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Expires:201301202115;;097891
FPUS51 KBTV 201132
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
632 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013

VTZ006-202115-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
632 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013
...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS THIS
MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. TEMPERATURE FALLING TO
AROUND 20 THIS AFTERNOON. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 60 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
MUCH COLDER WITH LOWS AROUND 8 BELOW. WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW 20 PERCENT. WIND CHILL
VALUES AS LOW AS 21 BELOW. 
.MARTIN LUTHER KING JR DAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS 4 TO 10 ABOVE.
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. COLD WITH LOWS AROUND 11 BELOW. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS 3 TO 9 ABOVE. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. WIND CHILL VALUES AS LOW AS 25 BELOW. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. COLD WITH LOWS 15 BELOW TO 20 BELOW
ZERO. 
.WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLD. HIGHS 5 BELOW
TO ZERO. LOWS 15 BELOW TO 20 BELOW ZERO. 
.THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS ZERO TO 5 ABOVE
ZERO. LOWS 5 BELOW TO 10 BELOW ZERO. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS 10 TO 15. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND ZERO. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS AROUND 15. 
$$

Expires:201301201200;;097873
ASUS41 KBTV 201130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-201200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     PTCLDY    41  24  51 S20G29    29.43F                  
MONTPELIER     CLEAR     33  23  66 S12       29.50F                  
MORRISVILLE    PTCLDY    42  28  57 SW9       29.43F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     20  18  92 MISG      29.49F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      29  22  73 S6        29.47F                  
RUTLAND*       CLEAR     43  21  42 S9        29.51F                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLEAR     24  21  88 CALM      29.59F                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      41  22  47 S16G29    29.37F                  
NEWPORT*       MOCLDY    34  22  62 S13       29.42F                  
BENNINGTON     CLEAR     40  23  50 S8        29.56F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     23 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     16 N/A N/A S2          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     18 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     25 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     39  32  75 S35         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     39  28  65 S15         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;098040
FXUS61 KBTV 201141
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
641 AM EST SUN JAN 20 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
INTERESTING WEATHER DAY IN STORE TODAY WITH THE MAIN HAZARD BEING
STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRONG LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM PASSING TO OUR NORTH. THERE WILL ALSO BE RAIN SHOWERS THIS
MORNING CHANGING OVER TO SNOW SHOWERS AS COLD AIR MOVES INTO THE
REGION BEHIND AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. COLD WEATHER THEN
SETTLES IN ACROSS THE REGION FOR THIS WEEK...WITH A FEW CHANCES
FOR LIGHT SNOW.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 637 AM EST SUNDAY...ISSUED A ZONE UPDATE THIS MORNING. HAVE
INCREASED POPS ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK WITH RAIN SHOWERS MOVING
INTO THE AREA. HAVE ALSO CONTINUED WITH MENTION OF SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDER IN NORTHERN NEW YORK AS THE SHOWERS ALONG THE COLD
FRONT HAVE HAD ISOLATED THUNDER. OTHERWISE THE GOING FORECAST IS
IN GOOD SHAPE. HAVE UPDATED TEMPS AND WINDS TO REFLECT CURRENT
OBSERVATIONS. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS.
