Print

Print


Expires:201303142015;;388023
FPUS51 KBTV 140745
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
345 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013

VTZ006-142015-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
345 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013
.TODAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF
SNOW 50 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY UNTIL MIDNIGHT...THEN BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 14.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
HIGHS AROUND 30. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 20. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 30. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND
10 ABOVE. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS
IN THE MID 20S. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW. HIGHS AROUND 40.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS 15 TO 20. 
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
$$

Expires:201303141100;;393995
ASUS41 KBTV 141030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-141100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     FLURRIES  30  19  63 W6        29.74R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    25  18  74 W9        29.72R                  
MORRISVILLE    LGT SNOW  28  22  78 S6        29.71R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     26  23  88 MISG      29.68R                  
LYNDONVILLE*     N/A     26  21  80 SE5       29.68R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    27  16  63 SW9G17    29.75S                  
SPRINGFIELD    MOCLDY    27  15  61 W10       29.76R WCI  17          
HIGHGATE*      LGT SNOW  29  25  82 SW5       29.73R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    28  19  69 SW8       29.67S                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    26  15  63 W6        29.78S                  
SUTTON*          N/A     25 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     27 N/A N/A W3          N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     25 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     16 N/A N/A W30         N/A  WCI  -4          
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     32  19  59 W18         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     32  16  51 W12         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;390280
FXUS61 KBTV 140844
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
444 AM EDT THU MAR 14 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY...BRINGING
WITH IT PERIODS OF SNOW SHOWERS AND FALLING TEMPERATURES. UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS COME TO AN END BY TONIGHT WITH A RATHER COLD NIGHT
IN STORE. A SERIES OF CLIPPER SYSTEMS BRUSH THE NORTH COUNTRY
WITH LIGHT SNOW FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS WELL. THE NEXT CHANCE FOR
WIDESPREAD PRECIPITATION WILL COME MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY. 
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 444 AM EDT THURSDAY...COLD FRONT HAS PASSED THROUGH THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY AND IS APPROACHING THE NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS AT
THIS HOUR. SOME LOCALIZED SNOW SQUALLS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WHICH PRODUCED 1/2 SM VISIBILITIES AND NORTHWEST
GUSTS TO 20 KTS AT MSS EARLIER THIS MORNING. THE FRONT WILL
CONTINUE TO PUSH EASTWARD INTO THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY BY SUNRISE AND
EAST OF THE NORTH COUNTRY BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON. PERIODS OF SNOW
SHOWERS WILL BUILD EASTWARD AHEAD OF THE FRONT...BUT SHARPLY
FALLING TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS BEHIND THE FRONT SHOULD ONLY
ALLOW FOR A BRIEF WINDOW OF SNOW SHOWERS FOR THE LOWER ELEVATIONS.
EXPECT THAT ANY SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE MAINLY ACROSS ELEVATED
TERRAIN BY THE AFTERNOON. WORTH NOTING THAT UNTREATED ROADWAYS MAY
BECOME SLICK DUE TO THE FALLING TEMPERATURES AND SNOW. SNOW
ACCUMULATIONS SHOULDN'T AMOUNT TO MUCH MORE THAN A COUPLE OF
INCHES WITH HIGHEST ACCUMULATIONS IN THE MOUNTAINS.
STRONG COLD ADVECTION BEHIND THE FRONT SHOULD PRODUCE EARLY HIGHS
TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE TEENS/LOW 20S FOR THE SAINT LAWRENCE
VALLEY/NORTHERN ADIRONDACKS...AND THE MID 20S TO LOW 30S FOR THE
CHAMPLAIN VALLEY EASTWARD. TEMPERATURES THEN FALL THROUGHOUT THE
DAY. IT SHOULD ALSO BE A FAIRLY GUSTY DAY WITH GOOD MIXING IN THE
COLD ADVECTION WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 444 AM EDT THURSDAY...CLOUDS BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT WITH UPSLOPE
SNOW SHOWERS TAPERING OFF BY LATE EVENING. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR
TWO OF ACCUMULATION FOR THESE LOCATIONS. 925 MB TEMPS OF AROUND
-12C COMBINED WITH MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES SHOULD
