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Expires:200310252100;;442635
FPUS51 KBTV 250757
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
357 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2003


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-016>018-252100-
CALEDONIA-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN FRANKLIN-ESSEX-
LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...
NEWPORT...RANDOLPH...RICHFORD...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE...UNDERHILL
357 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2003

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
HIGH IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. SOUTH WIND AT 5 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF
RAIN 20 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOW IN THE LOWER
40S. SOUTH WIND AT 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...RAIN LIKELY. HIGH 50 TO 55. SOUTH WIND AT 5 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL RAIN. LOW 40 TO 45. CHANCE OF RAIN
80 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...OCCASIONAL RAIN. HIGH IN THE LOWER TO MID 50S. CHANCE OF
RAIN 80 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...OCCASIONAL RAIN. LOW IN THE LOWER 40S. CHANCE OF RAIN
80 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGH IN THE LOWER
50S.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOW
IN THE MID 30S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOW IN THE MID 30S
AND HIGH IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOW IN THE UPPER 30S AND HIGH IN THE UPPER
40S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 250658
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
258 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2003

HI PRESS TO BUILD OUT TO THE EAST OF THE FA TODAY. FRONTAL SYS TO
MOVE ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION TODAY THRU SUN...THEN ACRS THE FA ON
SUN NITE THRU MON...THEN TO THE EAST OF THE FA ON MON NITE. MORE HI
PRESS TO BUILD ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION ON SUN NITE THRU MON NITE.
UPR TROF TO MOVE ACRS THE GREAT LKS REGION ON SUN THRU MON...THEN
ACRS THE FA ON MON NITE. S/W TO MOVE ACRS SRN CANADA EARLY TODAY.
ANOTHER S/W TO MOVE UP ACRS THE FA FROM THE SW ON SUN.

00-03Z 20KM "DEVELOPMENT" RUC SHOWS TEMPS TO GET UP INTO THE
M30S-L40S TODAY WITH SOUTHERLY SFC WINDS AT 5-10G20KTS. T1MAX TEMPS
ARE IN THE U40S-M50S TODAY AND LOOK BETTER THAN RUC TEMPS. FEW TWEAKS
TO FIRST PERIOD TEMPS/WINDS BASED ON THIS DATA AND CURRENT MESONET
OBS. LOW-LVL MSTR TO INCREASE ACRS MUCH OF THE FA (EXCEPT SRN VT) BY
THIS AFTERNOON. PW VALUES TO INCREASE TO AOB AN INCH TODAY ACRS THE
FA. RUC SHOWS PCPN TO SPREAD AS FAR EAST AS THE CHAMP VLY BY 00Z
TONITE. BUFCAN/88D MOSAIC SHOWS SOME LT PCPN MOVING ACRS ONT ATTM.

GOOD H85 WAA TO AFFECT THE FA TODAY THRU SUN...THEN CAA FOR SUN NITE
THRU MON NITE. LOW-LVL MSTR ADVECTION TO DEVELOP ACRS THE FA TODAY
AND CONT TONITE AND ON SUN. LOW-LVL MSTR TO LINGER ACRS THE FA TONITE
THRU MUCH OF MON NITE. MID-LVL MSTR TO INCREASE ACRS THE FA TODAY AND
LINGER ACRS THE FA TONITE THRU EARLY ON MON NITE. PW VALUES ACRS THE
FA LOOK TO BE AROUND AN INCH TONITE THRU SUN NITE...THEN AROUND 0.75"
ON MON AND INTO MON NITE.

PCPN EXPECTED TO OVERSPREAD MUCH OF THE NRN TIER ZONES BY LATER THIS
AFTERNOON. ERN/SRN PORTIONS OF THE FA STAND THE BEST CHC OF STAYING
DRY ALL DAY TODAY. AREAS ACRS THE FA THAT DON/T SEE ANY PCPN TODAY
SHOULD SEE IT DEVELOP TONITE. BEST CHC FOR ANY STEADIER PCPN ACRS THE
ENTIRE FA APPEARS TO BE ON SUN NITE/MON. WITH PW VALUES NOT VERY HI
WITH THIS UPCOMING SYS...NOT TOO CONCERNED ATTM WITH ANY HYDRO
PROBLEMS. NO CHANGES TO GOING FCST BEYOND MON NITE FOR NOW...EXCEPT
TO CLEAN UP SOME BOGUS IFPS WORDING.

