Expires:200305222000;;281811
FPUS51 KBTV 220730
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
330 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2003
VTZ003-004-006>008-010-222000-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
330 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2003
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. EAST WIND AROUND
10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW IN
THE LOWER 40S. EAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 55 TO 60. EAST
WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOW 40 TO 45. CHANCE OF
RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGH 50 TO 55. CHANCE OF RAIN 80
PERCENT.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOW NEAR 40. CHANCE OF RAIN 70
PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE UPPER
50S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE
LOWER 40S AND HIGH NEAR 60.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER
40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW
IN THE LOWER 40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.
$$
REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
_________________________________________________________________
FXUS61 KBTV 220551
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
151 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2003
STRONG AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE OVER EASTERN CANADA IN CONTROL OF THE
WX OVER THE CWA FOR ONE MORE DAY AS IT SLOWLY MOVES OFF TO THE EAST.
MODELS ARE SHOWING AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH DEVELOPING LATE THUR
NITE/EARLY FRI MORNING OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. THIS WILL FORM
AN UPPER LEVEL CUTOFF LOW OVER THE EASTERN GREAT LAKES ON FRIDAY.
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST DURING THIS TIME WILL MOVE OFF THE
COAST AND WORK NORTH DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY. WITH THE LARGE AREA
OF HIGH PRESSURE OFF THE COAST...THERE WILL BE NO MECHANISM TO MOVE
THE UPPER CUT-OFF LOW ALONG. THIS WILL RESULT IN A SECONDARY LOW TO
DEVELOP UNDER THE CUT-OFF...IN ADDITION TO THE LOW MOVING UP THE
COAST. AND WITH SOUTH/SOUTHWEST FLOW ALREADY IN PLACE...ABUNDANT
MOISTURE IS AVAILABLE. THE COASTAL LOW WILL EVENTUALLY MOVE UP THE
COAST AND INTO THE NORTHEAST ON SATURDAY...AND BE ABSORBED BY THE
STRONG UPPER LOW.
TIMING FOR PRECIPITATION OVER THE WEEKEND WILL BE A LITTLE TRICKY.
THE GFS AND MRF WANTS TO BRING THE BULK OF THE RAIN...ASSOCIATED
WITH THE COASTAL LOW...IN ON A SAT/SAT NITE TIME-FRAME...WHILE THE
MESO-ETA/ETA LOOKS TO AIM FOR A LATE SAT/SUN TIME-FRAME. MODELS FOR
THE EXTENDED HAVE THE CUTOFF LOW REMAINING INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK...BEFORE BEING PUSHED EAST BY A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE. WILL
KEEP THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS IN THE EXTENDED TO TEND TO THE WRAP-
AROUND EFFECT OF THE LOW.
TEMPS ACROSS THE CWA WILL NOT RANGE TOO MUCH...WITH ABUNDANT CLOUD
COVER AND RAIN...ESPECIALLY OVER THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND.
WORK ZONES OUT BY 230 AM.
.BTV...NONE.
JN
FXUS61 KBTV 220216
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1015 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2003
HAVE DECIDED CURRENT ZONE FORECASTS ARE ACCURATE AND NO NEED FOR
ANY LATE EVENING UPDATES.
FROST FREEZE SITUATION DEVELOPING AS EXPECTED, SO WILL RE-ISSUE THE
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT AND CONTINUE WITH THE CURRENT WORDING OF
FROST IN THE ZONES FORECASTS. IN SOME AREAS A LIGHT NORTHEAST
GRADIENT IS STILL FILTERING THE VERY COLD TEENS AND TWENTIES
DEWPOINTS FROM THE ST LAWRENCE VLY TOWARD OUR AREA. DECOUPLING
WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES SHOULD ALLOW MAXIMUM RADIATIONAL
CONDITIONS...ESPECIALLY CHAMPLAIN VLY WESTWARD. WIDESPREAD
SUBFREEZING TEMPS THROUGHOUT THE ADIRONDACKS AND AT LEAST LOCAL
FROST ALL OTHER AREAS EXCEPT S-CNTRL VT WHERE A FEW CLOUDS AND
HIGHER DWPTS PERSIST.
