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Expires:201312142100;;018770
FPUS51 KBTV 141123
ZFPBTV
FPUS51 KBTV 141123
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
623 AM EST SAT DEC 14 2013

VTZ006-142100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
623 AM EST SAT DEC 14 2013
...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM
EST SUNDAY...
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY THIS MORNING...THEN MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A
CHANCE OF SNOW THIS AFTERNOON. HIGHS AROUND 10 ABOVE. LIGHT AND
VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF SNOW 40 PERCENT. 
.TONIGHT...SNOW. SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 6 INCHES. LOWS AROUND
7 ABOVE. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY...SNOW. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 6 TO 10 INCHES. HIGHS
AROUND 19. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING LIGHT
AND VARIABLE. CHANCE OF SNOW NEAR 100 PERCENT. 
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 2 ABOVE. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. 
.MONDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 8 ABOVE. WEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. 
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLD WITH LOWS AROUND 5 BELOW. 
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS AROUND 20. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 10 TO 15. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 20S. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. 
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 10 TO 15. 
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S. 
$$

Expires:201312141200;;019349
ASUS41 KBTV 141130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST SAT DEC 14 2013
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-141200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   -1  -8  72 E5        30.57R                  
MONTPELIER     MOSUNNY   -9 -13  83 CALM      30.50R                  
MORRISVILLE    MOSUNNY  -11 -17  75 CALM      30.54R                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     -9 -15  75 MISG      30.52R                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR     -12 -19  73 CALM      30.49R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR       1  -4  80 CALM      30.52S                  
RUTLAND*       MOSUNNY    0  -4  85 CALM      30.48R                  
SPRINGFIELD    MOSUNNY    2  -8  63 N6        30.52R                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      -4 -11  72 CALM      30.60R                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR     -11 -18  70 CALM      30.52R                  
BENNINGTON     CLOUDY     6  -4  63 NE3       30.43R                  
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A    -13 N/A N/A N21         N/A  WCI -39          
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A      1  -8  66 N1          N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A      5   1  85 NE12        N/A  WCI -11          
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A      5   1  85 N8          N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;018781
FXUS61 KBTV 141124
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
624 AM EST SAT DEC 14 2013
.SYNOPSIS...
A SIGNIFICANT SNOW STORM IS ON TAP FOR THE NORTH COUNTRY THIS
WEEKEND AS LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPING OVER THE TENNESSEE RIVER
VALLEY TODAY TRACKS NORTHEAST TO CAPE COD BY SUNDAY MORNING. SNOW
WILL BEGIN LATE THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS...SPREADING
NORTHWARD THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AND CONTINUING THROUGH MUCH
OF SUNDAY WITH TOTAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES LIKELY BY
SUNDAY EVENING.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 623 AM EST SATURDAY...TODAY WILL BE THE CALM BEFORE THE
STORM AS WINTER STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR LATE TODAY
THROUGH SUNDAY. SINCE MOST OF THE EVENT WILL FALL IN THE SHORT
TERM PERIOD I'LL TOUCH ON IT BELOW. SO FOR TODAY...IT'LL BE A
CLEAR AND CHILLY START TO THE DAY WITH TEMPS HOVERING THE THE
SINGLE DIGITS ABOVE AND BELOW ZERO TO AS COLD AS -20F ACROSS THE
ADIRONDACKS AND NORTHEAST VERMONT. TEMPS WON'T REBOUND MUCH EITHER
AS WE REMAIN UNDER A COLD NORTH TO NORTHEASTERLY FLOW WITH HIGHS
WARMING ONLY INTO THE LOWER TO MID TEENS. CLOUDS INCREASE THROUGH
THE DAY IN ADVANCE OF THE STORM...AND WE'LL LIKELY SEE SNOW START
ACROSS SOUTHERN AREAS TOWARDS THE END OF THE NEAR TERM
PERIOD...4-6 PM. MORE ON THAT BELOW.
