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Expires:201303012115;;839296
FPUS51 KBTV 011126
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
626 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013

VTZ006-012115-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
626 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013
.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE. 
.SATURDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 15 TO 20. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. 
$$

Expires:201303011200;;839633
ASUS41 KBTV 011130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST FRI MAR 01 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-011200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    31  27  85 N9        29.67R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    29  29 100 N7        29.63R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    30  27  86 NW6       29.63S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     33  27  78 MISG      29.58R                  
LYNDONVILLE*     N/A     31  25  78 NW10      29.59S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    30  28  93 N7        29.62R                  
SPRINGFIELD    PTCLDY    28  27  93 CALM      29.60R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY    30  27  90 N6        29.68R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    29  25  86 N7        29.61R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    34  29  82 W7        29.61R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     28 N/A N/A NW3         N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
DANBY 4 CNRS*    N/A     27 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     19 N/A N/A W15         N/A  WCI   5          
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     32  32 100 N15         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     32  30  93 N17         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;839422
FXUS61 KBTV 011131
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
631 AM EST FRI MAR 1 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
THE POTENTIAL FOR SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE AS AN UPPER
LEVEL LOW SLOWLY MEANDERS OVER THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL LOW WILL BRING A THREAT
OF MORE SNOW FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL THROUGHOUT THE PERIOD.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 631 AM EST FRIDAY...OVERALL FCST IN GOOD SHAPE...ADJUSTED
POPS...LOWERING THEM A LITTLE BIT THIS MORNING AS DRY SLOT AND
UPPER LEVEL LOW APPEARS FURTHER NORTH...WHICH WILL DELAY MARITIME
MOISTURE MOVING INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY. SURGE OF MOISTURE AND
INCREASING THREAT FOR PRECIP FROM THE NE WILL ENTER THE FA AROUND
21Z...GRADUALLY SPREADING SW.
PREVIOUS DISCUSSION FOLLOWS...ISOLATED LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS
AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY WILL GENERALLY
INCREASE POPS LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING AS SEVERAL SMALL
PACKETS OF VORTICITY MOVE OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY. THIS WILL BE
COMBINED WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING MOISTURE AS THE SFC LOW MOVES
OUT TO SEA...ALLOWING FOR MARITIME MOISTURE TO SPREAD SW INTO
QUEBEC AND EVENTUALLY INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY ON THE BACKSIDE/NE
FLOW OF THE DEPARTING LOW. NORTHERLY FLOW DOWN THE CHAMPLAIN
VALLEY WILL LEAD TO CONVERGENCE WHICH WILL INCREASE THE CHANCE
FOR RAIN SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON AS TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM
ENOUGH IN THE VALLEYS TO MELT ANY SNOW INTO RAIN. LIMITING FACTOR
FOR PRECIP DEVELOPMENT WILL BE THE VERY LIGHT FLOW...WHICH WILL
LIMIT CONVERGENCE AND SLOW TIMING OF MARITIME MOISTURE MOVING IN.
MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES WITH BRIEF BINOVC EXPECTED TO KEEP MAX
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL IN THE M20S IN THE HIGH TERRAIN AND M30S
IN THE VALLEYS.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 352 AM EST FRIDAY...UPPER LEVEL LOW CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE
NORTHEAST AS IT SLOWLY TRAVERSES EASTWARD...AND IN DOING SO
DEVELOPS INTO MORE OF A TROUGH LINGERING BEHIND THE MAIN ENERGY
AND UPPER LOW CENTER. AS A RESULT...DEEP MOIST CYCLONIC FLOW INTO
THE NORTH COUNTRY FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND...WILL
CONTINUE THE CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS ALONG WITH CLOUDY SKIES. A
