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Expires:200501012333;;023320
FPUS51 KBTV 010854
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECASTS FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
350 AM EST SAT JAN 1 2005


VTZ003-004-006>008-010-012333-
CALEDONIA-ESSEX-LAMOILLE-ORANGE-ORLEANS-WASHINGTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ISLAND POND...MONTPELIER...NEWPORT...
RANDOLPH...ST. JOHNSBURY...STOWE
350 AM EST SAT JAN 1 2005

.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY THIS MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
BLUSTERY. A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW THIS MORNING. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. EARLY MORNING HIGHS AROUND 40...THEN
TEMPERATURES FALLING INTO THE 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS
15 TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. MUCH COLDER WITH LOWS AROUND 5 ABOVE.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN...SNOW...OR SLEET IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 10
TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
NOT AS COLD. FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET LIKELY UNTIL MIDNIGHT. A CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15
MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S.
CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND
20. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS AROUND 30. CHANCE
OF SNOW 50 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF FREEZING RAIN...SNOW OR
SLEET. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 30. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
15 TO 20. CHANCE OF SNOW 30 PERCENT.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 30.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 010808
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 AM EST SAT JAN 1 2005

ACTIVE WX PATTERN CONTS WITH FCST CHALLENGES TEMPS AND PRECIP THRU
THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

.SYNOPSIS...
WATER VAPOR SHOWS DIGGING MID/UPPER LVL TROF ACRS NE CONUS WITH WEAK
RIDGE ACRS THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS. STRONG/ELONGATED 5H SHORT WAVE
LOCATED ACRS CENTRAL GREAT LAKES COMBINED WITH NOSE OF 25H JET IS
HELPING TO ENHANCE -RW ACTIVITY ALONG SFC FRNT THIS MORNING.
OTHERWISE...COMPLEX PATTERN CONTS OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WITH DEEP
MID/UPPER LVL TROF AND SEVERAL EMBEDDED S/W'S ROUNDING TROF BASE AND
EJECTING INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS BY STRONG WINDS ALOFT. THIS
PATTERN WL CONT TO PROVIDE FA WITH STORMS EVER COUPLE OF DAYS.

RADAR SHOWS INITIAL BAND OF PRECIP FROM NEWPORT TO BURLINGTON TO
WATERTOWN ASSOCIATED WITH PRE-FRNTAL TROF WITH ANOTHER WEAKER BAND
OF PRECIP WITH FIRST SFC COLD FRNT ACRS THE SLV. WITH SECONDARY COLD
FRNT LOCATED OVER THE CENTRAL GREAT LAKES WITH TEMPS WELL BELOW ZERO
ACRS CENTRAL CANADA ATTM. A PIECE OF THIS ARCTIC AIRMASS WL MOVE
INTO OUR REGION LATE TODAY INTO SATURDAY NITE. MEANWHILE...STRONG
SFC HIGH PRES (1040MB) LOCATED OVER CENTRAL CANADA WL PASS BY TO
OUR NORTH OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
&&

.SHORT TERM (TODAY-MONDAY)...
MID/UPPER LVL TROF DIGS ACRS NE CONUS AS STRONG 5H VORT AND
ASSOCIATED 25H JET COUPLET MVS ACRS OUR FA TODAY. THIS COMBINED WITH
GOOD SFC CONVERGENCE...SOME 850-500MB Q-VECTOR CONVERGENCE...AND
STEEP LOW LVL LAPSE RATES FOR SOME INSTABILITY WL MENTION LIKELY
POPS MTNS ZNS TO CHC VALLEYS. ALSO...HELPING TO ENHANCE PRECIP IN
MTNS WL BE LLVL UPSLOPE FLOW...ALONG WITH SOME 1000-850MB
MOISTURE...AND LLVL UVV. THIS WL PROVIDE WESTERN FACING SLOPES WITH
A COUPLE INCHES OF SNOW BY THIS EVENING. PROGGED 1000-850MB
THICKNESS PATTERN AND 85H TEMPS SHOW STRONG LLVL CAA DEVELOPING
TODAY ACRS OUR FA WITH TEMPS FALLING THROUGH THE DAY. TONIGHT...SFC
HIGH PRES MOVES ACRS SOUTHERN CANADA WITH RIDGE AXIS MOVING THRU OUR
FA. WL MENTION MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH TEMPS BELOW ZERO NE
KINGDOM/NORTHERN DACKS TO SINGLE DIGITS/L10S ELSEWHERE. WITH LIMITED
SNOW PACK ACRS VALLEY LOCATIONS TEMPS WL NOT DROP BELOW ZERO.

