Radar and surface obs indicate moisture has backed into the region and 
will be transitioning to more orographic in nature overnight.

Temperatures at this time are as estimated:
4,000ft: 26-29F
3,000ft: 31-33F
2,000ft: 34-37F
1,000ft: 37-40F

Snow level is likely falling towards 2,000ft in VT and 1,500ft in NY with 
Saranac Lake now reporting light snow at 35F.

Moisture backing into region is really evident on the composite radar, and 
movement from NW to SE well depicted on the storm mean velocity image (red 
moving away from radar with green moving towards it):
Base Radar.
Composite Radar.
Storm Velocity.

Models show plenty of moisture sticking around the region in the low 
levels on a cyclonic flow with 850mb winds of 30kts producing upslope 
precipitation through tomorrow evening at least.
Valid at 2pm tomorrow.
I'd like winds at 850mb to be a bit stronger but the barb in northern VT 
depicts an ideal upslope and lake enhancement flow into northeastern 
Addison county.

Temps are the only problem but we should be able to chop off 5F from the 
values above by midnight tonight through tomorrow morning.  During the day 
tomorrow expect a few degrees increase with the freezing level rising from 
1,800ft at sunrise to 2,500ft at midday...then falling back towards 
1,000ft on Wednesday night.  Activity should wind down tomorrow morning 
before increasing again tomorrow afternoon through early Thursday morning 
with the passage of an upper level shortwave.

Best possible skiing will be Thursday morning.


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