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Expires:201305152015;;183160
FPUS51 KBTV 150802
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
402 AM EDT WED MAY 15 2013

VTZ006-152015-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
402 AM EDT WED MAY 15 2013
...FROST ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING...
.TODAY...AREAS OF FROST THIS MORNING. MOSTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...
THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN
THE MID 60S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH
WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN 60 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
30 MPH...BECOMING WEST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN
60 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY
CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN 50 PERCENT. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE MID 70S. 
$$

Expires:201305151100;;189080
ASUS41 KBTV 151030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT WED MAY 15 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-151100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     SUNNY     33  29  85 CALM      30.00F                  
MONTPELIER     SUNNY     27  25  92 CALM      30.04S                  
MORRISVILLE    SUNNY     27  24  89 CALM      30.03S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     28  25  88 MISG      30.02S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      29  25  84 CALM      30.02S                  
RUTLAND*       SUNNY     30  27  86 SE6       30.01F                  
SPRINGFIELD    FOG       28  27  96 CALM      30.06R VSB<1/4          
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      34  29  82 SE3       29.98F                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      31  25  79 SW6       30.00S                  
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     29  26  89 CALM      30.01F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     25 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     25 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     28 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     32 N/A N/A S12         N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     43  32  65 SE9         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     43  37  81 S18         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     37  34  87 SE9         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;186032
FXUS61 KBTV 150904
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
504 AM EDT WED MAY 15 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EASTWARD INTO THE GULF OF MAINE TODAY
ALLOWING BREEZY SOUTH WINDS TO DEVELOP. AN APPROACHING FRONTAL 
SYSTEM FROM THE WEST WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS DURING THE LATE 
AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT...WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS GENERALLY LESS 
THAN A QUARTER INCH. SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED AGAIN 
ON THURSDAY WITH GUSTY WEST WINDS. TEMPERATURES WILL TREND WARMER 
AND CLOSER TO MID-MAY AVERAGES OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 457 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...SURFACE RIDGE AXIS SLIDING EAST OF
FORECAST AREA INTO GULF OF MAINE EARLY TODAY. WARM FRONT WILL
THEN APPROACH THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHWEST. SO AFTER A CLEAR AND
CHILLY START...TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE QUICKLY AS SOUTH WINDS
DEVELOP ON BACKSIDE OF DEPARTING HIGH. MAX TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON
EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 60S ACROSS THE REGION. THERE WILL ALSO BE AN
INCREASE IN CLOUDS WITH APPROACH OF WARM FRONT. MODELS INDICATING
SOME SHOWER DEVELOPMENT IN ADVANCE OF THIS FRONT DURING THE
AFTERNOON...AND HAVE CONTINUED WITH CHANCE TO LIKELY POPS FOR
LATER TODAY. GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS THE REGION...SO LOOKING FOR
SOME WIND GUSTS 30-40 MPH THIS AFTERNOON...WITH STRONGEST GUSTS IN
THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY.
&&
.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 457 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...PRECIPITATION ASSOCIATED WITH WARM AIR 
ADVECTION WILL BE ENDING THIS EVENING...BUT STILL CHANCE SOME 
SHOWERS THROUGH AROUND MIDNIGHT AS OCCLUDED FRONT MAKES ITS WAY 
ACROSS THE REGION. TOTAL PRECIPITATION THROUGH TONIGHT GENERALLY A 
QUARTER INCH OR LESS. VERY LIGHT AMOUNTS EXPECTED IN THE CHAMPLAIN 
VALLEY DUE SOME SHADOWING FROM ADIRONDACKS DUE SOUTHWESTERLY 850MB 
FLOW. MAINLY DRY AFTER MIDNIGHT WITH SOME PARTIAL CLEARING. GUSTY 
SOUTH WINDS THIS EVENING WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY OVERNIGHT AND 
DIMINISH. MIN TEMPS NOT ALL THAT COOL...WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE 40S.
 
