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Expires:200310242100;;420760
FPUS51 KBTV 240800
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
400 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2003


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-016>018-242100-
CALEDONIA-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN FRANKLIN-ESSEX-
LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...
NEWPORT...RANDOLPH...RICHFORD...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE...UNDERHILL
400 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2003

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES. HIGH IN
THE LOWER TO MID 40S. NORTHWEST WIND AT 10 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW
30 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER TO MID 20S. LIGHT
WIND.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGH 45 TO 50. SOUTH WIND AT 5 TO 15 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW 40 TO
45. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE MID
50S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE
MID 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGH IN THE UPPER 50S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. WINDY. LOW IN THE
UPPER 40S AND HIGH IN THE MID 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE DAY...
OTHERWISE PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW NEAR 40 AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE LOWER 30S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
40S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 240702
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
302 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2003

HI PRESS TO BUILD ACRS THE FA FROM THE WEST TODAY AND TONITE. FRONTAL
SYS TO MOVE ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION ON SAT/SAT NITE AND THEN ACRS
THE FA ON SUN THRU MON. UPR TROF TO MOVE OUT TO THE EAST OF THE FA
TODAY. ANOTHER UPR TROF TO MOVE ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION ON SUN THRU
MON.

00-03Z 20KM "DEVELOPMENT" RUC SHOWS TEMPS TO GET UP INTO THE
U20S-L40S TODAY WITH WESTERLY SFC WINDS AT 5-10G20 KTS. T1MAX TEMPS
ARE IN THE M30S-M40S AND LOOK A LIL BETTER THAN RUC TEMPS FOR TODAY.
FEW TWEAKS TO FIRST PERIOD TEMPS/WINDS BASED ON THIS DATA. LOW-LVL
DRYING TO START TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA BY THIS AFTERNOON. PW
VALUES TO BE AOB 0.4" ACRS THE FA TODAY. RUC SHOWS MOCLDY SKIES ACRS
THE FA TODAY...WITH SOME SHSN IN THE MTNS FOR MUCH OF TODAY.
BUFCAN/88D MOSAIC SHOWS SOME PCPN CONTINUING TO ROTATE DOWN ACRS THE
FA ATTM.

WK H85 WAA TO DEVELOP ACRS THE FA TODAY AND TONITE...WITH GOOD WAA
FOR MUCH OF SAT THRU SUN. H85 TEMPS TO GO POSITIVE ACRS THE FA LATE
ON SAT. SOME LOW-LVL MSTR ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE ACRS THE FA TONITE
BASICALLY RIGHT THRU MON. LOW-LVL MSTR TO INCREASE ACRS THE FA FROM
THE WEST ON SAT AND LINGER ACRS THE FA RIGHT THRU MON. LOW-LVL LAPSE
RATES TO BE HI TODAY ACRS THE FA. MID-LVL MSTR TO INCREASE ACRS THE
FA FROM THE WEST TONITE AND ON SAT AND THEN LINGER THRU AT LEAST SUN.
PW VALUES TO INCREASE ACRS THE FA TO AOB AN INCH FOR SAT THRU SUN
NITE.

WILL CONFINE THE MENTION OF ANY PCPN TO THE MTNS ACRS THE FA TODAY.
NEXT CHC FOR ANY PCPN APPEARS TO BE BY LATER ON SAT. ERN/SRN SECTIONS
OF THE FA LOOK TO STAND THE BEST CHC OF STAYING DRY ON SAT. CHC POPS
STILL LOOK LIKE THE WAY TO GO ON SAT NITE THRU SUN NITE. WILL MOST
LIKELY GO WITH LIKELY POPS ACRS THE FA ON MON AFTER SOME
COLLABORATION WITH SURROUNDING WFOS. T1MIN TEMPS ARE IN THE UPR
TEENS-M20S TONITE AND T1MAX TEMPS ARE IN THE M40S-M50S ON SAT. NO
CHANGES TO THE GOING FCST BEYOND SUN FOR NOW.

