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Expires:200412182306;;695888
FPUS51 KBTV 180915
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
415 AM EST SAT DEC 18 2004


VTZ003-004-006>008-016>018-182306-
CALEDONIA-EASTERN ADDISON-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-EASTERN FRANKLIN-ESSEX-
LAMOILLE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRISTOL...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...
NEWPORT...RICHFORD...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE...UNDERHILL
415 AM EST SAT DEC 18 2004

.TODAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 20S. SOUTH WINDS 15
TO 20 MPH.
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS
AROUND 20. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. SNOW
ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
30S...WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. SOUTH
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SNOW
60 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY AND MUCH COLDER WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 5 ABOVE TO 5 BELOW. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF
SNOW 50 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW IN THE MORNING.
COLD WITH HIGHS ZERO TO 5 ABOVE. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN CLEARING. LOWS
ZERO TO 10 BELOW.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. NOT AS COLD WITH HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. CHANCE OF
SNOW 30 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 30. CHANCE OF SNOW 30
PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS 15 TO
20. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS 30 TO 35.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY. BRISK. A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW UNTIL MIDNIGHT. A
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS AROUND 15. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 180922
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
422 AM EST SAT DEC 18 2004

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
DECENT WEATHER ON TAP FOR TODAY AS SHORTWAVE RIDGING WHICH BROUGHT
QUIET AND COLD CONDS LAST NIGHT DEPARTS EAST. RETURN SOUTHERLY FLOW
ON BACK SIDE OF THIS FEATURE ALONG WITH GOOD DEAL OF SUN WILL ALLOW
TEMPERATURES TO REBOUND QUICKLY FROM YESTERDAY/S COLDER READINGS.
EXPECTING VALUES GENERALLY FROM THE M20S TO L30S AREA WIDE. WAA
CLOUDS ON THE INCREASE TONIGHT WITH SCT SHSN DEVELOPING ACROSS N NY
OVERNIGHT IN RESPONSE TO SW TRAJECTORY OFF LK ONT AND DEEP
MERIDIONAL MID LVL TROUGH DIGGING SHARPLY SOUTHWARD TO THE WEST.
STRONGER LEAD SHORTWAVE TO PUSH NE OFFSHORE OF NEW ENGLAND DURING
TONIGHT/EARLY SUNDAY AND WILL REMAIN A COASTAL THREAT ONLY.

MAIN WEATHER MAKER OVER COURSE OF NEXT 48 HOURS WILL BE EASTWARD
MOVEMENT OF AFOREMENTIONED MID LVL TROUGH AND ASSOC STRONG ARCTIC
BNDRY PROGGED TO PUSH ACROSS REGION SUNDAY MORNING/AFTERNOON. MAX
TEMPS SUNDAY WILL BE TRICKY AND HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON ARRIVAL/TIMING
OF FRONTAL BNDRY WITH MANY AREAS EXPERIENCING SHARPLY FALLING
TEMPERATURES. EXPECT TO CROSS WESTERN HALF OF FCST AREA BEFORE
MIDDAY SUNDAY...AND CLEARING ENTIRE AREA BY LATE AFTERNOON. GOOD
FGEN FORCING COMBINED WITH FAVORABLE NORTHERLY POST FRONTAL FLOW
ARGUES FOR A GENERAL 1-3 INCH SNOWFALL...EVEN ACROSS IMMEDIATE
CHVLY WHERE LAKE CHAMPLAIN MAY AID ENHANCEMENT. LATEST OPERATIONAL
PROGS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST DEEP CYCLOGENESIS WILL REMAIN OFFSHORE
DURING SUNDAY/MONDAY TIME FRAME...WITH ONLY A LOW CHC OF SOME -SHSN
OR -SN FROM CHVLY EAST FIRST PART OF MONDAY. MORE IMPORTANTLY WILL
BE THE COLD TEMPERATURES EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY...WITH
COLDEST READINGS SINCE LAST FEBRUARY EXPECTED DURING THIS TIME FRAME
AND POSSIBLE WIND CHILL CONCERNS FOR LATER SHIFTS TO EXAMINE.
&&

