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Expires:201310272015;;810398
FPUS51 KBTV 270818
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
418 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013

VTZ006-272015-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
418 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013
.TODAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS...MAINLY THIS
MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. CHANCE OF
RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH UNTIL MIDNIGHT...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY IN THE
MORNING. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH...
BECOMING NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION
50 PERCENT. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 20. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. 
.TUESDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. 
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
HIGHS AROUND 50. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT AND SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. 
$$

Expires:201310271100;;815456
ASUS41 KBTV 271030
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-271100-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     CLOUDY    45  33  63 S12       29.75R                  
MONTPELIER     PTSUNNY   40  31  70 VRB3      29.77R                  
MORRISVILLE    LGT RAIN  41  33  73 SW3       29.75R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     36  31  82 MISG      29.73S                  
LYNDONVILLE*   CLOUDY    37  30  77 CALM      29.75R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    CLOUDY    43  35  72 SE9       29.77S                  
RUTLAND*       CLOUDY    43  30  61 SW9       29.79S                  
SPRINGFIELD    CLOUDY    37  32  82 NE3       29.80R                  
HIGHGATE*      LGT RAIN  47  37  67 SW8       29.74R                  
NEWPORT*       CLOUDY    39  33  78 CALM      29.74R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY    45  30  57 VRB6      29.82R                  
ISLAND POND*     N/A     37 N/A N/A CALM        N/A                   
GALLUP MILLS*    N/A     34 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
UNION VILLAGE*   N/A     37 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     28 N/A N/A W14         N/A  WCI  17          
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     46  36  66 SW13        N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     46  36  66 S16         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;813460
FXUS61 KBTV 270928
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
528 AM EDT SUN OCT 27 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
DRIER WEATHER WILL RETURN TODAY THROUGH EARLY TOMORROW. THEN A
WEAK LOW PASSING NORTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER WILL BRING
ANOTHER CHANCE FOR RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE NORTH COUNTRY. A
LARGE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING MORE PRECIPITATION TO THE
AREA LATER THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL
TREND WARMER TOWARD THE END OF THE WEEK.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 8 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 430 AM EDT SUNDAY...A WEAK SURFACE RIDGE WILL BUILD INTO
THE NORTHERN NEW YORK AND VERMONT AREA TODAY...BUT WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL SHORTWAVE CROSSING THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN A CHANCE OF SOME
RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS WITH THE BEST CHANCE ACROSS THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS. BEST CHANCE WILL BE THIS MORNING...DECREASING THROUGH
THE DAY. MAX TEMPS TODAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 30S TO UPPER
40S...ABOUT 5 TO 10 DEGREES BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMAL.
&&
.SHORT TERM /8 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY/...
AS OF 435 AM EDT SUNDAY...GENERAL SURFACE RIDGING ACROSS THE AREA
WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT WITH SOME WEAK WARM AIR ADVECTION AS
WELL. WEATHER WILL BE DRY OVERNIGHT. MIN TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN
THE MID 20S TO LOWER 30S AND CLOUDS WILL INCREASE TOWARDS MORNING
AHEAD OF NEXT APPROACHING SYSTEM. DURING THE DAY MONDAY STRONG
SHORTWAVE ENERGY AND UPPER TROF PASSES NORTH OF OUR FORECAST
AREA. HAVE MENTIONED A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS...MAINLY
ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF OUR CWA AND THE SNOW SHOWERS MAINLY
IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS. MAX TEMPS ON MONDAY WILL BE SIMILAR TO
TODAY. MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY WILL BE DRY AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE AGAIN RIDGES INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY. MONDAY NIGHT WILL
BE VERY COLD WITH CLEARING SKIES AND MAINLY LIGHT WINDS CREATING
A GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING NIGHT...MIN TEMPS WILL BE IN THE TEENS
TO LOW 20S WITH SOME SINGLE DIGITS IN THE COLDEST SPOTS OF THE
DACKS. MAX TEMPS ON TUESDAY WILL BE THE COLDEST OF THE 8 DAY
PERIOD WITH MID 30S TO LOWER 40S EXPECTED. THESE TEMPERATURES
CONTINUE TO RUN OVER TEN DEGREES BELOW CLIMATOLOGICAL NORMALS.
&&
.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
AS OF 328 AM EDT SUNDAY...BOTH THE 00Z GFS AND ECMWF INDICATE
THAT TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY WILL BE MOSTLY DRY WITH SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINING OVER THE REGION. SHORTWAVE MOVING
SOUTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA MAY TRIGGER A FEW SNOW/RAIN
SHOWERS...BUT NOT ENOUGH FOR MORE THAN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS.
MODELS CONTINUE TO DIFFER RATHER SIGNIFICANTLY FOR THURSDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY PERIOD. OVERALL SCENARIO WILL BE FOR HIGH TO MOVE
OFFSHORE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY...WITH LOW PRESSURE THEN
MAKING ITS WAY INTO THE GREAT LAKES. WARM AIR ADVECTION CLOUDS
AND SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP...WITH MORE SHOWERS TO FOLLOW AS LOW AND
ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT MAKES THEIR WAY ACROSS THE NORTHEAST. THE
DIFFERENCES IN MODEL SOLUTIONS ARE LARGELY IN REGARDS TO TIMING.
GFS CONTINUES TO BE FASTER THAN ECMWF...BRINGING IN RAIN THURSDAY
WITH WARM AIR ADVECTION...WITH MORE SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT DUE
COLD FRONT. ECMWF NOT SHOWING AS MUCH PRECIP WITH THE WARM FRONT
THURSDAY...HOLDING OFF BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL LATER
THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. BELIEVE THE SLOWER ECMWF TO BE THE THE
MORE LIKELY SCENARIO...SO HAVE GONE WITH LOW CHANCE SHOWERS
THURSDAY WITH WARM AIR ADVECTION AND BEST CHANCE SHOWERS FRIDAY
AS LOW AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL SYSTEM MAKE THEIR WAY ACROSS THE
REGION. BETTER AGREEMENT BETWEEN MODELS FOR NEXT SATURDAY AS BOTH
MODELS INDICATE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH SETTING UP OVER THE
MIDWEST...KEEPING WEATHER UNSETTLED ACROSS NORTH COUNTRY WITH
CLOUDS AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
TEMPS WILL BE BELOW NORMAL WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S...THEN
CLIMB TO ABOVE NORMAL LATER IN THE WEEK. MILDEST DAY SHAPING UP
TO BE FRIDAY WITH HIGHS AROUND 60.
&&
.AVIATION /10Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
THROUGH 06Z MONDAY...A MIXTURE OF BKN/OVC VFR/MVFR CIGS ACROSS
THE REGION THROUGH THE PERIOD AS UPPER TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH THE
AREA. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE AT KSLK TONIGHT WHERE A PERIOD OF
IFR AND OCNL -SHSN LIKELY THRU ABOUT 12Z. AT OTHER TERMINALS ANY
LIGHT PCPN OVERNIGHT SHOULD NOT RESTRICT VISIBILITIES. WINDS
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 KTS AND OCCASIONALLY GUSTY
OVERNIGHT...TRENDING WESTERLY 6 TO 12 KTS AFTER 12Z WITH ANY
LINGERING LIGHT PCPN ENDING.
OUTLOOK 06Z MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...
MAINLY VFR EXCEPT AT KSLK/KMPV WHERE MOUNTAIN RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS
MAY PRODUCE MVFR AT TIMES...ESP AS WEAKENING COLD FRONT MOVES
THRU ON MONDAY.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...NEILES
NEAR TERM...NEILES
SHORT TERM...NEILES
LONG TERM...RJS
AVIATION...RJS

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