Posted: 2010-01-25 11:56:30
Monday afternoon 1-25-10
EAST – Short term Update…
Rain-rain Rain, oh and some wind to go with that – how about some wet fries?
Short term -- Rain and "fog eating" snow currently with a net loss of snow especially those resorts that rely only on natural snow. Temperatures peaking in the lower 50s with this the last of the January thaw locally for the region. What snowpack remaining after warm air advection fog rolling off the slopes and snow fields melts of the snow, and what flooding and ice jams which were also a looming possibility Monday night and Tuesday across some parts of the Northeast, we'll see a return to winter cold - good snow making and then finally some light off an on natural snow across far northern New york and northern New England.
Longer Range – Some improvement. though it will be extremely slow to get replacement snows packing any major punch.
Jet stream energy in two EL-Nino like split branches look “out of phase” with one short wave trough of low pressure working to fast eastward in the northern polar branch and the sub-tropical jet stream being the main drive not quite hooking up in time and therefore a miss for most of the Northeast U.S. But this could change and it’s our best semi-near term hope.
Another hope is “lake effect” with more arctic surges to clip the Northeast U.S. this might be better choice in that a storm vs. a "moisture laden flow" is a weaker forecast at this time, but we shall see.
Longer range studies of the 1969 analog for the month of February indeed are similar to what the models suggest – late blooming Nor’easter’s too far east to have much of an effect where the big ski resorts are located.
See Snowman's compilation this Monday....
Posted: 2010-01-25 10:59:09
Today's Powder Dumps
14" Mt. Hood Meadows OR
12" Crystal Mountain WA
12" Mount Washington Alpine Resort BC
11" Mt. Bachelor OR
10" Mt Hood Skibowl OR
10" Kirkwood CA
10" Vail CO
8" Stevens Pass WA
7" Alta UT
7" Snowbird UT
137" Alpine Meadows CA
135" Sugar Bowl Ski CA
133" Mt Baker WA
130" Boreal CA
130" Soda Springs CA
130" Hemlock Resort BC
126" Mount Washington Alpine Resort BC
120" June Mountain CA
120" Mammoth Mountain CA
113" Wolf Creek CO
Roger Hill of Best Ski Weather and Weathering Heights Consulting
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