.LONG TERM (TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)...
NO MAJOR CHANGES TO EXTENDED PORTIONS OF FCST AT THIS TIME. MAINLY
BENIGN/SEASONABLE CONDS EXPECTED WED ALONG WITH INCREASING WAA
CLOUDINESS UNDER BROAD MID TO UPPER LVL SW FLOW. THEN INCREASING
CHCS OF PRECIPITATION LATER WED NT AND CONTINUING INTO THU AS YET
ANOTHER DEEP UPPER TROUGH IS CARVED OUT WEST OF REGION ACROSS THE
CENTRAL STATES. THIS HAS BEEN THE FAVORED PATTERN SO FAR THIS
FALL/WINTER...AND LATEST OP RUNS OF THE GFS AND ECMWF CONTINUE TO
SUPPORT IDEA OF ASSOC SFC REFLECTION TO LIFT NE OUT OF GULF COASTAL
STATES AND MOST LIKELY PASS NORTH AND WEST OF REGION. SOLNS ALSO
CONTINUE TO SUGGEST STRONG BAROCLINICITY WITH SYSTEM. THUS PLENTY OF
JET ENERGY/DYNAMICS SHOULD EVOLVE AND WILL MOST LIKELY ALLOW FOR
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION ACROSS AREA...THOUGH MAINLY IN THE FORM OF
RAIN.
&&

.AVIATION (06Z-06Z)...
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS WILL BE THE RULE OVER THE AREA THROUGH
AT LEAST 12Z THIS MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE EXISTS ACROSS THE
REGION.  FOG PRODUCT SHOWING AREA OF LOW CLOUDS ACROSS THE EASTERN
GREAT LAKES/SOUTHEAST ONTARIO WHICH MATCHES UP WELL WITH THE
GREATER THAN 80 PERCENT AREA ON 925MB RELATIVE HUMIDITY FORECASTS.
THIS MOISTURE DOES NOT MOVE INTO THE AREA UNTIL AFTER 16-18Z...SO
EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS UNTIL THEN WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF SOME
CEILINGS DEVELOPING AFTER 18Z...WHICH WILL BE RIGHT AROUND MVFR
LEVELS.  A MORE WIDESPREAD AREA OF MVFR CEILINGS IS NOT EXPECTED
UNTIL THE END OF THE PERIOD AND MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR AFTER 06Z
SUNDAY.  WINDS WILL DEVELOP A SOUTHERLY COMPONENT BY MID-MORNING...
BUT SPEEDS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SIGNIFICANT.
&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

PUBLIC...JMG
AVIATION...EE











FXUS61 KBTV 180324
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
1020 PM EST FRI DEC 17 2004

.UPDATE...
HIGH PRESSURE MOVING INTO FA THIS EVENING HAS RESULTED IN CLRNG
SKIES AND DIMINISHING WNDS. FOR THE OVERNIGHT HRS...EXPECT CONT'D
CLR SKIES AND LGT WNDS...ALLOWING FOR GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING.
TEMPS ALREADY BELOW ZERO IN SOME OF THE NORMALLY COLDER MOUNTAIN
VLYS. HAVE UPDATED ZONES TO ADJUST MINS FOR TONITE A
BIT...OTHERWISE NO CHANGES TO GOING FCST.

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FROM 315 PM...

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH 12Z TUE)...
COLD AIR HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY ON THE HEELS OF A FAST
MOVING COLD FRONT THIS MORNING. THIS MORNINGS SNOW SHOWERS WERE
QUICKLY OVERCOME BY THE VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIR MOVING IN...AND ONLY
COLD AIR STRATOCU LEFT OVER.  SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO MOVE IN
TONIGHT...AND EXPECT CLOUDS TO DISSIPATE...WINDS GO CALM...AND TEMPS
TO RADIATE DOWN TO AS COLD OR A LITTLE COLDER THAN WE'VE SEEN SO FAR
THIS SEASON.

HIGH PRESSURE IS SHORT LIVED HOWEVER AS HEIGHTS BUILD IN THE WEST
AND A LARGE SCALE TROUGH SETS UP FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...THE LOW LEVEL WINDS TURN
SOUTH AND TEMPS WARM SLIGHTLY.  SUNDAY A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION AS A WEAK 500MB VORTMAX MOVES OUT OF THE MEAN
UPPER TROUGH.  SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO SHOW FROM SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. WHILE UPPER FEATURES ARE SIMILAR...THE ETA IS
MUCH FASTER AND THUS COLDER WITH THE SURFACE COLD FRONT.  ETA MOS
FORECAST LOWS LOOK MUCH TO COLD...WITH -28F FROM THE MET AND +6 FCST
BY THE MAV FOR MONDAY MORNING.  THEREFORE FAVORED GFS GUIDANCE MORE
HEAVILY. FOR PRECIP...FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BRING CHC SNOW SHOWERS AS
IT PASSESS...SIMILAR TO TODAY'S EVENTS.