&&
.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 424 AM EST SATURDAY...FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK FOR THE
FIRST WIDESPREAD 6+ INCH SNOWFALL EVENT OF THE SEASON FOR THE
NORTH COUNTRY. A DEVELOPING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND POTENT
SHORTWAVE ENERGY ALOFT CURRENTLY OVER ARKANSAS THIS MORNING WILL
SHIFT EAST THROUGH THE TENNESSEE RIVER VALLEY TODAY TO THE
DELMARVA PENINSULA BY THIS EVENING. ASSOCIATED WARM AIR AND
MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL BRING LIGHT SNOW INTO THE REGION
BEGINNING IN THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS ACROSS SOUTHERN VERMONT AND
THROUGH MIDNIGHT ACROSS THE REST OF THE AREA. AFTER MIDNIGHT THE
SURFACE LOW DEEPENS AS IT SHIFTS NORTHEAST UP THE COAST TO JUST
INSIDE THE 40/70 BENCHMARK OVER CAPE COD BY SUNDAY MORNING AND
OFFSHORE OF THE CANADIAN MARITIMES BY SUNDAY EVENING. THIS IS A
FAVORABLE TRACK FOR WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL ACROSS NORTHERN NEW YORK
AND VERMONT THOUGH WON'T BE A BIG BLOCKBUSTER SNOWSTORM DUE TO
ITS PROGRESSIVE NATURE AND LACK OF CLOSED CIRCULATIONS AT
850/700MB. HEAVIEST SNOWFALL WILL OCCUR LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND
INTO SUNDAY MORNING (08Z-15Z) ASSOCIATED WITH BEST FORCING AND
POSSIBLE DEFORMATION BAND. SNOW THEN TAPERS OFF TO SNOW SHOWERS
BY SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN AS THE PARENT UPPER TROUGH TRACKS
THROUGH.
WIDESPREAD SNOWFALL AMOUNTS OF 6-10 INCHES IS EXPECTED THOUGH A FEW
LOCALIZED HIGHER AND LOWER AMOUNTS WILL BE SEEN DUE TO A STRONG
925-850MB SOUTHEASTERLY JET OF 40-60KTS. THIS WILL ACT TO INCREASE
SNOW AMOUNTS ON UPSLOPE FLOW ACROSS THE EASTERN SLOPES OF THE
SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL GREENS AND ADIRONDACK MOUNTAINS...WHILE
LOWERING AMOUNTS ON DOWNSLOPE FLOW ACROSS THE WESTERN SLOPES OF
THE GREENS...ESPECIALLY IN EASTERN ADDISON AND RUTLAND COUNTIES.
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHEAST KINGDOM WILL ALSO BE SOMEWHAT SHADOWED
BY THE WHITE MOUNTAINS...BUT TO A LESSER EXTENT AS THE CORE OF THE
LOW LEVEL JET STAYS ACROSS SOUTHERN VERMONT AND NEW HAMPSHIRE. IN
THE FAVORED UPSLOPE AREAS SNOWFALL UP TO A FOOT OR SLIGHTLY MORE
WILL BE POSSIBLE...WHILE DOWNSLOPED AREAS MAY STRUGGLE TO REACH
WARNING CRITERIA.
BY MONDAY MORNING THE UPPER TROUGH BEGINS TO EXIT THE REGION AND
WILL BE REPLACED BY HIGH PRESSURE BOTH AT THE SURFACE AND ALOFT BY
LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON. AS IT USUALLY THE CASE...SKIES ARE LIKELY
SLOW TO CLEAR OUT SO IT'LL BE A GENERALLY CLOUDY AND COLD DAY WITH
TEMPS STRUGGLING TO GET OUT OF THE SINGLE DIGITS AND LOWER TEENS
ON STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION. A STIFF WEST-NORTHWEST WIND OF
10-20MPH WON'T MAKE IT FEEL ANY BETTER EITHER WITH WIND CHILLS
LIKELY BELOW ZERO.
&&
.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AS OF 307 AM EST SATURDAY...GOOD OVERALL AGREEMENT ON LONG-TERM FORECAST 
BETWEEN THE 00Z ECMWF AND 00Z GFS. PERIOD BEGINS COLD WITH BELOW
NORMAL TEMPERATURES...BUT TRENDS ABOVE NORMAL BY FRIDAY.
