http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/20/health/policy/20vaccine.html
August 20, 2008
The Evidence Gap
Drug Makers' Push Leads to Cancer Vaccines' Rise
By ELISABETH ROSENTHAL
In two years, cervical cancer has gone from obscure killer confined
mostly to poor nations to the West's disease of the moment.
Tens of millions of girls and young women have been vaccinated against
the disease in the United States and Europe in the two years since two
vaccines were given government approval in many countries and, often,
recommended for universal use among females ages 11 to 26.
One of the vaccines, Gardasil, from Merck, is made available to the
poorest girls in the country, up to age 18, at a potential cost to the
United States government of more than $1 billion; proposals to mandate
the vaccine for girls in middle schools have been offered in 24
states, and one will take effect in Virginia this fall. Even the
normally stingy British National Health Service will start giving the
other vaccine - Cervarix, from GlaxoSmithKline - to all
12-year-old girls at school this September.
The lightning-fast transition from newly minted vaccine to must-have
injection in the United States and Europe represents a triumph of what
the manufacturers call education and their critics call marketing. The
vaccines, which offer some protection against infection from sexually
transmitted viruses, are far more expensive than earlier vaccines
against other diseases - Gardasil's list price is $360 for the
three-dose series, and the total cost is typically $400 to nearly
$1,000 with markup and office visits (and often only partially covered
by health insurance).
Award-winning advertising has promoted the vaccines. Before the film
"Sex and the City," some moviegoers in the United States saw ads for
Gardasil. On YouTube and in advertisements on popular shows like
"Law and Order," a multiethnic cast of young professionals urges
girls to become "one less statistic" by getting vaccinated.
The vaccine makers have also brought attention to cervical cancer by
providing money for activities by patients' and women's groups,
doctors and medical experts, lobbyists and political organizations
interested in the disease, sometimes in ways that skirt disclosure
requirements or obscure the companies' involvement.
Even critics of the marketing efforts recognize the benefits of the
vaccines. Girls who get the shots are less likely to have Pap tests
with worrisome results that would lead to further treatment, saving
themselves anxiety and discomfort and, in those cases, saving money.
When it occurs, cervical cancer is a dreadful disease; genital warts,
partly prevented by the Merck vaccine, can be a painful nuisance.
But some experts worry about the consequences of the rapid rollout of
the new vaccines without more medical evidence about how best to
deploy them. They say that because of the aggressive marketing, even
parents of girls who are far from being sexually active may feel
pressured into giving them a vaccine that is not yet needed and whose
long-term impact is still unclear. Legislative efforts to require
girls to have the vaccine only add to the pressure.
In the United States, hundreds of doctors have been recruited and
trained to give talks about Gardasil - $4,500 for a lecture - and
some have made hundreds of thousands of dollars. Politicians have been
lobbied and invited to receptions urging them to legislate against a
global killer. And former state officials have been recruited to lobby
their former colleagues.
"There was incredible pressure from industry and politics," said
Dr. Jon Abramson, a professor of pediatrics at Wake Forest University
who was chairman of the committee of the Centers for Disease Control
and Prevention that recommended the vaccine for all girls once they
reached 11 or 12.
"This big push is making people crazy - thinking they're bad
moms if they don't get their kids vaccinated," said Dr. Abby
Lippman, a professor at McGill University in Montreal and policy
director of the Canadian Women's Health Network. Canada will spend
$300 million on a cervical cancer vaccine program.
Merck's vaccine was studied in clinical trials for five years, and
Glaxo's for nearly six and a half, so it is not clear how long the
protection will last. Some data from the clinical trials indicate
immune molecules may wane after three to five years. If a 12-year-old
is vaccinated, will she still be protected in college, when her risk
of infection is higher? Or will a booster vaccine be necessary?
Some experts are concerned about possible side effects that become
apparent only after a vaccine has been more widely tested over longer
periods.
And why the sudden alarm in developed countries about cervical cancer,
some experts ask. A major killer in the developing world, particularly
Africa, where the vaccines are too expensive for use, cervical cancer
is classified as very rare in the West because it is almost always
preventable through regular Pap smears, which detect precancerous
cells early enough for effective treatment. Indeed, because the
vaccines prevent only 70 percent of cervical cancers, Pap smear
screening must continue anyway.