CLIPPER SYSTEM WITH STRONG DEEPENING LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY
PASSING NORTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA. MOISTURE HAS SO FAR BEEN
LIMITED AHEAD OF THE FIRST OF TWO APPROACHING COLD FRONTS. THERE
IS A LINE OF RAIN SHOWERS RIGHT ALONG THE FIRST COLD FRONT
THOUGH...AND THIS LINE IS HEADED NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS ARE
FORECAST AREA. THERE ARE STRONG GUSTY WINDS ALONG AND BEHIND THE
FRONT...AND THERE IS EVEN LIGHTNING ALONG THE FRONT. CURRENT
TEMPERATURES AT 4AM ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA RANGE FROM THE LOWER
TO MID 20S EAST OF THE GREENS WHERE COLD IS DAMMED UP ALONG SIDE
THE MOUNTAINS...TO UPPER 40S IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WITH
WARM SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. DURING THE
INITIAL COLD THERMAL ADVECTION SURGE BEHIND THIS FIRST LIGHTNING
ACCOMPANIED COLD FRONT THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR THE STRONGEST WINDS
TO OCCUR. THEREFORE STRONGEST WINDS OF THE DAY WILL BE IN THE
WINDOW BETWEEN THE FIRST COLD FRONT AND THE SECOND COLD FRONT
WHICH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON. IMPRESSIVE
HEIGHT AND PRESSURE FALLS AND CORRESPONDING STRONG ISALLOBARIC
FLOW HAS LED TO INCREASED FORECASTER CONFIDENCE AND WE MAY SEE
GUSTS UP TO 65 MPH. THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL OCCUR IN NORTHERN
NEW YORK AND EXTREME NORTHWESTERN VERMONT...ESPECIALLY IN THE
SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY WHICH IS CONDUCIVE TO FUNNELED FLOW IN THE
SOUTHWEST ORIENTED VALLEY. WITH THIS SOUTHWEST FLOW THERE MAY
EVEN BE SOME LAKE EFFECT SNOW FROM ONTARIO WHICH WILL REACH THE
SOUTHERN SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY...UP TO 2 INCHES OF SNOW IS
POSSIBLE. THERE IS ALSO STILL A POSSIBILITY FOR SOME SNOW SQUALLS
THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE SECOND ARCTIC COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE...THOUGH FEEL THE STRONG WINDS MAY BE THE BIGGER IMPACT
OF THESE WEATHER FEATURES TODAY. WINDS WILL VEER FROM SOUTHWEST
TO WESTERLY AFTER THE ARCTIC FRONTAL PASSAGE. TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL RAPIDLY FOLLOWING THAT FRONT...THIS MAY CREATE A FLASH
FREEZE ON AREA ROADWAYS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 440 AM EST SUNDAY...SURFACE HIGH WILL RIDGE INTO THE NORTH
COUNTRY TONIGHT AND COLD ARCTIC AIR SINKS DOWN ACROSS THE REGION
FOLLOWING DEPARTING COLD FRONTS. MIN TEMPERATURES WILL DROP INTO
THE SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE AND BELOW ZERO...AND EVEN SOME NEGATIVE
TEENS IN THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM. DURING THE DAY MONDAY A LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DROP SOUTHEASTWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES
REGION ACROSS WESTERN NEW YORK...AND THEN OFF THE COAST OF NEW
JERSEY MONDAY NIGHT. THERE WILL BE SOME SNOW WITH THIS
FEATURE...THOUGH MOISTURE APPEARS TO BE FAIRLY LIMITED WITH NOT A
LOT OF DEEP LAYER MOISTURE. FEEL THAT WITH THE COLD AIR ADVECTION
THOUGH AND PATH OF THE LOW IT WARRANTS A MENTION FOR CHANCE FOR
SOME SNOW ACROSS THE SOUTHERN HALF OF OUR CWA. TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN COLD AND ABOUT 15 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR FROM TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. MINIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL BE
IN THE NEGATIVE SINGLE DIGITS AND TEENS TOMORROW NIGHT AGAIN.
EACH DAY WILL GET SLIGHTLY COLDER TOO...FROM MONDAY INTO TUESDAY
AND SO ON. TEMPERATURES MONDAY RANGE FROM THE SINGLE DIGITS NORTH
TO THE TEENS IN OUR SOUTHERN ZONES...AND TUESDAY A FEW DEGREES
COLDER THAN THOSE READINGS.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 348 AM EST SUNDAY...ARCTIC CHILL WILL PREVAIL THROUGH
THURSDAY FOLLOWED BY MODERATING TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE OF SNOW
LATER IN THE WEEK.
