Print

Print


Expires:200305222000;;281811
FPUS51 KBTV 220730
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
330 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2003


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-222000-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
330 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2003

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. EAST WIND AROUND
10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW IN
THE LOWER 40S. EAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 55 TO 60. EAST
WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOW 40 TO 45. CHANCE OF
RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGH 50 TO 55. CHANCE OF RAIN 80
PERCENT.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOW NEAR 40. CHANCE OF RAIN 70
PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE UPPER
50S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE
LOWER 40S AND HIGH NEAR 60.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER
40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW
IN THE LOWER 40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 220551
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
151 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2003

STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA IN CONTROL OF THE
WX OVER THE CWA FOR ONE MORE DAY AS IT SLOWLY MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.

MODELS ARE SHOWING AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPING LATE THUR
NITE/EARLY FRI MORNING OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS WILL FORM
AN UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY.
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST DURING THIS TIME WILL MOVE OFF THE
COAST AND WORK NORTH DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. WITH THE LARGE AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST...THERE WILL BE NO MECHANISM TO MOVE
THE UPPER CUT-OFF LOW ALONG. THIS WILL RESULT IN A SECONDARY LOW TO
DEVELOP UNDER THE CUT-OFF...IN ADDITION TO THE LOW MOVING UP THE
COAST. AND WITH SOUTH/SOUTHWEST FLOW ALREADY IN PLACE...ABUNDANT
MOISTURE IS AVAILABLE. THE COASTAL LOW WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE UP THE
COAST AND INTO THE NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY...AND BE ABSORBED BY THE
STRONG UPPER LOW.

TIMING FOR PRECIPITATION OVER THE WEEKEND WILL BE A LITTLE TRICKY.
THE GFS AND MRF WANTS TO BRING THE BULK OF THE RAIN...ASSOCIATED
WITH THE COASTAL LOW...IN ON A SAT/SAT NITE TIME-FRAME...WHILE THE
MESO-ETA/ETA LOOKS TO AIM FOR A LATE SAT/SUN TIME-FRAME. MODELS FOR
THE EXTENDED HAVE THE CUTOFF LOW REMAINING INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...BEFORE BEING PUSHED EAST BY A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. WILL
KEEP THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IN THE EXTENDED TO TEND TO THE WRAP-
AROUND EFFECT OF THE LOW.

TEMPS ACROSS THE CWA WILL NOT RANGE TOO MUCH...WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD
COVER AND RAIN...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.

WORK ZONES OUT BY 230 AM.

.BTV...NONE.

JN





FXUS61 KBTV 220216
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1015 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2003

HAVE DECIDED CURRENT ZONE FORECASTS ARE ACCURATE AND NO NEED FOR
ANY LATE EVENING UPDATES.

FROST FREEZE SITUATION DEVELOPING AS EXPECTED, SO WILL RE-ISSUE THE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT AND CONTINUE WITH THE CURRENT WORDING OF
FROST IN THE ZONES FORECASTS.  IN SOME AREAS A LIGHT NORTHEAST
GRADIENT IS STILL FILTERING THE VERY COLD TEENS AND TWENTIES
DEWPOINTS FROM THE ST LAWRENCE VLY TOWARD OUR AREA.  DECOUPLING
WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES SHOULD ALLOW MAXIMUM RADIATIONAL
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY CHAMPLAIN VLY WESTWARD.  WIDESPREAD
SUBFREEZING TEMPS THROUGHOUT THE ADIRONDACKS AND AT LEAST LOCAL
FROST ALL OTHER AREAS EXCEPT S-CNTRL VT WHERE A FEW CLOUDS AND
HIGHER DWPTS PERSIST.

DISCUSSION FROM 4PM WED FOLLOWS.....

CDFNT HAS PUSHED SOUTH AND EAST OF FA...BUT EXACTLY HOW FAR SOUTH OF
FA IT WL DROP BEFORE IT BEGINS TO RETURN NORTH IS DEBATABLE. HIGH
PRES SLIDING EAST ACRS ONT/QUE TON/FRI...WHILE ULVL FLOW BEGINS TO
BACK INTO SOUTHWEST AS EARLY AS THURS IN RESPONSE TO DIGGING SHRTWV
APRCHG GRTLKS.

SHORT TERM: SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACRS MUCH OF NRN NY...BUT CLDS
LINGERING IN MUCH OF VT ATTM. EXPECT CLRNG SKIES IN NRN VT THRU THIS
EVENING...BUT MSTR PROFILES INDICATE LLVL MSTR MAY RMN IN SRN HALF OF
VT OVRNGHT. DWPTS HAVE DROPPED INTO LWR 30S ACRS NRN NY...EXPECT THIS
DRYING IN NRN VT TONITE. WNDS EXPECTED TO DECOUPLE IN MOST AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE DRIER AIR COMBINED WITH LIGHT WNDS WL ALLOW TEMPS TO
FALL BLO FRZG IN THE NRN MTN VLYS. SPS ISSUED TO HIGHLIGHT THE
FROST POTENTIAL.