ON MONDAY...THE LONGWAVE UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE
REGION...AND A COASTAL SURFACE LOW SPINS UP AND INTENSIFIES. CENTER
OF THE STORM IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE BENCHMARK OF 40W/70N.
THIS TRACK WOULD KEEP SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW OUT OF
FORECAST AREA...BUT SITUATION STILL WARRANTS A CLOSE LOOK THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

&&
.LONG TERM (TUESDAY-FRIDAY)...
COMPLEX PATTERN SETTING UP ALONG THE EAST COAST WITH BOARD SW FLOW
ALOFT AND SEVERAL EMBEDDED S/W'S AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOWS FOR THE
MIDDLE/END OF NEXT WEEK. THE BATTLE OF THE AIRMASS WL CONT WITH COLD
ARCTIC AIR ACRS CANADA AND WARM/SUBTROPICAL AIR/MOISTURE ALONG THE
GULF COAST WITH THE STORM TRACK IN BTWN. LATEST ENSEMBLE DATA AND
12Z GFS SUGGEST INITIAL SFC LOW WL TRACK FROM NORTHERN PLAINS INTO
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES TUESDAY WITH SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON WEDS. THIS AREA OF LOW PRES WL HAVE PLENTY OF
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH SUB-TROPICAL JET AND WL TRACK ALONG THE
LLVL THERMAL GRADIENT. MODELS CONT TO SUPPORT A COLDER AND MORE
SOUTHERN TRACK...THEREFORE WL TREND COLDER FOR TEMPS AND LEAN TOWARD
MORE SNOW ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HOWEVER...GIVEN UNCERTAINTY AND
TIME PERIOD WL JUST MENTION CHC POPS ATTM. TEMP PROFILE AND
THICKNESS PATTERN SUGGEST TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE 20S. TEMPS SHOULD WARM INTO THE U20S/L30S WEDS INTO
THURSDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER COOL DOWN FOR FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...(18Z-18Z)
VIS SAT PICS THIS AFTN SHOWS CLRING FROM WEST TO EAST ACRS OUR FA
WITH SOME MTN WAVE CLDS NOTED ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG LLVL WINDS. WL
MENTION SCT-BKN CIGS BTWN 025-035KFT THRU 22Z...THEN SKC WITH VFR
CONDITIONS CONTINUING THRU SAT. WINDS WL DIMINISH THIS EVENING
AROUND SUNSET AS PRES GRADIENT WEAKENS AND MIXING FROM ALOFT
DECREASES.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
$$

SHORT TERM...HANSON
LONG TERM/AVIATION...TABER






FXUS61 KBTV 172016 AAA
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
315 PM EST FRI DEC 17 2004

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH 12Z TUE)...
COLD AIR HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY ON THE HEELS OF A FAST
MOVING COLD FRONT THIS MORNING. THIS MORNINGS SNOW SHOWERS WERE
QUICKLY OVERCOME BY THE VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIR MOVING IN...AND ONLY
COLD AIR STRATOCU LEFT OVER.  SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO MOVE IN
TONIGHT...AND EXPECT CLOUDS TO DISSIPATE...WINDS GO CALM...AND TEMPS
TO RADIATE DOWN TO AS COLD OR A LITTLE COLDER THAN WE'VE SEEN SO FAR
THIS SEASON.