SUNDAY...SFC HIGH PRES SHIFTS INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND AS ANOTHER
STORM SYSTEM MOVES TOWARD OUR FA. ONCE AGAIN THIS SYSTEM WL PASS
WEST OF OUR CWA AND PLACE US IN THE WARM SECTOR. HOWEVER...925MB
TEMPS AND LLVL THICKNESS VALUES SUPPORT SNOW/SLEET CHANGING TO
FREEZING RAIN...THEN TO ALL RAIN BY SUNDAY NITE. GIVEN LIFT AND
AMOUNT OF FORCING AND QUICK MOVEMENT OF SYSTEM PRECIP SHOULD BE
LIGHT AND GENERALLY UNDER A 0.25". MODELS SUGGEST MOST OF PRECIP
FALLING WHEN TEMPS ARE COLD ENOUGH TO SUPPORT FROZEN PRECIP TYPE
INSTEAD OF LIQUID...BUT GIVEN TIMING AND SOME DAYTIME
HEATING...EXPECT FZRA THREAT TO BE MINIMAL ATTM. WITH STRONG LLVL
WAA CONTINUING INTO SUNDAY NITE WL MENTION TEMPS WARMING OVER NIGHT
WITH PRECIP ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST.
&&

.LONGER TERM (MONDAY AND BEYOND)...
FLOW ALOFT BCMGS ZONAL ACRS EASTERN CONUS AS LARGE TEMP GRADIENT
SETS UP FROM NORTH TO SOUTH ACRS THE NORTHEAST AND MID ATLANTIC
STATES. HIGH PRES AND LLVL CAA WL PROVIDE US WITH A COOL MONDAY.
MODELS ARE IN MAJOR DISAGREEMENT WITH NEXT SYSTEM TUESDAY INTO WEDS.
GFS HAS INVERTED SFC TROF ACRS SOUTHERN PA WITH SFC LOW TRACK ACRS
THIS REGION. MEANWHILE...ETA SUGGEST LOW ONCE AGAIN TRACKING FROM
CENTRAL PLAINS INTO THE GREAT LAKES...PLACING OUR FA IN THE WARM
SECTOR. GIVEN...PREVIOUS STORM TRACK WITH THESE SYSTEMS WL TREND
TOWARD THE WARMER ETA TRACK ATTM. ALSO...BIG DIFFERENCE IN LLVL
THERMAL PROFILE WITH GFS HAVING NORTHERN WINDS ACRS CPV AND PROGGED
925MB TEMPS AROUND -12C...WHILE ETA SHOWS A SOUTH WIND WITH TEMPS
NEAR 0C. WL TREND TOWARD WARMER ETA AND MENTION TEMPS IN THE 30S FOR
TUESDAY. ANOTHER WAVE OF LOW PRESS MOVES TOWARD OUR FA LATE WEDS
WITH ANOTHER SHOT OF MIXED PRECIP. ONCE AGAIN GFS SHOWS STORM TRACK
ACRS SOUTHERN PA...BUT EXPECT THIS WL SHIFT NORTH AS THE TIME
APPROACHES. ONE THING FOR SURE...THE ACTIVE WX PATTERN WL CONT.
&&

.AVIATION (06Z-06Z)...
CDFNT WILL BE MOVG THRU FA THRU 12Z WITH SECONDARY CDFNT/TROF TO
FOLLOW MIDDAY/EARLY PM. BREEZY/WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUING WITH SW
WNDS 15-30 KTS SHIFTING TO WNW 09Z-13Z...AND BECOMING MORE NNW THIS
PM. CIGS VFR OCNLY MVFR THRU ABOUT 18Z...EXCEPT KSLK WHERE CIGS
WILL BE MVFR OCNL IFR. EXPECT SCATTERED RAIN SHWRS CHANGING TO SCT
SNOW SHWRS 09Z-14Z, THEN ENDING AROUND 16Z. EXPECT SKIES TO BECOME
CLEAR AFTER 21Z WITH DIMINISHING WINDS.
&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT/LONGER TERM...TABER
AVIATION...RJS











FXUS61 KBTV 010231
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
930 PM EST FRI DEC 31 2004

.UPDATED DISCUSSION...
PREDOMINATE MC SKIES WITH SOME PC ACRS WRN FA/ERN GRT LAKES IN
ADAVNCE OF APPCHG CD FNT BUT CLDY SKIES BEHIND CD FNT...THUS MC FCST
LOOKS GOOD. GRADIENT STL HEALTHY AND WL CONT THRU MIDDAY SAT...ESP
WITH CAA INDUCED MIXING. SHRA THREAT OUT OF FA FOR NOW...BUT SCT
-SHRA LKLY ALG CD FNT AND THEN INSTABILITY -SHSN IN UPSLOPE MTN
LOCALES TMRW MRNG.