WRK ZONES OUT UNDER ALBWRKCWF. FINAL ZFP BY 4 AM.

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

$$

MURRAY





FXUS61 KBTV 240045
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
845 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2003

CRNT: SCT -SHSN CONTS ALG WRN SLOPES AND MORE CONFINED TO THESE
SLOPES AS WNDS ARE MORE WESTERLY THAN ERLR TDY (KEEPING IT AWAY FM
THE CHMPL VLY FLOOR). NMRS BINOVC OCCURRING ACRS SE ONTARIO/SW QUEBEC
WHICH WL BRG ABT DVLPG PC FOR ST LWRNC VLY AND PSBLY SRN VT BUT LLVL
MOISTURE AND INVERSION SHLD HOLD ONTO CLDS ELSEWHERE.

PRVS FCST LOOKS GOOD...THUS NO UPDATE NEEDED.

SLW

...PRVS DISC...
UPPER LOW MOVG UP ALG CENTRAL NEW ENG COAST ATTM WITH SFC LOW MOVG
NORTH THRU CANADIAN MARITIMES. PLENTY OF LLVL MSTR...AS IT CONTINUES
TO WRAPAROUND DEPARTING LOW. EXPECT CLDS AND LINGERING SNOW
SHWRS/FLRYS TONITE INTO FRI AM...ESPECIALLY NRN ZONES. BEST CHC FOR
SOME ADDED LIGHT ACCUMULATION WILL BE THOSE AIDED BY UPSLOPE ON NW
FLOW.

GRADUALLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS DURING FRIDAY AS LOW MOVES FURTHER
AWAY AND HIGH PRESSURE BLDS EAST FROM GRTLKS/OH VLY. LLVL MSTR
MAY BE DIFFICULT TO DISPLACE AS WK INVERSION RMNS IN PLACE. SO
HAVE GONE WITH A BIT MORE CLDNSS...ESPECIALLY DURING MORNING HRS.
WITH ARRIVAL OF RIDGE AXIS DURING PM HRS...CLDS SHUD FINALLY GIVE
WAY TO INCR SUNSHINE.

OUR RESPITE FROM THE CLDS AND CHC PCPN WL BE BRF. HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES EAST OF FA LATER FRI NITE. EXPECT M/CLR SKIES ERN ZONES...
BUT CLDS ASSOCD WITH ONSET OF WAA WILL BEGIN TO ARRIVE IN WRN
ZONES.

WEEKEND: CLDS WL THICKEN UP SATURDAY WITH CHC SHWRS BY AFTERNOON AS
WRMFNT LIFTS NORTH THRU RGN...WITH HIR CHANCES OVR NRN ZONES.
FRONT STALLS ACRS FA SAT NITE/SUNDAY...SO CONT'D CHC SHWRS.
GREATER CHC OF SHWRS WL BE OVR NW PTN OF FA WHICH WL RMN NORTH OF
THE BOUNDARY. LOWER POPS FOR SRN PTNS OF VT...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE
IN WARM SECTOR.

