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Expires:201303012115;;839296 FPUS51 KBTV 011126 ZFPBTV ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 626 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013 VTZ006-012115- LAMOILLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE 626 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013 .TODAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. .SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. .MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. .TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. .THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. $$ Expires:201303011200;;839633 ASUS41 KBTV 011130 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EST FRI MAR 01 2013 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-011200- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON CLOUDY 31 27 85 N9 29.67R MONTPELIER CLOUDY 29 29 100 N7 29.63R MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 30 27 86 NW6 29.63S ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 33 27 78 MISG 29.58R LYNDONVILLE* N/A 31 25 78 NW10 29.59S RUTLAND* CLOUDY 30 28 93 N7 29.62R SPRINGFIELD PTCLDY 28 27 93 CALM 29.60R HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 30 27 90 N6 29.68R NEWPORT* CLOUDY 29 25 86 N7 29.61R BENNINGTON CLOUDY 34 29 82 W7 29.61R SUTTON* N/A 28 N/A N/A MISG N/A ISLAND POND* N/A 28 N/A N/A NW3 N/A GALLUP MILLS* N/A 28 N/A N/A MISG N/A UNION VILLAGE* N/A 27 N/A N/A MISG N/A DANBY 4 CNRS* N/A 27 N/A N/A MISG N/A MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 19 N/A N/A W15 N/A WCI 5 _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS COLCHESTER RF* N/A 32 32 100 N15 N/A DIAMOND ISL* N/A 32 30 93 N17 N/A $$ Expires:No;;839422 FXUS61 KBTV 011131 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 631 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013 .SYNOPSIS... THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW SLOWLY MEANDERS OVER THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING A THREAT OF MORE SNOW FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/... AS OF 631 AM EST FRIDAY...OVERALL FCST IN GOOD SHAPE...ADJUSTED POPS...LOWERING THEM A LITTLE BIT THIS MORNING AS DRY SLOT AND UPPER LEVEL LOW APPEARS FURTHER NORTH...WHICH WILL DELAY MARITIME MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY. SURGE OF MOISTURE AND INCREASING THREAT FOR PRECIP FROM THE NE WILL ENTER THE FA AROUND 21Z...GRADUALLY SPREADING SW. PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...ISOLATED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY WILL GENERALLY INCREASE POPS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING AS SEVERAL SMALL PACKETS OF VORTICITY MOVE OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY. THIS WILL BE COMBINED WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING MOISTURE AS THE SFC LOW MOVES OUT TO SEA...ALLOWING FOR MARITIME MOISTURE TO SPREAD SW INTO QUEBEC AND EVENTUALLY INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY ON THE BACKSIDE/NE FLOW OF THE DEPARTING LOW. NORTHERLY FLOW DOWN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY WILL LEAD TO CONVERGENCE WHICH WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM ENOUGH IN THE VALLEYS TO MELT ANY SNOW INTO RAIN. LIMITING FACTOR FOR PRECIP DEVELOPMENT WILL BE THE VERY LIGHT FLOW...WHICH WILL LIMIT CONVERGENCE AND SLOW TIMING OF MARITIME MOISTURE MOVING IN. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH BRIEF BINOVC EXPECTED TO KEEP MAX TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL IN THE M20S IN THE HIGH TERRAIN AND M30S IN THE VALLEYS. && .SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/... AS OF 352 AM EST FRIDAY...UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE NORTHEAST AS IT SLOWLY TRAVERSES EASTWARD...AND IN DOING SO DEVELOPS INTO MORE OF A TROUGH LINGERING BEHIND THE MAIN ENERGY AND UPPER LOW CENTER. AS A RESULT...DEEP MOIST CYCLONIC FLOW INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WILL CONTINUE THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WITH CLOUDY SKIES. A FEW WEAK PACKETS OF VORTICITY WILL ROTATE ABOUT THE TROUGH INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY...ALLOWING FOR GREATER CHC OF PRECIP. EXPECT HIGHEST CHCS FOR PRECIP OVER THE NORTHERN HIGHER TERRAIN ZONES WHERE WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE VALLEYS WILL BE NOTICEABLY WARMER AND SEE SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHT BUT TRANSITION TO RAIN DURING THE DAY. AS SFC TEMPS WILL BE WARMER DURING THE DAY...SUCH AS ROADS...EXPECTING 1-3 INCHES THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN NORMAL WITH MAX TEMPS RANGING FROM THE M20S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO MID 30S IN THE VALLEYS. TEMPS OVERNIGHT WILL BE MODERATED BY CLOUDINESS AND LACK OF CAA...WITH MIN TEMPS GENERALLY IN THE TEENS IN THE MOUNTAINS AND 20S IN THE VALLEYS. