Expires:200305292000;;424818 FPUS51 KBTV 290732 ZFPBTV ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 330 AM EDT THU MAY 29 2003 VTZ003-004-006>008-010-292000- CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT... NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT 330 AM EDT THU MAY 29 2003 .TODAY...SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. WEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 65 TO 70. WEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. .SATURDAY...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH RAIN LIKELY BY LATE IN THE DAY. HIGH AROUND 70. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. .SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOW NEAR 50. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S. .MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 40 AND HIGH IN THE MID 60S. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 40S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S. $$ REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see [2]additional information here _________________________________________________________________ FXUS61 KBTV 290759 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 400 AM AM EDT THU MAY 29 2003 NO CHANGES IN THE OVERALL WX PATTERN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. MEAN RIDGE RMNS OUT WEST...WITH THE MEAN TROF IN EAST. RESULT WL BE A CONTINUATION OF UNSETTLED WX. CENTER OF CLOSED UPPER LOW HAS FINALLY MOVED EAST OF FA. IT IS NOW LOCATED OVER WRN MAINE AND WL CONTINUE TO MOVE SLOWLY NORTHEAST INTO MARITIMES. SHRTWVS/TROFS CONTINUE TO PINWHEEL AROUND THE LOW...AND SHWR ACTIVITY WL INCREASE DURING TDY AS HEATING DESTABILIZES ATMOS. MARGINAL INSTABILITY BY THIS PM...SO HAVE INCLUDED A MENTION OF TSRA...WHICH COULD LINGER INTO EVENING HRS. HIR POPS OVER NRN ZONES TDY...WITH MORE ENHANCED ACTIVITY OVER THE HIR TRRN. AS CLOSED LOW PULLS FURTHER AWAY TONITE...AND ATMOS STABILIZES WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...EXPECT SHWRS TO DIMINISH WITH P/C SKIES OVERNIGHT. EXPECT A CHC OF SHWRS AGAIN ON FRIDAY AS ANOTHER SHRTWV MOVES THRU RGN DURING LATER AM THRU MID PM. GREATEST CHC OF SHWRS WL BE ACRS NRN VT. OUR WINDOW WITHOUT ANY MENTION OF PCPN OVER NEXT SEVERAL DAYS SEEMS TO BE SHRINKING. WITH PASSAGE OF SHRTWV LATER FRI...EXPECT SOME DRYING FRI NITE. LATEST GUIDANCE SUGGETS HOWEVER THAT THE WX PICTURE WL DETERIORATE RATHER QUICKLY ON SATURDAY...A LITTLE EARLIER THAN PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED. VIGOROUS SHRTWV WL DIVE SEWRD ACRS CNTRL GRTLKS FRI NITE INTO SAT...RESULTING IN UPR TROF TAKING ON A NEGATIVE TILT ACRS THE NORTHEAST. GOOD UPPER LEVEL DIVERGENCE PRIOR TO THE TROF DVLPG INTO ANOTHER CUTOFF LOW. THE WHOLE ULVL SYSTEM WL SWING SLOWLY ACRS THE NORTHEAST LATER SAT THRU SUN. SOME DIFFERENCES IN THE MODELS REGARDING THE TRACK OF THE SFC LOW. BEST ESTIMATE ATTM WOULD BE FOR A TRACK ACRS SRN TIER OF NYS LATE SAT INTO CNTRL NEW ENG SUNDAY. IT ALL ADDS UP TO A RATHER WET WEEKEND...WITH RAIN LIKELY TO BEGIN IN MOST AREAS SAT PM...AND CONTINUING ON AND OFF THRU SUNDAY WITH HEAVY PCPN TOTALS PSBL. MON THRU WED: LINGERING SHWRS MONDAY. LATEST MID RANGE GUIDANCE SUGGESTS WE MAY NOT SQUEEZE OUT BOTH TUE AND WED WITHOUT ANY SHWRS... BUT HAVE NOT MADE CHANGES ATTM. .BTV...NONE. RJS FXUS61 KBTV 290109 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 915 PM EDT WED MAY 28 2003 CRNT: RDR/IR SAT/WTR VPR ALL TELL THE STORY...VERTICALLY STACKED LOW CENTERED ACRS CHMPL VLY. MAIN S/W AXIS ROTATING S ACRS SE NY/NE PA/SNE AND THATS WHERE MUCH OF THE "MAIN" CONVECTION IS LOCATED. SOME MINOR VORTS ROTATING ARD UPR LOW RESPONSIBLE FOR ACTVTY IN QUEBEC THAT MAY SURVIVE THE TREK INTO FA OVRNGT. MSTLY CLDY/CLDY SKIES WITH SOME BINOVC...CALM/LGT WND SHLD ALLOW FOR PTCHY FOG AND WL INTRODUCE INTO FCST. OTHERWISE...JUST SOME TIMING ISSUES. WORKS AVBL...ZONES AVBL SHORTLY. SLW ...PRVS DISC... VERTICALLY STACKED CLOSD LOW OVERHEAD AT THIS TIME AND ONLY DRIFTING SLOWLY NEWRD INTO THURSDAY. LTL IN THE WAY OF ORGANIZED VERTICAL MOTION OR CONVERGENCE...BUT DIRUNAL INSTABILITY SEEMS TO BE BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE VLYS AND NUMEROUS SHOWERS OVER THE ELEVATED TERRAIN. EXPECT THIS PATTERN TO CONTINUE THURSDAY AND THEN DIMINISH A BIT FRIDAY AS H5 TEMPS MODERATE. FINAL S/WV IN THIS TROF TO PASS MIDDAY FRIDAY AND MAY HELP TO KEEP AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS ACTIVE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. OUR BIG BREAK IN THE WEATHER FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL BE SHORT LIVED BUT ENJOYED. EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND MILDER TEMPS AS A RESULT OF MORE SUN AND ADVECTION OF WARMER H8 TEMPS. THEN...BY SATURDAY NGT ALL MODELS STILL