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FPUS51 KBTV 110716
ZFPBTV

ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
315 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2005


VTZ003-006-008-016>018-112100-
ORLEANS-LAMOILLE-WASHINGTON-EASTERN FRANKLIN-EASTERN CHITTENDEN-
EASTERN ADDISON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEWPORT...JOHNSON...STOWE...MONTPELIER...
ENOSBURG FALLS...RICHFORD...UNDERHILL...BRISTOL...RIPTON
315 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2005

.TODAY...VARIABLE CLOUDINESS WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS FROM LATE
MORNING ON...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING
WEST 5 TO 10 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  COOLER WITH LOWS
IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. COOLER WITH HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 20 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. NOT AS COOL WITH LOWS AROUND 40.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 40.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. HIGHS
AROUND 50.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.

$$




   REFRESH(900 sec): [1]http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html

IWIN products will be migrated to newer systems soon. Please see
[2]additional information here
     _________________________________________________________________


FXUS61 KBTV 110802
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
352 AM EDT WED MAY 11 2005

.SHORT TERM (TODAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
SFC FNT MVG INTO ST LWRNC VLY WITH SHRA/-TSRA ACTVY AND WL CONT
TO SLOWLY MV THEN STALL ACRS VT TDY. DECENT MOISTURE ADVECTION CONTS
ALG/AHD OF FNT AND CLDS ARE MAINLY MID-LVL AND NOT OVERLY AGGRESIVE.
THEREFORE...SOME SS AND TMPS WRMG INTO 70S FOR A MODERATE UNSTABLE
AIRMASS WITH CAPES ARD 1000 J/KG FOR CHC AFTN TSRA.

ARCTIC HIGH ACRS NORTH CENTRAL CANADA PUSHES CD FNT ACRS FA OVRNGT/THU
WITH DECENT PRS GRADIENT AND GUD CAA INCLUDING VRY LOW DEWPOINTS. THUS,
QUITE A DFRNC THU MRNG/DAY/NGT THAN TDY.

&&

.LONG TERM (THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY)...
ARCTIC HIGH DROPPING ACRS FA THU NGT/FRI MRNG WITH SKC SHLD ACCNT FOR
COLD NGT ACRS FA WITH TEENS TO ARD 30 ACRS ENTIRE FA. THE GROWING SEASON
IS STL 10+ DAYS AWAY COOL, WET SPRING HAS NOT MADE IT TOO FVRBL FOR AN
ERLY START...THUS NO HEADLINES.

A DRY FRIDAY WITH HIGH PRS MVG ACRS/THRU FA FOLLOWED BY A SRN STREAM SYSTEM
THAT THREATENS THE FA THIS WKND.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR COND FOR ALL SITES THRU ENTIRE PERIOD. SKIES WILL VARY FROM SCT-
BKN LOW DECK(040-050) TO SCT-BKN MID CLD DECK(120) CHANCE OF LIGHT
SPRINKLES W/ UNRESTRICTED VSBY. WINDS OVER VT WILL START AS
SOUTH...THEN SHIFT TOWARDS NNW AFT 00Z W/ FROPA. SOME GUSTS NEAR
20KTS AT KBTV. WINDS OVER NNY WILL START OFF AS LIGHT AND
VAR...BECMG SW...SHIFTING TO NNW BY LATE AFT/EARLY EVENING.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...SLW
LONG TERM...SLW
AVIATION...JN





FXUS61 KBTV 110140
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
940 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2005

.SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
UPDATE TO GOING FORECAST TO TOUCH UP SKY COVER AND INCREASE TEMPS
OVERNIGHT. SHORTWAVE IN EASTERN PA TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN NY
TONIGHT POSSIBLY SPARKING SOME SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THE NORTHERN
ADIRONDACKS. ASSOCIATED SKY COVER TO INCREASE WEST TO EAST TONIGHT
AS WELL. ON OVERNIGHT TEMPS...CURRENT FEELING IS THAT WITH SOUTH
WIND IN PLACE TONIGHT AND INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF COLD
FRONT...OVERNIGHT TEMPS WILL BE A FEW DEGREES ABOVE PREVIOUS
FORECAST AND GUIDANCE FORECAST LOWS. HAVE ADJUSTED MIN TEMPS UP
ABOUT 5 DEGREES IN MOST PLACES. GOING FORECAST HAS SHOWER ACTIVITY
COVERED WELL SO NO CHANGES NEEDED THERE. TWEAKED WINDS A LITTLE BIT
AS WELL...BUT NO OTHER CHANGES TO GOING FORECAST PAST FIRST PERIOD.