"Merck lobbied every opinion leader, women's group, medical
society, politicians, and went directly to the people - it created a
sense of panic that says you have to have this vaccine now," said
Dr. Diane Harper, a professor of medicine at Dartmouth Medical School.
Dr. Harper was a principal investigator on the clinical trials of both
Gardasil and Cervarix, and she spent 2006-7 on sabbatical at the World
Health Organization developing plans for cervical cancer vaccine
programs around the world.
"Because Merck was so aggressive, it went too fast," Dr. Harper
said. "I would have liked to see it go much slower."
In receiving expedited consideration from the Food and Drug
Administration, Gardasil took six months from application to approval
and was recommended by the C.D.C. weeks later for universal use among
girls. Most vaccines take three years to get that sort of endorsement,
Dr. Harper said, and then 5 to 10 more for universal acceptance.
"In that time, you learn a lot about safety and side effects and how
to use it," Dr. Harper said. "Those getting it early should be the
ones who really want it and willing to accept the risk."
Dr. Richard Haupt, medical director at Merck, said the vaccine had not
been rushed into use, saying that five years in clinical trails was
normal before applying for licensing. He said Merck educated
physicians, politicians and the public about the new vaccine to
"accelerate and facilitate access."
Spokesmen for Merck and Glaxo say all indications are that their
vaccines are safe and effective, and there is no evidence that a
booster shot will be needed. A Glaxo spokeswoman, Sarah Alspach, said
its formulation produces a "stronger and longer-lasting immune
response" than conventional vaccines.
"You can only study a vaccine for so long before you license and use
it in a population where it has enormous value," said Dr. Haupt at
Merck. "Our hope and belief is that this is a remarkable vaccine
that will have huge impact on women."
But with their high price, the vaccines are straining national and
state health budgets as well as family pocketbooks. These were the
first vaccines approved for universal use in any age group that
clearly cost the health system money rather than saved it, in contrast
to less expensive shots, against measles and tetanus, for example,
that pay for themselves by preventing costly diseases.
Health economists estimate that depending on how they are used, the
two cervical cancer vaccines will cost society $30,000 to $70,000, or
higher, for each year of life they save in developed countries - a
cost commonly seen in treating people already suffering from deadly
cancers. That number will be far higher if a booster is needed.
Looked at another way, countries that pay for the vaccines will have
less money available for other health needs. "This kind of money
could be better used to solve so many other problems in women's
health," said Dr. Lippman at McGill. "Some of our provinces are
running out of money to provide primary care. I'm not against
vaccines, but in Canada and the U.S., women are not dying in the
streets of cervical cancer."
By contrast, if the vaccine were to become cheap enough to be used in
the developing world, particularly Africa, it would revolutionize
women's health. Charities like the Global Alliance for Vaccine and
Immunizations, backed by the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, are
trying to devise a solution.
The vaccines offer partial protection against infection from human
papillomavirus, or HPV, a common and generally benign sexually
transmitted virus that can in rare cases cause cancer after years of
silent infection. The Merck vaccine also prevents some genital warts
that are caused by other strains of the virus.
In Britain, "this initiative was seen as a good use of resources
that fits with the government's health priorities and political
priorities," said Professor David Salisbury, who heads the
Department of Health's Vaccine and Immunization Committee.
But critics urge restraint. "There is no need to rush," said
Angela Raffle, a specialist in cervical cancer screening with the
National Health Service in Britain, where 400 people die of the cancer
each year. "If we do this quickly and badly, we could cause more
deaths," from side effects, for example, or from giving girls false
security that they are protected for life and no longer need to be
screened, Ms. Raffle said.
The Campaigns
Stephanie Levi decided to give her two daughters the vaccine in late
2006 after receiving a newsletter from their physician. "When you
get a letter saying this is what you need to do to protect your girls,
of course you do it," she said, adding that she was curious because
she had not realized cervical cancer was a problem.
That week, she noticed articles and advertisements for the vaccine.
"I remember thinking I had better do this quickly," said Ms. Levi
who lived in New York then and now lives in Rome.
It is not hard to hear about Gardasil.
In television advertisements, a cast of hip people in their 20s -
artists, writers and professionals - describe why they got the
shots, in the language of liberation, such as, "I chose to get
vaccinated because my dreams don't include cervical cancer." The
advertisements direct viewers to gardasil.com, which includes
patients' stories, buddy icons and downloads for holding an event at
sororities.
