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Expires:200310052000;;020052
FPUS51 KBTV 050837
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
430 AM EDT SUN OCT 5 2003


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-016>018-052000-
CALEDONIA VT-EASTERN ADDISON VT-EASTERN CHITTENDEN VT-EASTERN
FRANKLIN VT-ESSEX VT-LAMOILLE VT-ORANGE VT-ORLEANS VT-WASHINGTON VT-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL VT...ISLAND POND VT...
MONTPELIER VT...NEWPORT VT...RANDOLPH VT...RICHFORD VT...
ST. JOHNSBURY VT...STOWE VT...UNDERHILL VT
430 AM EDT SUN OCT 5 2003

.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS. HIGH 45
TO 50. SOUTHWEST WIND 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40
PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT...
OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 30S. WEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF FLURRIES OR SPRINKLES. HIGH
45 TO 50. WEST WIND 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW 25 TO 30.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGH IN THE MID 50S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE MID 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 50S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S AND HIGH IN THE LOWER
60S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW 40 TO 45 AND HIGH IN THE LOWER 60S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOW IN THE MID 40S AND HIGH IN THE MID 60S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 050958
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
545 AM EDT SUN OCT 5 2003

CONTINUITY OF PREVIOUS FORECASTS WERE WELL-PRESERVED IN THIS
FORECAST PACKAGE.  TWO MORE COLD DAYS WITH THE DEEP UPPER TROF
OVERHEAD...FEATURING DIURNAL INSTABILITY SHOWERS OF VALLEY RAIN AND
MOUNTAIN SNOW TODAY AND EVEN A CHANCE OF SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES
CONTINUING ON MONDAY.

TODAY...H5 TEMPS OF -32 COMING OVERHEAD AND SECONDARY SFC COLD
FRONT ENHANCING CNVGC WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY AROUND
MIDDAY WITH A LINE OF SHOWERS THAT COULD BRING RAIN, SNOW, AND EVEN
SMALL HAIL.

MONDAY...MUCH OF THE UPR TROF WILL STILL BE OVERHEAD, BUT
ANTICYCLONIC LOW LEVEL FLOW AND SUBSIDENCE BUILDING IN SHOULD LIMIT
PRECIPITATION.  STRONGEST RADIATIONAL COOLING SETTING UP FOR MONDAY
NIGHT...SO WOULD EXPECT PRETTY WIDESPREAD FREEZING TEMPERATURES.

TUESDAY THRU SAT...SIGNIFICANTLY WARMER AND DRIER WEATHER APPEARS ON
TAP FOR THE MIDDLE AND END OF THIS WEEK AS THE UPPER TROF SLIDES
EAST TO THE MARITIMES AND A PERSISTENT SFC HIGH BUILDS OVER THE
REGION IN AREA OF CONFLUENT UPR FLOW.  NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE
EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST WHICH CALLS FOR FAIR WEATHER AND
TEMPS REACHING WELL INTO THE 60S BY THURSDAY THRU SATURDAY.
HOWEVER...THERE ARE STILL A FEW LOW PROBABILITY FLIES IN THE
OINTMENT.  THE WARMING COULD BE INTERRUPTED BY THE WARMING ON
THURSDAY (A S/WV DROPPING INTO THE MEAN TROF IN THE MARITIMES MAY
DRAG A SIDE-DOOR OR BACK-DOOR FRONT THROUGH THE AREA ON
THURSDAY...AS INDICATED BY THE GFS AND THE UKMET).  ANOTHER SMALL
RISK IS THE UKMET SUGGESTION THAT VORTICITY IN THE BASE OF THE TROF
OFF THE OREGON COAST WILL SHARPEN INTO AN ALMOST CLOSED H5 CRCLN
APCHG FROM THE SWRN GREAT LAKES BY FRIDAY...RATHER THAN SHEARING
HARMLESSLY INTO THE UPR RIDGE IN ONTARIO AS INDICATED BY THE GFS.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

BELL

$$







FXUS61 KBTV 050048
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
850 PM EDT SAT OCT 4 2003

UL SUPPORT ASSCD WITH STG H5 S/WV LIFTG NE OF FA AND RA EXITING
RGN.  STILL SOME SHWRS ACRS NC/NE VT AND WL CARRY SCT SHWRS ENDING
BFR MIDNGT...OTRW BCMG PTCLDY ERN ZNS AS GOOD DRYING NOTED ON IR
SATL IMAGERY.  WL ALSO MNTN SOME PTCHY FOG FOR ERN VT.

