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FPUS51 KBTV 180819
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
419 AM EDT WED JUN 18 2003


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-182000-
CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
419 AM EDT WED JUN 18 2003

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 70 TO 75. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S.
SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGH 65 TO 70. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15
MPH BECOMING NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...OTHERWISE PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 70 TO 75.
CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE
UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID
70S.
.SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY...OTHERWISE PARTLY
CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 50S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER
80S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 55 TO 60 AND HIGH IN THE MID 80S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 180918
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
518 AM EDT WED JUN 18 2003

WILL LEAN TOWARD THE GFS MODEL FOR THIS FORECAST.

SATELLITE LOOP SHOWING VORT MAX OVER WESTERN PENNSYLVANIA ATTM...
WITH SHOWERS AND SOME TSTMS OVER SOUTHERN NY STATE AND PENNSYLVANIA
MOVG EASTWARD. MODELS SHOW THIS VORT MAX WILL WEAKEN TODAY AS IT GETS
SHEARED OUT TO THE SOUTH OF THE FCST AREA. EXPECT MOST OF THESE
SHOWERS TO SLIDE OUT TO THE SOUTH OF THE FCST AREA TODAY...WITH SKIES
MAINLY PARTLY SUNNY...EXCEPT MOSTLY CLOUDY OVER SOUTHERN VT WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON.

SKIES TO CLOUD OVER TONIGHT...WITH SOME SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE.
HAVE SLIGHTLY LOWERED THE POPS FOR TONIGHT...AS MODELS SUGGESTING
NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF ORGANIZED SHOWER ACTIVITY...AS UPPER
DYNAMICS RATHER WEEK.

ON THURSDAY...MODELS BRING A COLD FRONT THRU THE AREA...AHEAD OF A
SHARP UPPER TROF...WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HAVE REMOVED THE MENTION OF
THUNDERSTORMS ON THURSDAY AS COMBINATION OF CLOUD COVER AND COOL
TEMPERATURES SHOULD PREVENT THE ATMOSPHERE FROM DESTABILIZING.
ALSO...NOT SEEING ANY TSTM ACTIVITY UPSTREAM ATTM WITH THIS COLD
FRONT. SHOWERS SHOULD COME TO AN END EARLY TONIGHT ACROSS THE FCST
AREA...WITH SKIES BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.

MODELS SHOW CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL FORM JUST TO THE WEST OF THE FCST
AREA THURSDAY NIGHT...AND UNFORTUNATELY ITS LOOKS LIKE IT WILL
HANG AROUND THRU SUNDAY...FOR NOT SUCH A GREAT WEEKEND...WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS THRU SUNDAY.

EXTENDED...GFS MODEL SHOWS THAT THE CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL MOVE
SLOWLY EASTWARD AND BE JUST OFF THE MASSACHUSETTS COAST EARLY
SUNDAY NIGHT. HAVE CHANGED THE FCST FOR SUNDAY TO ADD A MENTION OF A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS...EXCEPT THE ST LAWRENCE VLY. BECAUSE OF
THE EXPECTED CLOUD COVER AND SHOWERS ON SUNDAY...HAVE LOWERED THE MAX
TEMPS FOR SUNDAY FROM THE PREVIOUS FCST.  IT LOOKS LIKE THE ST
LAWRENCE VLY SHOULD REMAIN DRY SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  HAVE KEPT THE
FCST DRY FROM SUNDAY NIGHT THRU TUESDAY...AS SOME SUMMER LIKE TEMPS
LOOK LIKE THEY WILL FINALLY MAKE AN APPEARANCE HERE MONDAY AND
TUESDAY.

.BTV...NONE.

WGH





FXUS61 KBTV 180142
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
942 PM EDT TUE JUN 17 2003

GOING FORECAST IN REAL GOOD SHAPE AND SEE NO REASON TO MAKE ANY
CHANGES.  SATELLITE TRENDS SUGGEST SOME HIGH CLOUDS MAY MOVE INTO
THE REGION FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST.  AS A RESULT...CURRENT FORECAST
OF MOSTLY CLEAR LOOKS GOOD WITH PARTLY CLOUDY OVER SOUTHERN
AREAS...WHICH MAY BE CLOSER TO THE CLOUD SHIELD.  TEMPERATURE AND
WIND FORECASTS IN GOOD SHAPE AS WELL...SO ONCE AGAIN NO CHANGES
NEEDED FOR THE TONIGHT PERIOD.  REMAINDER OF FORECAST IN GOOD SHAPE
AS WELL...SO NO CHANGES TO LATER PERIODS AS WELL.

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.