WRK ZONES OUT UNDER ALBWRKCWF. FINAL ZFP BY 4 AM.

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

$$

MURRAY





FXUS61 KBTV 250146 AAA
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
945 PM EDT FRI OCT 24 2003

CRNT: CI ADVANCING TOWARD NRN NY AND STL XPCT JUST A FEW SPRINKLES
ACRS NRN NY BFR DAYBRK. PRVS FCST LOOKS GOOD AND THUS NO UPDATE
NEEDED.

GEOMAGNETIC STORM ARRIVED TDY FM MONSTER ACTVTY THAT HAS BEEN
OCCURING ON THE SUN THE PAST FEW DAYS. EXPERTS PREDICT INCREASE PROB
OF AURORA BOREALIS TNGT AND NEXT FEW...BUT GIVEN XPCTD WX CONDS TNGT
MAY BE THE BEST SHOT.

REMINDER...EST RESUMES SUNDAY MORNING AT 2 AM EDT TURNING CLOCK BACK
ONE HOUR TO 1 AM EST. ENJOY THE XTRA HOURS SLEEP!!!

SLW

...PRVS DISC...
UNSETTLED WX PATTERN OVER THE NEXT WEEK WITH FREQUENT RAIN CHANCES.

SKIES CONTINUE M/CLDY ACRS NORTH COUNTRY...ALTHOUGH MOST OF LIGHT
SNOW SHWRS/FLRYS HAVE COME TO AN END AND BRKS IN THE CLD COVER ARE
INCREASING. ULVL TROF FINALLY DEPARTING THE RGN...AND AS HIGH
PRESSURE BLDS EAST FROM GRTLKS/OH VLY THIS EVENING...EXPECT SKIES TO
CLR AND FOR NW BREEZES TO QUICKLY DIMINISH. OUR RESPITE FROM THE CLDS
AND PSBL PCPN WL BE VERY SHORT LIVED HOWEVER. THE RIDGE AXIS WL SLIDE
ACRS FA TONITE...AND BE ALG THE EAST COAST BY SAT AM. CLDS ASSOCD
WITH ONSET OF WAA WL AREADY BE ARRIVING IN WRN ZONES TOWARDS MORNING
WITH A SLITE CHC OF RAIN SHWRS IN ST LWR VLY BY 12Z. CLDS WL THEN
OVERSPREAD REST OF NRN ZONES DURING SAT AS WRMFNT LIFTS NORTH THRU
RGN. BEST LIFT WL BE ACRS NW ZONES. HAVE GONE WITH HIGHEST POPS ST
LWR VLY (LIKELY)...TAPERING DOWN TO LESS THAN 20 PERCENT FOR SC VT
WHERE SKIES EXPECTED TO BE PRTLY SUNNY.

SAT NITE/SUN: WEAK ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRES LIFTS NEWRD OUT OF OH
VLY DURING THIS PERIOD WHILE UPR LVL FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHWEST IN
RESPONSE TO DEEPENING TROF IN MIDWEST. GREATEST CHC OF RAIN DURING
THIS PERIOD WL CONTINUE ACRS NRN ZONES...WHILE MUCH OF TIME WL BE
DRY SOUTH.

SUN NITE/MON: MORE SIGNIFICANT WAVE OF LOW PRES LIFTS NEWRD ALG
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY DURING THIS PERIOD RESULTING IN MORE
WDSPRD PCPN EVENT...WHICH WL LINGER INTO MONDAY NIGHT. POTENTIAL
FOR SOME LOCALLY HVY RAINFALL DURING THIS PERIOD.

