Print

Print


Expires:200305262000;;365514
FPUS51 KBTV 260743
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
340 AM EDT MON MAY 26 2003


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-262000-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
340 AM EDT MON MAY 26 2003

.TODAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGH 55 TO 60. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOW IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WIND. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID TO
UPPER 60S. NORTH WIND 10 MPH BECOMING EAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 70 TO 75.
CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE
MID 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH NEAR 70.
.FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY...OTHERWISE PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHT. LOW
IN THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW IN
THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH NEAR 70.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 260849
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
445 AM EDT MON MAY 26 2003

CLOSED LOW CNTRD JUST TO WEST OF FA OVR SRN ONT WL CONTINUE TO
INFLUENCE OUR WX FOR NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. SHRTWVS WL CONTINUE TO ROTATE
ARND CLOSED LOW...ACTUALLY FORCING THE CENTER SOUTHWEST INTO OH VLY
TUE/WED...BEFORE IT GRDLY SHIFTS EAST AND MOVES ACRS NEW ENG LATER IN
WEEK.

THE MOST SIGNIFICANT SHRTWV THAT WL AFFECT US OVER NEXT SEVERAL
DAYS WL UNFORTUANTELY BE TDY AS IT LIFTS NORTHEAST FROM OH VLY
INTO NEW ENGTHRU TONITE. ASSOCD SFC LOW WL TRACK JUST SOUTH OF CAPE
COD TONITE. INVERTED TROF EXTENDING NORTH THRU WRN PTN OF FA TO DYING
LOW IN SRN QUE WL SERVE AS FOCUS FOR MSTR TRANSPORT NORTH INTO FA.
PW'S INCREASE TO AROUND AN INCH...AND CHANGE VERY LITTLE THRU TUES.
LATEST RADAR SHOWS NUMEROUS SHWRS ACRS NRN NYS...JUST SCT ACTIVITY IN
VT. LARGER AREA OF RAIN APRCHG FROM SRN TIER OF NYS WL OVERSREAD FA
THIS MORNING. EMBEDDED TSRA PSBL SRN AND WRN ZONES.

MODELS FAIRLY SIMILAR REGARDING PCPN CHANCES AND DISTRIBUTION OF THE
RAINFALL FOR TDY...BUT THEY DIGRESS SIGNIFICANTLY TONITE AND TUES.
ETA NOTICEABLY WETTER THAN GFS...WHICH CONTINUES TO INDICATE MAINLY
DRY CONDITIONS AFTER 00Z. HAVE GONE CLOSER TO THE WETTER ETA SOLUTION
AND GONE WITH RAIN LIKELY TONITE AND A CHANCE OF SHWRS TUES. THIS
IS CONSISTENT WITH PREVIOUS FCST.

NO CHNGS TO EXTENDED PORTION OF FCST. HARD TO FIND A DAY
WHEN SHWRS WONT REQUIRE A MENTION.

.BTV...NONE.

RJS





FXUS61 KBTV 260205
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1004 PM EDT SUN MAY 25 2003

OVERALL FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE.  WILL ONLY MAKE MINOR CHANGES TO
FIRST PERIOD BASED ON THE FOLLOWING:  RADAR TRENDS TO SHOW
PRECIPITATION EXITING THE NORTHERN TIER AND MORE ACTIVITY FORMING
SOUTH OF THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY...AND BASED ON DEW POINTS AND
LITTLE CHANGE IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE FIELDS...RAISED MINIMUM
TEMPERATURES UP A FEW DEGREES.  RADAR TRENDS SHOWING PRECIPITATION
BEGINNING TO INCREASE IN AREAL COVERAGE ACROSS PENNSYLVANIA AND THIS
APPEARS TO BE THE START OF THE PRECIPITATION SHIELD THAT WILL MOVE
INTO THE FORECAST AREA TOWARD THE MORNING HOURS.  THUS WORDING
INDICATING LIKELY OR GREATER POPS TOWARD THE MORNING HOURS LOOKS
GOOD.