Girls of any age who have had one dose of the vaccine can ask for
text-message "reminders" from Merck to get the next two shots. The
offers come with another reminder: "I understand that the
information I provide will be used by Merck or those working on behalf
of Merck for market research purposes."
For such efforts, Merck last May swept the 2008 Pharmaceutical
Advertising and Marketing Excellence awards, and Gardasil was named
Brand of the Year by Pharma Executive Magazine.
The marketing helped make Gardasil one of Merck's best sellers, with
a projected sales of $1.4 billion to $1.6 billion outside Europe this
year, and more from sales in Europe, where Merck sells the vaccine
through a joint venture with Sanofi Aventis.
Aggressive pharmaceutical advertising is nothing new, but the campaign
was a revolution for a vaccine. Vaccines were traditionally the
orphans of the pharmaceutical world because they were cheap and not
particularly profitable. But the two for cervical cancer are the
latest in a wave of high-priced vaccines that have come to market
since 2001, opening a lucrative new field.
Co-opting Doctors and Nurses
Girls and their families are by no means the only marketing
target.
In 2006, hundreds of doctors and nurses were signed up as unofficial
spokesmen for Gardasil, trained by Merck, provided with a multimedia
presentation and paid $4,500 for each 50-minute talk, delivered over
Merck-sponsored meals. Many were paid for attending Merck "advisory
board" meetings to discuss the shots.
Merck said it provided assistance to speakers "to make sure they are
providing accurate information in accordance with F.D.A.-approved
labeling and to make sure dissemination of information is always
appropriate," said Amy Rose, a company spokeswoman.
Promotion and marketing for Cervarix, Glaxo's version of the
vaccine, has been far less visible, in part because it has not been
approved yet for use in the United States, and because consumer
advertising of medicines is prohibited in much of Europe. Outstanding
data from final clinical trials will probably be submitted to American
drug regulators early next year, the company said.
There has also been a proliferation of cervical cancer awareness
conferences and campaigns, sponsored by a host of new or newly
energized scientific and patient groups financed with the help of
Merck and Glaxo. In some cases the financial support has been
indirect, so patients are unaware that expert advice has been at last
partly paid for by the vaccine makers.
Gregory A. Poland, a vaccine expert at the Mayo Clinic, was a
nonvoting member on the C.D.C. panel that recommended Gardasil in 2006
and has publicly defended the panel's decision. Records show he
received at least $27,420 in expenses and consulting fees from Merck
from 1999 to 2007. Both the C.D.C. and Dr. Michael Camilleri, chairman
of the Mayo Clinic Conflict of Interest Review Board, speaking on Dr.
Poland's behalf, said the payments complied with institutional
requirements.
To encourage vaccination on campus, Merck provided the American
College Health Association with an unrestricted grant to train its
officers to speak about the new vaccine and to create kits to discuss
cervical cancer and promote the vaccine for college health services.
The association now recommends the shot for all female college-age
students, even though many in that group already have HPV, rendering
the vaccine less useful.
Dr. James Turner, president-elect of the association, said it accepted
Merck's grant to undertake the campaign because "HPV is a very
important health issue for college students," adding that his group
was "a very small organization, and we don't have funds."
Small charities have also benefited from Merck's contributions.
At the second annual patient conference of the National Cervical
Cancer Coalition, planned for Los Angeles this October, four of the
seven scheduled speakers have received money for research or
consulting from Merck, Glaxo or other companies involved in HPV
screening or detection, though the conference organizers do not
mention that. The coalition, which supports widespread use of the
cervical cancer vaccines, is headed by a businessman, Alan Kaye, who
owns a pathology lab that performs Pap smears and HPV tests, among
other services. "We are a poor nonprofit, and I've been working on
this issue for years," said Mr. Kaye, who hopes to receive grants
from the drug makers to help pay for the conference.
Persuading the Governments
In country after country, Merck and Glaxo also appealed to
politicians. Vaccines, unlike antibiotics, tend to be recommended or
mandated by governments. "We support policy leaders and try to
educate legislators," Dr. Haupt said.
In the United States, 41 states have passed or begun considering
legislation on cervical cancer, according to the National Conference
of State Legislatures, and 24 have considered proposals to mandate the
vaccine for girls, generally in middle school.