FXUS61 KBTV 171949
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
348 PM EDT TUE JUN 17 2003

CRNT/SHORT TERM...NICE DAY ACRS N CNTRY WITH LOTS OF SUN IN VLYS AND
SCT-BKN CU IN MTNS AND TMPS APCHG 80.  DIURNAL CU WL DSPT THIS EVNG
WITH LOSS OF HTG LDG TO MOCLR NGT.  CLDS ASSCD WITH UPR LOW OVR OH
ADVANCING NWD INTO SRN TIER NY BUT THESE CLDS SHD HOLD OFF TIL
WED.  XPCT MIN TMPS TO FALL BACK INTO 50S WITH SOME U40S ADRNDCKS/NE
KINGDM.

AFOREMENTIONED UPR LOW FCST TO WKN AS IT MVS EWD.  WHAT'S LEFT OF
THIS FTR WL MOV S OF RGN WED BUT XPCT MORE CLDS AS MSTR ACRS MID ATL
RGN LIFTS NWD.  ETA/NGM POPS FOR WED RATHER HI (HI CHC/LKLY) WHILE
GFS SUGGESTING DRY DAY WITH POPS BLO CHC THRESHOLD.  CANADIAN SOLN
SMLR TO AVN.  SYNOP FORCG IS MINIMAL AND BEST INSTABY N OF RGN
ARGUING FOR DRY FCST BUT WL LEAN TWD COMPROMISE AND INDCT LOW CHC
POPS...MAINLY DURG AFTN.  TMPS MSTLY IN L/M 70S WITH COOLEST RDGS
LKLY ACRS S VT.

WED NGT/THU...SHARP NRN STRM TROF APCHS FM THE NW MVG INTO FA DURG
THU.  ASSCD CDFNT FCST TO MOV INTO W ZNS BY 12Z THU RCHG CT VLY BY
18Z AS WAVE DVLPS ALG FNT.  MRGNL QG FORCG WED NGT SO JUST CHC SHWRS
WITH BEST CHC ACRS W ZNS LT WED NGT WITH FNT.  CHC POPS ALL ZNS THU.
MRGNL INSTABY AHD OF FNT SO MENTIONED CHC TSTMS THU E OF ST LAW VLY
WHICH SHD BE W OF FNT.  MID LVL DRYING BHND FNT IS AGRESSV IN MOVG
INTO W ZNS DURG AFTN SO SOME SUN PSBL ST LAW VLY.  TMPS WELL BLO
NORMAL WITH RDGS MSTLY IN 60S.

XTNDD...UPR LOW/COLD POOL OVHD ON FRI FOR CHC SHWRS ALL ZNS WITH BLO
NORMAL TMPS CONTG.  00Z/06Z GFS PROGRESSV WITH UPR LOW LIFTG OUT FOR
THE WEEKEND WHILE CNDN/UK SOLNS WERE MCH SLOWER AND MORE PESSIMISTIC
FOR THE WEEKEND.  GFS ENSEMBLES ARGUED FOR A SLOWER SOLN AND 12Z GFS
HAS TRENDED IN THIS DIRECTION.  AS A RSLT...EXTENDED CHC SHWRS INTO
SAT FOR VT ZNS AND INTO SUN FOR ERN VT.  PTSUNNY SKIES XPCTD DURG
WEEEKND WITH MODERATING TMPS...THEN NICE WRMUP WELL INTO 80S LKLY
ERLY NXT WEEK AS UPR LOW FINALLY LIFTS OUT WITH UPR RDG BLDG EWD
AND H8 TMPS WRMG TO 15-18 BY TUE.

.BTV...NONE.

KJC




   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

826
ASUS51 KBTV 181005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUN 18 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-181100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    61  50  67 S10G22    30.00S
MONTPELIER     MOCLDY    52  51  97 CALM      30.05S
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    53  51  93 CALM      30.03R
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     51  49  92 CALM      30.01S
RUTLAND        MOCLDY    52  48  87 E9        30.05S
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    50  49  96 CALM      30.06S
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    54  33  45 CALM      30.05S
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
NNNN



     Our Local Student forecasts will return after the academic break.
                                 Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND VT...MONTPELIER VT...
 NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT
 419 AM EDT WED JUN 18 2003

 .TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH 70 TO 75. SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH.
 .TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S.
 SOUTH WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
 .THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGH 65 TO 70. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15
 MPH BECOMING NORTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
 .THURSDAY NIGHT...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY...OTHERWISE PARTLY
 CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
 .FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH 70 TO 75.
 CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
 .FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE
 UPPER 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 30 PERCENT.
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID
 70S.
 .SUNDAY...A CHANCE OF SHOWERS DURING THE DAY...OTHERWISE PARTLY
 CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 50S AND HIGH IN THE MID 70S.
 .MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 50S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER
 80S.
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 55 TO 60 AND HIGH IN THE MID 80S.

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