FEW WEAK PACKETS OF VORTICITY WILL ROTATE ABOUT THE TROUGH INTO
THE NORTH COUNTRY...ALLOWING FOR GREATER CHC OF PRECIP. EXPECT
HIGHEST CHCS FOR PRECIP OVER THE NORTHERN HIGHER TERRAIN ZONES
WHERE WIDESPREAD ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH SUNDAY WITH LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS. THE VALLEYS WILL BE
NOTICEABLY WARMER AND SEE SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE NIGHT BUT
TRANSITION TO RAIN DURING THE DAY. AS SFC TEMPS WILL BE WARMER
DURING THE DAY...SUCH AS ROADS...EXPECTING 1-3 INCHES THROUGHOUT
THE PERIOD.
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE SLIGHTLY WARMER THAN NORMAL WITH
MAX TEMPS RANGING FROM THE M20S IN THE MOUNTAINS TO MID 30S IN
THE VALLEYS. TEMPS OVERNIGHT WILL BE MODERATED BY CLOUDINESS AND
LACK OF CAA...WITH MIN TEMPS GENERALLY IN THE TEENS IN THE
MOUNTAINS AND 20S IN THE VALLEYS.
&&
.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
AS OF 436 AM EST FRIDAY...A CLOSED UPPER LOW OFF THE NEW ENGLAND
COAST SUNDAY NIGHT WILL CONTINUE TO ROTATE SHORTWAVES AND MOISTURE
SOUTHWARD FROM QUEBEC SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. HAVE
RAISED POPS TO 50 PERCENT IN MOST AREAS SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT...MAINLY FOR SNOW SHOWERS...BUT WITH SOME RAIN
SHOWERS POSSIBLE MONDAY AFTERNOON IN VALLEY LOCATIONS. EXPECTING
CLOUD COVER TO LINGER INTO TUESDAY AND HAVE GONE WITH SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ON TUESDAY.
ECMWF AND GFS MODELS BEGIN TO DIVERGE ON WEDNESDAY...WITH THE GFS
MODEL HAVING AN INVERTED SURFACE TROUGH OVER THE REGION WEDNESDAY
AND THURSDAY...WITH AN UPPER TROUGH APPROACHING FROM THE GREAT
LAKES. THE ECMWF ON THE OTHER HAND HAS AN UPPER RIDGE OVER THE
REGION EARLY WEDNESDAY...AND THEN SHIFTS THIS FEATURE JUST EAST BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ECMWF MODEL KEEPS IN LOW LEVEL MOISTURE ACROSS
THE REGION ON WEDNESDAY...SO HAVE KEPT IN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR
RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS ON WEDNESDAY. ECMWF IS ALSO MUCH SLOWER THAN
THE GFS WITH AN UPPER CLOSED LOW OVER THE MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
EARLY WEDNESDAY...WHILE THE GFS HAS THIS FEATURE ALONG THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST EARLY WEDNESDAY. THE ECMWF MOVES THIS UPPER LOW TO
THE MID ATLANTIC COAST WEDNESDAY NIGHT. THE ECMWF ALSO BRINGS MOISTURE
FROM THIS UPPER LOW INTO THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE FORECAST
AREA LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND INTO THURSDAY. BASED ON THE ECMWF MODEL
HAVE RAISED POPS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY FOR A CHANCE OF SNOW
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL VERMONT...WITH SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FURTHER NORTH.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...A CLOSED UPPER LOW WILL REMAIN OVER THE
REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH PERIODS OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
EXPECTED. ANY RAIN SHOWERS WILL LIKELY BE IN VALLEY LOCATIONS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON. EXPECTING WIDESPREAD MVFR/IFR CEILINGS AND
VISIBILITIES THROUGH THE PERIOD...WITH SOME LOCAL LIFR
CONDITIONS. HAVE NOT INCLUDED ANY SPECIFIC TIMING IN THE TAFS FOR
RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS DUE TO THE SCATTERED NATURE AT THIS TIME.
HOWEVER...THE BEST CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE TONIGHT AS
MOISTURE WORKS SOUTHWARD FROM QUEBEC SO HAVE INDICATED SOME
VISIBILITY RESTRICTIONS IN LIGHT SNOW FROM 00Z SATURDAY THROUGH 06Z
SATURDAY.
OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...GENERALLY MVFR WITH AREAS OF
IFR IN OCCASIONAL RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS AS A CLOSED UPPER LOW CONTINUES
TO AFFECT THE REGION.
&&
.EQUIPMENT...
AS OF 149 AM EST FRIDAY...THE AUTOMATED WEATHER OBSERVING SYSTEM
(AWOS) AT THE RUTLAND-SOUTHERN VERMONT REGIONAL AIRPORT (KRUT) HAS
NOT SENT OUT AN OBSERVATION SINCE 1935Z ON THE 28TH OF FEBRUARY.
THE FAA AOCC SAYS THAT THERE IS A TELEPHONE LINE ISSUE WHICH IS
PREVENTING THE METAR OBSERVATION FROM KRUT FROM BEING TRANSMITTED
OUT. THE FAA AOCC HAS OPENED A TROUBLE TICKET FOR THIS SITE. NO
ESTIMATE IS AVAILABLE AT THIS TIME AS TO WHEN THIS PROBLEM WILL BE
FIXED.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...KGM
NEAR TERM...KGM
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...WGH
AVIATION...WGH/LAHIFF
EQUIPMENT...

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