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In my mind, the pattern changed around xmas, when we got our first rain.
Although we did have a couple of very cold days, they were surrounded by
most of January being above average.

On Feb 5, 2008 11:16 AM, Miguel Naughton <[log in to unmask]> wrote:

> Roger,
>
> >Dear weather gurugeeks,
>
> That's not me, but I am a huge believer in the 6-8 week cycle thing.
>
> >By my count, we are about 5 weeks into a warmer than normal weather
> >pattern.
>
> I'm not so sure that your count is right.  For sure, we have had
> several weeks of Pacific glop and the Utards are gloating.  But when did
> this start?  It's true that there was a very big warmup around January 7.
> But then we experienced our coldest weather of the season around Jan 20,
> before collapsing into the slop.  So it's not clear to me if the
> pattern changed around January 7 or January 20.  Also, waves frequently
> go longer than 6 weeks.
>
> To conclude, from my vantage point, it may be a while before we switch
> patterns.  Of course, the good news is that this is the perfect time for
> a Pacific pattern, because it's still possible to ski.  March seems to
> be looking good, but I dunno about Feb.
>
> PS You don't have to believe me, I am completely unqualified.
>
> Mig
>
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