EXTENDED...(TUESDAY THRU FRIDAY)...CURRENT MDL RUNS SHOW SOME
DIFFERENCES FROM PREVIOUS RUNS. SYSTEM FOR TUES/WED LOOKS TO BE
ARRIVING EARLIER W/ BULK NOW ON MONDAY INTO TUES. MRF SHOWS SOME
LEFTOVER PRECIP AS THIS LOW EXITS FROM REGION TUES/WED. WILL LEAVE A
CHANCE OF SOME WRAP-AROUND IN THERE. MRF DOES SHOW A STRONG COASTAL
LOW DEVELOPING WED EVENING OFF THE CAROLINAS MOVING NORTHEAST AND
SKIRTING NE COAST ON THURS WITH A LOT OF RAIN FORECASTED. THIS SEEMS
TO BE A BIG JUMP FROM PREVIOUS MDL RUN AND ALSO TO HAVE IT "EXPLODE"
THAT QUICKLY. WILL JUST PUT IN CHANCE POPS FOR NOW ON THURS AND WAIT
FOR FUTURE RUNS. STILL KEEPING A CHANCE OF -SHSN OVERNIGHT WED AS
ENOUGH COLDER WILL MOVE INTO CWA TO TOUCH OFF SOME POSSIBLE LIGHT
WINTRY PRECIP. KEEPING FRIDAY DRY AND KEEPING CLD COVER FOR THE MOST
PART OVER CWA. TWEAKING TEMPS FOR ENTIRE EXTENDED DUE TO CHANGES IN
PRECIP TIMING ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY.

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

$$

SHORT TERM...RJS
EXTENDED...JN







FXUS61 KBTV 241938
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
330 PM EDT FRI OCT 24 2003

UNSETTLED WX PATTERN OVER THE NEXT WEEK WITH FREQUENT RAIN CHANCES.

SKIES CONTINUE M/CLDY ACRS NORTH COUNTRY...ALTHOUGH MOST OF LIGHT
SNOW SHWRS/FLRYS HAVE COME TO AN END AND BRKS IN THE CLD COVER ARE
INCREASING. ULVL TROF FINALLY DEPARTING THE RGN...AND AS HIGH
PRESSURE BLDS EAST FROM GRTLKS/OH VLY THIS EVENING...EXPECT SKIES TO
CLR AND FOR NW BREEZES TO QUICKLY DIMINISH. OUR RESPITE FROM THE CLDS
AND PSBL PCPN WL BE VERY SHORT LIVED HOWEVER. THE RIDGE AXIS WL SLIDE
ACRS FA TONITE...AND BE ALG THE EAST COAST BY SAT AM. CLDS ASSOCD
WITH ONSET OF WAA WL AREADY BE ARRIVING IN WRN ZONES TOWARDS MORNING
WITH A SLITE CHC OF RAIN SHWRS IN ST LWR VLY BY 12Z. CLDS WL THEN
OVERSPREAD REST OF NRN ZONES DURING SAT AS WRMFNT LIFTS NORTH THRU
RGN. BEST LIFT WL BE ACRS NW ZONES. HAVE GONE WITH HIGHEST POPS ST
LWR VLY (LIKELY)...TAPERING DOWN TO LESS THAN 20 PERCENT FOR SC VT
WHERE SKIES EXPECTED TO BE PRTLY SUNNY.

SAT NITE/SUN: WEAK ELONGATED AREA OF LOW PRES LIFTS NEWRD OUT OF OH
VLY DURING THIS PERIOD WHILE UPR LVL FLOW BECOMES MORE SOUTHWEST IN
RESPONSE TO DEEPENING TROF IN MIDWEST. GREATEST CHC OF RAIN DURING
THIS PERIOD WL CONTINUE ACRS NRN ZONES...WHILE MUCH OF TIME WL BE
DRY SOUTH.

SUN NITE/MON: MORE SIGNIFICANT WAVE OF LOW PRES LIFTS NEWRD ALG
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY DURING THIS PERIOD RESULTING IN MORE
WDSPRD PCPN EVENT...WHICH WL LINGER INTO MONDAY NIGHT. POTENTIAL
FOR SOME LOCALLY HVY RAINFALL DURING THIS PERIOD.