CLOSED UPPER LOW ALONG WITH ITS ASSOCIATED SURFACE FEATURE WILL MAKE 
THEIR AWAY ACROSS SOUTHERN QUEBEC DURING THURSDAY. SECONDARY COLD 
FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS FORECAST AREA DURING THE DAY AS WELL. STEEP 
LAPSE RATES DEVELOP DURING THE DAY ALLOWING FOR ANOTHER PERIOD OF 
BRISK WESTERLY WINDS OF 15-25 MPH WITH GUSTS 35 MPH POSSIBLE. 
EXPECT VARIABLE AMOUNTS OF CLOUDS WITH SCATTERED INSTABILITY DRIVEN 
SHOWERS BY AFTERNOON...WITH GREATEST CHANCE BEING OVER THE NORTHERN
MOUNTAINS. TEMPS SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL WITH VALLEY HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S.
DECREASING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT WITH SOME CLEARING. 
IT WILL BE A BIT COOLER WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. 
LITTLE CHANGE ON FRIDAY AS NORTHWEST FLOW REGIME CONTINUES.
WEAK DISTURBANCES IN THE FLOW ALOFT WILL RESULT IN SOME CLOUDINESS 
AND CHANCE OF A FEW SHOWERS ONCE AGAIN OVER NORTHERN AREAS.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 352 AM EDT WEDNESDAY...EXTENDED FORECAST REMAINS LARGELY
UNCHANGED AS MEDIUM RANGE MODELS CONTINUE TO HIGHLIGHT MAINLY DRY
CONDITIONS UNDER SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND UPPER RIDGING THROUGH
MUCH OF THE PERIOD. UPPER TROUGH OVER THE NOVA SCOTIA AND
NEWFOUNDLAND AREA FRIDAY NIGHT WILL SLOWLY SHIFT OFF THE EASTERN
SEABOARD THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE
CENTRAL CONUS SHIFTS EASTWARD INTO THE NORTHEAST. FARTHER WEST A
BROAD UPPER TROUGH SETTLES OVER THE WESTERN CONUS SETTING UP A
NICE OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN ACROSS THE EASTERN US. OTHER THAN A FEW
LINGERING SHOWERS POSSIBLE FRIDAY NIGHT UNDER EXITING NORTHWEST
FLOW...THE BTV CWA WILL GENERALLY EXPERIENCE PARTLY CLOUDY AND
DRY CONDITIONS SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY ALONG WITH NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S...AND LOWS
IN THE MID 40S TO LOWER 50S. OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP WILL COME
TUESDAY THROUGH THROUGH WEDNESDAY (AND POSSIBLY LONGER) AS THE
BLOCKING PATTERN BEGINS TO SLOWLY BREAK DOWN AND MOIST
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW DEVELOPS AS THE WESTERN TROUGH SHIFTS
EASTWARD. COULD END UP BEING A FAIRLY WET FEW DAYS NEXT WEEK AS
THE PATTERN IS VERY SLOW TO BREAK DOWN...BUT CERTAINLY IS TOO FAR
OUT TO HANG YOUR HAT ON ANY REAL SOLUTION. FOR NOW...WILL
INTRODUCE SOME LOW CHANCE POPS TO THE FORECAST. TEMPS
TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY SHOULD WARM SLIGHTLY UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW WITH
HIGHS IN THE 70S...AND VERY MILD LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO 60S
POSSIBLE.
&&
.AVIATION /09Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY...GENERALLY CLEAR SKIES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE
REMAINDER OF THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...GIVING WAY TO INCREASING MID
CLOUDS THROUGH THE DAY AS A WARM FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION. LIGHT
WINDS INCREASE MARKEDLY AFTER 12-15Z TODAY OUT OF THE SOUTH/SOUTHEAST
WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 KTS LIKELY. PRECIP ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT
LOOKS TO BE FAIRLY SCATTERED AND SPOTTY AS DEEP MOISTURE THINS AS
IT APPROACHES...BUT WILL CARRY SOME VFR/MVFR -SHRA IN THE FORECAST
FROM ABOUT 19-02Z THIS EVENING. THEREAFTER...CONDITIONS LOWER TO
MVFR IN LOW CIGS THROUGH 06Z AS WINDS SHIFT OUT OF THE
WEST/SOUTHWEST.
OUTLOOK 06Z THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
06Z THURSDAY THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY...MVFR IMPROVING TO VFR.
12Z THURSDAY THROUGH 00Z SATURDAY...MAINLY VFR WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED AFTERNOON SHOWERS POSSIBLE.
00Z SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...VFR UNDER HIGH PRESSURE.
&&
.MARINE...
LAKE WIND ADVISORY HAS BEEN ISSUED. GRADIENT TIGHTENS ACROSS THE
REGION TODAY IN ADVANCE OF A WARM FRONT. EXPECT SOUTH WINDS TO
INCREASE TO 15 TO 25 KNOTS THIS MORNING AND TO 25 TO 35 KNOTS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WINDS WILL DIMINISH OVERNIGHT WITH PASSAGE
OF FRONTAL SYSTEM. WAVES LATER TODAY INTO EARLY TONIGHT MAY REACH
AS HIGH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ON THE BROAD LAKE BEFORE SUBSIDING OVERNIGHT.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR VTZ001-002-005-
     006-008>012-016>019.
NY...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR NYZ026>028-035.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...RJS
NEAR TERM...RJS
SHORT TERM...RJS
LONG TERM...LAHIFF
AVIATION...LAHIFF
MARINE...

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