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Expires:201401132100;;409437
FPUS51 KBTV 131145
ZFPBTV
ZONE FORECAST PRODUCT FOR VERMONT AND NORTHERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
645 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014

VTZ006-132100-
LAMOILLE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JOHNSON...STOWE
645 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014
.TODAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH THIS AFTERNOON. 
.TONIGHT...CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF RAIN
70 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE MORNING.
HIGHS AROUND 40. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...BECOMING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE. CHANCE OF RAIN 70 PERCENT. 
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE
WINDS. 
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. CHANCE OF RAIN 40 PERCENT. 
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. 
.THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S.
LOWS AROUND 20. 
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 20. 
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 20S. 
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 10 ABOVE. 
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS AROUND 20. 
$$

Expires:201401131200;;408885
ASUS41 KBTV 131130
RWRBTV
VERMONT REGIONAL WEATHER ROUNDUP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
600 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014
NOTE: "FAIR" INDICATES FEW OR NO CLOUDS BELOW 12,000 FEET WITH NO 
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER AND/OR OBSTRUCTIONS TO VISIBILITY.
* THESE REPORTS ARE NOT UNDER NWS QUALITY CONTROL AND/OR DO NOT
  REPORT WEATHER SUCH AS PRECIPITATION AND FOG.

VTZ001>019-131200-
_____VERMONT_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURLINGTON     MOSUNNY   33  24  69 S10       29.96F                  
MONTPELIER     SUNNY     27  22  81 S3        29.99S                  
MORRISVILLE    SUNNY     28  22  78 CALM      29.96F                  
ST. JOHNSBURY*   N/A     28  24  85 MISG      29.97F                  
LYNDONVILLE*   FAIR      29  22  73 S6        29.97R                  
MIDDLEBURY*    FAIR      34  25  71 E9        29.98F                  
RUTLAND*       SUNNY     28  23  80 SE6       30.02S                  
SPRINGFIELD    SUNNY     25  22  88 CALM      30.03F                  
HIGHGATE*      FAIR      36  26  66 S6        29.92F                  
NEWPORT*       FAIR      32  23  68 S9        29.94F                  
BENNINGTON     SUNNY     25  21  85 CALM      30.03F                  
SUTTON*          N/A     25 N/A N/A MISG        N/A                   
MT. MANSFIELD*   N/A     25 N/A N/A NW16        N/A  WCI  12          
_____LAKE CHAMPLAIN_____
  
CITY           SKY/WX    TMP DP  RH WIND       PRES   REMARKS
BURTON ISLAND*   N/A     32  27  80 S12         N/A                   
COLCHESTER RF*   N/A     34  30  86 S25         N/A                   
DIAMOND ISL*     N/A     32  27  80 SE5         N/A                   
$$