ACRS W ZNS...SKIES PT-MOCLDY AND LK EFFECT BAND NOTED E OF LK ONT.
SNDGS SHW GOOD LK INSTABY WITH LI CAPES NR 1000 J/KG SO XPCT THIS
BAND TO RMN IN TACT.  WITH FLOW BACKING SLIGHTLY SOME OF THESE SHWRS
MAY MAKE INTO W ADRNDCKS SO CONTD THREAT OF RA/SNW SHWRS AS FRZG
LEVEL LWRS.

NO CHG TO MIN TMPS TNGT...MAINLY IN 30S TO NR 40 LK CHMPLN.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

KJC

$$





FXUS61 KBTV 042034
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
433 PM EDT SAT OCT 4 2003

IN THE SHORT TERM...RAIN STARTING TO END ACROSS THE ST LAWRENCE
VLY...AND EXPECTING RAIN TO END BY MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
THE REGION. BUFKIT SOUNDINGS SUGGEST SOME LAKE EFFECT SHOWERS TO
DEVELOP OVER LAKE ONTARIO AND MOVE NORTHEAST INTO THE ST
LAWRENCE VLY AND THE ADIRONDACKS OVERNIGHT...WITH COLD AIR ALOFT
TO MOVE INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT AS WELL.  WILL INDICATE A CHANCE
OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT IN THE ADIRONDACKS.

VERY COLD POOL OF AIR ALOFT WILL BE OVER THE REGION ON SUNDAY...SO
WILL MENTION A CHANCE OF SHOWERS...WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW
SHOWERS OVER THE ADIRONDACKS AND THE NORTHERN GREEN MTS. WILL KEEP
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS GOING INTO EARLY SUNDAY NIGHT...BUT THIS
ACTIVITY SHOULD BEGIN TO DIMINISH WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING.

UPPER TROF TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA ON MONDAY...SO WILL KEEP A
MENTION OF SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES FOR MONDAY.

EXTENDED...HIGH PRESSURE TO BE IN CONTROL FOR FAIR AND DRY WEATHER
FROM TUESDAY THRU SATURDAY.  12Z GFS HINTING AT A WEAK SURFACE TROF
MOVING INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...WITH A HINT OF POSSIBLE
SHOWERS???  06Z GFS DID NOT INDICATE ANY PRECIP FOR WEDNESDAY...SO
WILL OPT TO STAY WITH CONTINUITY AND KEEP THE FORECAST DRY FOR NOW.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

WGH

$$




   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

541
ASUS51 KBTV 051005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 5 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-051100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOCLDY    42  38  85 S10       29.77S
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    40  35  83 S6        29.80R
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    40  38  93 CALM      29.77S
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     40  38  93 S3        29.76S
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    41  36  81 S5        29.81S
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       32  32 100 CALM      29.84R VSB 1/4
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    34  34 100 CALM      29.84S
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
NNNN



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                       2:30 PM, Saturday May 4, 2003
                    STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Corey Potvin
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Tonight: The showers that dampened the region during the day end
   before midnight. Mostly cloudy with lows around 40. Southwest wind
   10-15 mph.

   Sunday: Partly sunny with a chance of showers. High in the upper 40's.
   Southwest wind 10-15 mph.

   Sunday Night: Temperatures drop into the mid 30's as colder air flows
   into the region. Partly cloudy with a chance of rain or snow showers.
   Light winds.

   Monday: Partly cloudy with highs in the upper 40's and low in the
   upper 20's. Light winds.

                             Extended Forecast

   Tuesday: Partly cloudy. High in the lower 50's and low in the mid
   30's.

   Wednesday: Partly cloudy. High in the mid 50's and low in the upper
   30's.

   Thursday: Partly cloudy. High in the mid 50's and low in the upper
   30's.

                            Forecast Discussion

   Conditions will dry out tonight as the cold front that produced rain
   over the region today sweeps to the east. Cold air behind the
   departing system will make for potentially sub-freezing nights on
   Sunday and Monday. Instability created by very low temperatures aloft
   will produce scattered rain or snow showers between now and Monday
   morning. High pressure then begins building into the area on Tuesday
   and maintains its presence through Thursday, leading to mild
   afternoons and partly to mostly sunny skies throughout the Northeast
   Kingdom.

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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