LAHIFF
&&

.PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
(ISSUED 447 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2005)

SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EARLY TONIGHT ACROSS THE REGION. A WEAK SHORT
WAVE WILL APPROACH THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY AND THE ADIRONDACKS LATE
TONIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. RADAR AND SATELLITE
LOOP SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO AND LAKE
ERIE ...WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO ATTM. EXPECT
THIS ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...BUT WILL
KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST FOR LATE TONIGHT ACROSS
THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY AND THE ADIRONDACKS AHEAD OF THIS APPROACHING
SHORTWAVE.

COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. LAPSE RATES WILL
BE STEEP ON WEDNESDAY...BUT MOISTURE APPEARS TO BE LIMITED...SO WILL
GO WITH 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST EARLY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

MUCH COOLER AIR TO BE OVER THE REGION ON THURSDAY WITH SUNNY SKIES
AS A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE AREA BUILDS SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA. BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ON THURSDAY AS PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS.
TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY BE IN THE 50S. DEW POINTS WILL ALSO BE LOW ON
THURSDAY...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY
FALLING BELOW 30 PERCENT.

HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT WITH CLEAR
SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS...WITH MOST AREAS FALLING INTO THE 20S.
HAVE ADDED A MENTION OF FROST TO THE FORECAST FOR LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT. SOME OF THE MORE SHELTERED VALLEY LOCATIONS OF THE
ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHEAST VERMONT COULD FALL INTO THE TEENS LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT.

LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
MID/UPPER LVL LOW AND ASSOCIATED SFC REFLECTION LIFTS INTO EASTERN
CANADA AS SFC RIDGE DEVELOPS. COOL NORTHERLY FLW WL CONT FRIDAY WITH
PROGGED 85H TEMPS BTWN 2-4C...THIS SUPPORT HIGHS NEAR 60F.
OTHERWISE...MOISTURE FIELDS SHOW VERY LIMITED RH...THEREFORE PARTLY
TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WL PREVAIL. SATURDAY...MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE
TRYS TO BUILD INTO FA AS LEFTOVER VORT ASSOCIATED WITH CENTRAL
PLAINS MCS MOVES ACRS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NY. FEEL LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
STRONG LLVL WAA AND WEAK 5H VORT ACRS CWA WL CONT TO MENTION CHC
POPS. SUNDAY...BOTH ECMWF/GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PLACEMENT
OF SFC LOW ACRS WESTERN NY/PA AND STRONG LLVL WAA OVER OUR FA. WL
CONT TO MENTION CHC POPS ATTM WITH GOOD LIFT/ULVL DIVERGENCE
EXPECTED WITH DEVELOPING MID/UPPER LVL LOW ACRS THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES. WITH CLOUDS/PRECIP EXPECTED AND SFC WARM FRNT PROGGED TO BE
ACRS SNE...HIGHS WL ONLY BE IN THE 60S. MONDAY-TUESDAY...SYSTEM
LIFTS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AS SFC HIGH PRES BUILDS INTO FA.
WL MENTION TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL WITH A DRYING TREND EXPECTED.

AVIATION...
VIS SAT PIC AND LOOKING OUTSIDE SHOWS PLENTY OF CLR BLUE SKIES
TODAY...WITH A FEW FAIR WX CU OVER THE MTNS. UPSTREAM SATL PICS SHOW
A RIBBON OF CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK 5H VORT AND SFC REFLECTION
MOVING ACRS CENTRAL LAKE ERIE INTO SOUTHERN CANADA ATTM. THESE
CLOUDS/PRECIP WL BE AT MSS BTWN 04-08Z AND SLK BTWN 06-10Z TONIGHT.
WL MENTION TEMPO GROUP FOR -SHRA AND CIGS AROUND 4KFT DURING THIS
TIME PERIOD. OTHERWISE...EXPECT PRECIP TO DRY OUT BEFORE REACHING
BTV/MPV...DUE TO DOWNSLOPING WINDS AND VERY DRY LLVLS.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WGH
LONG TERM...TABER
AVIATION...TABER







FXUS61 KBTV 102047
AFDBTV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
447 PM EDT TUE MAY 10 2005

.SHORT TERM (TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)...
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES EARLY TONIGHT ACROSS THE REGION. A WEAK SHORT
WAVE WILL APPROACH THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY AND THE ADIRONDACKS LATE
TONIGHT WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. RADAR AND SATELLITE
LOOP SHOW AN AREA OF SHOWERS ACROSS WESTERN LAKE ONTARIO AND LAKE
ERIE ...WITH SOME THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTHEAST OHIO ATTM. EXPECT
THIS ACTIVITY TO DIMINISH WITH THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...BUT WILL
KEEP A CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST FOR LATE TONIGHT ACROSS
THE ST LAWRENCE VALLEY AND THE ADIRONDACKS AHEAD OF THIS APPROACHING
SHORTWAVE.

COLD FRONT TO MOVE INTO THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY. LAPSE RATES WILL
BE STEEP ON WEDNESDAY...BUT MOISTURE APPEARS TO BE LIMITED...SO WILL
GO WITH 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE FORECAST EARLY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT.

