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Expires:200307022000;;127104
FPUS51 KBTV 020750
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
350 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2003


VTZ006>008-010-017-018-022000-
CALEDONIA VT-EASTERN ADDISON VT-EASTERN CHITTENDEN VT-LAMOILLE VT-
ORANGE VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL VT...MONTPELIER VT...RANDOLPH VT...
ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT...UNDERHILL VT
350 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2003

.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH 80 TO 85. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. WEST WIND 10
TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH 80 TO 85.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 60S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. HIGH 80 TO 85.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
70S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 50S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOW IN THE UPPER 50S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 020600
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
200 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2003

CONVECTION ALONG/NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER LAST EVENING WAS ENHANCED
BY WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH WHICH MOVED ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC
PROVINCE.  LONGER LOOP OF WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS THIS FEATURE
RATHER WELL.  WITH NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT REMAINING OVER THE REGION
TODAY...AND ANY DYNAMIC SUPPORT VIA A SHORTWAVE REMAINING NORTH OF
THE REGION...FEEL THERE WILL BE ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO THE
EVENING HOURS.  VEERING WIND PROFILES AND THE RESULTING WARM AIR
ADVECTION OVER THE NORTHERN PLAINS/CANADIAN PRAIRIE PROVINCES EARLY
THIS MORNING ARE HELPING TO ENHANCE CONVECTION OVER MANITOBA/WESTERN
ONTARIO.  FEEL ANY OF THIS ACTIVITY WILL EVENTUALLY OUTRUN THE
INSTABILITY AND NEVER MAKE IT HERE FOR TODAY.  WARM AIR ADVECTION
PATTERN WILL SHIFT EAST BY TONIGHT ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
CANADA...WHICH WILL SUPPORT MORE CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WEDNESDAY
NIGHT/EARLY THURSDAY.  HOWEVER...WARM AIR ADVECTION PATTERN BECOMES
MORE CONCENTRATED ACROSS SOUTHERN/CENTRAL QUEBEC.  FLOW ALOFT
BEGINS TO BACK AS WELL...SO BEST PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL SHOULD
REMAIN NORTH OF THE BORDER ON THURSDAY AND FOR THE FOURTH OF JULY.
WILL REMOVE ANY MENTION OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTHERN
COUNTIES ON THURSDAY AND KEEP THE DRY FORECAST FOR THE FOURTH
GOING.  850 MB TEMPERATURE PATTERN SHOWS THAT WITH THE BACKING FLOW
TO A MORE WESTERLY COMPONENT...WARMER AIR SHOULD BEGIN TO MOVE INTO
THE REGION WITH +16C AIR AT 850 MB BY FRIDAY.  AS A RESULT...
WARMING TREND THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK IN THE FORECAST LOOKS
REAL GOOD.

GOING FORECAST HAS BEEN CONSISTENT WITH SHOWING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE SATURDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING TIME PERIOD.
NEW DATA CONTINUES TO SUPPORT THIS IDEA AS UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE
OUT OF THE UPPER MIDWEST/SOUTH CENTRAL CANADA AND INTO THE
NORTHEAST.  SURFACE COLD FRONT SHOULD MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AS WELL
TO HELP PROVIDE A FOCUS FOR ANY CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT.
INSTABILITY SHOULD ALSO EXIST AS DEW POINTS SHOULD BE WELL INTO THE
60S.  ONCE THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH...COLD AIR ADVECTION ON
SUNDAY SHOULD BRING TEMPERATURES BACK TO SEASONAL LEVELS...WHICH
GOING FORECAST HAS COVERED WELL.  FLOW ALOFT STAYS WESTERLY ON
MONDAY/TUESDAY AND NEXT SHORTWAVE STILL LOOKS LIKE IT WOULD MAKE IT
INTO THE REGION ON TUESDAY FOR ANOTHER CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.  GOING FORECAST HAS THIS COVERED WELL AND SEE NO
REASON TO MAKE ANY CHANGES.

EVENSON

.BTV...NONE.







FXUS61 KBTV 012353
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
750 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2003

UPDATED ZFP SENT OUT TO INCLUDE MENTION OF SHRA/TSRA TILL MIDNIGHT
IN NRN ZONES. LINE OF SHRA/TSRA DROPPING SEWRD ACRS ONT/QUE APRCHG
BORDER ZONES ATTM. ATMOS ONLY MARGINALLY UNSTABLE IN THIS RGN...
AND WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...EXPECT THE ACTIVITY TO
DIMINISH LATER THIS EVENING.

.BTV...NONE.