EXTENDED...(MONDAY THRU THURSDAY)...UPPER LEVEL LOW FORMS OVER
CENTRAL MISS RIVER VALLEY AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES SOUTHEAST OUT OF
NORTHERN PLAINS. ITS SFC COMPONENT SETS UP OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS MOVING NORTH DURING DAY MONDAY INTO OHIO VALLEY.
BECAUSE OF RIDGE OFF COAST...BOTH SFC LOW AND UPPER COMPONENT MOVE
NORTHWARD THRU WESTERN NY/PA THEN INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY TUES.
NITE. CURRENT/PREVIOUS RUNS STILL HAVE BULK OF RAIN MOVING THRU CWA
TUESDAY W/ FRONT EXITING BY TUESDAY NITE. SYSTEM DOES EXIT A BIT
QUICKER FOR WEDNESDAY AND WILL ADJUST POPS TO SHOW THIS...W/
NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF VT SEEING HIGHEST AS PRECIP TAPERS OFF.
WRAP-AROUND PRECIP W/ LOW LOOKS LIKE A MIX IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. ENOUGH COLD AIR MOVES IN BEHIND LOW...BUT NOTHING OF
MUCH SIGNICANCE. NOT MUCH OTHERS CHANGES TO EXTENDED...OTHER THAN
TEMP TWEAKS. FOR THURSDAY...KEEPING AREA AT LEAST MOSTLY CLDY BUT
W/ NO PRECIP. WEAK RIDGE MOVES OVER AREA BUT STILL THINK ENOUGH
CLDS WILL WARRANT MSTLY CLDY WITH ANOTHER POSSIBLE LOW MOVING UP
COASTTHURS INTO FRI...AS WELL AS ANOTHER LOW MOVING OVER GREAT
LAKES IN ABOUT SAME TIME-FRAME.

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

$$

SHORT TERM...RJS
EXTENDED...JN







FXUS61 KBTV 232026
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
425 PM EDT THU OCT 23 2003

UPPER LOW MOVG UP ALG CENTRAL NEW ENG COAST ATTM WITH SFC LOW MOVG
NORTH THRU CANADIAN MARITIMES. PLENTY OF LLVL MSTR...AS IT CONTINUES
TO WRAPAROUND DEPARTING LOW. EXPECT CLDS AND LINGERING SNOW
SHWRS/FLRYS TONITE INTO FRI AM...ESPECIALLY NRN ZONES. BEST CHC FOR
SOME ADDED LIGHT ACCUMULATION WILL BE THOSE AIDED BY UPSLOPE ON NW
FLOW.

GRADUALLY IMPROVING CONDITIONS DURING FRIDAY AS LOW MOVES FURTHER
AWAY AND HIGH PRESSURE BLDS EAST FROM GRTLKS/OH VLY. LLVL MSTR
MAY BE DIFFICULT TO DISPLACE AS WK INVERSION RMNS IN PLACE. SO
HAVE GONE WITH A BIT MORE CLDNSS...ESPECIALLY DURING MORNING HRS.
WITH ARRIVAL OF RIDGE AXIS DURING PM HRS...CLDS SHUD FINALLY GIVE
WAY TO INCR SUNSHINE.

OUR RESPITE FROM THE CLDS AND CHC PCPN WL BE BRF. HIGH PRESSURE
MOVES EAST OF FA LATER FRI NITE. EXPECT M/CLR SKIES ERN ZONES...
BUT CLDS ASSOCD WITH ONSET OF WAA WILL BEGIN TO ARRIVE IN WRN
ZONES.

WEEKEND: CLDS WL THICKEN UP SATURDAY WITH CHC SHWRS BY AFTERNOON AS
WRMFNT LIFTS NORTH THRU RGN...WITH HIR CHANCES OVR NRN ZONES.
FRONT STALLS ACRS FA SAT NITE/SUNDAY...SO CONT'D CHC SHWRS.
GREATER CHC OF SHWRS WL BE OVR NW PTN OF FA WHICH WL RMN NORTH OF
THE BOUNDARY. LOWER POPS FOR SRN PTNS OF VT...WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE
IN WARM SECTOR.

