Print

Print


Expires:201309222015;;226050
FPUS51 KBTV 220757
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
357 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013

VTZ006-222015-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
357 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
25 MPH. 
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY.
A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY DENSE FOG. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. 
.WEDNESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY DENSE FOG. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
.THURSDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY DENSE FOG. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. 
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. PATCHY DENSE FOG. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. 
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. 
$$

Expires:201309221100;;232512
ASUS41 KBTV 221030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-221100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    61  57  88 CALM      29.60R                  
MONTPELIER     CLOUDY    57  55  93 S5        29.64R                  
MORRISVILLE    CLOUDY    58  57  97 S5        29.60S                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     59  58  96 MISG      29.59R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    58  56  91 CALM      29.63R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    60  60 100 SE3       29.62R                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    59  55  88 SW8       29.64S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    59  57  94 CALM      29.64R                  
HIGHGATE*      CLOUDY   N/A N/A N/A W5        29.58R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    57  55  91 CALM      29.59S                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    57  53  86 SW5       29.69R                  
SUTTON*          N/A     55 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
ISLAND POND*     N/A     57 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     57 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     59 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     63  57  82 SW12        N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     63  55  77 W7          N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     61  59  94 S7          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;228855
FXUS61 KBTV 220855
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
455 AM EDT SUN SEP 22 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO PUSH EAST AND AWAY FROM THE REGION TODAY
WITH DRIER AIR MOVING INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY UNDER SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE. COLDER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL TREND WARMER
TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK. ANOTHER FRONT WILL AFFECT THE REGION
NEXT WEEKEND.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 445 AM EDT SUNDAY...HIGH RES MODELS ARE ALL SHOWING PRECIP
OVER BY 12Z ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA AS COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO
PUSH EASTWARD. STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION ALL DAY LONG ON
NORTHWEST WINDS SO WILL SEE TEMPS DROP ALL DAY LONG AFTER THEIR
EARLY MORNING HIGH TEMPS ARE REACHED...GENERALLY LOW 60S TO UPPER
50S. SOME SHOWERS MAY LINGER IN EASTERN VERMONT...AND THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF THE DACKS AND NORTHERN VT. THESE SHOWERS WILL BE
AIDED BY UPPER LEVEL TROF CROSSING THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY AND
TONIGHT. CURRENT WATER VAPOR TRENDS SHOW SOUTHERN PART OF THE
COLD FRONT PROGRESSING EAST MORE QUICKLY THAN THE NORTHERN PART
WHICH IS NOW PUSHING IN THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY AT 5AM. WINDS WILL
REMAIN A BIT BRISK TODAY WITH TIGHTENED GRADIENT BETWEEN
DEPARTING LOW/COLD FRONT AND APPROACHING HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM.
&&
.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 500 AM EDT SUNDAY...COLD AIR ADVECTION CONTINUES
OVERNIGHT...THOUGH WITH UPPER TROF STILL IN THE VICINITY THINK
THERE MAY BE SOME LINGERING CLOUDS AND BOUNDARY LAYER WINDS WILL
BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PREVENT ANY FOG OR FROST FORMATION. OVERNIGHT
MIN TEMPS WILL BE BELOW NORMAL...MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. GENERALLY
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION FROM MONDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY...BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH DRY CONDITIONS TO
CONTINUE.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 325 AM EDT SUNDAY...NO APPRECIABLE CHANGES TO THE MEDIUM
RANGE MODEL OUTPUT AND MORE OR LESS A PERSISTENCE FORECAST WILL
BE OFFERED DURING THE MIDDLE TO LATER PORTIONS OF NEXT WEEK WITH
THE MAIN HIGHLIGHT BEING AN OUTSTANDING STRETCH OF EARLY FALL
WEATHER AS DEEP LAYER RIDGING DOMINATES REGIONAL CONDITIONS. THE
PATTERN IS FAIRLY TYPICAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WHEN MODESTLY
LONG STRETCHES OF FAIR AND DRY WEATHER ARE INTERSPERSED BY
OCCASIONAL FRONTAL PASSAGES AND THEIR ASSOCIATED PCPN EVERY 4 TO
6 DAYS. THIS STRETCH MAY BE A TAD LONGER THAN USUAL. THERE COULD
BE A FEW CLOUDS NORTH AND EAST EARLY ON IN THE PERIOD AS
MARITIMES UPPER LOW SLOWLY DEPARTS...BUT MEAN CONSENSUS SUGGESTS
OFFERING MAINLY CLR/SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS FROM MID WEEK
ONWARD AS TEMPERATURES SLOWLY MODERATE BY SOME 2-5 DEGREES EACH
DAY. AS MENTIONED LAST NIGHT...I TYPICALLY DON'T INCLUDE THE
MENTION OF GROUND FOG IN THE EXTENDED PORTION OF THE
FORECAST...MAINLY OWING TO THE INHERENT UNCERTAINTY OF THE
NOCTURNAL PBL STRUCTURE AT SUCH TIME RANGES. HOWEVER WITH SUCH A
STABLE AND STRONG SIGNAL FOR DEEP-LYR RIDGING IN THE MODELS AND
NOTING WE'RE AT THE CLIMATOLOGICAL PEAK OF THE FOG SEASON I'VE
OFFERED THIS POSSIBILITY IN OUR FAVORED LOCALES EACH NIGHT.
&&
.AVIATION /08Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH O6Z MONDAY...BAND OF RAIN MAKING ITS PUSH EASTWARD ALONG
AND AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. RAINFALL WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY MVFR
CIGS/VIS WITH A FEW HOURS OF IFR POSSIBLE IN THE HEAVIER RAINFALL
AT KMPV/KRUT FROM 06-08Z. OTW FRONT TO MOVE WEST TO EAST WITH
WIND SHIFTS TO WEST/SOUTHWEST IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND CHAMPLAIN
VALLEY 08-10Z...AND REST OF VERMONT 10-14Z. AS THE RAIN SLACKENS
OFF NEAR THE FRONTAL PASSAGE TIME...EXPECT A FEW HOURS OF IFR
CIGS/VIS WITH PATCH LIFR CIGS AS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE LINGERS.
CONDITIONS TO IMPROVE AFT 12Z SUNDAY TO VFR WITH P6SM VIS AND
CIGS BKN- OVC040-050 FROM 18Z ONWARD WITH FLOW TRENDING WNW TO NW
AND MODESTLY GUSTY FROM 15-20 KTS.
OUTLOOK 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
06Z MONDAY THROUGH 00Z FRIDAY...
VFR CONDITIONS AS A SURFACE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL BE OVER
THE REGION. SOME AREAS OF RADIATION FOG AT POSSIBLE IN THE
SHELTERED VALLEYS OF EASTERN AND NORTHEASTERN VERMONT...AS WELL
AS THE VALLEYS OF THE ADIRONDACKS...ESPECIALLY AT KMPV AND KSLK
BETWEEN 06Z-13Z EACH DAY.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...NEILES
NEAR TERM...NEILES
SHORT TERM...NEILES
LONG TERM...JMG
AVIATION...JMG/HANSON

- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont.

To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html