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Expires:201302202115;;444473
FPUS51 KBTV 201125
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
625 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013

VTZ006-202115-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
625 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013
.TODAY...CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING...THEN NUMEROUS
SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION A
DUSTING TO 2 INCHES. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE MID 20S. WEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 70
PERCENT.
.TONIGHT...SNOW LIKELY. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES.
LOWS AROUND 12. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
CHANCE OF SNOW 70 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...SNOW. ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 90
PERCENT.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 16. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 50 PERCENT. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
.SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW OR RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
MID 30S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
$$

Expires:201302201200;;444970
ASUS41 KBTV 201130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-201200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    30  19  63 W9        29.61S                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    25  19  80 W3        29.58S                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    26  21  81 E3        29.57S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     27  22  81 MISG      29.54S                  
LYNDONVILLE*     N/A     26  19  75 W5        29.54R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    25  19  80 SW9       29.62F                  
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    28  15  58 W8G20     29.60S                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    27  22  81 CALM      29.59S                  
NEWPORT*       FLURRIES  26  20  79 SW7       29.54S                  
BENNINGTON     FLURRIES  26  17  68 VRB7G22   29.67S                  
SUTTON*          N/A     23 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     25 N/A N/A W3          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     23 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
DANBY 4 CNRS*    N/A     21 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     14 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
$$