MUCH COOLER AIR TO BE OVER THE REGION ON THURSDAY WITH SUNNY SKIES
AS A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE AREA BUILDS SOUTHEAST FROM CANADA. BREEZY
CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP ON THURSDAY AS PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS.
TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY BE IN THE 50S. DEW POINTS WILL ALSO BE LOW ON
THURSDAY...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY
FALLING BELOW 30 PERCENT.

HIGH PRESSURE TO BUILD INTO THE REGION THURSDAY NIGHT WITH CLEAR
SKIES AND DIMINISHING WINDS...WITH MOST AREAS FALLING INTO THE 20S.
HAVE ADDED A MENTION OF FROST TO THE FORECAST FOR LATE THURSDAY
NIGHT. SOME OF THE MORE SHELTERED VALLEY LOCATIONS OF THE
ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHEAST VERMONT COULD FALL INTO THE TEENS LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT.
&&

.LONG TERM (FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...
MID/UPPER LVL LOW AND ASSOCIATED SFC REFLECTION LIFTS INTO EASTERN
CANADA AS SFC RIDGE DEVELOPS. COOL NORTHERLY FLW WL CONT FRIDAY WITH
PROGGED 85H TEMPS BTWN 2-4C...THIS SUPPORT HIGHS NEAR 60F.
OTHERWISE...MOISTURE FIELDS SHOW VERY LIMITED RH...THEREFORE PARTLY
TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES WL PREVAIL. SATURDAY...MID/UPPER LVL RIDGE
TRYS TO BUILD INTO FA AS LEFTOVER VORT ASSOCIATED WITH CENTRAL
PLAINS MCS MOVES ACRS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN NY. FEEL LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH
STRONG LLVL WAA AND WEAK 5H VORT ACRS CWA WL CONT TO MENTION CHC
POPS. SUNDAY...BOTH ECMWF/GFS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH PLACEMENT
OF SFC LOW ACRS WESTERN NY/PA AND STRONG LLVL WAA OVER OUR FA. WL
CONT TO MENTION CHC POPS ATTM WITH GOOD LIFT/ULVL DIVERGENCE
EXPECTED WITH DEVELOPING MID/UPPER LVL LOW ACRS THE CENTRAL GREAT
LAKES. WITH CLOUDS/PRECIP EXPECTED AND SFC WARM FRNT PROGGED TO BE
ACRS SNE...HIGHS WL ONLY BE IN THE 60S. MONDAY-TUESDAY...SYSTEM
LIFTS INTO THE CANADIAN MARITIMES AS SFC HIGH PRES BUILDS INTO FA.
WL MENTION TEMPS SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL WITH A DRYING TREND EXPECTED.
&&

.AVIATION...
VIS SAT PIC AND LOOKING OUTSIDE SHOWS PLENTY OF CLR BLUE SKIES
TODAY...WITH A FEW FAIR WX CU OVER THE MTNS. UPSTREAM SATL PICS SHOW
A RIBBON OF CLOUDS ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK 5H VORT AND SFC REFLECTION
MOVING ACRS CENTRAL LAKE ERIE INTO SOUTHERN CANADA ATTM. THESE
CLOUDS/PRECIP WL BE AT MSS BTWN 04-08Z AND SLK BTWN 06-10Z TONIGHT.
WL MENTION TEMPO GROUP FOR -SHRA AND CIGS AROUND 4KFT DURING THIS
TIME PERIOD. OTHERWISE...EXPECT PRECIP TO DRY OUT BEFORE REACHING
BTV/MPV...DUE TO DOWNSLOPING WINDS AND VERY DRY LLVLS.
&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...WGH
LONG TERM...TABER
AVIATION...TABER





   This data is from the [3]IWIN (Interactive Weather Information
   Network)

References

   1. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/vt/discussion.html
   2. http://weather.gov/inlr.html
   3. http://iwin.nws.noaa.gov/iwin/main.html

699
ASUS51 KBTV 281918
SWRVT
VERMONT STATE WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
300 PM EDT MON JUN 28 2004

NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.

VTZ001>014-282000-
_____VERMONT_____


CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTSUNNY   68  43  40 W10G16    30.00S
MONTPELIER     PTSUNNY   67  44  43 SW9       30.05S
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    67  46  47 VRB6      30.01F
ST. JOHNSBURY    N/A     70  46  42 VRB7      29.98F
RUTLAND        CLOUDY    64  45  48 SW9       30.05S
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    71  47  42 W9        30.04F
BENNINGTON     PTSUNNY   68  48  48 VRB7      30.05F

______KEY______
VSB  - VISIBILITY IN MILES
WCI  - WIND CHILL INDEX
HX   - HEAT INDEX
$$
NNNN

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