EXTENDED...(MONDAY THRU THURSDAY)...UPPER LEVEL LOW FORMS OVER
CENTRAL MISS RIVER VALLEY AS UPPER TROUGH MOVES SOUTHEAST OUT OF
NORTHERN PLAINS. ITS SFC COMPONENT SETS UP OVER THE SOUTHERN
APPALACHIANS MOVING NORTH DURING DAY MONDAY INTO OHIO VALLEY.
BECAUSE OF RIDGE OFF COAST...BOTH SFC LOW AND UPPER COMPONENT MOVE
NORTHWARD THRU WESTERN NY/PA THEN INTO SOUTHERN ONTARIO BY TUES.
NITE. CURRENT/PREVIOUS RUNS STILL HAVE BULK OF RAIN MOVING THRU CWA
TUESDAY W/ FRONT EXITING BY TUESDAY NITE. SYSTEM DOES EXIT A BIT
QUICKER FOR WEDNESDAY AND WILL ADJUST POPS TO SHOW THIS...W/
NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF VT SEEING HIGHEST AS PRECIP TAPERS OFF.
WRAP-AROUND PRECIP W/ LOW LOOKS LIKE A MIX IN THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. ENOUGH COLD AIR MOVES IN BEHIND LOW...BUT NOTHING OF
MUCH SIGNICANCE. NOT MUCH OTHERS CHANGES TO EXTENDED...OTHER THAN
TEMP TWEAKS. FOR THURSDAY...KEEPING AREA AT LEAST MOSTLY CLDY BUT
W/ NO PRECIP. WEAK RIDGE MOVES OVER AREA BUT STILL THINK ENOUGH
CLDS WILL WARRANT MSTLY CLDY WITH ANOTHER POSSIBLE LOW MOVING UP
COASTTHURS INTO FRI...AS WELL AS ANOTHER LOW MOVING OVER GREAT
LAKES IN ABOUT SAME TIME-FRAME.

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

$$

SHORT TERM...RJS
EXTENDED...JN




   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

623
ASUS51 KBTV 241005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT FRI OCT 24 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-241100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    36  26  67 W14G20    29.85R
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    32  23  69 W14G21    29.82R
MORRISVILLE    FLURRIES  34  25  69 NW8       29.82R
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     33  27  78 CALM      29.78R
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    34  21  60 W9G21     29.84R
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    35  24  64 W9        29.84R
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     31  25  78 VRB7      29.88R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
NNNN



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                     5:00PM, Thursdau October 23, 2003
                   STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Heather Vieira
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Tonight: Snow showers will continue throughout the evening hours. The
   snow should end after midnight making way for partly cloudy skies.
   Temperatures will remain cold with lows dropping to the upper 20s and
   lower 30s. Winds will remain brisk and out of the northwest at 10 mph.

   Friday: The sun will finally begin to show its face across the region
   tomorrow. It will be much warmer with highs approaching the 50 degree
   mark. Winds will remain out of the Northwest at 5-15 mph.

   Friday night: It will be another chilly night with partly cloudy skies
   and temperatures around the 30 degree mark.

   Saturday: It will be sunny and cool with highs similar to Friday.
   Highs will hover around 45-50 degrees. The night will be slightly
   warmer than the past few with highs in the mid-30s. There is a slight
   chance of rain showers after midnight.

                             Extended Forecast

   Sunday: Rain showers throughout the day with mostly cloudy skies.
   Highs will once again be around the 50 degree mark. Lows will be
   35-40.

   Monday: The skies will be mostly cloudy with a chance of showers
   continuing through the beginning of the work week. Highs will be near
   60 and lows 45-50.

   Tuesday: Mostly cloudy with rain throughout the day that could switch
   over to snow in some of the higher elevations. Highs 50-55, lows
   40-45.

                            Forecast Discussion

   The first snow flakes of the season flew across much of the region
   today. This was due to a slow-moving low pressure system. Some more
   accumulation is possible in the higher elevations where areas could
   see 1-2 inches of snow. The first half the weekend looks to be cool
   and drier with Friday looking to be the best day for outdoor activity.
   If heading out to the Haunted Barn and Hayride in West Charleston make
   sure to bundle up. It will be below freezing across most areas of the
   Northeast Kingdom. The next weather maker will make its way into the
   region Saturday night and will continue to produce clouds and rain
   showers through the early part of next week. Make sure to get out
   Friday and Saturday, because it may be a few days until we the sun
   after that.

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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