CRNT FCST LOOK GOOD...THUS NO UPDATE NEEDED.
&&

.AVIATION DISCUSSION...
BREEZY/WINDY CONDS SSW WNDS 20-30KTS SHFTING W-NW ARD 08-10Z WITH
WNDS GRADUALLY DIMINISHING LATE AFTN. MVFR/VFR CONDS THRU 12Z THEN
PRIMARILY VFR XCPT MTN LOCALES WITH BKN-OVC BCMG SKC-SCT BY MID-LATE
SAT AFTN.
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION (TONIGHT THRU MONDAY)...
WARM SECTOR PRECIP CURRENTLY FALLING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK WILL
PUSH THROUGH THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND EASTERN VERMONT THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AHEAD OF COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH
GREAT LAKES REGION. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE KEEP MUCH OF
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY DRY TODAY BUT AS WINDS BEGIN TO TURN TO THE
SOUTHWEST WE WILL SEE SOME PRECIP FALL HERE THOUGH WILL NOT BE MUCH
DUE TO DOWNSLOPING WINDS OFF THE ADIRONDACKS.

TONIGHT-SATURDAY...MUCH OF PRECIP WILL BE THROUGH THE REGION BY 00Z
WITH COLD FRONT PASSAGE LOOKING TO BE AROUND 12Z SATURDAY. BEHIND
THE FRONT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL PROVIDE SUNNY SKIES AND DRY
CONDITIONS IN THE VALLEYS BUT WILL ALSO PROVIDE UPSLOPE SNOWS ON
WESTERN SLOPES OF GREEN MOUNTAINS AND ADIRONDACKS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

SATURDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY...COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE
REGION SATURDAY NIGHT PROVIDING LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES.
TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET TO NEAR ZERO IN MOST LOCATIONS AND BELOW
ZERO IN NORTHEAST KINGDOM AND NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS. SUNDAY WILL
BEGIN SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE COAST. CLOUDS
WILL BE ON THE INCREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF APPROACHING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. ALMOST A CARBON COPY
OF THE STORM TODAY WITH PRIMARY LOW TRACKING WELL TO OUR
WEST...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE WARM FRONT..AND SHOWERY
NATURE OF PRECIP IN THE WARM SECTOR. THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT APPEAR TO
BE AS STRONG AS TODAYS STORM THOUGH.

SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY...WITH BEST UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS AND 500 MB
SHORTWAVE TRACKING NORTH OF THE CANADIAN BORDER...STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS...AND BEST 700 OMEGA IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...
NORTHERN NEW YORK LIKELY TO SEE THE MOST PRECIP FROM THIS EVENT WITH
LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE EAST AND LEAST AMOUNTS IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY
DUE TO THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS. COLD FRONT PASSAGE WITH THIS
STORM LOOKS TO BE BETWEEN 09-12Z MONDAY MORNING. ONCE AGAIN
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL CAUSE SOME UPSLOPE SNOWS
IN THE MOUNTAINS AND WILL KEEP THE VALLEYS HIGH AND DRY AS HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES BACK OVER THE REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.
&&

.LONG TERM (MON NGT-FRI)...
SOME DIFFERENCES BTWN LAST FEW RUNS OF GFS REGARDING DURATION/ONSET
OF OVERRUNNING PRECIP EVENT FOR TUE/WED AND PTYPE.  12Z GFS BRINGS
INITIAL SHOT OF WAA INDUCED PCPN LT MON NGT/TUE WITH MAIN EVENT FOR
LT TUE NGT/WED AS SFC LOW MOVS EWD FM MID MS VLY.  00Z/06Z GFS DOES
NOT SHOW INITIAL OVERRUNNING PRECIP FOR MON NGT/TUE.  WITH CONFLUENT
FLOW AND HIGH PRESSURE N OF RGN LEANED TOWARD 00Z/06Z SOLN OF DRY
MON NGT BUT INTRODUCED POPS TUE AFTN PER GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN WITH
CONTD CHC POPS WED-THU AS SFC LOW MOVS INTO RGN.