DISCUSSION FROM 4PM WED FOLLOWS.....
CDFNT HAS PUSHED SOUTH AND EAST OF FA...BUT EXACTLY HOW FAR SOUTH OF
FA IT WL DROP BEFORE IT BEGINS TO RETURN NORTH IS DEBATABLE. HIGH
PRES SLIDING EAST ACRS ONT/QUE TON/FRI...WHILE ULVL FLOW BEGINS TO
BACK INTO SOUTHWEST AS EARLY AS THURS IN RESPONSE TO DIGGING SHRTWV
APRCHG GRTLKS.
SHORT TERM: SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACRS MUCH OF NRN NY...BUT CLDS
LINGERING IN MUCH OF VT ATTM. EXPECT CLRNG SKIES IN NRN VT THRU THIS
EVENING...BUT MSTR PROFILES INDICATE LLVL MSTR MAY RMN IN SRN HALF OF
VT OVRNGHT. DWPTS HAVE DROPPED INTO LWR 30S ACRS NRN NY...EXPECT THIS
DRYING IN NRN VT TONITE. WNDS EXPECTED TO DECOUPLE IN MOST AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE DRIER AIR COMBINED WITH LIGHT WNDS WL ALLOW TEMPS TO
FALL BLO FRZG IN THE NRN MTN VLYS. SPS ISSUED TO HIGHLIGHT THE
FROST POTENTIAL.
THURS THRU FRI: SHRTWV DIVING SEWRD ACRS WRN GRTLKS THURS DVLPS
INTO CLOSED LOW...AND EVENTUALLY SETTLES OVR LWR LAKES/OH VLY.
THIS ALLOWS FLOW TO BACK EVEN MORE INTO SOUTH. THIS ALLOWS STALLED
FRONT TO LIFT NORTH. DURING THURS...LLVL MSTR LIFTS SLOWLY NORTH IN
VT...WHILE ACRS NRN ZONES...JUST SOME HIGH CLDS EXPECTED. MSTR LIFTS
NW INTO FA THUR NITE/FRI. HAVE INCLUDED CHC SHWRS THURS NITE SRN AND
ERN VT...BUT NO MENTION OF PCPN IN NW NY TIL FRI PM.
EXTENDED: MORE SIGNIFICANT MSTR WL BE ASSOCD WITH LOW PRES MOVG UP
EAST CST DURING FIRST PART OF HOLIDAY WEEKEND. HAVE GONE WITH
LIKELY OR CATEGORICAL POPS SAT/SAT NITE. MAX TEMPS SAT ONLY IN 50S.
BREAK IN THE PCPN PSBL DURING SUNDAY AS LOW LIFTS INTO FA WITH
OVERRUNNING PCPN LIFTING NORTH OF FA DURING DAY. UPR LOW WL RMN
NEARLY STATIONARY JUST TO WEST OF FA EARLY NEXT WEEK...ALLOWING A
SERIES OF LOWS T BRING CHC RAIN OR SHWRS OR RGN THRU THE PERIOD.
.BTV...NONE.
RJS/REB
FXUS61 KBTV 212013
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
413 PM EDT WED MAY 21 2003
CDFNT HAS PUSHED SOUTH AND EAST OF FA...BUT EXACTLY HOW FAR SOUTH OF
FA IT WL DROP BEFORE IT BEGINS TO RETURN NORTH IS DEBATABLE. HIGH
PRES SLIDING EAST ACRS ONT/QUE TON/FRI...WHILE ULVL FLOW BEGINS TO
BACK INTO SOUTHWEST AS EARLY AS THURS IN RESPONSE TO DIGGING SHRTWV
APRCHG GRTLKS.