POINTING TO H5 CLOSING AND STRONG BAROCLINIC SFC DVLPMT IN THE TROF MOVING THRU THE SRN LAKES. SYSTEM SHOULD GO NEGATIVE TILT WITH DPNG SFC LOW SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT DIRECTLY OVER NEW ENGLAND. MOVED UP TO LIKELY POPS SAT NIGHT THRU SUNDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL COULD BE HEAVY AS A RESULT OF UPR DVGC AND PROLONGED MID LVL CNVGC ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE H7 LOW...SIMILAR TO THE PATTERN EXPERIENCED DURING SOME OF OUR BIGGEST NOR-EASTERS. WHILE SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED...IT WILL BECOME UNSEASONABLY COLD SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH ONLY UPPER 50S TO MID 60S FOR HIGH TEMPS MONDAY. BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...DRYING SHOULD RETURN WITH TEMPS STRUGGLING TO RETURN TO NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. .BTV...NONE. BELL FXUS61 KBTV 282032 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 425 PM EDT WED MAY 28 2003 VERTICALLY STACKED CLOSD LOW OVERHEAD AT THIS TIME AND ONLY DRIFTING SLOWLY NEWRD INTO THURSDAY. LTL IN THE WAY OF ORGANIZED VERTICAL MOTION OR CONVERGENCE...BUT DIRUNAL INSTABILITY SEEMS TO BE BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS IN THE VLYS AND NUMEROUS SHOWERS OVER THE ELEVATED TERRAIN. EXPECT THIS PATTERN TO CONTINUE THURSDAY AND THEN DIMINISH A BIT FRIDAY AS H5 TEMPS MODERATE. FINAL S/WV IN THIS TROF TO PASS MIDDAY FRIDAY AND MAY HELP TO KEEP AT LEAST SCATTERED SHOWERS ACTIVE DURING THE DAY FRIDAY. OUR BIG BREAK IN THE WEATHER FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY WILL BE SHORT LIVED BUT ENJOYED. EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND MILDER TEMPS AS A RESULT OF MORE SUN AND ADVECTION OF WARMER H8 TEMPS. THEN...BY SATURDAY NGT ALL MODELS STILL POINTING TO H5 CLOSING AND STRONG BAROCLINIC SFC DVLPMT IN THE TROF MOVING THRU THE SRN LAKES. SYSTEM SHOULD GO NEGATIVE TILT WITH DPNG SFC LOW SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT DIRECTLY OVER NEW ENGLAND. MOVED UP TO LIKELY POPS SAT NIGHT THRU SUNDAY NIGHT. RAINFALL COULD BE HEAVY AS A RESULT OF UPR DVGC AND PROLONGED MID LVL CNVGC ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE H7 LOW...SIMILAR TO THE PATTERN EXPERIENCED DURING SOME OF OUR BIGGEST NOR-EASTERS. WHILE SNOW IS NOT EXPECTED...IT WILL BECOME UNSEASONABLY COLD SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...WITH ONLY UPPER 50S TO MID 60S FOR HIGH TEMPS MONDAY. BY TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY...DRYING SHOULD RETURN WITH TEMPS STRUGGLING TO RETURN TO NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. .BTV...NONE. BELL This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information Network) References 1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html 2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html 3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html 471 ASUS51 KBTV 291105 SWRVT VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 700 AM EDT THU MAY 29 2003 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. VTZ001>014-291200- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON PTSUNNY 55 54 96 S6 29.54R MONTPELIER FOG 51 51 100 CALM 29.57S VSB 3/4 MORRISVILLE LGT RAIN 52 52 100 CALM 29.54S FOG ST. JOHNSBURY N/A 53 52 96 CALM 29.51S RUTLAND CLOUDY 54 52 94 SW5 29.57R SPRINGFIELD CLOUDY 51 51 100 CALM 29.56S BENNINGTON CLOUDY 56 52 86 SW5 29.59S $$ ______KEY______ VSB - VISIBILITY IN MILES WCI - WIND CHILL INDEX HX - HEAT INDEX Our Local Student forecasts will return after the academic break. Thank You. The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service _________________________________________________________________ CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT... NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT 330 AM EDT THU MAY 29 2003 .TODAY...SHOWERS LIKELY WITH A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S. WEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. .FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 65 TO 70. WEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. .SATURDAY...INCREASING CLOUDS WITH RAIN LIKELY BY LATE IN THE DAY. HIGH AROUND 70. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. .SATURDAY NIGHT...RAIN. LOW NEAR 50. CHANCE OF RAIN 80 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S. .MONDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY...OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S. .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 40 AND HIGH IN THE MID 60S. .WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 40S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 60S. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html