ALLOW LOWS TONIGHT TO FALL INTO THE SINGLE DIGITS TO LOWER TEENS.
A WEAK SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE IN NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT APPROACHES
NORTHERN NEW YORK BY FRIDAY MORNING. GENERALLY FOLLOWED THE NAM
AND SREF MEAN IN THE HANDLING OF THIS WEAK CLIPPER SYSTEM...WHICH
BRINGS ABOUT A MODEST 925/850MB WARM THERMAL ADVECTION PATTERN
BEGINNING EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. INCREASING CLOUDS THROUGH THE DAY
FRIDAY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE TO CHANCE SNOW SHOWERS BY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. MODEST DYNAMICS AND LIMITED MOISTURE SHOULD
KEEP THIS AS A LIMITED QPF EVENT WITH PERHAPS AN INCH OR TWO OF
SNOW ACCUMULATION. WITH 925 MB TEMPERATURES AROUND -4C...HIGHS
FRIDAY RANGE FROM THE LOWER TO MID 30S...WARMEST IN THE SAINT
LAWRENCE VALLEY AND COOLEST FOR EASTERN VERMONT. MILDER LOWS
FRIDAY NIGHT /TEENS TO LOWER 20S/ GIVEN WARM ADVECTION AND MOSTLY
CLOUDY SKIES.
A BETTER ORGANIZED CLIPPER-TYPE SYSTEM PASSES SOUTH OF THE NORTH
COUNTRY FOR SATURDAY. HOWEVER RECENT NAM/GFS/SREF SOLUTIONS BEAR
OUT A TREND TOWARD A MORE SOUTHWARD- SUPPRESSED TRACK. HAVE SHOWN
SLIGHT CHANCE PRECIPITATION PROBABILITIES FOR NORTHERN NEW YORK
AND NORTHERN/CENTRAL VERMONT TAPERING UP TO LOW CHANCE FOR
SOUTHERN VERMONT. THESE TAPER DOWN TO JUST SLIGHT CHANCE FOR
SOUTHERN VERMONT BY SATURDAY EVENING. THOUGH THIS SYSTEM HAS A
LITTLE MORE GOING FOR IT IN TERMS OF SYNOPTIC LIFT AND
MOISTURE...MOST OF IT REMAINS WELL TO THE SOUTH OF THE NORTH
COUNTRY. SO ONCE AGAIN EXPECT THIS TO BE ANOTHER LIGHT QPF EVENT.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 20S TO LOW/MID 30S ON SATURDAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 444 AM EDT THURSDAY...FLOW ALOFT BECOMES WESTERLY SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY WITH WEAK SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING IN
DURING THIS TIME PERIOD. HOWEVER...SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING ACROSS
EASTERN CANADA COULD BRING A FEW SNOW SHOWERS TO AREAS ALONG THE
CANADIAN BORDER...BUT PROBABILITIES ARE GENERALLY IN THE 15 TO 20
PERCENT RANGE. STRONGER HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN BEHIND THIS
SHORTWAVE SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY FOR DRY WEATHER. BEST THREAT FOR
PRECIPITATION COMES IN MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AS WELL DEFINED
SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVES OUT OF THE GREAT LAKES AND INTO THE
NORTHEAST UNITED STATES. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT AHEAD OF THE TROUGH
WILL ENHANCE WARM AIR ADVECTION AND THUS LOOKING AT LIGHT SNOW FOR
THE ONSET OF PRECIPITATION MONDAY NIGHT...BUT A MIX OF RAIN AND
SNOW ON TUESDAY BEFORE CHANGING BACK TO SNOW SHOWERS TUESDAY NIGHT
AND BECOMING MORE TIED TO OROGRAPHICS AS FLOW ALOFT BECOMES
NORTHWEST. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION AND STEEPER LAPSE RATES ON
WEDNESDAY SUGGEST GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS SHOULD DEVELOP. WITH
RESPECT TO TEMPERATURES LOOKING AT A PERIOD OF BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE EXTENDED FORECAST.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z FRIDAY...WITH AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING ACROSS THE
AREA EARLY THIS MORNING...THE THREAT FOR SNOW SHOWERS PRODUCING
SHARPLY REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND LOWER CEILINGS WILL EXIST. ANY
SNOW SHOWERS WILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO LOWER VISIBILITIES INTO
THE 2 TO 4 MILE RANGE WITH CEILINGS LOWERING INTO THE 1500-2500
FOOT RANGE. THESE CONDITIONS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH 14Z...THEN
VISIBILITIES WILL BE IN THE VFR CATEGORY FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
PERIOD BUT CEILINGS WILL REMAIN IN THE MVFR CATEGORY. WATCH FOR A
COLD FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING...BETWEEN
10Z AND 14Z...WITH A DISTINCT WIND SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST AND WIND
SPEEDS INCREASING INTO THE 10 TO 20 KNOT RANGE...ESPECIALLY AFTER 14Z.
OUTLOOK 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
06Z FRIDAY THROUGH 12Z FRIDAY...MAINLY VFR EXCEPT AT MPV AND SLK
WITH PERIODS MVFR/IFR VISIBILITIES IN UPSLOPE SNOW SHOWERS.
12Z FRIDAY THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
00Z SATURDAY THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY...PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW WITH
MVFR/IFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE DUE CLIPPER SYSTEM.
00Z SUNDAY ONWARD...VFR CONDITIONS WITH HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SFC.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...LOCONTO
NEAR TERM...LOCONTO
SHORT TERM...LOCONTO
LONG TERM...EVENSON
AVIATION...EVENSON/RJS

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html