Many bills, like ones passed in Colorado, New Jersey and New York,
allocate more money for HPV and cervical cancer education or to
promote the vaccine. Others, like proposals in Iowa and Louisiana,
require insurers to cover it.
The only state to pass a bill requiring the vaccine for school entry
is Virginia; it takes effect in October, after school begins, so will
first apply in 2009.
Merck has a growing economic interest in Virginia. In December 2006,
Merck announced it would invest $57 million to expand its Elkton, Va.,
plant to make Gardasil, helped by a $700,000 grant from a state
economic development agency that is part of the executive branch. Two
months later, Gov. Tim Kaine, who has been mentioned as a possible
Democratic vice presidential candidate, signed legislation requiring
Gardasil for schoolgirls. Four months after that, Merck pledged to
invest $193 million more in the plant to make drugs and vaccines,
helped by a state grant of $1.5 million.
Delacey Skinner, a spokeswoman for the governor, said the state's
vaccination program included an unusually broad freedom to decline the
shot. To exempt children from other vaccines, parents must provide a
medical reason; for Gardasil, they do not. "It is a very easy step
that we can take to prevent a sometimes deadly but certainly serious
form of cancer," Ms. Skinner said.
"Without hesitation or question," she added, the decisions about
the plant and about the mandate legislation "were completely
separate."
But, as in many states where cervical cancer legislation has been
considered, there have been ties between drug makers and members of
government. In 2006, one of Merck's newly hired Virginia lobbyists
was Sandra D. Bowen, who had spent years as Virginia's secretary of
administration. And Bill Bolling, the state's lieutenant governor,
became an outspoken participant in the "Ending Cervical Cancer in
Our Lifetime" campaign, a program started in 2006 by the National
Lieutenant Governors Association and financed largely by Merck and
Glaxo.
"This is an important public health issue," said Randy Marcus, Mr.
Bolling's spokesman.
In Texas, Merck hired Gov. Rick Perry's former chief of staff as a
lobbyist, and contributed $6,000 to the governor and $38,000 to other
legislators. Last February, Mr. Perry ordered that all schoolgirls be
inoculated with Gardasil, a pronouncement that was overturned by the
Texas Legislature, 181 to 3, a few months after the financial
conflicts were revealed.
Early last year, Merck announced that it would no longer actively
lobby for state mandates. But Dr. Haupt defended the initial impulse,
saying that historically such school requirements had been a
successful way to increase access to and financing for vaccines.
Other forms of lobbying continue: Merck and Glaxo have both paid into
a program run by Cornerstone Government Affairs, a Washington firm, to
lobby the C.D.C. and Congress for more federal money for vaccines.
In Britain, drug makers paid for breakfast meetings with politicians
and visited the nurses and family practitioners who are the backbone
of the National Health Service, urging them to offer the vaccine.
In Belgium, the health minister approved the vaccine before the
country's health technology evaluation committee had finished
deliberating.
Unanswered Questions
Many questions about the vaccines remain unanswered, including how
long immunity will last. Even commercials for Gardasil say - in
small print - that "the duration of protection has not been
established."
Dr. Harper said that in the data from Merck's clinical trials, which
she helped conduct, the vaccine was no longer protective after just
three years in some girls. "The immunity of Gardasil will not last -
that is dangerous to assume," she said.
She said she believed that at least one booster shot, and probably
more, would be needed over a lifetime. Dr. Haupt of Merck said that
the "durability of immunity" would ultimately be defined through
widespread use of the vaccine, but that the company's research
strongly suggested that immunity would be long lasting - far more
than five years.
Other independent experts worry that eliminating the two
cancer-causing HPV strains covered by Gardasil and Cervarix might
allow the other cancer-causing strains of HPV to increase in
frequency, reducing the vaccine's effect. But Dr. Haupt said such
"theoretical possibilities" should not deter rapid distribution of
an important vaccine. "We'll worry about whether boosters are
needed down the road," he said.
The question of side effects, however, has nagged the vaccine.
The Centers for Disease Control asks health care centers to report
side effects through its Vaccine Adverse Events Reporting System;
reporting is voluntary. There have been 9,749 reports, almost all from
doctors and nurses, of patients experiencing adverse events after
receiving the vaccine, the agency announced in a joint report with the
Food and Drug Administration at the end of June. Ninety-four percent
of them were not serious, ranging from arm pain to fainting, and 6
percent were classified as serious, including blood clots, paralysis
and at least 20 deaths.