PERIOD BEGINS WITH MEAN LOW AMPLITUDE 500MB TROUGH EXTENDING FROM 
THE GREAT LAKES EWD ACROSS NEW ENGLAND. A NARROW SFC RIDGE IS 
EXPECTED TO BE TRANSLATING EWD ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY DURING 
MONDAY NIGHT...WHICH SHOULD RESULT IN LIGHT SFC WINDS. WITH WSWLY 
850-700MB FLOW IN PLACE...THERE WILL LIKELY BE SOME STRATUS 
ASSOCIATED WITH MOISTURE ADVECTION FROM THE GREAT LAKES. THIS MAKES 
THE LOW TEMPERATURE FORECAST A BIT TRICKY...AND CURRENTLY OPTED TO 
STAY NEAR MEX-MOS WITH LOWS NEAR 0F IN THE CHAMPLAIN AND CT RIVER 
VALLEY...TO -10F IN THE NRN ADIRONDACKS AND FAR NERN VT. UPSTREAM 
500MB TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO AMPLIFY AS IT MOVES EWD FROM THE GREAT 
LAKES TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT. THIS RESULT IN BROAD LOW PRESSURE 
ACROSS THE NORTH COUNTRY...WITH THE ECMWF HINTING AT A SECONDARY LOW 
FORMING IN THE GULF OF MAIN BY 06Z WEDNESDAY. IT APPEARS THAT WE/LL 
SEE A CHANCE FOR SOME SNOW OR SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY (POPS 
40-50%)...WITH SKIES MAINLY CLOUDY TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT. COULD 
SEE A LIGHT SOME ACCUMULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE UPPER TROUGH. ANY 
STRONGER VERTICAL MOTION ASSOCIATED WITH COASTAL/SECONDARY LOW 
SHOULD MAINLY STAY EAST OF OUR FORECAST AREA EARLY WEDNESDAY 
MORNING. TEMPERATURES MODERATE SLIGHTLY...WITH HIGHS IN THE 18-24F 
RANGE TUESDAY...AND ONLY FALLING INTO THE TEENS TUESDAY NIGHT WITH 
CLOUDY SKIES MITIGATING RADIATIVE COOLING. SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE 
SOME ORORGAPHIC SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY IN THE MTNS WEDNESDAY...AS 
LOW-LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE NWLY AS TROUGH AXIS MOVES PAST. NEXT SFC 
RIDGE BUILDS IN FOR THURSDAY THRU FRIDAY MORNING. THIS FEATURE IS OF 
PACIFIC ORIGIN AND NOT ASSOCIATED WITH ARCTIC AIR. THUS...TEMPS 
MODERATE WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 20S THURSDAY AND PERHAPS UPR 30S 
FRIDAY AS SFC WINDS BECOME SOUTHERLY. IT APPEARS A COLD FRONT WILL 
SETTLE BACK SEWD ACROSS THE REGION SOMETIME FRIDAY NIGHT INTO 
SATURDAY...WITH POTENTIAL FOR SNOW SHOWERS AND COLDER AIR MOVING BACK 
INTO THE NORTH COUNTRY FROM NW TO SE.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY...COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING ACROSS NORTHERN 
NY/VT EARLY THIS MORNING MAINTAINS VFR CONDITIONS ALL TAF
LOCATIONS THRU 21Z. LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LIFTING OUT OF THE MID MS
RIVER VALLEY WILL BRING INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS DURING THE DAYLIGHT
HRS...WITH LIGHT SNOW DEVELOPING 21-00Z FROM SW-NE. ANTICIPATE
CIGS/VSBY CONDITIONS DETERIORATING QUICKLY WITH IFR CONDITIONS BY
00-02Z SUNDAY AND PERIODS OF 1/2SM IN MODERATE SNOW AND FREEZING
FOG 04-12Z SUNDAY. ACCUMULATING SNOW WILL HAVE IMPACT FOR AIRPORT
GROUND OPERATIONS ALL TAF LOCATIONS LATE SATURDAY NIGHT AND DURING
SUNDAY MORNING. WINDS GENERALLY LIGHT N-NE...BUT LOCALLY 10-15 KTS
AT KMSS SATURDAY NIGHT...AND LOCALLY SE 12G20KTS AT RUT SATURDAY
NIGHT.
OUTLOOK 12Z SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...IFR SNOWFALL CONTINUES THRU
SUNDAY MORNING...WITH SNOW ENDING SUNDAY AFTN AS SURFACE LOW PULLS
NEWD AWAY FROM THE REGION. TRENDING VFR WITH NWLY WINDS SUNDAY
NIGHT. CHANCE OF FLURRIES SUNDAY NIGHT THRU MONDAY. LIGHT SNOW
OR SNOW SHOWERS POSSIBLE TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST 
     SUNDAY FOR VTZ001>012-016>019.
NY...WINTER STORM WARNING FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 4 PM EST 
     SUNDAY FOR NYZ026>031-034-035-087.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...LAHIFF
NEAR TERM...LAHIFF
SHORT TERM...LAHIFF
LONG TERM...BANACOS
AVIATION...BANACOS

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