EXTENDED...(TUESDAY THRU FRIDAY)...CURRENT MDL RUNS SHOW SOME
DIFFERENCES FROM PREVIOUS RUNS. SYSTEM FOR TUES/WED LOOKS TO BE
ARRIVING EARLIER W/ BULK NOW ON MONDAY INTO TUES. MRF SHOWS SOME
LEFTOVER PRECIP AS THIS LOW EXITS FROM REGION TUES/WED. WILL LEAVE A
CHANCE OF SOME WRAP-AROUND IN THERE. MRF DOES SHOW A STRONG COASTAL
LOW DEVELOPING WED EVENING OFF THE CAROLINAS MOVING NORTHEAST AND
SKIRTING NE COAST ON THURS WITH A LOT OF RAIN FORECASTED. THIS SEEMS
TO BE A BIG JUMP FROM PREVIOUS MDL RUN AND ALSO TO HAVE IT "EXPLODE"
THAT QUICKLY. WILL JUST PUT IN CHANCE POPS FOR NOW ON THURS AND WAIT
FOR FUTURE RUNS. STILL KEEPING A CHANCE OF -SHSN OVERNIGHT WED AS
ENOUGH COLDER WILL MOVE INTO CWA TO TOUCH OFF SOME POSSIBLE LIGHT
WINTRY PRECIP. KEEPING FRIDAY DRY AND KEEPING CLD COVER FOR THE MOST
PART OVER CWA. TWEAKING TEMPS FOR ENTIRE EXTENDED DUE TO CHANGES IN
PRECIP TIMING ESPECIALLY ON THURSDAY.

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

$$

SHORT TERM...RJS
EXTENDED...JN




   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

886
ASUS51 KBTV 251005
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SAT OCT 25 2003

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-251100-
_____VERMONT_____

CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    36  25  64 S5        30.38R
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    27  25  92 NW3       30.41S
MORRISVILLE    MOCLDY    28  26  92 CALM      30.39S
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     27  25  92 CALM      30.41R
RUTLAND        MOCLDY    32  25  74 SE8       30.40F
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    27  26  96 CALM      30.45R
BENNINGTON     PTCLDY    25  24  96 CALM      30.41R
$$

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
NNNN



                        LSC WEATHER CENTER FORECAST
               [1]Lyndon State College Meteorology Home Page
                      3:00PM, Friday October 24, 2003
                   STUDENT METEOROLOGIST: Anthony Seibel
       ** The latest forecast for Northeast & North Central Vermont**
       ** The area bounded by Waterbury, St. Johnsbury, and Newport**

   Tonight: The sun and warmth we expected today seems to be coming our
   way a little late. Skies will be clearing tonight to partly cloudy
   with a fridgid low of 22 degrees expected.

   Saturday: Warmer temperatures return, while skies remain mostly
   cloudy. Highs will be between 47 and 52 degrees with winds from the
   south at 5-10mph.

   Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy skies persist with a chance of showers.
   Lows will be in the range of 38-44 degrees.

   Sunday: We'll see highs again nearing the 50 degree mark, but with no
   break from the rain. Skies will continue to be mostly cloudy with a
   chance of showers. Overnight lows will be warmer in the range of 42-46
   degrees with winds from the south at 5-10mph.

                             Extended Forecast

   Monday: Showers continue with highs in the mid-50's. Lows will hold in
   a warmer range in the upper 40's with winds from teh south at 5-10mph.

   Tuesday: Mostly cloudy skies with a chance of showers continue. High
   52-56, Low 45-50.

   Wednesday: Skies will be partly cloudy with a chance of rain/snow
   showers throughout the day. Highs will be near 50 degrees with lows in
   the upper 30's.

                            Forecast Discussion

   High pressure moving in from the west will partially clear skies this
   evening. A cold front currently over the northern midwestern states
   will be following close behind this system, quickly bringing rain and
   showers back to the area. Fortunately, for those shying away from
   winter condidtions, daytime highs will be in a more comfortable range
   for the beginning of next week. Stay dry and enjoy your weekend!

References

   1. http://apollo.lsc.vsc.edu/

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