RJS





FXUS61 KBTV 012055
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
455 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2003

CANADIAN RADAR COMPOSITE SHOWING SHOWERS AND SCT TSTMS NORTH OF THE
OTTAWA VLY AND NORTH OF MONTREAL ATTM. NOT EXPECTING ANY OF THIS
ACTIVITY TO MOVE INTO THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT AS AIRMASS
REMAINS FAIRLY DRY OVER THE FORECAST AREA...AND BEST UPPER
LEVEL SUPPORT REMAINS NORTH OF THE CANADIAN BORDER. ALSO...WOULD
EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

ON WEDNESDAY...ANOTHER NICE DAY ACROSS THE REGION AS TEMPS CLIMB
INTO THE 80S. HOWEVER...MODELS SUGGESTING A POSSIBILITY OF SOME
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER LATE IN THE DAY
AND EARLY WEDNESDAY EVENING...AS A SHRTWV APPROACHES IN THE NORTHERN
STREAM FROM CANADA. SATELLITE LOOP SHOWING THIS SHRTWV UPSTREAM
ATTM OVER MANITOBA...WHICH IS PRODUCING SOME THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS
MANITOBA AND WESTERN ONTARIO ATTM.

MODELS SHOW REMNANTS OF TROPICAL STORM BILL WILL REMAIN WELL SOUTH
OF THE FORECAST AREA...AS THE REGION WILL BE UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF
THE NORTHERN STREAM...WITH WEAK SHRTWVS MOVG SEWD FROM CANADA OVER
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

ON THURSDAY...ANOTHER SHRTWV WILL MOVE SEWD FROM CANADA...WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE DAY AND INTO
THURSDAY EVENING...MAINLY NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER.

FOURTH OF JULY...WILL KEEP THE FCST AREA DRY ATTM. GFS SUGGESTING
SOME SHOWERS AND TSTMS POSSIBLE ALONG THE CANADIAN BORDER...BUT
UPPER SUPPORT NOT LOOKING THAT GOOD ATTM...SO WILL STAY WITH
CONTINUITY AND KEEP THE FORECAST DRY.

ON SATURDAY...GFS MODEL HAS BEEN CONSISTENT IN BRINGING A SURFACE LOW
PRES AREA FROM THE GREAT LAKES AND THEN NORTHEAST UP THE ST
LAWRENCE VLY. WILL RAISE THE POPS FOR SATURDAY AND GO WITH A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

EXTENDED...FAIR AND DRY WEATHER TO RETURN FOR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY...WITH A COLD FRONT APPROACHING THE AREA ON TUESDAY FOR THE
NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

.BTV...NONE.

WGH





FXUS61 KBTV 011539
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1140 AM EDT TUE JUN 30 2003

CU STARTING TO DEVELOP ACROSS CWA AND CI MOVING INTO NORTHERN ZONES
FROM CANADA.  WILL KEEP SKY CONDITION IN ZONES PARTLY SUNNY BUT
REMOVE LIGHT MORNING WIND AND SHIFT DIRECTION TO WEST TO NORTHWEST.
NO CHANGES TO REST OF FCST.

.BTV...NONE.

GM




   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

424
ASUS51 KBTV 021005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-021100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLEAR     59  57  93 E3        30.00R
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     52  51  97 S3        30.05R
MORRISVILLE    PTCLDY    55  54  96 VRB3      30.03R
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     57  54  89 CALM      30.01R
RUTLAND        PTCLDY    54  50  87 S6        30.03S
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       53  52  96 CALM      30.04R VSB 1/4
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     50  49  96 CALM      30.04R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
NNNN



     Our Local Student forecasts will return after the academic break.
                                 Thank You.

       The forecast below is provided by the National Weather Service
     _________________________________________________________________

 CALEDONIA VT-EASTERN ADDISON VT-EASTERN CHITTENDEN VT-LAMOILLE VT-
 ORANGE VT-WASHINGTON VT-
 INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL VT...MONTPELIER VT...RANDOLPH VT...
 ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT...UNDERHILL VT
 350 AM EDT WED JUL 2 2003

 .TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH 80 TO 85. SOUTHWEST WIND 5 TO 15 MPH.
 .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND
 10 MPH.
 .THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S. WEST WIND 10
 TO 15 MPH.
 .THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 60S.
 .INDEPENDENCE DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGH 80 TO 85.
 .FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 60S.
 .SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON
 AND EVENING. HIGH 80 TO 85.
 .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 50S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
 70S.
 .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 50S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S.
 .TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
 LOW IN THE UPPER 50S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 80S.

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