SHORT TERM: SKIES HAVE CLEARED ACRS MUCH OF NRN NY...BUT CLDS
LINGERING IN MUCH OF VT ATTM. EXPECT CLRNG SKIES IN NRN VT THRU THIS
EVENING...BUT MSTR PROFILES INDICATE LLVL MSTR MAY RMN IN SRN HALF OF
VT OVRNGHT. DWPTS HAVE DROPPED INTO LWR 30S ACRS NRN NY...EXPECT THIS
DRYING IN NRN VT TONITE. WNDS EXPECTED TO DECOUPLE IN MOST AREAS
OVERNIGHT. THE DRIER AIR COMBINED WITH LIGHT WNDS WL ALLOW TEMPS TO
FALL BLO FRZG IN THE NRN MTN VLYS. SPS ISSUED TO HIGHLIGHT THE
FROST POTENTIAL.
THURS THRU FRI: SHRTWV DIVING SEWRD ACRS WRN GRTLKS THURS DVLPS
INTO CLOSED LOW...AND EVENTUALLY SETTLES OVR LWR LAKES/OH VLY.
THIS ALLOWS FLOW TO BACK EVEN MORE INTO SOUTH. THIS ALLOWS STALLED
FRONT TO LIFT NORTH. DURING THURS...LLVL MSTR LIFTS SLOWLY NORTH IN
VT...WHILE ACRS NRN ZONES...JUST SOME HIGH CLDS EXPECTED. MSTR LIFTS
NW INTO FA THUR NITE/FRI. HAVE INCLUDED CHC SHWRS THURS NITE SRN AND
ERN VT...BUT NO MENTION OF PCPN IN NW NY TIL FRI PM.
EXTENDED: MORE SIGNIFICANT MSTR WL BE ASSOCD WITH LOW PRES MOVG UP
EAST CST DURING FIRST PART OF HOLIDAY WEEKEND. HAVE GONE WITH
LIKELY OR CATEGORICAL POPS SAT/SAT NITE. MAX TEMPS SAT ONLY IN 50S.
BREAK IN THE PCPN PSBL DURING SUNDAY AS LOW LIFTS INTO FA WITH
OVERRUNNING PCPN LIFTING NORTH OF FA DURING DAY. UPR LOW WL RMN
NEARLY STATIONARY JUST TO WEST OF FA EARLY NEXT WEEK...ALLOWING A
SERIES OF LOWS T BRING CHC RAIN OR SHWRS OR RGN THRU THE PERIOD.
.BTV...NONE.
RJS
This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
Network)
References
1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html
905
ASUS51 KBTV 221105
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
700 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2003
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
VTZ001>014-221200-
_____VERMONT_____
CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS
BURLINGTON MOSUNNY 42 35 76 CALM 30.36R
MONTPELIER CLOUDY 42 34 73 CALM 30.38R
MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 35 33 92 CALM 30.38R
ST. JOHNSBURY N/A 38 35 89 CALM 30.34R
RUTLAND CLOUDY 46 39 76 CALM 30.32R
SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 50 33 52 NE5 30.32R
BENNINGTON CLOUDY 48 43 82 SW3 30.27R
$$
______KEY______
VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX - HEAT INDEX
Our Local Student forecasts will return after the academic break.
Thank You.
The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
_________________________________________________________________
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
330 AM EDT THU MAY 22 2003
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 60S. EAST WIND AROUND
10 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW IN
THE LOWER 40S. EAST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 55 TO 60. EAST
WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN. LOW 40 TO 45. CHANCE OF
RAIN 50 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGH 50 TO 55. CHANCE OF RAIN 80
PERCENT.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN LIKELY. LOW NEAR 40. CHANCE OF RAIN 70
PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE UPPER
50S.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE
LOWER 40S AND HIGH NEAR 60.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER
40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY. LOW
IN THE LOWER 40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.
To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html