PTYPE WILL BE SNOW INITIALLY BUT WRMR AIR MOVG IN ALF WL LIKELY
RESULT IN A MIX.  06Z GFS WAS COLDEST MODEL INDICATING MSTLY SNOW
EVENT WHILE 00Z/12Z RUNS SHOW DEFINITE MIX TUE NGT-WED NGT WITH SOME
RA PSBL.  CRNT THINKING IS COLD AIR WL BE SLOW TO ERODE WITH ARCTIC
HI N OF RGN SO LEANED TOWARD COLDER SOLN BUT DID BRING IN A MIX BY
WED S VT AND REST OF FA WED NGT.  AS SFC LOW MOVS E OF RGN DURG THU
EXPECT LINGERING SNW SHOWERS THEN MAINLY DRY FOR FRI.
&&

.AVIATION (18Z-18Z)...
WIDESPREAD MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED ACRS NNY THRU TNGT...WITH MAINLY
VFR CIGS IN VT THIS AFTN AND LOCALLY MVFR TNGT.  AREA OF RA MOVG
EWD ACRS FA WL TAPER OFF BY LT AFTN OR ERLY EVENING...WITH A FEW
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS LTR TNGT AS STG SHRTWV APCHS FROM UPPER LAKES
WITH ASSOCD CDFNT MOVG THRU.  OCNL POST FNTL SNW SHWRS LIKELY AT
KSLK AFT 08Z AND LINGERING INTO SAT MRNG.  MAINLY VFR CIGS ACRS RGN
ON SAT WITH LOCAL MVFR CIGS AT KMPV/KSLK.  GUSTY S/SW WINDS WILL
CONTINUE INTO TNGT WITH OCNL G40KTS. WINDS BECOMING W 15-25KTS
06-09Z THEN NW AFT 12Z.
&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...WINTER WX ADVISORY THRU 19Z FOR VTZ003-004-006-007-008.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LAHIFF
LONG TERM/AVIATION...KJC









FXUS61 KBTV 312020
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
320 PM EST FRI DEC 31 2004

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THRU MONDAY)...
WARM SECTOR PRECIP CURRENTLY FALLING ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK WILL
PUSH THROUGH THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AND EASTERN VERMONT THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AHEAD OF COLD FRONT CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH
GREAT LAKES REGION. STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS HAVE KEEP MUCH OF
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY DRY TODAY BUT AS WINDS BEGIN TO TURN TO THE
SOUTHWEST WE WILL SEE SOME PRECIP FALL HERE THOUGH WILL NOT BE MUCH
DUE TO DOWNSLOPING WINDS OFF THE ADIRONDACKS.

TONIGHT-SATURDAY...MUCH OF PRECIP WILL BE THROUGH THE REGION BY 00Z
WITH COLD FRONT PASSAGE LOOKING TO BE AROUND 12Z SATURDAY. BEHIND
THE FRONT NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL PROVIDE SUNNY SKIES AND DRY
CONDITIONS IN THE VALLEYS BUT WILL ALSO PROVIDE UPSLOPE SNOWS ON
WESTERN SLOPES OF GREEN MOUNTAINS AND ADIRONDACKS THROUGHOUT THE DAY.

SATURDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY...COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OVER THE
REGION SATURDAY NIGHT PROVIDING LIGHT WINDS AND CLEAR SKIES.
TEMPERATURES WILL PLUMMET TO NEAR ZERO IN MOST LOCATIONS AND BELOW
ZERO IN NORTHEAST KINGDOM AND NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS. SUNDAY WILL
BEGIN SUNNY AND DRY AS HIGH PRESSURE MOVES OFF THE COAST. CLOUDS
WILL BE ON THE INCREASE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AHEAD OF APPROACHING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVING OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES. ALMOST A CARBON COPY
OF THE STORM TODAY WITH PRIMARY LOW TRACKING WELL TO OUR
WEST...STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS BEHIND THE WARM FRONT..AND SHOWERY
NATURE OF PRECIP IN THE WARM SECTOR. THIS SYSTEM DOES NOT APPEAR TO
BE AS STRONG AS TODAYS STORM THOUGH.