But 16 million doses of the drug have been distributed by Merck in the
United States, and in a population so large, "by chance alone some
serious adverse effects and deaths" will occur, the F.D.A. and
C.D.C. said.
The agencies said there was no indication that the deaths or serious
side effects were caused by the shot, concluding that "Gardasil
continues to be safe and effective and its benefits continue to
outweigh its risks."
Both the agencies and Merck acknowledge that there does appear to be a
high rate of fainting, so doctors are now advised to observe patients
for 15 minutes after receiving a shot.
For some couples, the vaccine has raised agonizing questions over how
to safeguard their children's health. Phillip and Barbara Tetlock,
both professors at the University of California at Berkeley, are
asking whether Gardasil shots that their daughter, Jenny, received
last year contributed to her illness, an extremely rare form of
progressive paralysis that has left her bed bound and needing
assistance to breathe at age 14.
The Tetlocks, who are not pursuing legal action, are appealing to the
C.D.C. and Merck for more data and searching for other girls with
similar conditions through their blog
(www.jenjensfamily.blogspot.com). "Her parents are scientists -
they know better than to assume Gardasil caused her disease," said
Terry Murray, a close friend speaking for the family. "But you have
to explore the possibility."
Dr. Harper said she believed the vaccine was generally safe. She
vaccinated her own children. But with Gardasil's use having grown so
fast, she added, "you inevitably find adverse events that you
wouldn't have suspected."
"The Tetlocks are right to ask these questions," she added.
Dr. Haupt of Merck said that the company knew of the case but saw no
"causal association."
Worth the Cost?
Countries and consumers must decide whether it is worth preventing
cervical cancer with a costly vaccine.
Cervical cancer is the second-leading cause of cancer death in women,
with 500,000 new cases worldwide each year. But more than 90 percent
of them are in developing countries, according to the World Health
Organization; 274,000 women died of this cancer in 2006, nearly 95
percent in developing countries.
Where there are Pap smear programs, few women die of cervical cancer.
In the United States, it is responsible for 12,000 new cases a year
and 3,600 deaths, most in women who did not get Pap smears, said
Laurie Markowitz, head of the HPV working group at the C.D.C. (Women
with H.I.V. are predisposed to the cancer.)
Pap smears work by detecting abnormal cells that are cancer precursors
and that can be destroyed using techniques like lasers and cryotherapy
or, rarely, surgery. As with any screening test, and most vaccines,
the process is not 100 percent effective, and a small number of women
with precancerous cells escape detection with false negative tests,
for example. But because the transformation from abnormal cell to
cancer normally takes a decade, and frequent Pap smears are
recommended, it has been a successful strategy - though the vaccine,
used properly, might well prove a useful adjunct.
Indeed, cervical cancer does not even make the American Cancer
Society's list of 10 deadliest cancers. Among American women, it
causes well under a 10th of the number of deaths caused by lung cancer
or breast cancer.
Though classified as a sexually transmitted disease, HPV is nearly
universal and generally benign. Eighty percent of people will contract
it in their lifetime and most will clear it on their own.
Dr. Haupt of Merck said the vaccines' price was worth it for the
deaths prevented and the tests avoided. "Most of the old vaccines
are undervalued," he said.
Dr. Abramson said he thought his C.D.C. advisory committee did the
right thing in recommending Gardasil. "Cervical cancer is a
worthwhile disease to prevent in a country that has the resources,"
he said. He believes it should be available to those who want it.
Still, he said he was shocked to hear of proposals to mandate the
vaccine for students. "Are you really going to say a girl can't
start school because she hasn't had this vaccine?" he said.
Meanwhile, the vaccines' proponents are moving to the next frontier:
older women and boys. Merck recently applied for approval to market
the vaccine to women 26 to 45 and is conducting studies on vaccinating
boys, who can get genital warts from HPV.
One rationale for inoculating boys is that entire populations should
be vaccinated to achieve what is called herd immunity. But critics ask
whether it is worth conducting a campaign on the scale of the one used
against polio to eliminate a generally harmless virus.
Said Dr. Raffle, the British cervical cancer specialist: "Oh, dear.
If we give it to boys, then all pretense of scientific worth and cost
analysis goes out the window."
Andrew Lehren contributed reporting.