Expires:No;;408766
FXUS61 KBTV 131123
AFDBTV
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
623 AM EST MON JAN 13 2014
.SYNOPSIS...
MILD TEMPERATURES AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY AS SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE SLIDES EAST INTO THE ATLANTIC. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE
AS A COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE WEST...BRINGING PRECIPITATION
TO THE NORTH COUNTRY TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY. ANOTHER CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION ARRIVES LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY.
&&
.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 7 PM THIS EVENING/...
AS OF 435 AM EST MONDAY...BENIGN WEATHER TODAY AS SFC HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO AFFECT THE REGION...GRADUALLY SLIDING E
INTO THE ATLANTIC TODAY. MID AND HIGH LVL CLOUDS WILL SPREAD WEST
TO EAST OVER THE REGION WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW WARMING TEMPS INTO
THE 40S. CLOUDS FURTHER INCREASING IN THE WARM SECTOR THIS AFTN
AHEAD OF APPROACHING COLD FRONT.
&&
.SHORT TERM /7 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 435 AM EST MONDAY...PERIOD STARTS WITH INCREASING THREAT OF
RAIN THIS EVENING AS THE AFOREMENTIONED COLD FRONT MOVES EWD.
RAIN LOOKS TO MOVE INTO SLV AND NRN NY BY MIDNIGHT... CONTINUING
TO PROGRESS EWD...REACHING CENTRAL VT AFTER 06Z. BULK OF PRECIP
WILL BE IN THE FORM OF RAIN...BUT AS IT PROGRESSES INTO THE
NEK...TEMPS WILL BE AROUND FREEZING AT THE SFC. OVERNIGHT TEMPS
WILL GRADUALLY BE INCREASING IN THE WARM SECTOR AND SOUTHERLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT...SO EXPECT ANY CHC OF -FZRA/FZDZ TO
BE SPOTTY IN FAR NERN VT...IN COLDER VALLEY LOCATIONS WHERE IT
WILL TAKE LONGER FOR WARM AIR TO WORK ITS WAY TO THE SFC. ALSO
WITH RAIN ARRIVING IN NERN VT CLOSER TO 09Z...THREAT OF FREEZING
PRECIP WILL ONLY BE A FEW HRS UNTIL WARM AIR MAKES IT TO THE SFC
AROUND 12Z. EXPECT ANY ICING TO BE LIGHT AND SPOTTY AT BEST. AT
THE SAME TIME...HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF ADKS AND GREENS CAN ALSO
EXPECT SOME SNOW OR IP BEFORE DAYBREAK.
LGT RAIN WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE DAY...TAPERING OFF
FROM W TO E IN THE EVENING. COOLER AIR WILL FILTER IN AS THE
PRECIP TAPERS OFF...WITH POTENTIAL FOR SNOW SHOWERS.
ANOTHER THREAT FOR PRECIP ARRIVES WEDNESDAY MORNING AS WEAK SFC
LOW MOVES OVER THE ERN GREAT LAKES...PUTTING THE NORTH COUNTRY IN
THE WARM SECTOR AGAIN WITH SNOW SHOWERS TRANSITIONING TO RAIN
SHOWERS DURING THE DAY.
&&
.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 300 AM EST MONDAY...OVERALL GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG MODELS AND
ENSEMBLE DATA WITH REGARDS TO LARGE SCALE TROF REDEVELOPING ACRS
THE GREAT LAKES INTO THE NE CONUS...STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY ON
TIMING OF INDIVIDUAL BOUNDARIES/ENERGY ALOFT. LARGE SCALE PATTERN
WL FEATURE LOTS OF ENERGY ALOFT...BUT VERY LIMITED DEEP LAYER
MOISTURE...AS FLW ALOFT IS FROM THE NORTHWEST AND GULF OF MEXICO
IS CLOSED FOR BUSINESS. TEMP PROFILES WL SUPPORT ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPS THRU THE WEEK...BEFORE RETURNING CLOSER TO NORMAL BY THE
WEEKEND...WITH A CHANCE OF ARCTIC AIR ARRIVING FOR SAT INTO
SUNDAY...ALONG WITH A BETTER CHANCE FOR SNOW SHOWERS. IN
ADDITION...TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS PRECIP CHCS WL RUN BLW NORMAL
THRU THE PERIOD...WITH THE LATEST GFS BUFKIT AT BTV SHOWING ONLY
0.10" OF QPF THRU MONDAY JAN 20TH. SOME SLIGHTLY HIGHER VALUES
ARE NOTED AT OUR MTN LOCATIONS...BUT STILL BELOW NORMAL. BEST CHC
FOR WIDESPREAD LIGHT SNOW SHOWER ACTIVITY WL BE LATE FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY ASSOCIATED WITH POTENT 5H VORT AND DIGGING MID/UPPER LVL
