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On Wed, 11 Apr 2007 13:13:38 -0400, hoppin_pimple <[log in to unmask]> wrote:

>Friday for sure...then hopefully sat or sun w/my kid.
>
>We are on tele's, and I have a white helmet that makes me look like a "white-
>headed zit" according to my pal S Danis.
I will not be on tele's!  I will be on my freeride setup as usual.  Green
and Black.  Hard to see in the woods.
>Say Hi if ya see us!
>
>On Wed, 11 Apr 2007 11:08:18 -0400, Henry Barboza
><[log in to unmask]> wrote:
>
>>In light of all this predicted fun, I guess I'm just going to have to go
back to
>>Stowe this week.  Me and buddy Rick will be there hopefully Thursday through
>>Saturday.  Phat skis will be the rule.  Anyone else going to be around?
>>
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>>On Sat, 7 Apr 2007 18:55:44 -0400, Scott Braaten <[log in to unmask]>
>wrote:
>>
>>>3 day stake total is over 20" I believe.
>>
>>First, a quick summary of the past 6 days at the Mount Mansfield
>>stake...remember these are 24 hour measurements and the NWS does four, 6-
>hr
>>totals and adds them together.  I bet had this taken place at the BTV
>>airport, the number would probably be over 40" measuring that way and not
>>allowing for any April settling.
>>
>>Wed...3.0"
>>Thur...10.0"
>>Fri...7.5"
>>Sat...1.0"
>>Sun...8.0"
>>Mon...5.0"
>>Total...34.5"
>>
>>Not bad. This morning it is lightly snowing in Burlington (flurries) but
>>looks like it could still be accumulating in the northern Greens.  That
>>train of snow showers is aimed right at Smugglers Notch and some of the
>>heavier showers have been tracking right over RT 108 in the Notch (road west
>>of the 'M' in Morrisville near the county line, for the out of staters).
>>http://tinyurl.com/2ccjfo
>>
>>UPDATE ON WED NIGHT-FRIDAY
>>Short Version...Low pressure tracks along the SNE coast and ENE into the
>>Gulf of Maine providing a period of accumulating snows late Wednesday night
>>into Thursday afternoon.  Amounts in the Champlain valley look similar to
>>the last event, and amounts in the mountains are currently looking like
>>6-12" before the upslope machine gets turned on for Thursday night and
>>Friday...totaling a potential, lets call it 8-16" from Killington northward,
>>by Saturday starting bell.
>>
>>Discussion...
>>The models are converging on a track that takes a primary low up towards
>>northern Illinois and Indiana.  However, with the upper level H5 low cutting
>>off in this region, the jet stream tightens as it is forced south of this
>>feature.  Once it gets past the upper level low, the jet stream winds
>>diverge which will cause surface air to rise into the void left by the upper
>>level divergence.  The net result is another surface low spawns somewhere in
>>the mid-Atlantic and likely tracks near the SNE coastline, ENE, into the
>>Gulf of ME.  We are again left in the cold sector to the north of the track
>>(actually, significant snow is possible as far south as I-90 in the
>>Berkshires and northern Catskills).  With liquid amounts ranging from over
>>1" as far north as Burlington and points NE on the NAM (snow graphic gives
>>VT a general 6-12" on this model, with a little more along the spine), to
>>around a half inch on the GFS, we should see some accumulating snow even
>in
>>the Champlain Valley.  The model output on both American models yields all
>>snow for the North Country and snow above 1,000ft down in the
>>Catskills/Berkshires/SVT.  The EURO, UKMET, and Canadian are all roughly in
>>accordance with this solution so confidence is growing for at least a
>>moderate event (widespread 4"+) with significant amounts (8"+) along the
>>Green Mountain Spine and eastward.  Looks similar in some regards to the
>>last system except the upslope snowfall in VT will only last one day instead
>>of four.  Needless to say, if it snows 4-8" between 3am-3pm Thursday in the
>>Greens and then upslope takes over late on Thursday, well into Friday, we
>>could see amounts of over a foot by Saturday morning at the resorts.
>>
>>Certainly will not be like this last snowfall event, but another foot with
>>no real warm-up before it means the snowpack will continue to grow through
>>the end of the week.  I've been very encouraged by the past 4-6 model runs
>>on this one.
>>
>>-Scott
>>
>>>And next week looks interesting to say the least as this latest storm acts
>as a
>>>block and the next one will try to run up into the Ohio Valley before
>>>another low forms along the coast and pumps copious moisture into an
>>>atmosphere with sub-freezing summit temps.  Looks warmer than this last
>>>system and I doubt valleys see any accums, but the overall set-up looks
>nice
>>>for another major high terrain (2K feet) snowstorm with snow levels
>>>collapsing towards the end.  With total QPF in the 1-3" range, we could be
>>>looking at a day or two of pounding rain in the valley but heavy wet snow
>>>down to elevations like App Gap or the Bolton base village.  Time frame is
>>>Wed-Fri for this one.
>>
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