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... AS OF 436 AM EST FRIDAY...A CLOSED UPPER LOW OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST SUNDAY NIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE SHORTWAVES AND MOISTURE SOUTHWARD FROM QUEBEC SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. HAVE RAISED POPS TO 50 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT...MAINLY FOR SNOW SHOWERS...BUT WITH SOME RAIN SHOWERS POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON IN VALLEY LOCATIONS. EXPECTING CLOUD COVER TO LINGER INTO TUESDAY AND HAVE GONE WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ON TUESDAY. ECMWF AND GFS MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH THE GFS MODEL HAVING AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...WITH AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THE ECMWF ON THE OTHER HAND HAS AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE REGION EARLY WEDNESDAY...AND THEN SHIFTS THIS FEATURE JUST EAST BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ECMWF MODEL KEEPS IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...SO HAVE KEPT IN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY. ECMWF IS ALSO MUCH SLOWER THAN THE GFS WITH AN UPPER CLOSED LOW OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY EARLY WEDNESDAY...WHILE THE GFS HAS THIS FEATURE ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST EARLY WEDNESDAY. THE ECMWF MOVES THIS UPPER LOW TO THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE ECMWF ALSO BRINGS MOISTURE FROM THIS UPPER LOW INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. BASED ON THE ECMWF MODEL HAVE RAISED POPS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY FOR A CHANCE OF SNOW ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT...WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FURTHER NORTH. && .AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...A CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH PERIODS OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED. ANY RAIN SHOWERS WILL LIKELY BE IN VALLEY LOCATIONS FRIDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECTING WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR CEILINGS AND VISIBILITIES THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH SOME LOCAL LIFR CONDITIONS. HAVE NOT INCLUDED ANY SPECIFIC TIMING IN THE TAFS FOR RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS DUE TO THE SCATTERED NATURE AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...THE BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE TONIGHT AS MOISTURE WORKS SOUTHWARD FROM QUEBEC SO HAVE INDICATED SOME VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS IN LIGHT SNOW FROM 00Z SATURDAY THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY. OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...GENERALLY MVFR WITH AREAS OF IFR IN OCCASIONAL RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS AS A CLOSED UPPER LOW CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE REGION. && .EQUIPMENT... AS OF 149 AM EST FRIDAY...THE AUTOMATED WEATHER OBSERVING SYSTEM (AWOS) AT THE RUTLAND-SOUTHERN VERMONT REGIONAL AIRPORT (KRUT) HAS NOT SENT OUT AN OBSERVATION SINCE 1935Z ON THE 28TH OF FEBRUARY. THE FAA AOCC SAYS THAT THERE IS A TELEPHONE LINE ISSUE WHICH IS PREVENTING THE METAR OBSERVATION FROM KRUT FROM BEING TRANSMITTED OUT. THE FAA AOCC HAS OPENED A TROUBLE TICKET FOR THIS SITE. NO ESTIMATE IS AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME AS TO WHEN THIS PROBLEM WILL BE FIXED. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...NONE. NY...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...KGM NEAR TERM...KGM SHORT TERM...KGM LONG TERM...WGH AVIATION...WGH/LAHIFF EQUIPMENT... - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html