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Expires:201310252015;;719849 FPUS51 KBTV 250803 ZFPBTV ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 403 AM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013 VTZ006-252015- LAMOILLE- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE 403 AM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013 .TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS THIS MORNING. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT. .TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. .SATURDAY...A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. .SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. .SUNDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. .SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT. .MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. .WEDNESDAY AND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. .THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 50. $$ Expires:201310251100;;725654 ASUS41 KBTV 251030 RWRBTV VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 600 AM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013 NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY. * THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG. VTZ001>019-251100- _____VERMONT_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BURLINGTON PTSUNNY 39 28 65 W10 29.97R MONTPELIER LGT SNOW 34 32 93 NW7 29.97R FOG MORRISVILLE CLOUDY 36 33 89 CALM 29.95R ST. JOHNSBURY* N/A 37 33 85 MISG 29.91R LYNDONVILLE* CLOUDY 35 31 87 W5 29.92R MIDDLEBURY* CLOUDY 37 37 100 CALM 29.97R RUTLAND* CLOUDY 37 28 70 W6 29.96R SPRINGFIELD MOSUNNY 29 28 96 CALM 29.96R HIGHGATE* CLOUDY 40 32 72 W6 29.96R NEWPORT* CLOUDY 38 31 76 CALM 29.93R BENNINGTON CLOUDY 37 33 85 W5 29.97R MT. MANSFIELD* N/A 25 N/A N/A NW13 N/A WCI 13 _____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____ CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS COLCHESTER RF* N/A 41 32 70 NW24 N/A DIAMOND ISL* N/A 39 28 65 W17 N/A $$ Expires:No;;721583 FXUS61 KBTV 250838 AFDBTV AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT 438 AM EDT FRI OCT 25 2013 .SYNOPSIS... HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD OVER THE NORTH COUNTRY TODAY AND TONIGHT...BRINGING DRY WEATHER BUT WITH SKIES REMAINING MOSTLY CLOUDY. THE NEXT AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DROPPING SOUTHEAST FROM THE CANADIAN PRAIRIES WILL BRING THE NEXT ROUND OF RAIN SHOWERS LATER SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEVERAL DEGREES BELOW AVERAGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/... AS OF 415 AM EDT FRIDAY...RIDGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE AREA TODAY FROM THE SOUTHWEST. STILL PLENTY OF MOISTURE AROUND THOUGH...THEREFORE EXPECT CLOUDY SKIES. MAY SEE A FEW MOUNTAIN SNOW FLURRIES BUT DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED ELSEWHERE. HIGH TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE IN THE MID 40S DOWN TO THE UPPER 30S IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. THIS IS ABOUT TEN DEGREES BELOW NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. WINDS WILL BE AROUND 5-10KTS OUT OF THE WEST NORTHWEST....GUSTY AT TIMES AROUND 15-20KTS. BEST CHANCE OF A LITTLE BIT OF SUNSHINE THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE ACROSS SOUTHERN VERMONT. && .SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY/... AS OF 430 AM EDT FRIDAY...WEATHER WILL REMAIN QUIET OVERNIGHT WITH AFOREMENTIONED HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY. MAINLY CLOUDY SKIES AND INCREASING WINDS FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AHEAD OF APPROACHING SYSTEM WILL KEEP OVERNIGHT MINIMUM TEMPERATURES MILD...AND NEAR STEADY. COLDEST TEMPS WILL BE IN THE ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHEAST KINGDOM WHERE SOME LOW TO MID 20S ARE EXPECTED. OTHERWISE OVERNIGHT MIN TEMPS WILL BE LOWER 30S WITH THE ONLY EXCEPTION BEING CLOSE TO LAKE CHAMPLAIN WHERE TEMPS WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S. SATURDAY WILL BREEZY AND COOL AHEAD OF APPROACHING CLIPPER SYSTEM. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY AT TIMES OUT OF THE SOUTH SOUTHWEST WITH SOME GUSTS TO 35 MPH POSSIBLE...ESPECIALLY IN THE SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY DURING THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE FOR SHOWERS WILL INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST DURING THE AFTERNOON...THEN SPREADING EASTWARD SATURDAY NIGHT. COULD SEE A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...BUT MAINLY JUST RAIN SHOWERS EXPECTED IN THE CHAMPLAIN AND SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEYS. FREEZING LEVELS SHOULD BE AROUND 2000 FEET OR SO. WITH LOW PRESSURE CENTER PASSING WELL NORTH OF OUR FORECAST AREA...BETTER MOISTURE WILL ALSO BE SHUNTED NORTH. THEREFORE BEST CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION WILL BE IN UPSLOPE REGIONS AND ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER WITH THIS SYSTEM. COOLER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE FOR SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT WITH MAX TEMPS NOT MAKING IT OUT OF THE 40S AND MIN TEMPS IN THE MID 20S TO MID 30S. QPF WILL RANGE FROM ALMOST A HALF AN INCH IN THE SOUTHERN SAINT LAWRENCE VALLEY TO AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH ALONG THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN VERMONT MAY HAVE LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. RIDGE OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL AGAIN EDGE INTO THE REGION ON SUNDAY...THOUGH SOME SHOWERS MAY LINGER EARLY SUNDAY AS CLIPPER DEPARTS ON ITS NORTHEASTWARD TREK...ESPECIALLY IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS ON FAVORABLE NORTHWEST UPSLOPE FLOW. OTHERWISE SUNDAY WILL BE QUIET AND CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WITH HIGHS AGAIN STAYING IN THE 40S. && .LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... AS OF 333 AM EDT FRIDAY...DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED SUNDAY NIGHT AS HIGH PRESSURE PASSES SOUTH OF THE REGION. SHORTWAVE TRACKING ACROSS SOUTHERN ONTARIO/QUEBEC MONDAY WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS TO THE FORECAST AREA...ESPECIALLY NORTHERN ZONES. COLD ENOUGH OVER ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHERN GREENS FOR SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE GREAT LAKES REGION MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY AND PROVIDE THE NORTH COUNTRY WITH MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS...WHICH SHOULD PERSIST INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. MUCH UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS FOR WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY AS GFS AND ECMWF OFFERING VASTLY DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS. GFS THE WETTER OF THE TWO MODELS. IT HAS HIGH PRESSURE MOVING OFFSHORE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH WARM ADVECTION RAIN DEVELOPING TUESDAY NIGHT AND CONTINUING INTO WEDNESDAY...AS LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE GREAT LAKES REGION. CHANCES FOR RAIN SHOWERS WOULD CONTINUE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AS COLD FRONT STALLS ACROSS THE REGION. ECMWF ON THE OTHER HAND DEPICTING A SHORTWAVE MOVING SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA WEDNESDAY WITH ONLY LOW CHANCE FOR A FEW SHOWERS FOLLOWED BY A RETURN OF HIGH PRESSURE AND DRY CONDITIONS THURSDAY. HAVE STAYED FAIRLY CLOSE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST...WITH BEST CHANCE FOR SHOWERS INDICATED FOR WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL START OUT BELOW NORMAL WITH VALLEY HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 40S MONDAY AND TUESDAY...MODERATING TO THE LOWER 50S BY THURSDAY. MINS WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S...EXCEPT 20S AREAWIDE MONDAY NIGHT. && .AVIATION /08Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY...A MIX OF BKN/OVC VFR/MVFR STRATUS OVERNIGHT AS BROAD UPPER TROUGH AND WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW PERSIST ACROSS THE REGION. SCT MTN RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS DIMINISHING...BUT STILL POSSIBLE THROUGH 10Z. HAVE INCLUDED VCSH FOR SLK/MPV. AFTER 12Z MAINLY DRY UNDER CONTINUED WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY FLOW...WITH WINDS OCCASIONALLY GUSTING 15 TO 20 KTS UNDER BKN/OVC MAINLY VFR CIGS. WINDS DIMINISH AND BECOME LIGHT SOUTHWEST FRIDAY EVENING...WITH SOME DECREASE IN LOW CLOUDS AS WELL. OUTLOOK 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY... 06Z SATURDAY THROUGH 00Z MONDAY...VFR WITH PERIODS OF MVFR IN RAIN AND MOUNTAIN SNOW SHOWERS WITH WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM. 00Z MONDAY ONWARD...MAINLY VFR EXCEPT AT SLK/MPV WHERE MOUNTAIN RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS MAY PRODUCE MVFR AT TIMES. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...NONE. NY...NONE. && $$ SYNOPSIS...NEILES NEAR TERM...NEILES SHORT TERM...NEILES LONG TERM...RJS AVIATION...RJS - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - SkiVt-L is brought to you by the University of Vermont. To unsubscribe, visit http://list.uvm.edu/archives/skivt-l.html