THURS THRU FRI: SHRTWV DIVING SEWRD ACRS WRN GRTLKS THURS DVLPS
INTO CLOSED LOW...AND EVENTUALLY SETTLES OVR LWR LAKES/OH VLY.
THIS ALLOWS FLOW TO BACK EVEN MORE INTO SOUTH. THIS ALLOWS STALLED
FRONT TO LIFT NORTH. DURING THURS...LLVL MSTR LIFTS SLOWLY NORTH IN
VT...WHILE ACRS NRN ZONES...JUST SOME HIGH CLDS EXPECTED. MSTR LIFTS
NW INTO FA THUR NITE/FRI. HAVE INCLUDED CHC SHWRS THURS NITE SRN AND
ERN VT...BUT NO MENTION OF PCPN IN NW NY TIL FRI PM.

EXTENDED: MORE SIGNIFICANT MSTR WL BE ASSOCD WITH LOW PRES MOVG UP
EAST CST DURING FIRST PART OF HOLIDAY WEEKEND. HAVE GONE WITH
LIKELY OR CATEGORICAL POPS SAT/SAT NITE. MAX TEMPS SAT ONLY IN 50S.
BREAK IN THE PCPN PSBL DURING SUNDAY AS LOW LIFTS INTO FA WITH
OVERRUNNING PCPN LIFTING NORTH OF FA DURING DAY. UPR LOW WL RMN
NEARLY STATIONARY JUST TO WEST OF FA EARLY NEXT WEEK...ALLOWING A
SERIES OF LOWS T BRING CHC RAIN OR SHWRS OR RGN THRU THE PERIOD.

.BTV...NONE.

RJS/REB







FXUS61 KBTV 212013
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
413 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2003

CDFNT HAS PUSHED SOUTH AND EAST OF FA...BUT EXACTLY HOW FAR SOUTH OF
FA IT WL DROP BEFORE IT BEGINS TO RETURN NORTH IS DEBATABLE. HIGH
PRES SLIDING EAST ACRS ONT/QUE TON/FRI...WHILE ULVL FLOW BEGINS TO
BACK INTO SOUTHWEST AS EARLY AS THURS IN RESPONSE TO DIGGING SHRTWV
APRCHG GRTLKS.

SHORT TERM: SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACRS MUCH OF NRN NY...BUT CLDS
LINGERING IN MUCH OF VT ATTM. EXPECT CLRNG SKIES IN NRN VT THRU THIS
EVENING...BUT MSTR PROFILES INDICATE LLVL MSTR MAY RMN IN SRN HALF OF
VT OVRNGHT. DWPTS HAVE DROPPED INTO LWR 30S ACRS NRN NY...EXPECT THIS
DRYING IN NRN VT TONITE. WNDS EXPECTED TO DECOUPLE IN MOST AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE DRIER AIR COMBINED WITH LIGHT WNDS WL ALLOW TEMPS TO
FALL BLO FRZG IN THE NRN MTN VLYS. SPS ISSUED TO HIGHLIGHT THE
FROST POTENTIAL.

THURS THRU FRI: SHRTWV DIVING SEWRD ACRS WRN GRTLKS THURS DVLPS
INTO CLOSED LOW...AND EVENTUALLY SETTLES OVR LWR LAKES/OH VLY.
THIS ALLOWS FLOW TO BACK EVEN MORE INTO SOUTH. THIS ALLOWS STALLED
FRONT TO LIFT NORTH. DURING THURS...LLVL MSTR LIFTS SLOWLY NORTH IN
VT...WHILE ACRS NRN ZONES...JUST SOME HIGH CLDS EXPECTED. MSTR LIFTS
NW INTO FA THUR NITE/FRI. HAVE INCLUDED CHC SHWRS THURS NITE SRN AND
ERN VT...BUT NO MENTION OF PCPN IN NW NY TIL FRI PM.

EXTENDED: MORE SIGNIFICANT MSTR WL BE ASSOCD WITH LOW PRES MOVG UP
EAST CST DURING FIRST PART OF HOLIDAY WEEKEND. HAVE GONE WITH
LIKELY OR CATEGORICAL POPS SAT/SAT NITE. MAX TEMPS SAT ONLY IN 50S.
BREAK IN THE PCPN PSBL DURING SUNDAY AS LOW LIFTS INTO FA WITH
OVERRUNNING PCPN LIFTING NORTH OF FA DURING DAY. UPR LOW WL RMN
NEARLY STATIONARY JUST TO WEST OF FA EARLY NEXT WEEK...ALLOWING A
SERIES OF LOWS T BRING CHC RAIN OR SHWRS OR RGN THRU THE PERIOD.

.BTV...NONE.

RJS




   This  data  is  from  the  [3]IWIN  (Interactive  Weather  Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

905
ASUS51 KBTV 221105
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
700 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-221200-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   42  35  76 CALM      30.36R
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    42  34  73 CALM      30.38R
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    35  33  92 CALM      30.38R
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     38  35  89 CALM      30.34R
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    46  39  76 CALM      30.32R
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    50  33  52 NE5       30.32R
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    48  43  82 SW3       30.27R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX



     Our Local Student forecasts will return after the academic break.
                                 Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
 NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
 330 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2003

 .TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. EAST WIND AROUND
 10 MPH.
 .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW IN
 THE LOWER 40S. EAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
 .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 55 TO 60. EAST
 WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
 .FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOW 40 TO 45. CHANCE OF
 RAIN 50 PERCENT.
 .SATURDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGH 50 TO 55. CHANCE OF RAIN 80
 PERCENT.
 .SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOW NEAR 40. CHANCE OF RAIN 70
 PERCENT.
 .SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE UPPER
 50S.
 .MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE
 LOWER 40S AND HIGH NEAR 60.
 .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER
 40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.
 .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW
 IN THE LOWER 40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html