HIGH PRESSURE IS SHORT LIVED HOWEVER AS HEIGHTS BUILD IN THE WEST
AND A LARGE SCALE TROUGH SETS UP FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...THE LOW LEVEL WINDS TURN
SOUTH AND TEMPS WARM SLIGHTLY.  SUNDAY A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION AS A WEAK 500MB VORTMAX MOVES OUT OF THE MEAN
UPPER TROUGH.  SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO SHOW FROM SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. WHILE UPPER FEATURES ARE SIMILAR...THE ETA IS
MUCH FASTER AND THUS COLDER WITH THE SURFACE COLD FRONT.  ETA MOS
FORECAST LOWS LOOK MUCH TO COLD...WITH -28F FROM THE MET AND +6 FCST
BY THE MAV FOR MONDAY MORNING.  THEREFORE FAVORED GFS GUIDANCE MORE
HEAVILY. FOR PRECIP...FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BRING CHC SNOW SHOWERS AS
IT PASSESS...SIMILAR TO TODAY'S EVENTS.

ON MONDAY...THE LONGWAVE UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE
REGION...AND A COASTAL SURFACE LOW SPINS UP AND INTENSIFIES. CENTER
OF THE STORM IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE BENCHMARK OF 40W/70N.
THIS TRACK WOULD KEEP SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW OUT OF
FORECAST AREA...BUT SITUATION STILL WARRANTS A CLOSE LOOK THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

&&
.LONG TERM (TUESDAY-FRIDAY)...
COMPLEX PATTERN SETTING UP ALONG THE EAST COAST WITH BOARD SW FLOW
ALOFT AND SEVERAL EMBEDDED S/W'S AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOWS FOR THE
MIDDLE/END OF NEXT WEEK. THE BATTLE OF THE AIRMASS WL CONT WITH COLD
ARCTIC AIR ACRS CANADA AND WARM/SUBTROPICAL AIR/MOISTURE ALONG THE
GULF COAST WITH THE STORM TRACK IN BTWN. LATEST ENSEMBLE DATA AND
12Z GFS SUGGEST INITIAL SFC LOW WL TRACK FROM NORTHERN PLAINS INTO
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES TUESDAY WITH SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON WEDS. THIS AREA OF LOW PRES WL HAVE PLENTY OF
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH SUB-TROPICAL JET AND WL TRACK ALONG THE
LLVL THERMAL GRADIENT. MODELS CONT TO SUPPORT A COLDER AND MORE
SOUTHERN TRACK...THEREFORE WL TREND COLDER FOR TEMPS AND LEAN TOWARD
MORE SNOW ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HOWEVER...GIVEN UNCERTAINTY AND
TIME PERIOD WL JUST MENTION CHC POPS ATTM. TEMP PROFILE AND
THICKNESS PATTERN SUGGEST TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE 20S. TEMPS SHOULD WARM INTO THE U20S/L30S WEDS INTO
THURSDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER COOL DOWN FOR FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...(18Z-18Z)
VIS SAT PICS THIS AFTN SHOWS CLRING FROM WEST TO EAST ACRS OUR FA
WITH SOME MTN WAVE CLDS NOTED ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG LLVL WINDS. WL
MENTION SCT-BKN CIGS BTWN 025-035KFT THRU 22Z...THEN SKC WITH VFR
CONDITIONS CONTINUING THRU SAT. WINDS WL DIMINISH THIS EVENING
AROUND SUNSET AS PRES GRADIENT WEAKENS AND MIXING FROM ALOFT
DECREASES.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
$$

SHORT TERM...HANSON
LONG TERM/AVIATION...TABER











FXUS61 KBTV 172016
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
315 PM EST FRI DEC 17 2004

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH 12Z TUE)...
COLD AIR HAS MOVED INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY ON THE HEELS OF A FAST
MOVING COLD FRONT THIS MORNING. THIS MORNINGS SNOW SHOWERS WERE
QUICKLY OVERCOME BY THE VERY DRY LOW LEVEL AIR MOVING IN...AND ONLY
COLD AIR STRATOCU LEFT OVER.  SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO MOVE IN
TONIGHT...AND EXPECT CLOUDS TO DISSIPATE...WINDS GO CALM...AND TEMPS
TO RADIATE DOWN TO AS COLD OR A LITTLE COLDER THAN WE'VE SEEN SO FAR
THIS SEASON.