SUNDAY NIGHT-MONDAY...WITH BEST UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS AND 500 MB
SHORTWAVE TRACKING NORTH OF THE CANADIAN BORDER...STRONG SOUTHERLY
WINDS...AND BEST 700 OMEGA IS ACROSS THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...
NORTHERN NEW YORK LIKELY TO SEE THE MOST PRECIP FROM THIS EVENT WITH
LESSER AMOUNTS TO THE EAST AND LEAST AMOUNTS IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY
DUE TO THE STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS. COLD FRONT PASSAGE WITH THIS
STORM LOOKS TO BE BETWEEN 09-12Z MONDAY MORNING. ONCE AGAIN
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL CAUSE SOME UPSLOPE SNOWS
IN THE MOUNTAINS AND WILL KEEP THE VALLEYS HIGH AND DRY AS HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES BACK OVER THE REGION FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY.
&&

.LONG TERM (MON NGT-FRI)...
SOME DIFFERENCES BTWN LAST FEW RUNS OF GFS REGARDING DURATION/ONSET
OF OVERRUNNING PRECIP EVENT FOR TUE/WED AND PTYPE.  12Z GFS BRINGS
INITIAL SHOT OF WAA INDUCED PCPN LT MON NGT/TUE WITH MAIN EVENT FOR
LT TUE NGT/WED AS SFC LOW MOVS EWD FM MID MS VLY.  00Z/06Z GFS DOES
NOT SHOW INITIAL OVERRUNNING PRECIP FOR MON NGT/TUE.  WITH CONFLUENT
FLOW AND HIGH PRESSURE N OF RGN LEANED TOWARD 00Z/06Z SOLN OF DRY
MON NGT BUT INTRODUCED POPS TUE AFTN PER GFS ENSEMBLE MEAN WITH
CONTD CHC POPS WED-THU AS SFC LOW MOVS INTO RGN.

PTYPE WILL BE SNOW INITIALLY BUT WRMR AIR MOVG IN ALF WL LIKELY
RESULT IN A MIX.  06Z GFS WAS COLDEST MODEL INDICATING MSTLY SNOW
EVENT WHILE 00Z/12Z RUNS SHOW DEFINITE MIX TUE NGT-WED NGT WITH SOME
RA PSBL.  CRNT THINKING IS COLD AIR WL BE SLOW TO ERODE WITH ARCTIC
HI N OF RGN SO LEANED TOWARD COLDER SOLN BUT DID BRING IN A MIX BY
WED S VT AND REST OF FA WED NGT.  AS SFC LOW MOVS E OF RGN DURG THU
EXPECT LINGERING SNW SHOWERS THEN MAINLY DRY FOR FRI.
&&

.AVIATION (18Z-18Z)...
WIDESPREAD MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED ACRS NNY THRU TNGT...WITH MAINLY
VFR CIGS IN VT THIS AFTN AND LOCALLY MVFR TNGT.  AREA OF RA MOVG
EWD ACRS FA WL TAPER OFF BY LT AFTN OR ERLY EVENING...WITH A FEW
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS LTR TNGT AS STG SHRTWV APCHS FROM UPPER LAKES
WITH ASSOCD CDFNT MOVG THRU.  OCNL POST FNTL SNW SHWRS LIKELY AT
KSLK AFT 08Z AND LINGERING INTO SAT MRNG.  MAINLY VFR CIGS ACRS RGN
ON SAT WITH LOCAL MVFR CIGS AT KMPV/KSLK.  GUSTY S/SW WINDS WILL
CONTINUE INTO TNGT WITH OCNL G40KTS. WINDS BECOMING W 15-25KTS
06-09Z THEN NW AFT 12Z.
&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...WINTER WX ADVISORY THRU 19Z FOR VTZ003-004-006-007-008.
NY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...LAHIFF
LONG TERM/AVIATION...KJC






   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

699
ASUS51 KBTV 281918
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-282000-
_____VERMONT_____


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY   68  43  40 W10G16    30.00S
MONTPELIER     PTSUNNY   67  44  43 SW9       30.05S
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    67  46  47 VRB6      30.01F
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     70  46  42 VRB7      29.98F
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    64  45  48 SW9       30.05S
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    71  47  42 W9        30.04F
BENNINGTON     PTSUNNY   68  48  48 VRB7      30.05F

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
$$
NNNN



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