHER
MILD DAY MOB WITH TMPS INTO 50S CNTRL AND SRN FA COOLING TO UPR 40S
NR BDR.  MSTR PROFILES SUGGEST PTSUNNY SKIES WITH LOW CLDS ASSCD
WITH FNT XPCTD TO INCRS ACRS FAR N ZNS MON AFTN.  SYNOP FORCG IS
MINIMAL DUE TO SHLW NATURE OF FNT SO NOT CONFIDENT ABT PCPN CHCS N.
FOR FCST CONSISTENCY KEPT LOW POP FOR CNDN BDR ZONES MON AFTN AS LL
MSTR INCRS SGFNTLY. WENT WITH CHC DZ MON NGT WITH ABNDNT LL MSTR AND
DVLPG NLY FLOW. POCKETS OF FZDZ PSBL LT MON NGT N VLYS.

TUE...MSTR PUSHES S OF RGN WITH MOSUNNY SKIES DVPG AS STG SFC HI
BLDS N OF RGN.  CLASSIC SHLW COOL AMS SIGNATURE WITH N VLYS LKLY
COOLER THAN SURROUNDING HIR TRRN AND MILDEST TMPS LWR CT VLY.
GUIDANCE TMPS LOOK MCH TOO WRM AND UNDERCUT SGFNTLY...ESP N VLYS.
TMPS RNGG FM U30S N VLYS TO 50 LWR CT VLY.

TUE NGT...CLR/COLD NGT WITH SFC HI N OF RGN AND LGT NLY FLOW.  TMPS
IN SINGLE NMBRS AND LOW TEENS.

XTNDD...CONTD MOCLR WITH SHLW COOL AMS WED/WED NGT AS FA UNDER
INFLUENCE OF STG SFC HI NE/E OF FA.  00Z/06Z GFS AND ENSEMBLE
MEAN SLOWER WITH MIDWST SYS AS RDG SLOW TO DEPART AND WL HOLD BACK
CHC RA TIL THU NGT/FRI TIME FRAME.  00Z OP GFS WAS INDCTG POTL
SNOW EVENT FOR SUN WITH STG UL LOW MVG EWD FM GT LKS AND SFC SYS
TRACKING NE TWD CAPE COD.  06Z GFS MCH WEAKER AND FTHR S WITH UL
SYS AND NO SNOW THREAT.  ENSEMBLES INDCT 00Z OP RUN AN OUTLIER WITH
ENSEMBLE MEAN INDCTG MCH WEAKER SYS FTHR OFFSHORE SO KEPT SUN DRY
FOR NOW.

HYDRO...WITH NGTS COOLING TNGT/MON NGT TO SLOW MELTING AND RUNOFF
SHORT TERM FLOOD THREAT DUE TO ICE JAMS NOT HI.  THEN MCH COOLER AMS
TUE INTO WED.  FLOOD THREAT WL INCR TWD END OF WEEK AS RA CHCS
INCRS.

.BTV...NONE.

KJC




   This  data  is  from  the  [3]IWIN  (Interactive  Weather  Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

732
ASUS51 KBTV 171112
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON MAR 17 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-171200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    38  37  97 E5        29.80F
MONTPELIER     PTCLDY    32  32 100 CALM      29.84F
MORRISVILLE    PTCLDY    28  28 100 N3        29.82F FOG
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     28  26  92 CALM      29.83S
RUTLAND        PTCLDY    36  34  93 SE7       29.84S
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    27  27 100 CALM      29.86F FOG
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     35  34  96 CALM      29.85S FOG
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                       4:00pm Sunday, March 16, 2003
                     STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Janna Brown
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Tonight  :  Increasing clouds with a chance of rain showers overnight.
   Lows  will  drop into the mid to upper 30's accompanied by a southerly
   wind between 5 and 15mph.

   Monday:  A  warm  St.  Pattrick's  Day with highs reaching 50 degrees.
   Expect  mostly  cloudy  skies  with  a  chance  for  a  shower  in the
   afternoon. Winds will change from south to northwest at 5 to 15 mph.

   Monday  night:  A  chance  for  a rain shower will continue with skies
   remaining mostly cloudy. Lows will be between 30 and 35 degrees.

   Tuesday:  Expect partly sunny skies with temperatures reaching the mid
   to  upper 40's. By evening most clouds will have moved out of our area
   allowing some chillier lows in the mid 20's.

                             Extended Forecast

   Wednesday  :  Mostly sunny throughout the day with highs climbing into
   the  low  to  mid  40's.  Clouds  will  be  on the increase during the
   afternoon and evening hours with lows in the mid to upper 20's.

   Thursday:  Cloudy skies with a chance for a rain shower during the day
   with  highs  between 44 and 48 degrees. By evening chances for showers
   will increase and lows into the low to mid 30's.

   Friday:  Partly cloudy skies becoming cloudy with rain showers likely.
   Highs near 50 degrees and lows in the low to mid 30's.

                            Forecast Discussion

   The  spring  temperatures are going to continue throughout the week in
   the  Northeast Kingdom. Highs for this third week in March will remain
   in  the  40's and possible 50's for Monday and again by Friday. A warm
   front  is  currently  moving  over  our  region  today  which  brought
   temperatures  to  near  55 degrees! By Monday evening a back door cold
   front  will  move  through the area making lows drop into the 20's for
   Tuesday  night.  High  pressure  will then settle in, but not for long
   because by Thursday and Friday our next system currently effecting the
   Rocky  Mountain region will have made its way to the Northeast. Luckly
   temperatures  will remain well above the freezing mark so our forecast
   looks  to  be  rain  showers for Friday and into Saturday. So, despite
   chances for rain, the upcoming work week is looking quite comfortable.

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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