HIGH PRESSURE IS SHORT LIVED HOWEVER AS HEIGHTS BUILD IN THE WEST
AND A LARGE SCALE TROUGH SETS UP FROM THE OHIO VALLEY TO THE GULF OF
MEXICO. FOR SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY...THE LOW LEVEL WINDS TURN
SOUTH AND TEMPS WARM SLIGHTLY.  SUNDAY A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE
THROUGH THE REGION AS A WEAK 500MB VORTMAX MOVES OUT OF THE MEAN
UPPER TROUGH.  SOME MODEL DIFFERENCES BEGIN TO SHOW FROM SUNDAY
NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY. WHILE UPPER FEATURES ARE SIMILAR...THE ETA IS
MUCH FASTER AND THUS COLDER WITH THE SURFACE COLD FRONT.  ETA MOS
FORECAST LOWS LOOK MUCH TO COLD...WITH -28F FROM THE MET AND +6 FCST
BY THE MAV FOR MONDAY MORNING.  THEREFORE FAVORED GFS GUIDANCE MORE
HEAVILY. FOR PRECIP...FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BRING CHC SNOW SHOWERS AS
IT PASSESS...SIMILAR TO TODAY'S EVENTS.

ON MONDAY...THE LONGWAVE UPPER TROUGH SHIFTS EAST ACROSS THE
REGION...AND A COASTAL SURFACE LOW SPINS UP AND INTENSIFIES. CENTER
OF THE STORM IS FORECAST TO TRACK ACROSS THE BENCHMARK OF 40W/70N.
THIS TRACK WOULD KEEP SIGNIFICANT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW OUT OF
FORECAST AREA...BUT SITUATION STILL WARRANTS A CLOSE LOOK THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.

&&
.LONG TERM (TUESDAY-FRIDAY)...
COMPLEX PATTERN SETTING UP ALONG THE EAST COAST WITH BOARD SW FLOW
ALOFT AND SEVERAL EMBEDDED S/W'S AND ASSOCIATED SFC LOWS FOR THE
MIDDLE/END OF NEXT WEEK. THE BATTLE OF THE AIRMASS WL CONT WITH COLD
ARCTIC AIR ACRS CANADA AND WARM/SUBTROPICAL AIR/MOISTURE ALONG THE
GULF COAST WITH THE STORM TRACK IN BTWN. LATEST ENSEMBLE DATA AND
12Z GFS SUGGEST INITIAL SFC LOW WL TRACK FROM NORTHERN PLAINS INTO
CENTRAL GREAT LAKES TUESDAY WITH SECONDARY DEVELOPMENT OVER THE
SOUTHERN PLAINS ON WEDS. THIS AREA OF LOW PRES WL HAVE PLENTY OF
MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH SUB-TROPICAL JET AND WL TRACK ALONG THE
LLVL THERMAL GRADIENT. MODELS CONT TO SUPPORT A COLDER AND MORE
SOUTHERN TRACK...THEREFORE WL TREND COLDER FOR TEMPS AND LEAN TOWARD
MORE SNOW ON THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. HOWEVER...GIVEN UNCERTAINTY AND
TIME PERIOD WL JUST MENTION CHC POPS ATTM. TEMP PROFILE AND
THICKNESS PATTERN SUGGEST TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TUESDAY WITH
HIGHS IN THE 20S. TEMPS SHOULD WARM INTO THE U20S/L30S WEDS INTO
THURSDAY...BEFORE ANOTHER COOL DOWN FOR FRIDAY OF NEXT WEEK.
&&

.AVIATION...(18Z-18Z)
VIS SAT PICS THIS AFTN SHOWS CLRING FROM WEST TO EAST ACRS OUR FA
WITH SOME MTN WAVE CLDS NOTED ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG LLVL WINDS. WL
MENTION SCT-BKN CIGS BTWN 025-035KFT THRU 22Z...THEN SKC WITH VFR
CONDITIONS CONTINUING THRU SAT. WINDS WL DIMINISH THIS EVENING
AROUND SUNSET AS PRES GRADIENT WEAKENS AND MIXING FROM ALOFT
DECREASES.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
$$

SHORT TERM...HANSON
LONG TERM/AVIATION...TABER











   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

699
ASUS51 KBTV 281918
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-282000-
_____VERMONT_____


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY   68  43  40 W10G16    30.00S
MONTPELIER     PTSUNNY   67  44  43 SW9       30.05S
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    67  46  47 VRB6      30.01F
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     70  46  42 VRB7      29.98F
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    64  45  48 SW9       30.05S
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    71  47  42 W9        30.04F
BENNINGTON     PTSUNNY   68  48  48 VRB7      30.05F

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
$$
NNNN



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