LARGE UPPER TROUGH WILL PREVAIL OVER THE NORTHEAST THROUGH MUCH
OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. WHILE WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL RESIDE AT
THE SURFACE THROUGH THURSDAY...MEAN 1000-500MB RH REMAINS RATHER
HIGH...SO EXPECT PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES. NOT MUCH SUPPORT
FOR PRECIPITATION HOWEVER. A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN
THE FLOW ALOFT MAY BRING A FEW LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS OR FLURRIES TO
THE AREA THROUGH WEDNESDAY...BUT NOTHING MORE. VERY COLD AIRMASS
WILL BE ENTRENCHED OVER THE REGION. 850 MB TEMPS EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM -20C TO AS LOW AS -30C OVER NORTHERN AREAS INTO
THURSDAY. THE RESULT WILL BE TEMPERATURES MUCH BELOW NORMAL WITH
HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE SINGLE NUMBERS...WITH NORTHERN AREAS
STRUGGLING TO REACH ZERO WEDNESDAY. CLOUD COVER MAY PREVENT
NIGHTTIME READINGS FROM REALLY BOTTOMING OUT...BUT STILL LOOKING
FOR LOWS TO RANGE FROM ZERO TO 20 BELOW MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH
WEDNESDAY NIGHT...WITH EVEN LOWER READINGS IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND
NORTHEAST KINGDOM. "MILDEST" READINGS WILL BE IN THE VALLEYS
WHERE SNOW COVER IS VERY LIMITED.
DURING THURSDAY...UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO RETREAT TO THE NORTHEAST
AND WEAK RIDGING DEVELOPS AHEAD OF LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING ACROSS
THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS LOW STRENGTHENS AS IT MOVES ACROSS OHIO
RIVER VALLEY THURSDAY NIGHT. ECMWF AND GFS OFFERING DIFFERENT
SOLUTIONS REGARDING TRACK OF LOW. GFS MUCH FURTHER SOUTH...WITH
LOW PASSING OFF MID ATLANTIC COAST FRIDAY AND PRECIP REMAINING TO
OUR SOUTH. ECMWF INDICATING SNOW DEVELOPING ACROSS NORTH COUNTRY
LATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING FRIDAY WITH SURFACE LOW
PROGGED TO BE NEAR LONG ISLAND FRIDAY AFTERNOON. WITH SUCH LARGE
DIFFERENCES...HAVE STAYED CLOSE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST...WHICH IS
CLOSER TO ECMWF SOLUTION. HAVE INDICATED A 40% CHANCE OF
SNOW...BUT CONFIDENCE NOT ALL THAT HIGH. BOTH MODELS INDICATE
CHANCE SNOW SHOWERS SATURDAY WITH UPPER TROUGH OVER THE AREA.
HIGH TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE TEENS TO
AROUND 20. THIS IS STILL WELL BELOW NORMAL...BUT NOT NEARLY AS
COLD AS TEMPERATURES DURING MIDWEEK.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...MAINLY VFR OVERNIGHT...EXCEPT SOME MVFR CIGS
KMSS IN RAIN SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE IFR VSBY KSLK WITH SNOW SHOWERS
TOWARDS 12Z. INCREASING LOW LEVEL JET GIVES A CHANCE OF LLWS WITH
WINDS INCREASING TO 23045KT BY 12Z.
APPROACH OF ARCTIC FRNT SUNDAY WILL KEEP STEADY WSW FLOW 15-30KTS
WITH SOME GUSTS 40-45KTS THROUGH ABOUT 18Z. SNOW SQUALLS POSSIBLE
WITH BRIEF VSBY MVFR/IFR AND DOWN BELOW A MILE BUT HARD TO TIME
EXACTLY. SOME LOW LEVEL INSTABILITY ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
GIVES A GOOD CHANCE OF MIXING DOWN THE GUSTS OVER 40 KT.
KEPT SNOW SHOWERS GOING AT KSLK THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS...IMPROVING TO VFR SUNDAY EVENING. REST OF
TAF SITES MAINLY VFR SUNDAY AFTERNOON/NIGHT. WINDS REMAIN BRISK
FROM THE WEST...BUT WILL BE SLOWLY DIMINISHING WITH TIME LATE
SUNDAY INTO SUNDAY NIGHT.
OUTLOOK 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
06Z MONDAY THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY...MOSTLY VFR. POSSIBLE MVFR IN
HAZE IN ARCTIC AIRMASS.
00Z TUESDAY THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY...OCNL MVFR/IFR IN SNOW SHOWERS.
18Z TUESDAY ONWARD...MOSTLY VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR VTZ001-002.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR VTZ003>012-
     016>019.
NY...HIGH WIND WARNING UNTIL 4 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR NYZ026>031-
     034-087.
     WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING FOR NYZ035.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...NEILES
NEAR TERM...NEILES
SHORT TERM...NEILES
LONG TERM...RJS
AVIATION...RJS

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