REST OF FORECAST REMAINS UNCHANGED...UPDATED ZONES ALREADY SENT.

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.







FXUS61 KBTV 251927
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
327 PM EDT SUN MAY 25 2003

CRNT/SHORT TERM...SFC HTG COMBINED WITH COLD POOL FM NEARBY UPR
LOW HAS DESTAB ATMOS WITH MSAS LI/S -3 TO -5 ACRS W ZNS.  RGNL 88D
MOSAIC SHWS SCT TSTMS ACRS NNY IN UNSTABLE AMS.  INSTABY WL CONT
INTO THIS EVNG SO HAV MNTND TSTMS W ZNS THIS EVNG...OTRW CHC SHWRS
REST OF FA BEFORE STEADIER RA BEGINS OVRSPREADING RGN TWD DAYBREAK.

MDLS ADVERTISING WET MEMORIAL DAY ACRS MCH OF FA AS MID ATL SFC WAVE
ADVCTS MSTR INTO FA.  KEY FEATURE IS INVERTED TROF W OF FA WHICH
FOCUSES DEEPER MSTR NWD INTO FA.  PW/S INCRS TO 1-1.25" WITH PD OF
GOOD H8-H5 QG LIFT MON INTO MON EVNG ALONG WITH FVRBL JET DYNAM.
THIS GOOD FOR CAT RAINS ALTHO MDLS SHW DIFFERENCES REGARDING WHERE
AXIS OF HVIEST QPF IS LOCD.  BASED ON PW...ISEN LIFT AND SE UPSLOPE
FLOW BLV HVIEST RAFL WL BE FM S VT THRU ERN ADRNDCKS WHERE 1/2"-1"
PSBL.  TMPS WL NOT RISE MCH MON WITH RDGS RMNG IN 50S.

GFS LOOKS TOO QUICK IN MOVG MSTR AND PCPN OUT OF RGN MON NGT SO
LEANED TWD ETA SOLN AND CARRIED LKLY POPS ERN ZNS DURG EVNG WITH
CHC W ZNS...THEN DECRG POPS OVRNGT.

STILL LOTS OF LL MSTR ARND TUE WITH S/WVS ROTATING ARND UPR LOW OVR
LKS SO CANT RULE OUT A SHOWER.  WENT WITH A ETA/AVN MOS COMPROMISE
ON TMPS...GNLY 65-70.

EXTNDD...UPR LOW WKNS AND LIFTS NE ACRS RGN WED/THU...MOVG EWD FRI.
WITH COLD POOL HANGING ARND CANT RULE OUT CHC SHWR WED THRU FRI
ALTHO WX NOT BAD WITH SOME SUN XPCTD AND SEASONABLE TMPS.  BETWEEN
SYS SAT THEN CHC SHWRS SAT NGT/SUN WITH NXT APCHG FNTL SYS.

.BTV...NONE.

KJC




   This  data  is  from  the  [3]IWIN  (Interactive  Weather  Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

061
ASUS51 KBTV 261105
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
700 AM EDT MON MAY 26 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-261200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    58  54  86 SE5       30.03S
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    56  51  84 VRB6      30.07S
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     55  51  86 CALM      30.07S
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    54  52  94 SE12G16   30.05S
SPRINGFIELD    LGT RAIN  53  52  96 E3        30.09R FOG
BENNINGTON     LGT RAIN  55  52  89 SE8       30.04R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



     Our Local Student forecasts will return after the academic break.
                                 Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
 NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
 340 AM EDT MON MAY 26 2003

 .TODAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGH 55 TO 60. SOUTH WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
 CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT.
 .TONIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOW IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. LIGHT AND
 VARIABLE WIND. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT.
 .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID TO
 UPPER 60S. NORTH WIND 10 MPH BECOMING EAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
 CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
 .TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S.
 .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 70 TO 75.
 CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
 .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE
 MID 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
 .THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH NEAR 70.
 .FRIDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY...OTHERWISE PARTLY
 CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S.
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHT. LOW
 IN THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 70S.
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW IN
 THE UPPER 40S AND HIGH NEAR 70.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html