TROF. WEAK ELONGATED SFC LOW PRES IS ANTICIPATED TO MOVE FROM THE
NORTHERN GREAT LAKES INTO NORTHERN NEW ENGLAND BY SUNDAY WITH
PROGGED 85H TEMPS <-20C. THIS SUPPORTS HIGHS BACK IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS MTNS TO MID TEENS VALLEYS...BUT LATEST 00Z ECMWF KEEPS
COLDEST AIR LOCKED NORTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. WL TREND
TWD SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPS OVER THE WEEKEND. OTHERWISE...PROGGED
85H TEMPS BTWN -10C AND -12C AND 925MB TEMPS AROUND -8C SUPPORT
HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 20S TO LOWER 30S THURS...WITH SOME SLIGHTLY
WARMER VALLEYS ANTICIPATED ON FRIDAY...AS LLVL WAA RETURNS ON
SOUTHERLY FLW. TEMPS TURN COOLER FOR THE WEEKEND...WITH CAA
DEVELOPING BEHIND SYSTEM FOR SUNDAY. LARGE SCALE PATTERN WL
REMAIN VERY PROGRESSIVE WITH NO LONG DURATIONS OF EXTREME COLD
ANTICIPATED AND NO SIGNIFICANT STORMS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 7 TO
10 DAYS.
&&
.AVIATION /12Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... 
THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY...SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS RIDGE AXIS ACRS OUR
EASTERN CWA ATTM WITH MAINLY CLR SKIES. A WESTERLY FLW AROUND HIGH
PRES WL SPREAD MID/UPPER LVL MOISTURE INTO OUR TAF SITES
TODAY...WITH SOME INCREASE IN CLOUDS ANTICIPATED. OTHERWISE...PRES
GRADIENT INCREASES FROM WEST TO EAST ACRS OUR TAF SITES THIS
MORNING AS 992MB LOW PRES TRACKS NORTH OF THE GREAT LAKES. THIS WL
RESULT IN GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 10 TO 15 KNTS WITH
GUSTS BTWN 20 AND 25 KNTS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY SLK/MPV/MSS/BTV.
AREAS OF LLWS WL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING ALONG WITH MODERATE
TURBULENCE...ESPECIALLY BLW 4000 FT. VFR CIGS/VIS WL PREVAIL THRU
TODAY...BEFORE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES AFT 00Z THIS EVENING...WITH
INCREASING CLOUDS AND THE THREAT OF RAIN SHOWERS...SOME MVFR
CONDITIONS WL BE POSSIBLE TWD 03Z AT SLK/MSS.
OUTLOOK 12Z TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY... WEAK SFC COLD FRNT WL PRODUCE
SCATTERED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WITH MVFR AND
PERIODS OF IFR POSSIBLE AT SLK/MPV. ANOTHER COLD FRNT WITH
ADDITIONAL MOISTURE ARRIVES LATE WEDS INTO THURS WITH MORE SNOW
SHOWER ACTIVITY AND THE POTENTIAL FOR OCCASIONAL IFR CONDITIONS IN
THE HEAVIER SNOW SHOWERS AT SLK/MPV.
&&
.HYDROLOGY...
AS OF 300 AM EST MONDAY...LATEST RIVER GAGES SHOW ALL RIVERS AND
STREAMS CONTINUE TO RECEDE THIS MORNING. TEMPS WL WARM INTO THE
30S MTNS TO M40S VALLEYS TODAY WITH SOME ADDITIONAL SNOW/ICE MELT
LIKELY...THIS WL HAVE MINIMAL IMPACT ON WATER LEVELS. LIGHT
RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS ARRIVE LATE TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY...BUT OVERALL
QPF WL BE LIGHT <0.25" WITH LIMITED IMPACTS ON WATERWAYS. AS TEMPS
COOL BACK BLW FREEZING THIS WEEK...THE POTENTIAL FOR FREEZE UP
JAMS WL INCREASE AND NEED TO BE WATCHED.
&&
.MARINE...
AS OF 430 AM EST MONDAY...LAKE CHAMPLAIN WATER LEVELS WILL
CONTINUE TO RISE FROM SATURDAYS RAINFALL AND SNOW/ICE MELT.
SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON AS AN APPROACHING
COLD FRONT INCREASING THE PRESSURE GRADIENT OVER THE AREA. THIS
COMBINED WITH CHANNELING UP THE CHAMPLAIN VALLEY WILL INCREASE
WINDS OF 10-20 KNOTS THIS MORNING TO 20-30 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS WILL CAUSE WAVE HEIIGHTS TO BUILD TO 3-5 FEET THIS
AFTERNOON...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE BROAD LAKE AND SOUTH FACING
BAYS.
&&
.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...NONE.
NY...NONE.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...KGM/NEILES
NEAR TERM...KGM
SHORT TERM...KGM
LONG TERM...TABER
AVIATION...TABER
HYDROLOGY...TABER
MARINE...

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