Expires:No;;444571
FXUS61 KBTV 201130
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
630 AM EST WED FEB 20 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
THE LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM THAT BROUGHT A ROUND OF
SNOW TO THE NORTH COUNTRY TUESDAY AND THIS MORNING WILL MOVE EAST
TODAY. AS IT DOES...THE FLOW ALOFT WILL BECOME NORTHWEST AND THIS
WILL BE A FAVORABLE SETUP FOR UPSLOPE SNOWS IN THE MOUNTAINS. THUS
ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND THURSDAY
ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK AND THE NORTHERN HALF OF VERMONT WHERE A
GENERAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF SNOW IS EXPECTED...BUT HIGHER AMOUNTS FOR
THE MOUNTAINS.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 630 AM EST WEDNESDAY...NOW SEEING A GRADUAL DECREASE IN
AREAL COVERAGE OF THE SNOW ACROSS VERMONT THIS MORNING AS
SHORTWAVE TROUGH HAS MOVED JUST NORTH OF THE BORDER. STILL LOOKING
AT NUMEROUS SNOW SHOWERS ACROSS THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM THIS MORNING
WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS ELSEWHERE. LAKE EFFECT
SNOW FROM LAKE ONTARIO HAS DEVELOPED...BUT MAJORITY OF SNOW SHOULD
REMAIN JUST TO OUR SOUTH. ONE OTHER NOTE...THE SNOW IS ONLY
ENHANCING THE POTENTIAL FOR DIFFICULT TRAVEL CONDITIONS THIS
MORNING GIVEN THE FACT THAT WE HAD RAIN AND SNOW YESTERDAY/LAST
NIGHT AND WITH FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND THE SNOW PACKED ON
ROADS...ICY CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY EXIST. HAVE THUS ISSUED A
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT TO HIGHLIGHT THE POTENTIALLY DIFFICULT
TRAVEL CONDITIONS ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY THIS MORNING.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 348 AM EST WEDNESDAY...FLOW ALOFT BECOMES MORE NORTHWEST WITH
TIME TONIGHT AND ESPECIALLY LATE TONIGHT AND THURSDAY. THIS WILL
HELP ENHANCE UPSLOPE SNOW...ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN
ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHERN VERMONT. THE AREA COVERAGE OF THE UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOULD INCREASE AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH
EARLY AFTERNOON THURSDAY BEFORE GRADUALLY TAPERING OFF. FROUDE
NUMBER...WHICH INDICATES THE EXISTENCE OF BLOCKED FLOW...SUGGESTS
THE FLOW WILL BECOME BLOCKED LATER TONIGHT AND THURSDAY...THUS
LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS OF SNOW SHOULD EVEN DEVELOP FOR THE LOWER
ELEVATIONS. WHEN ALL IS SAID AND DONE...LOOKING AT 1-3 OR 2-4
INCHES IN THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN NEW YORK AND
NORTHERN/CENTRAL VERMONT WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS...4 TO 8 INCHES...IN
THE MOUNTAINS. MOST OF THE SNOW SHOULD OCCUR LATER TONIGHT AND THE
FIRST HALF OF THURSDAY AND FUTURE SHIFTS WILL NEED TO EXAMINE
SCENARIO FOR POSSIBLE ADVISORIES. UPPER LOW MOVES FAR ENOUGH EAST
THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY AND THIS WILL ALLOW FOR DRY WEATHER AS
RIDGING DEVELOPS BOTH IN THE UPPER LEVELS AND AT THE SURFACE.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 348 AM EST WEDNESDAY...EXTENDED PORTION OF THE FORECAST WILL
FEATURE FAIRLY ACTIVE WEATHER AND TEMPERATURES WELL ABOVE NORMAL.
DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROF AND LOW WILL MOVE FROM THE GREAT LAKES
REGION FRIDAY NIGHT TOWARDS THE NORTH COUNTRY THROUGH SATURDAY
NIGHT. ENERGY TRANSFERS TOWARDS NEW ENGLAND COAST SUNDAY MORNING
THEN AWAY FROM THE REGION SUNDAY NIGHT. UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL
BRIEFLY BE OVER THE REGION FROM MONDAY THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY...THEN ANOTHER LARGE UPPER LEVEL LOW AND TROF WILL
APPROACH THE REGION TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY. THE ECMWF
IS SLOWER THAN THE GFS WITH THIS UPPER LOW FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
FLOW REMAINS VERY PROGRESSIVE THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH SEVERAL
SYSTEMS PRESENTING POTENTIAL IMPACTS TO THE NORTH COUNTRY. THE
FIRST SYSTEM TO IMPACT THE REGION HAS TWO DISTINCT PARTS...AND
MODELS STILL SHOW THESE TWO LOWS NOT PHASING TOGETHER. THEREFORE
STRONGER LOW WILL BE OFF THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND...MUCH LIKE THE
SYSTEM LAST WEEK...WHILE A WEAKER LOW PASSES NORTH OF OUR FORECAST
AREA. THESE TWO LOWS WILL GIVE US A CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION FROM
SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT WHEN BOTH LOWS FINALLY MOVE EAST OF
THE REGION. THE SECOND SYSTEM WILL BRING CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
TO THE NORTH COUNTRY FOR TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY. WILL LIKELY
SEE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WITH BOTH OF THESE SCENARIOS AS
DAYTIME HIGHS REACH THE UPPER 30S AND LOWER 40S ACROSS THE AREA.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...LIGHT TO MODERATE SNOW CONTINUES TO PUSH
EASTWARD ACROSS VERMONT AT 06Z THIS MORNING. ONLY TERMINAL STILL
WITH PREVAILING SNOW IS MPV WHERE IT IS CURRENTLY IFR CONDITIONS.
RUT STILL HAS MVFR CEILINGS...AND AN AREA OF SNOW SHOWERS IS
CURRENTLY MOVING TOWARDS THAT REGION FROM THE NORTHERN HUDSON
VALLEY IN NY. SLK ALSO STILL HAS MVFR CEILINGS...AND WILL LIKELY
CONTINUE THERE THROUGH THE PERIOD. AS DRIER AIR WORKS INTO THE
REGION EARLY THIS MORNING EXPECT THE OTHER TERMINALS TO MAINLY
HAVE VFR CONDITIONS. MOUNTAIN SHOW SHOWERS WILL PICK UP THIS
AFTERNOON AS FLOW TURNS MORE NORTHWESTERLY. BEST CHANCE FOR SHSN
WILL BE AT MSS...SLK...AND MPV. POSSIBLE MVFR AND IFR AT MPV AND
SLK. WINDS MAY BE GUSTY AT TIMES AT ALL TERMINALS. 
OUTLOOK 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY... A VERTICALLY STACKED AREA
OF LOW PRES AND THE ASSOCIATED CYCLONIC UPSLOPE FLW WL RESULT IN
OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY FROM 06Z THURSDAY THRU 06Z FRIDAY.
THIS COMBINED WITH SEVERAL EMBEDDED S/W'S WL PRODUCE PERIODS OF
SNOW SHOWERS WITH OCCASIONAL IFR LIKELY AT SLK/MPV AND MVFR
CONDITIONS POSSIBLE AT BTV/MSS/RUT/PBG. THE GREATEST CHC FOR IFR
CONDITIONS AT BTV/RUT/PBG WL BE ON THURSDAY. OTHERWISE...SFC RIDGE
AND IMPROVING CONDITIONS ARE ANTICIPATED ON FRIDAY. FROM FRIDAY
NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY THERE WILL BE MORE CHANCES FOR SNOW SHOWERS
AND MVFR CONDITIONS. AT THIS POINT HARD TO PINPOINT POSSIBILITY
FOR IFR CONDITIONS WITH THIS SNOW.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...EVENSON
NEAR TERM...EVENSON
SHORT TERM...EVENSON
LONG TERM...NEILES
AVIATION...NEILES

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